cnotes Posts:25758 Followers:33
04/02/2013 06:14 PM

NCAA tournament's biggest betting mismatches: Final Four

Finding a chink in the oddsmakers’ armor is tough come tournament time. We peel back Saturday’s Final Four matchups in search of some underlying mismatches that could make or break your college basketball bets.

Michigan Wolverines vs. Syracuse Orange (+2.5, 131)

Wolverines’ four-guard set vs. Orange’s long, athletic zone

Michigan’s high-powered offense is driven by a four-guard set featuring freshman big Mitch McGary as the only starter over 6-foot-6. The Wolverines are able to play at a very quick pace, averaging nearly 75 points on 58 field goal attempts per game. Many of those come from behind the arc and Michigan may have to rely on its 3-point shooting versus Syracuse Saturday.

With the Orange’s 2-3 zone plugging up the paint, the Maize and Blue could be left with little choice but to launch from distance. Michigan is among the best 3-point shooting teams in the country and is shooting 40 percent for the tournament.

Syracuse’s long defenders forced Indiana – another premier perimeter team – to chuck up bricks from outside, limiting the Hoosiers to 3-of-15 shooting from 3-point range. The Orange defense is getting a hand up on outside shooters while slowing games to a standstill - not Michigan’s type of party. Cuse has locked down tournament foes to just 61 total field goals in its four games so far.


Wichita State Shockers vs. Louisville Cardinals (-10.5, 130.5)

Shockers’ second-chance buckets vs. Cardinals’ poor glass cleaning

Wichita State has hustled its way into the Final Four, surprising opponents and the nation with great defense, terrific team play, and relentless work on the glass. The Shockers were 25th in the country in rebounding and are especially dangerous on the offensive boards – 38th in Div. 1.

In the tournament, they’ve been out-rebounded only once (vs. Gonzaga) and more than 32 percent of their total boards are coming off the offensive glass. That’s led to plenty of second-chance looks for WSU.

Louisville has barely broken a sweat in the tournament with its closest game coming versus Oregon in the Sweet 16. The Cardinals don’t have many weaknesses but they have been soft on the boards, allowing opponents to grab 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this season.

Louisville allowed the Ducks to pull down 11 offensive rebounds and escaped with an eight-point win, it’s only blown cover since Dec. 23. The Cardinals failed to out-rebound their opponents in all but one of their five losses this season, giving up an average of 10.2 offensive boards in those games.
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Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25758 Followers:33
04/02/2013 06:15 PM

NCAA tournament's biggest betting mismatches: Final Four

Finding a chink in the oddsmakers’ armor is tough come tournament time. We peel back Saturday’s Final Four matchups in search of some underlying mismatches that could make or break your college basketball bets.

Michigan Wolverines vs. Syracuse Orange (+2.5, 131)

Wolverines’ four-guard set vs. Orange’s long, athletic zone

Michigan’s high-powered offense is driven by a four-guard set featuring freshman big Mitch McGary as the only starter over 6-foot-6. The Wolverines are able to play at a very quick pace, averaging nearly 75 points on 58 field goal attempts per game. Many of those come from behind the arc and Michigan may have to rely on its 3-point shooting versus Syracuse Saturday.

With the Orange’s 2-3 zone plugging up the paint, the Maize and Blue could be left with little choice but to launch from distance. Michigan is among the best 3-point shooting teams in the country and is shooting 40 percent for the tournament.

Syracuse’s long defenders forced Indiana – another premier perimeter team – to chuck up bricks from outside, limiting the Hoosiers to 3-of-15 shooting from 3-point range. The Orange defense is getting a hand up on outside shooters while slowing games to a standstill - not Michigan’s type of party. Cuse has locked down tournament foes to just 61 total field goals in its four games so far.


Wichita State Shockers vs. Louisville Cardinals (-10.5, 130.5)

Shockers’ second-chance buckets vs. Cardinals’ poor glass cleaning

Wichita State has hustled its way into the Final Four, surprising opponents and the nation with great defense, terrific team play, and relentless work on the glass. The Shockers were 25th in the country in rebounding and are especially dangerous on the offensive boards – 38th in Div. 1.

In the tournament, they’ve been out-rebounded only once (vs. Gonzaga) and more than 32 percent of their total boards are coming off the offensive glass. That’s led to plenty of second-chance looks for WSU.

