marksmoneymakers Posts:10623 Followers:138
On 03/02/2013 06:02 AM in NCAA Basketball

Some Saturday NCAA Hoops Helpful Information

Gold Medal Club Selections 03/02/2013
CBB:
25* #539 Massachusetts +4.5
25* #637 East Carolina +11.5

#520 Central Florida +7.5
#560 Houston -3.5
#580 Dayton -5

marksmoneymakers Posts:10623 Followers:138
03/02/2013 06:05 AM

Goldsheet
★★★KEY RELEASES★★★
MEMPHIS by 15 over Ucf (Sat., March 2, Day)
GEORGE MASON by 8 over Delaware (Sat., March 2, Day)
ARKANSAS by 13 over Kentucky (Sat., March 2, Day)
KANSAS STATE by 8 over Baylor (Saturday, March 2)

GOLDEN STATE by 10 over Philadelphia (Saturday, March 2)

marksmoneymakers Posts:10623 Followers:138
03/02/2013 06:06 AM

Study Group: Saturday's Top 25 NCB Betting Notes

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Saturday’s ranked college basketball games:

(21) Butler at (25) VCU (-7.5)

Butler and Virginia Commonwealth look to keep their Atlantic 10 title chances alive when they meet Saturday. The Bulldogs have been held under 70 points in five straight games but are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss.

(9) Louisville at (12) Syracuse (-1.5)

The Cardinals will try to remain within striking distance of first place when they play their final road game of the season against the Orange. Locked in a second-place tie with Marquette, Louisville suffered its last loss two weeks ago in the five-overtime thriller at Notre Dame, but has won four straight by double digits since. Syracuse fell from first place in the Big East into a tie for fourth with a loss last Saturday to Georgetown – snapping the nation’s longest home winning streak at 38. Syracuse has won three straight in the series, including a 70-68 victory at Louisville on Jan. 19

Alabama at (6) Florida (-17)

First place in the Southeastern Conference is on the line when Florida hosts Alabama Saturday. Alabama trails the Gators by a game and it can win the regular-season championship by winning its last three regular-season games. Florida expects to at full strength for the stretch run. Key reserves Will Yeguete (knee), Michael Frazier (concussion) and Casey Prather (head gash) are all expected to play Saturday. The Crimson Tide are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.

(17) Memphis at Central Florida (+6)

Perhaps content with its 18-game winning streak and comfortable lead in Conference USA, No. 17 Memphis suffered its first setback in over three months earlier this week. Memphis entered Tuesday’s non-conference tilt against Xavier tied with Akron for the country’s longest active winning streak, but a listless first half caught up to the Tigers in a 64-62 loss. The Tigers will try to avoid two straight road losses against a Golden Knights team they defeated 93-71 on Feb. 13. Memphis is 5-0-1 ATS in the last six meetings.

West Virginia at (5) Kansas (-16)

Kansas is locked in a first-place tie with Kansas State in the Big 12 race and on the short list of schools in contention for a No. 1 seed in the upcoming NCAA tournament. The Jayhawks have posted five straight victories and coach Bill Self became the ninth-fastest coach to reach 500 career wins with an overtime victory at Iowa State on Monday. West Virginia has lost three straight games and is 1-4 ATS in its last five overall.

(20) Notre Dame at (22) Marquette (-6)

The race for one of the four double-byes in the Big East Tournament is wide open, making the Golden Eagles’ home tilt against the Fighting Irish a critical matchup. Marquette extended the country’s second-longest home winning streak to 24 games in Monday’s 74-71 victory over Syracuse. Notre Dame has won four of five after clubbing Cincinnati 62-41 on Sunday and is 4-1 against ranked opponents this season.

Texas at (18) Oklahoma State (-12.5)

Oklahoma State looks to complete a regular-season sweep of Texas when the Cowboys host the Longhorns. Oklahoma State won the first meeting 72-59 on Feb. 9 behind 23 points from freshman point guard Marcus Smart. The Cowboys have won nine of their last 10 games and are 13-2 at home. Texas is 3-2 since star point guard Myck Kabongo returned to the squad but is just 1-7 on the road. The Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last six Saturday games.

(19) Saint Louis at George Washington (+5)

The Billikens have won 10 straight, the longest active streak in the A-10 and the first double-digit win streak for the program since the 1993-94 team won its first 14 games. George Washington, meanwhile, has dropped two straight and four of five. During Saint Louis' 10-game win streak, the Billikens have led by at least 17 points in eight of those 10 contests. The Billikens are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games.

Wyoming at (14) New Mexico (-11.5)

New Mexico hopes to add a regular-season Mountain West title to its impressive resume when the Lobos host Wyoming. The Lobos can guarantee at least a share of the title with a win at The Pit, where they are 13-1 this season. The Cowboys, who have lost three straight, haven’t won at New Mexico since 2003. Wyoming is 0-6 ATS in its last six road games.

