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Illinois vs. Iowa, 03/05/2013 19:06
Point Spread: -3½/-109 Iowa
Tuesday's NCAAB Free Pick: Iowa Hawkeyes -3.5
Iowa is showing some great value as a small home favorite. The Hawkeyes may be just 7-9 in the Big Ten, but they are 14-2 at home with their only two losses at home in conference play coming against Indiana and Michigan St. Iowa still has a chance to finish 9-9 inside conference play, as they have a relatively easy home game against Nebraska to finish up the regular season on Saturday. Illinois is coming into this game off a 72-65 win over Nebraska at home, but failed to cover as a 14-point favorite. The Illini are 6-1 over their last 7 games, but this is a very tough matchup for Illinois. Iowa's defense is holding opponents to just 28.9% shooting from 3-point range at home. That's crucial here as the Ilinni rely a lot on their ability to knock down the outside shot. Iowa is 8-2 ATS vs teams who attempt 21 or more 3-pointers this season and are 11-3 ATS in home games vs teams who aer outscoring opponents by 4+ points/game over the last two seasons. BET THE HAWKEYES!