Louisville has barely broken a sweat in the tournament with its closest game coming versus Oregon in the Sweet 16. The Cardinals don’t have many weaknesses but they have been soft on the boards, allowing opponents to grab 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this season.

Louisville allowed the Ducks to pull down 11 offensive rebounds and escaped with an eight-point win, it’s only blown cover since Dec. 23. The Cardinals failed to out-rebound their opponents in all but one of their five losses this season, giving up an average of 10.2 offensive boards in those games.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25758 Followers:33
04/02/2013 06:18 PM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Iowa vs. Maryland
The Terps look to build on their 6-0 ATS record in their last 6 games against a team with a winning SU record. Maryland is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Hawkeyes favored by only 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+3 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

TUESDAY, APRIL 2

Game 767-768: BYU vs. Baylor (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 66.267; Baylor 70.385
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 4; 148
Vegas Line: Baylor by 3; 152 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-3); Under

Game 769-770: Iowa vs. Maryland (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 69.537; Maryland 67.915
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 1 1/2; 131
Vegas Line: Iowa by 3 1/2; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+3 1/2); Under

Game 771-772: East Carolina at Weber State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 57.314; Weber State 67.675
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 10 1/2; 142
Vegas Line: Weber State by 8; 146 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Weber State (-8); Under




NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, April 2

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BYU (24 - 11) vs. BAYLOR (21 - 14) - 4/2/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 55-89 ATS (-42.9 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
BYU is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a neutral court underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
BYU is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
BYU is 19-39 ATS (-23.9 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.
BYU is 64-101 ATS (-47.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
BAYLOR is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 2-0 against the spread versus BYU over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 2-0 straight up against BYU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IOWA (24 - 12) vs. MARYLAND (25 - 12) - 4/2/2013, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 13-34 ATS (-24.4 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
MARYLAND is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
MARYLAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all tournament games this season.
IOWA is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games this season.
IOWA is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
IOWA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
IOWA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
IOWA is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
IOWA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
IOWA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
MARYLAND is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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E CAROLINA (22 - 12) at WEBER ST (30 - 6) - 4/2/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 51-80 ATS (-37.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
WEBER ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons.
WEBER ST is 84-58 ATS (+20.2 Units) in all home games since 1997.
WEBER ST is 84-58 ATS (+20.2 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
WEBER ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
WEBER ST is 90-61 ATS (+22.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
WEBER ST is 28-9 ATS (+18.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NCAAB
Top 25 Short Sheet

Tuesday, April 2

NIT Tournament, Semifinals

BYU vs. Baylor, 7:00 ET ESPN2
BYU: 2-11 ATS off a road win by 10+ points
Baylor: 9-1 Over off an ATS win

Iowa vs. Maryland, 9:30 ET ESPN2
Iowa: 11-2 ATS off BB SU win
Maryland: 6-15 ATS after allowing 60 points or less


CIT Tournament, Championship Game

East Carolina at Weber State, 8:00 ET CBSS
East Carolina: 7-0 Over away in tournament games
Weber State: 10-1 ATS at home off a combined score of 115 points or less




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, April 2

Baylor (-7) beat BYU 79-64 Feb 21 in Waco, after falling behind 19-8 in first 8:00; Bears made 9-18 from arc- they've lost six of last seven road-neutral contests, with only win in stretch by 3 at West Virginia. BYU is 4-3 in last seven road/neutral games, winning at Southern Miss by 17 to get here. Cougars lost by 21 at Iowa State in its other game vs Big X foe.

Iowa lost by 16 at Va Tech in November, won by 11 at Virginia to get here, their two games vs ACC opponents; Hawkeyes won 10 of last 13 games, splitting last six road/neutral games. Inexperienced Iowa (#294 in experience) subs a lot (#34 in bench minutes). Maryland won five of last six games, losing by 3 to UNC in ACC tourney- they beat N'western by 20 in only game vs ACC foe. Mayrland is #322 in experience but they sub a lot too (#37 in bench minutes).