Portland at (2) Gonzaga (-26)

Gonzaga, which is 14-1 at home, has an 11-game win streak and is coming off a 70-65 victory at BYU on Thursday that gave the Bulldogs their 10th outright West Coast Conference regular-season title. The Bulldogs have taken the last 19 meetings and lead the conference in scoring with 77 points per game and are tops in scoring defense (58.2). Portland lost 71-49 at home to Gonzaga on Jan. 17.

(24) Akron at Buffalo (+6.5)

Akron has the nation's longest win streak but Buffalo has beaten the Zips three straight times at home. The Zips, playing as a ranked team for the first time in program history, survived an overtime game at Ohio to extend their streak to 19 games and build a two-game in the Mid-American East Division standings. The Bulls, who have lost back-to-back games by a combined three points, have never beaten a ranked opponent. The Zips are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400.

(7) Miami-Florida at (3) Duke (-6.5)

Miami can clinch its first outright conference title in program history on Saturday with a win at Duke, which is looking to avenge a 27-point loss to the Hurricanes on Jan. 23. The Hurricanes have won nine of their last 10 games since handing Duke its worst regular-season defeat in nearly 30 years. Duke senior forward Ryan Kelly remains out with a foot injury, and he’s not expected to return until next week. The Hurricanes are 5-0-1 ATS in the last six meetings at Duke.

(13) Kansas State at Baylor (-2)

Kansas State will try to inch closer to its first conference title since 1977 when it travels to Baylor for a Big 12 game. The Wildcats have won four straight since their latest loss to the Jayhawks on Feb. 11. While Baylor ended a three-game losing streak with a 65-62 victory Wednesday against West Virginia. The Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last four Saturday games.

Iowa at (1) Indiana (-14.5)

Indiana wasn’t overly concerned after being upset by Minnesota on Tuesday, but the loss likely guaranteed the top-ranked Hoosiers won’t overlook visiting Iowa. The Hoosiers have won two of their last three games against Iowa, including a 69-65 victory in Iowa City on Dec. 31 in the Big Ten opener for both teams. Indiana has held its last five opponents to less than 43 percent shooting from the floor and is 4-1 ATS in its last five games overall.

Rutgers at (8) Georgetown (-14.5)

Rutgers will try to win a road game against a top 10 opponent for the first time in school history when it travels to Georgetown. The Scarlet Knights have lost nine of 10, including back-to-back games since leading scorer Eli Carter was lost for the season. The Hoyas rallied to beat Connecticut in double overtime last time out to extend their win streak to 10 games. Georgetown is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games overall.

(11) Arizona at UCLA (PICK)

UCLA and Arizona will try to remain in the hunt for a piece of the Pac-12 crown when they meet Saturday in Los Angeles. The Wildcats suffered a painful loss Wednesday at USC and sit tied for third with California, one-half game behind UCLA and a game behind Oregon. Across town Wednesday, the Bruins took care of business in overtime against visiting Arizona State for their third straight victory. UCLA last won a regular-season conference championship in 2007-08. UCLA’s leading scorer Shabazz Muhammad, who averages a team-high 18.3 points and leads the Pac-12 in 3-point shooting percentage at 44.9, has been dealing with pink eye recently, but is expected to play against Arizona. The Bruins are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.

Santa Clara at (23) St. Mary’s (-11.5)

Santa Clara will travel to Saint Mary’s in the regular-season finale for both teams. The Gaels locked up second place in the West Coast Conference when No. 2 Gonzaga held on to beat BYU on Thursday. Santa Clara can still finish third with a victory against Saint Mary’s and a loss by BYU on Saturday at Loyola Marymount, though either result would be a major upset. Saint Mary’s leading scorer Matthew Dellavedova might have something to prove after matching his season-low with four points and committing six turnovers when these teams met Feb. 7(84-63 St. Mary’s win) at Santa Clara. The Broncos are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games vs. a team with a winning record.

marksmoneymakers Posts:10623 Followers:138
03/02/2013 06:06 AM

In Low - Scoring Season, High - Scoring Conferences the Best Under Bet
by Jason Logan

College basketball scores are down all over the country, with NCAA Div. 1 programs averaging just under 67.5 points per game.

According to a recent story in USA Today, this NCAAB season is on pace to become the lowest-scoring since 1952. The biggest culprits are conferences like the Mid-Eastern Athletic (62.04) and Southwestern Athletic (62.84) while leagues like the ACC (69.9) and West Coast Conference (70.1) are at the high end of the scale.

Oddsmakers have done a good job balancing the daily totals, with all lined games going 1,164-1,184 over/under as of Friday. However, there are a few conferences which have been very kind to fans of the under during this low-scoring season.

Scoring average is for all games involving teams from that conference as of Feb. 27. Over/under total from all lined games involving a team from that conference.