East Carolina won eight of last ten games but this is first time they'll be on road in this tournament; Pirates are #40 team in experience in nation, are 4-3 in last seven road/neutral games. Weber State should've been in NCAAs- they were best team in Big Sky. Wildcats won 17 of last 18, with only loss by 3 at Montana in Big Sky title game- their close win at Northern Iowa last game is very impressive. Weber has won 14 in a row at home since losing to BYU before Christmas.




NCAAB

Tuesday, April 2

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
BYU vs. BAYLOR
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baylor's last 6 games
Baylor is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
EAST CAROLINA vs. WEBER STATE
The total has gone OVER in 6 of East Carolina's last 7 games on the road
East Carolina is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Weber State's last 12 games at home
Weber State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:30 PM
IOWA vs. MARYLAND
No trends available
Maryland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Maryland's last 6 games


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NCAAB

Tuesday, April 2

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NIT Semifinals: What bettors need to know
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BYU Cougars vs. Baylor Bears (-3, 153)

The first of the two National Invitation Tournament semifinal games at Madison Square Garden figures to be a high-scoring and entertaining one. Baylor comes in averaging 93.3 in its three previous NIT wins while Brigham Young is averaging 86.3 and scored 90 points in victories over Washington and Mercer.

BYU, which won NIT titles in 1951 and 1966, leads the all-time series with Baylor, 5-4. The two teams already met once this season with Baylor claiming a 79-64 win on Dec. 21 in Waco. The Bears also defeated the Cougars a year earlier in Provo, 86-83. This marks just the second time in school history that BYU has played a game in April. The Cougars lost to Colorado, 16-10, on April 2, 1903 in Provo. "I encouraged the guys today to score a couple more points than maybe that team did," Cougar coach Dave Rose joked to the Salt Lake Tribune.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN2

ABOUT BRIGHAM YOUNG (24-11, 16-17-1 ATS): The Cougars looked at the NIT as a chance for redemption and have made the most of it following a 72-69 loss to San Diego in the quarterfinals of the West Coast Conference tournament which snuffed out any chance for an NCAA at-large berth. BYU, which struggled with its 3-point shooting much of the season, connected for a season-best 11 treys in its 79-62 quarterfinal win at Southern Miss on Wednesday and has been hitting on all cylinders offensively in the NIT. BYU finished with 24 assists on its 26 field goals against the Golden Eagles. "We went to six straight NCAA Tournaments before this year, and I don't remember being any more excited than we are right now," Rose told the Salt Lake Tribune. "I mean, this is really good for our team. It is really good for our program." Sophomore guard Tyler Haws leads the Cougars in scoring (21.6) and is shooting 38.4 percent from 3-point range while lanky 6-9 senior forward Brandon Davies (17.8) is an NBA prospect who has 24 career double-doubles.

ABOUT BAYLOR (21-14, 15-15-0 ATS): Like BYU, the Bears come in on a roll offensively. Baylor shot a school-record 69.6 percent (16-of-23) from 3-point range in its 112-66 win over Long Beach State in its NIT opener and finished with 31 assists. The Bears had five turnovers in their 79-68 quarterfinal win over Providence, tying for the fewest in the 10-year Scott Drew coaching era. Senior point guard Pierre Jackson, who leads the Big 12 in scoring (19.7) and assists (6.9), set an NIT record with 16 assists in the Bears' 89-86 second round victory over Arizona State and has scored in double figures in 41 of his last 42 games. Junior forward Cory Jefferson (12.8) leads the Big 12 in field goal percentage (60.3) while 7-1 freshman center Isaiah Austin has 10 double-doubles and ranks third in the Big 12 in rebounding (8.3).

TRENDS:

* Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Big 12.
* Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
* Over is 6-2 in Cougars' last eight vs. Big 12.
* Over is 9-4 in Bears' last 13 non-conference games.

TIP-INS:

1. Haws, the WCC scoring leader (21.6), has scored 20 or more points in 24 games this season.

2. Baylor G Brady Heslip is shooting 58 percent (30-of-52) from 3-point range in seven career postseason games for Baylor.

3. PG Matt Carlino is averaging 17.7 points, nine assists and 6.3 rebounds in three NIT games for BYU while also connecting on 13-of-29 3-pointers (44.8 percent).


Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins (+2.5, 136)

Maryland, which upset No. 1 seed Alabama, 58-57, in the quarterfinals, makes its third appearance in the National Invitation Tournament semifinals. The Terrapins, who captured the 1972 title with wins over Jacksonville and Niagara, fell in the 2005 semis to South Carolina. Maryland has won five of its last six games with the lone loss to North Carolina, 79-76, in the semifinals of the ACC tournament.

Iowa advanced to the NIT semifinals for the first time in school history with a 75-64 victory at Virginia on Wednesday, snapping the Cavaliers' 19-game home win streak. The Hawkeyes have won 10 of their last 13 games and have done so by an average of 13.2 points per game. It's the third meeting between the two schools. Maryland has won both including a 83-65 victory in 1999 in the last meeting.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN2

ABOUT IOWA (24-12, 23-9-0 ATS): The Hawkeyes, who start just one senior in guard Eric May, are a team to keep an eye on in 2013-14. Since Feb. 6, only Ohio State (11) has more victories than Iowa (10) in the Big Ten. Six of the Hawkeyes' nine losses in Big Ten play were by margins of four points or less including two in overtime and one in double overtime. Junior guard Roy Devyn Marble leads the team in scoring (15.1) and is averaging 25.3 points, 5.3 assists and three steals in three NIT games. Alex Woodbury, a 7-1 freshman center, had 10 points and eight rebounds in the quarterfinal upset of Virginia and figures to play a key role defensively against Maryland 7-1 sophomore center Alex Len, a probable high NBA lottery pick in June. "It's a great challenge for him," Iowa coach Fran McCaffery told Hawkcentral.com. "He's gone against other lottery picks this year. We'll see how it goes. He'll be ready for the challenge."

ABOUT MARYLAND (25-12, 17-12-1 ATS): Maryland hit the 25-win mark for the ninth time in school history and did it with a 10-man rotation that features seven underclassmen. All eyes will be on Len who is coming in off a Alabama game in which he finished with 15 points, 13 rebounds and five blocks. Another sophomore, swingman Dez Wells, leads the team in scoring (13.2) and is averaging 18.3 points in the postseason. Maryland leads the ACC and ranks 10th nationally in field goal percentage defense (38.4) and has held 21 of its 37 opponents to under 40 percent shooting.

TRENDS:

* Hawkeyes are 22-6 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
* Terrapins are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 vs. Big Ten.
* Over is 4-1 in Hawkeyes' last five vs. Atlantic Coast.
* Over is 7-1 in Terrapins' last eight vs. Big Ten.

TIP-INS:

1. Maryland tops the ACC and ranks fourth nationally in rebounding margin at plus-8.7 per game.

2. Iowa has blocked a school-record 178 shots this season.

3. Freshman G Seth Allen, who averaged 7.8 points and 2.3 assists for the Terps, is out for the season after fracturing his hand in practice on March 24.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25758 Followers:33
04/02/2013 06:22 PM

Tuesday, April 2

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Brigham Young - 7:00 PM ET Brigham Young +2.5 500 POD # 4
Baylor - Over 151.5 500

East Carolina - 8:00 PM ET East Carolina +9 500 POD # 3
Weber St. - Over 145 500 POD # 2

Iowa - 9:00 PM ET Maryland +3 500 POD # 1
Maryland - Over 135.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25758 Followers:33
04/03/2013 06:15 PM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Santa Clara at George Mason
The Broncos look to take advantage of a George Mason team that is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 home games. Santa Clara is the pick (+1) according to Dunkel, which has the Broncos favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (+1). Here are all of today's games.

WEDNESDAY, APRIL 3

Game 525-526: Santa Clara at George Mason (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Santa Clara 62.403; George Mason 59.913
Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 2 1/2; 155
Vegas Line: George Mason by 1; 148
Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (+1); Over




NCAAB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, April 3

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SANTA CLARA (25 - 11) at GEORGE MASON (21 - 15) - 4/3/2013, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SANTA CLARA is 1-0 against the spread versus GEORGE MASON over the last 3 seasons
SANTA CLARA is 1-0 straight up against GEORGE MASON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, April 3

Santa Clara (-7.5) beat George Mason 81-73 at home Monday, in first of best-of-3 series; Broncos forced 19 turnovers (+2), were 10-24 from arc, 25-30 on foul line- they're 22-4 this season vs teams ranked outside top 100 (George Mason is #134), and won three of last four true road tilts. Patriots are 2-5 this season vs teams in top 100; Santa Clara is first top 100 team they've played since beating Richmond 67-64 Dec 22 (Santa Clara is #79). George Mason won three of last four home games, after it lost three in row before that. Over is 12-3 in last 15 Mason games, 5-1 last six Bronco games. Patriots need to get Wright (0-6 from floor) some better looks at basket than he got in Game 1.




NCAAB

Wednesday, April 3

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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
SANTA CLARA vs. GEORGE MASON
Santa Clara is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Santa Clara's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of George Mason's last 5 games
George Mason is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25758 Followers:33
04/03/2013 06:18 PM

Wednesday, April 3

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Santa Clara - 7:00 PM ET Santa Clara +1 500 POD # 1
George Mason - Under 148.5 500 POD # 2

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25758 Followers:33
04/03/2013 06:20 PM

NCAAB

Short Sheet

Wednesday, April 3

CBI Tournament, Championship Series

Santa Clara at George Mason, 7:00 ET

Santa Clara: 9-0 ATS in postseason tournament games

George Mason: 2-9 ATS after winning 3 of their last 4 games

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25758 Followers:33
04/04/2013 05:54 PM

Baylor vs. Iowa

April 3, 2013

Baylor and Iowa prevailed in the NIT semifinals Tuesday night to advance to Thursday’s finals at Madison Square Garden in New York City.

As of early Wednesday night, most betting shops had Iowa (25-12 straight up, 24-9 against the spread) installed as a one-point favorite after the game opened as a pick ‘em. The total was at 141 or 141 ½.

Baylor (22-14 SU, 16-15 ATS) captured a 76-70 win over BYU in the semifinals as a three-point favorite. The 146 combined points dipped ‘under’ the 155-point total.

Senior point guard Pierre Jackson was the catalyst for the Bears, torching the Cougars for 24 points, 10 assists and five rebounds. Cory Jefferson added 21 points, while Isaiah Austin produced a double-double with 14 points and 10 boards.

A tight game that had nine ties and six lead changes in the first half shifted Baylor’s way when Jackson scored seven straight points to ignite a 12-2 run. The scoring spree led the Bears to a 64-54 advantage with 3:24 remaining.

Gamblers backing Baylor started to feel comfortable, but that relaxation quickly turned to angst when BYU’s Matt Carlino drained three 3-pointers in a 49-second span to pull his team to within four with 19 ticks remaining. However, Jackson sealed the victory with a pair of free throws.

Iowa took the cash for the 10th straight time and advanced to the finals by beating Maryland 71-60 as a 3.5-point ‘chalk.’ Roy-Devyn Marble was the catalyst with 21 points and nine rebounds. Eric May finished with 12 points, five assists, four rebounds and three steals without committing a turnover, while Aaron White added 10 points, eight boards and a pair of blocked shots.

Fran McCaffery’s team has been dynamite as a single-digit favorite this season, compiling a 9-2 spread record. Meanwhile, Baylor has a 5-4 ATS mark in nine games as an underdog.

Iowa has won 11 of its last 14 games with two of those losses coming at Indiana and vs. Michigan St. in the Big Ten Tournament. The Hawkeyes probably would’ve been invite to the NCAA Tournament if they could’ve pulled out victories in overtime losses on the road at Wisconsin and at Purdue.

Iowa also had narrow defeats at home vs. Indiana and Michigan St., in addition to a 62-59 loss at Minnesota.

Scott Drew’s squad certainly has the talent of an NCAA Tournament team but this team pulled too many no-shows. For instance, the Bears lost at home to Charleston and Northwestern and got spanked at Texas on March 4.

The ‘under’ is 19-13-1 overall for Iowa.

The ‘over’ is 16-14 overall for Baylor despite seeing back-to-back ‘unders.’

Tip-off is slated for 9:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--Iowa is in the NIT finals for the first time in school history. Baylor was in the 2009 finals but lost a 69-63 decision to Penn St.

--East Carolina won the College Insider Tournament by winning 77-74 at Weber St. in Tuesday’s finals. The Pirates won in Ogden as 9.5-point underdogs, hooking up money-line backers with a +400 payout. Miguel Paul scored a game-high 23 points for ECU.