Pac-12

Scoring average: 69.49 points per game
Over/under: 87-138-2 over/under (61 percent)

The Pac-12 is among the highest-scoring conferences in the land but has constantly stayed under the number. The Pac-12 has a smaller sample size than some of the other major conferences due to the fact that many of its non-conference games were without totals. But the proof has been in the pudding during conference play, with the league boasting a collecting 33-55-1 over/under mark against each other heading into the weekend.

West Coast Conference

Scoring average: 70.09 points per game
Over/under: 66-93-1 (58 percent)

The WCC is the highest-scoring conference in college basketball, but much like the Pac-12, finds most of its games finishing below the total. The under is 39-26 in conference play (60 percent) with teams like Gonzaga and St. Mary’s staying below the number most nights. In fact, following Thursday’s non-conference win over BYU, which played under the 145-point total, the Bulldogs are 1-9 over/under in their last 10 games.

SEC

Scoring average: 69.08 points per game
Over/under: 125-148-3 (54 percent)

The SEC has some high-scoring members, like Ole Miss (79.3), but also some programs, like Mississippi State (59.2), which have struggled to put the ball in the basket. The Southeastern Conference boasts a 44-54-1 over/under count in league play heading into the weekend. Programs like Alabama (5-17 over/under) and South Carolina (6-12 over/under) have kept under bettors happy in the SEC.

Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference

Scoring average: 66.61 points per game
Over/under: 77-92-1 (54 percent)

The MAAC has been a quiet gold mine for under bettors. The league’s overall betting stats are smaller than the major conferences because many of its games don't have lines available. The MAAC has gone 32-42 over/under in conference clashes with teams like Rider (4-14 over/under) and Canisius (5-12 over/under) among the best under plays in college basketball.

Note: The Lowest - Scoring Conferences – Mid-Eastern Athletic (62.04), Southwestern Athletic (62.84), America East (63.28) – have a combined over/under record of 15-17-2 in lined games this season.

marksmoneymakers Posts:10623 Followers:138
03/02/2013 06:07 AM

DAVE ESSLER

CBB Saturday Cliff Notes

Louisville at Syracuse: Well, the Orange stock is probably at a season-low, even after getting Sutherland back. They'll be desperate to win and hopefully the top four and at least one bye in the Big East Tournament, while Louisville is just a game behind G-Town for first. Given that this is the Cardinals last road games and they've got two probably home wins left, this game means everything, up to and including NCAA Tournament seeding. 'Cuse have Depaul left and then a game at G-Town, so this is certainly a must-win for them as well, especially because they beat Louisville on the road earlier, which will add to their resume. Both teams are impressive offensive rebounding teams, and neither are great defensive rebounding teams, so their should be plenty of second chance points. That may give a slight edge, IMO, to Louisville who get to the line much more often and shoot well from the stripe. The one thing that would hold me back right now is that Louisville plays far more man than zone, and zone teams give Syracuse many more issues. See write up on Marquette game the other night. Both teams should be limited from three point land, so I could make a reasonable case for the under here, and I suspect at least the 1H as they probably will be quite deliberate, almost playing not to lose. Haven't seen the early line, but if I could catch a couple I do lean Louisville. Far LESS desperate and can play looser, which also may mean a 1H bet on them as well.

Arizona at UCLA: Huge battle for second in the Pac-12 and to stay within striking distance of Oregon. 'Cats loss at SoCal the other night dealt them a big blow going forward, while I can attribute the OT win over Arizona State as being a huge game for the Sun Devils as well as UCLA perhaps looking ahead a bit. So, it would seem that Arizona is simply playing better right now. This IS their last home game before playing the two Washington's, but I might not put quite as much stock in that as I usually do simply because aside from Larry Drew, UCLA has no other upper-classmen. However, they do have a one-and-done. Arizona is a reasonable road team, and with the experience here, which this time of year matters a lot. They've got the length, and have only this and a week of before playing ASU at home to conclude the regular season. I simply cannot take the Bruins here, simply because they are not a great rebounding team at either end, and Arizona is. It could also be tough to take the 'Cats, because they're going to want to shoot from deep, and defending the three is a strength of UCLA's defense. I do love ho often Arizona gets to the line, and all things being equal that would be the tipping point. However, this game will be played very up-tempo, and without turnovers, Arizona not defending the perimeter, I can see this game going over. I would caution you to bet it early if you agree, because that total should well be driven up from wherever it opens.

Colorado State at Boise State: Not a lot to play for in Conference, although Colorado State needs to stay firmly in second as they've got little or no hope of catching New Mexico. The only issue I have with CSU is that they don't yet have that signature road win, although they are easy to like being so fundamentally sound and perhaps one of the best rebounding teams in the nation. Boise also has a 20 point loss to try and avenge from earlier this season, but, although they've won four of five, they've been at home or at Fresno, so aside from beating UNLV at home (which most teams have done) they've feasted on lesser teams, lost to the good ones, and travel to Las Vegas next week. The question is really going to be whether or not Boise can play defense, and although I typically don't take too many road teams, I really think it's Colorado's game to lose. They have more experience and simply need it more, aside from the revenge factor, and are simply in a better spot, IMO.

Iowa State at Oklahoma: So, the Sooners have a total meltdown at Texas, for which myself and my clients were eternally grateful for. All the while Iowa State has their own meltdown and loses at home to Kansas. Bottom line here is which team is more fragile, IMO, and my gut reaction would be ISU simply because they're meltdown was at home and perhaps a bigger game. These teams are dead-tied in Conference play, but the Sooners have played the much tougher Big-12 SOS, so that would give me an immediate lean to Oklahoma, who has only been beaten at home by K-State and has two easy (probable) wins left on their schedule. While Iowa State may have shot their load winning their only Conference road game at Baylor, who we saw against WVU simply is not that good, or only as good as Pierre Jackson is. Lean to the Sooners, as I expected I would. ISU is simply going to have to make a ton of three's and contend with Oklahoma's inside game, and I am just not sure they're physically, or mentally, capable of sustaining that effort on the road for 40 minutes. I CAN see them coming out hot (1H bet, perhaps) but at game's end I think the Sooners find a way to win.

Miami at Duke: Well, another interesting game in that you have to wonder how much of Duke's loss at UVA was attributed to UVA or looking ahead to the 'Canes, who obliterated them in Miami, and another game my clients and I were thankful to have taken Miami. Of course Miami's stock was sickeningly high a couple of weeks ago, and now perhaps not so much. No doubt they've got the talent, but what I was telling one client is that I am just not sure they've got the big-game experience, especially on the road. They DO have experience, but being aged and understanding how to be in games of this magnitude are two different things. Having said that, I would lean Duke. It's possible, but not likely from what I have read, that Ryan Kelly will be back, so let's assume he's not. Duke hasn't lost at home all year, and with THAT much emotion based on their loss in South Beach, you have to think the win this one. Or do you, since winning and covering are two different things. That loss at Miami was also in a game that Reggie Johnson unexpectedly made his return, so there were just too many things working against the Blue Devils. Miami does have the ACC regular season title wrapped up, given their last two games, so they thing they're playing for here is perhaps a #1 seed. But, I keep going back to experience and coaching, and although there's a number to cover, if Duke gets the chance they will certainly go for style points, and although Miami has won, save VT, they've expended a ton of energy beating teams you'd expect them to beat easily. That may have something to do with the mounting pressure, and did I mention experience. Duke ML in a parlay for certain, I would think.

K-State at Baylor: The Bears won at WVU much to our chagrin, but in watching that game is was far more of a case of the Mountaineers losing it than Baylor winning it. K-State is tied with Kansas atop the Big-12 but they simply won't catch them. The upcoming schedule says so and the fact that they've lost twice to them does as well. Baylor is beatable at home, and in our WVU write up we alluded to their travel perhaps being an issue, and not they've got to go right back on the road Monday against Texas, who at home is not an easy out. K-State pounded the shit out of them two weeks ago, so there's that to consider. I may lean Baylor here. I do know that they are not the better team, but someone like Pierre Jackson is exactly the type of point guard that can give a Bruce Weber defense a bit of a problem. Between that and the fact that K-State REALLY hasn't beaten anyone other than the Sooners on the road, this could be a tougher game for them than they want. Baylor's got the massive size advantage, and K-State's defense can be had, especially given that the Bears will run far more than the Wildcats would prefer.

marksmoneymakers Posts:10623 Followers:138
03/02/2013 06:08 AM

DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

03/02/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 3380-1159 (.745)
ATS: 1560-1594 (.495)
ATS Vary Units: 4461-4790 (.482)
Over/Under: 432-414 (.511)
Over/Under Vary Units: 448-485 (.480)

Atlantic 10 Conference
DAYTON 71, Richmond 67
LA SALLE 82, Duquesne 62
SAINT JOSEPH'S 76, Fordham 61
Saint Louis 68, GEORGE WASHINGTON 56
ST. BONAVENTURE 76, Charlotte 69
TEMPLE 78, Rhode Island 62
VCU 72, Butler 64
XAVIER 73, Massachusetts 68

Atlantic Coast Conference
Clemson vs. VIRGINIA TECH: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
DUKE 72, Miami (Fla.) 66
Maryland 69, WAKE FOREST 67

Atlantic Sun Conference
FLORIDA GULF COAST 83, Kennesaw State 59
LIPSCOMB 74, North Florida 71
Mercer 67, STETSON 65
NORTHERN KENTUCKY 67, Jacksonville 60

Big 12 Conference
KANSAS 76, West Virginia 56
Kansas State 70, BAYLOR 68
OKLAHOMA 81, Iowa State 76
OKLAHOMA STATE 75, Texas 61
TEXAS TECH 64, Tcu 58

Big East Conference
CINCINNATI 64, Connecticut 63
GEORGETOWN 71, Rutgers 50
MARQUETTE 68, Notre Dame 62
PROVIDENCE 70, St. John's 62
SYRACUSE 65, Louisville 64

Big Sky Conference
Montana 78, MONTANA STATE 67
North Dakota vs. EASTERN WASHINGTON: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Northern Colorado 77, PORTLAND STATE 75
SACRAMENTO STATE 64, Idaho State 56
Weber State 78, NORTHERN ARIZONA 64

Big South Conference
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN 72, Coastal Carolina 64
GARDNER-WEBB 69, Presbyterian 54
HIGH POINT 79, Campbell 66
RADFORD 75, Liberty 69
UNC Asheville 65, WINTHROP 63
VMI 89, Longwood 80

Big Ten Conference
ILLINOIS 67, Nebraska 54
INDIANA 78, Iowa 64
MICHIGAN 68, Michigan State 65
MINNESOTA 71, Penn State 54
WISCONSIN 66, Purdue 49

Big West Conference
CAL STATE FULLERTON 79, UC Davis 76
CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE 73, UC Santa Barbara 67
HAWAI'I 71, Cal Poly 70
Pacific 64, UC RIVERSIDE 56
UC IRVINE 70, Long Beach State 68

Colonial Athletic Association
DELAWARE 70, George Mason 68
DREXEL 71, UNC Wilmington 59
NORTHEASTERN 77, Old Dominion 64
TOWSON 69, Hofstra 55
WILLIAM & MARY 67, James Madison 64

Conference USA
HOUSTON 78, Marshall 74
Memphis 76, UCF 67
SOUTHERN MISS 77, East Carolina 70
TULSA 69, Tulane 68
UAB 69, Smu 59
Utep 65, RICE 55

Great West Conference
NEW JERSEY TECH 70, Houston Baptist 64
UTAH VALLEY 69, Chicago State 61

Horizon League
Detroit 74, UIC 68
LOYOLA (CHICAGO) 64, Cleveland State 61
Valparaiso 66, GREEN BAY 65
WRIGHT STATE 67, Youngstown State 61

Ivy League
COLUMBIA 60, Brown 54
CORNELL 68, Yale 65
Harvard 68, PENN 57
PRINCETON 69, Dartmouth 46

Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference
CANISIUS 69, Rider 66
NIAGARA 74, Saint Peter's 60

Mid-American Conference
Akron 73, BUFFALO 62
Central Michigan vs. NORTHERN ILLINOIS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
EASTERN MICHIGAN 56, Western Michigan 55
Kent State 72, MIAMI (OHIO) 66
Ohio 67, BOWLING GREEN 64
TOLEDO 71, Ball State 63

Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Delaware State 50, HOWARD 47
HAMPTON 69, Florida A&M 55
MORGAN STATE 73, Umes 51
NORFOLK STATE 72, Bethune-Cookman 60
NORTH CAROLINA A&T 68, South Carolina State 54
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL 55, Savannah State 47

Missouri Valley Conference
CREIGHTON 69, Wichita State 65
DRAKE 72, Southern Illinois 63
EVANSVILLE 70, Indiana State 61
MISSOURI STATE 65, Bradley 61
NORTHERN IOWA 67, Illinois State 64

Mountain West Conference
Air Force vs. FRESNO STATE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
BOISE STATE 70, Colorado State 67
NEW MEXICO 64, Wyoming 47
Unlv 71, NEVADA 62

Northeast Conference
BRYANT 80, Saint Francis (Pa.) 67
LONG ISLAND 81, Quinnipiac 78
Mount St. Mary's 82, FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON 66
Robert Morris 79, CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE 74
ST. FRANCIS (N.Y.) 80, Sacred Heart 71
Wagner 78, MONMOUTH 70

Ohio Valley Conference
AUSTIN PEAY 81, UT Martin 77
BELMONT 79, Jacksonville State 61
EASTERN ILLINOIS 68, Siue 59
Eastern Kentucky 73, TENNESSEE STATE 72
Morehead State 74, TENNESSEE TECH 72
MURRAY STATE 82, Southeast Missouri 71

Pacific-10 Conference
CALIFORNIA 64, Colorado 59
UCLA 73, Arizona 70
USC 70, Arizona State 64

Patriot League
Bucknell 62, NAVY 45
HOLY CROSS 66, Colgate 59
LAFAYETTE 70, American 54
LEHIGH 72, Army 64

Southeastern Conference
FLORIDA 66, Alabama 49
Kentucky 73, ARKANSAS 70
MISSOURI 80, Lsu 68
Ole Miss 77, MISSISSIPPI STATE 65
Tennessee 61, GEORGIA 57
TEXAS A&M 67, South Carolina 56
Vanderbilt 62, AUBURN 56

Southern Conference
APPALACHIAN STATE 78, Chattanooga 72
College of Charleston 68, FURMAN 56
DAVIDSON 76, Georgia Southern 55
ELON 77, UNC Greensboro 66
WESTERN CAROLINA 69, Samford 65
WOFFORD 65, The Citadel 53

Southland Conference
McNEESE STATE 83, Central Arkansas 72
Oral Roberts 79, LAMAR 62
SAM HOUSTON STATE 61, Southeastern Louisiana 59
STEPHEN F. AUSTIN 72, Northwestern State 63
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI 67, Nicholls State 65

Southwestern Athletic Conference
Alabama State 66, GRAMBLING STATE 54
JACKSON STATE 71, Alabama A&M 61
Southern 63, PRAIRIE VIEW A&M 58
TEXAS SOUTHERN 73, Alcorn State 53

Summit League
Kansas City vs. IUPUI: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
North Dakota State 75, OMAHA 66
OAKLAND 80, Fort Wayne 72
WESTERN ILLINOIS 69, South Dakota 56

Sun Belt Conference
Arkansas State 66, UALR 61
FLORIDA ATLANTIC 68, Fairleigh Dickinson 67
Middle Tennessee 71, WESTERN KENTUCKY 61
South Alabama 67, TROY 66
UL Lafayette 73, ULM 70

West Coast Conference
Byu 76, LOYOLA MARYMOUNT 66
GONZAGA 83, Portland 51
SAINT MARY'S 76, Santa Clara 63
SAN DIEGO 67, Pepperdine 61

Western Athletic Conference
DENVER 64, New Mexico State 54
Idaho vs. TEXAS STATE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
LOUISIANA TECH 77, San Jose State 53
UT SAN ANTONIO 71, Seattle 65
Utah State 66, UT ARLINGTON 64

marksmoneymakers Posts:10623 Followers:138
03/02/2013 08:13 AM

NCAA Basketball Picks
Louisville at Syracuse

The Orange look to take advantage of a Louisville team that is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Syracuse is the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Orange favored by 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-1 1/2). Here are all of today's early games.

SATURDAY, MARCH 2
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 509-510: Maryland at Wake Forest (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 61.768; Wake Forest 66.803
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 5
Vegas Line: Maryland by 1
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+1)

Game 511-512: Old Dominion at Northeastern (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 50.667; Northeastern 56.669
Dunkel Line: Northeastern by 6
Vegas Line: Northeastern by 9
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (+9)

Game 513-514: Louisville at Syracuse (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 72.822; Syracuse 76.286
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 3 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 1 1/2; 130 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-1 1/2); Over

Game 515-516: Butler at VCU (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Butler 62.826; VCU 71.505
Dunkel Line: VCU by 8 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: VCU by 7; 136 1/2
Dunkel Pick: VCU (-7); Under

Game 517-518: Alabama at Florida (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 61.106; Florida 81.842
Dunkel Line: Florida by 20 1/2; 124
Vegas Line: Florida by 16; 118
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-16); Over

Game 519-520: Memphis at Central Florida (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 69.467; Central Florida 56.916
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 12 1/2; 142
Vegas Line: Memphis by 7; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-7); Under

Game 521-522: Tennessee at Georgia (1:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 69.967; Georgia 63.795
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 6
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-1 1/2)

Game 523-524: Iowa State at Oklahoma (1:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 67.397; Oklahoma 71.610
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 4
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+4 1/2)

Game 525-526: West Virginia at Kansas (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 59.480; Kansas 75.535
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 16; 136
Vegas Line: Kansas by 15 1/2; 133 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-15 1/2); Over

Game 527-528: Notre Dame at Marquette (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 68.310; Marquette 73.322
Dunkel Line: Marquette by 5; 125
Vegas Line: Marquette by 6; 130
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (+6); Under

Game 529-530: Connecticut at Cincinnati (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 65.555; Cincinnati 73.080
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-5 1/2)

Game 531-532: George Mason at Delaware (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Mason 53.854; Delaware 57.410
Dunkel Line: Delaware by 3 1/2; 144
Vegas Line: Delaware by 2; 141
Dunkel Pick: Delaware (-2); Over

Game 533-534: Purdue at Wisconsin (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:

Game 535-536: Penn State at Minnesota (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 55.144; Minnesota 70.056
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 15; 125
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 15 1/2; 129 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (+15 1/2); Under

Game 537-538: Rhode Island at Temple (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rhode Island 55.355; Temple 65.278
Dunkel Line: Temple by 10
Vegas Line: Temple by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rhode Island (+12 1/2)

Game 539-540: Massachusetts at Xavier (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 61.509; Xavier 63.577
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 2; 133
Vegas Line: Xavier by 4 1/2; 138 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (+4 1/2); Under

Game 541-542: Duquesne at LaSalle (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duquesne 50.242; LaSalle 70.656
Dunkel Line: LaSalle by 20 1/2
Vegas Line: LaSalle by 16
Dunkel Pick: LaSalle (-16)

Game 543-544: Illinois State at Northern Iowa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois State 58.383; Northern Iowa 67.885
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (-2)

Game 545-546: Indiana State at Evansville (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana State 59.891; Evansville 63.159
Dunkel Line: Evansville by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Evansville by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana State (+4 1/2)

Game 547-548: Bradley at Missouri State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bradley 53.668; Missouri State 58.101
Dunkel Line: Missouri State by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Missouri State by 2
Dunkel Pick: Missouri State (-2)

Game 549-550: Ohio at Bowling Green (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 62.539; Bowling Green 56.503
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 6
Vegas Line: Ohio by 5
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (-5)

Game 551-552: Ball State at Toledo (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 49.262; Toledo 55.018
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 6
Vegas Line: Toledo by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+6 1/2)

Game 553-554: Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 54.727; Eastern Michigan 55.496
Dunkel Line: Eastern Michigan by 1
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (+1 1/2)

Game 555-556: Youngstown State at Wright State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 51.139; Wright State 59.867
Dunkel Line: Wright State by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Wright State by 7
Dunkel Pick: Wright State (-7)

Game 557-558: Detroit at Illinois-Chicago (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 61.465; Illinois-Chicago 50.295
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 11; 144
Vegas Line: Detroit by 5 1/2; 141 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-5 1/2); Over

Game 559-560: Marshall at Houston (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 51.395; Houston 59.097
Dunkel Line: Houston by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-3 1/2)

Game 561-562: Valparaiso at WI-Green Bay (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 59.944; WI-Green Bay 63.619
Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 3 1/2; 138
Vegas Line: WI-Green Bay by 2; 134 1/2
Dunkel Pick: WI-Green Bay (-2); Over

Game 563-564: Kent State at Miami (OH) (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 54.351; Miami (OH) 52.318
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 2
Vegas Line: Kent State by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+3 1/2)

Game 565-566: Cleveland State at Loyola-Chicago (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland State 53.311; Loyola-Chicago 54.209
Dunkel Line: Loyola-Chicago by 1
Vegas Line: Loyola-Chicago by 6
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland State (+6)

Game 567-568: Pepperdine at San Diego (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 50.840; San Diego 54.714
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 4
Vegas Line: San Diego by 6
Dunkel Pick: Pepperdine (+6)

Game 569-570: SMU at UAB (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 54.527; UAB 60.546
Dunkel Line: UAB by 6
Vegas Line: UAB by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UAB (-5 1/2)

Game 571-572: Arizona State at USC (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 63.708; USC 65.705
Dunkel Line: USC by 2
Vegas Line: USC by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (+3 1/2)

Game 573-574: Idaho at Texas State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 51.904; Texas State 48.491
Dunkel Line: Idaho by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Idaho by 2
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (-2)

marksmoneymakers Posts:10623 Followers:138
03/02/2013 08:14 AM

CBB

-- Syracuse (+7) won 70-68 at Louisville Jan 19, its third straight series win, despite turning ball over 16 times (-7); Cardinals won two of last three visits here, losing 52-51 LY- they've won seven of last eight games overall, winning last four, all by 14+ points. Syracuse is 4-5 in last nine games after an 18-1 start, losing last two games by 11-3 points. Big East home teams are 12-19 in games with spread of 4 or less points.
-- VCU won six of last seven games, but covered only three of last 12; they're 5-1 SU at home, 3-3 as home favorites, with four wins by 12 or more points. Butler split its last four games; they're 4-2 on A-16 road, with all four wins by six or less points. Bulldogs are 2-1 as an A-16 dog; four of their last five games were decided by 5 or less points. A-16 home favorites of 7 or less points are 27-14 against the spread.
-- Notre Dame lost four of last five visits to Marquette, losing by 13-2-26-22 points; home side is 8-3 in last 11 series games. Irish won seven of last nine games, allowing 42-41 points in last two; they're 4-3 on road in Big East, losing by 4-16-17. Marquette is 8-0 at home in Big East, 3-3 as home favorite, with four of last five home wins by 10+ points. Big East home favorites of 7 or less points are 8-23 against the spread.
-- Delaware's last six games (5-1) were all decided by 1 or 2 points; Hens (+6.5) won 79-72 at George Mason Feb 9, outscoring Patriots 25-9 on foul line, in second straight win over Mason, after losing 13 of previous 14 meetings. Delaware won three in row, nine of last 11 games; they are 2-5-1 as CAA home favorite. CAA home favorites of 5 or less points are 10-20 vs spread. Mason won/covered its last four road games.

-- Valparaiso won 13 of last 15 games; they're 6-1 on Horizon road, with only loss by 12 at Youngstown; Crusaders (-8.5) beat Green Bay 73-61 at home Jan 23, forcing 16 (+8) turnovers, outscoring Green Bay 27-17 on foul line. Underdogs are 11-7 in Horizon games where spread is 3 or less points. Green Bay won four of last five games; they're 6-1 at home in Horizon, with only loss to Wright State, in double OT.
-- Kentucky won eight of last nine games vs Arkansas, losing 77-76 last visit here in OT; Wildcats won three in row, 8 of last 10 games, but they are 0-2 on road since Noel got hurt, losing by 17-30 points. Arkansas is 7-0 at home in SEC, with wins vs Florida/Mizzou; three of its last four games were decided by 5 or less points. SEC home favorites of 4 or less points are 9-10 vs spread. Kentucky is 2-3 as an underdog this season.
-- Miami (+3) shot 62% inside arc, held Duke to 4-23 outside arc- they crushed Blue Devils 90-63 Jan 23, 'canes' 2nd straight series win, after losing 11 of previous 12 series games. Miami won in OT at Cameron in LY's meeting. Quick turnaround for Duke club that lost Thursday nite at Virginia; they're 7-0 at home in ACC, with six of seven wins by 13+. ACC home favorites of 6+ points are 25-11 against the spread.
-- Denver won 14 of last 15 games, with lone loss 53-42 (+2) Jan 23 at New Mexico State; Pioneers made just 3-18 from arc, were outscored on foul line, 12-3. Aggies won 13 of last 14 games, losing last away game, at Utah State; they're 3-6 vs spread as an underdog this year. Denver is 5-1 as a WAC home favorite, winning home games by 11+ points. WAC home favorites are 16-31 against the spread, 9-16 if laying 8+ points.
-- Kansas State (-4.5) beat Baylor 81-61 two weeks ago, holding Jackson to 7 points while forcing 19 turnovers (+13), making 11-25 from arc in its fifth series win in last seven tries. Wildcats won eight of last nine, are 5-2 on Big X road, losing at Iowa State/Kansas. Favorites are 11-7 in Big X games with spread of 4 or less points. Baylor lost six of last nine, but is 5-2 at home in Big X, losing only to Oklahoma/Iowa State.

-- Boise PG Marks played only 9 minutes, Eliorraga didn't play at all in 77-57 (+9.5) loss at Colorado State Jan 30; Rams shot 55.6% inside arc, but missed 16-35 foul shots, or it would've been worse. Boise won four of last five games, covered six of last seven; they've won last five home games, but are just 1-4 vs top four in MWC. Rams won eight of last nine games. Dogs are 8-3 in MWC games with spread of 3 or less points.
-- Wichita State (-2.5) beat Creighton 67-64 Jan 19, its fourth series win in last five tries, holding Bluejays other than McDermott to 36.1% from floor. Shockers won last two visits here, by 14-21 points. Wichita is 4-4 in last eight games, Creighton 3-3 in last six, so at-large bid not lock for either side. Wichita's last four road games were all decided by 5 or less points. MVC home favorites of 6 or less points are 8-5 vs spread.
-- UCLA (+8.5) raced to 21-5 lead, won 84-73 at Arizona Jan 24, ending 6-game skid in Tucson; Wildcats lost six of last seven visits here, losing by 22-7 points last two years- they're 3-3 in last six games overall, 5-3 on Pac-12 road, allowing 76.7 ppg in losses, 66 or less in wins. Bruins won five of last six games, are 3-4 as home favorites (5-2 SU), with four wins at home by 8+. Pac-12 home favorites of 5 or less points are 9-20.
-- Canisius (+1) shot 58% inside arc, won 67-50 at Rider Jan 25, second Griffin win in last seven series games; Broncs won seven of last nine in this gym, won last four games overall- they're 4-1 as MAAC road dog this year. MAAC home favorites of 7 or less points are 9-15 vs spread. Canisius won six of last seven home games; they're 3-5 against spread as home favorites. 11 of last 15 Canisius games stayed under the total.

marksmoneymakers Posts:10623 Followers:138
03/02/2013 08:59 AM

College Basketball Prediction From Jason Sharpe:
Take VCU (-6.5) over Butler (Noon, Saturday, March 2)
The A-10's new boys clash here on the Rams' home floor, and I like the more athletic ex-CAA program. I have never really bought into Butler this season, even if the Bulldogs have turned in some quality victories under Brad Stevens. I think the three-point shooting and press defense at home will carry VCU to a well-deserved win. This is a matchup of teams in the Top 25 right now, and I think that the energy of the home crowd is really going to fuel the press of the Rams. This one should go the way of the home team, and I see a statement win for VCU.

marksmoneymakers Posts:10623 Followers:138
03/02/2013 08:59 AM

College Basketball Prediction From Allen Eastman:
Take Memphis (-6.5) over Central Florida (Noon, Saturday, March 2)
Memphis is 24-4 on the season this year. They are one of the best mid-major teams in the country, and I think they are going to win this game going away. Memphis beat Central Florida by 22 points at home back on Feb. 13. Just because UCF is home, I don't think the result is going to be all that much different. Memphis is coming off a tough loss at Xavier. But they could've won that game, and that has probably made them angry. Central Florida does not have the size or the depth to hold up against this very good Tigers team. UCF has lost three of its last four conference games, and I don't think they can get the job done here. Lay the points and watch Memphis run away with this one.