--Rutgers pulled the plug on Mike Rice’s tenure early Wednesday morning. Look for Danny Hurley, a Seton Hall alum who played for his father at St. Anthony’s High School, to emerge as a top candidate.

--Minnesota has hired Richard Pitino to replace Tubby Smith as its next head coach. Pitino led Florida International to 18 wins this year in his first season as a head coach.

--The old Big East will now be called the American Athletic Conference.

--Florida signee Chris Walker won the McDonald’s All-American dunk contest on Tuesday in Chicago. Walker and Kasey Hill, both of whom are five-star recruits, will join the Gators next season.

--UF junior power forward Patric Young indicated that he’s undecided about returning to school or turning pro following his team’s loss to Michigan this past Sunday at Cowboys Stadium. Young is projected as a mid-to-late second-round pick in most mock drafts.

--Next time you’re in Dallas and in the mood for barbeque, I recommend Sammy’s. I had pulled pork, potato casserole, cole slaw and sweet tea. It was outstanding!

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25758 Followers:33
04/04/2013 05:56 PM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Iowa vs. Baylor
The Hawkeyes look to build on their 9-0 ATS record in their last 9 non-conference games. Iowa is the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Hawkeyes favored by 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-1 1/2). Here are all of today's games and Saturday's Final Four picks.

THURSDAY, APRIL 4

Game 707-708: Iowa vs. Baylor (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 73.663; Baylor 70.049
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 3 1/2; 136
Vegas Line: Iowa by 1 1/2; 142
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-1 1/2); Under


SATURDAY, APRIL 6

Game 815-816: Michigan vs. Syracuse (8:49 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 76.680; Syracuse 71.864
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 5; 127
Vegas Line: Michigan by 2; 131 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-2); Under

Game 817-818: Wichita State vs. Louisville (6:09 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wichita State 69.176; Louisville 81.395
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 12; 129
Vegas Line: Louisville by 10 1/2; 132
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-10 1/2); Under




NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, April 4

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IOWA (25 - 12) vs. BAYLOR (22 - 14) - 4/4/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all games this season.
IOWA is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
IOWA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
IOWA is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
IOWA is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
IOWA is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
IOWA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all tournament games this season.
IOWA is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
IOWA is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
BAYLOR is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, April 6

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MICHIGAN (30 - 7) vs. SYRACUSE (30 - 9) - 4/6/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
MICHIGAN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
MICHIGAN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.
MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all tournament games this season.
MICHIGAN is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 1-0 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WICHITA ST (30 - 8) vs. LOUISVILLE (33 - 5) - 4/6/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 23-15 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
LOUISVILLE is 23-15 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
LOUISVILLE is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LOUISVILLE is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
WICHITA ST is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
WICHITA ST is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
WICHITA ST is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WICHITA ST is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, April 4

Iowa won seven of its last eight games; they're 10-0 vs spread since loss at Nebraska Feb. 23. Hawkeyes (-3) beat Iowa State 80-71 Dec 7, their only game vs Big X opponent this season. Baylor won its last four tilts, scoring 89 ppg; Bears lost to Northwestern by 4 at home Dec 4 in only game vs Big Dozen foe. Baylor played only two starters more than 31 minutes Tuesday, turned ball over only seven times (+4). Iowa played three subs 11+ minutes Tuesday; they were +9 in turnovers (17-8); they are #294 in experience, #35 in bench minutes. Under is 8-4 in last dozen Iowa games. Baylor is #182 in experience, #229 in bench minutes but has best player on court in senior guard Jackson.




NCAAB

Thursday, April 4

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Trend Report
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9:00 PM
IOWA vs. BAYLOR
No trends available
Baylor is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games


Saturday, April 6

6:05 PM
WICHITA STATE vs. LOUISVILLE
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisville's last 5 games
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

8:49 PM
MICHIGAN vs. SYRACUSE
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Syracuse's last 6 games
Syracuse is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25758 Followers:33
04/04/2013 05:58 PM

NCAAB
Short Sheet

Thursday, April 4

NIT Tournament, Championship Game

Iowa vs. Baylor, 9:00 ET ESPN
Iowa: 12-2 ATS off BB SU wins
Baylor: 1-8 ATS off BB Unders

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: