cnotes Posts:24970 Followers:33
03/19/2013 04:28 PM

Tuesday, March 19

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Liberty - 6:40 PM ET Liberty +3 500
No.Carolina A&T -

St. John's - 7:00 PM ET [undefined=undefined]St. Joseph's -7 500 POD # 3[/undefined]
St. Joseph's -

Niagara - 7:00 PM ET Maryland -10.5 500
Maryland -

George Mason - 7:00 PM ET George Mason +4 500
Charleston -

Eastern Kentucky - 7:00 PM ET Eastern Kentucky -2 500
Gardner-Webb -

Savannah State - 7:00 PM ET East Carolina -6.5 500 POD # 5
East Carolina -

Rider - 7:00 PM ET Rider -1 500
Hartford -

Oakland - 7:05 PM ET Oakland +4.5 500 POD # 6
Youngstown St. -

Louisiana Tech - 7:15 PM ET Louisiana Tech +3 500
Florida St. -

Kentucky - 7:30 PM ET Robert Morris +3.5 500
Robert Morris -

Boston U - 7:30 PM ET Loyola-Maryland -7.5 500
Loyola-Maryland -

Tennessee St. - 8:00 PM ET Evansville -8.5 500
Evansville -

Northeastern - 9:00 PM ET Alabama -11 500 POD # 4
Alabama -

Norfolk State - 9:00 PM ET Norfolk State +15.5 500
Virginia -

Lehigh - 9:00 PM ET Lehigh +5.5 500
Wyoming -

St. Mary's - 9:10 PM ET St. Mary's -3 500
Middle Tennessee St. -

Ohio - 9:15 PM ET [undefined=undefined]Denver -7 500 POD # 2[/undefined]
Denver -

Washington - 9:30 PM ET Brigham Young -6 500
Brigham Young -

Vermont - 10:00 PM ET Vermont +8.5 500
Santa Clara -

Stephen F. Austin - 11:00 PM ET Stephen F. Austin +7 500 POD # 1
Stanford -

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24970 Followers:33
03/20/2013 04:53 PM

Cinderella Schools

March 20, 2013


It's almost cliché, digging through your couch cushions for enough to make it worthwhile to wire your cousin in Las Vegas that longshot-backer. Shame, shame.

Since you're going to do it anyway, may as well do it right. This is a season where parity has reigned and where someone can indeed defy huge odds by winning their last six games. Here are the teams most likely to yield a nice vacation, limited only to those paying off better than 50/1 (Bet $100 to win $5,000).

The Midwest Region is among the toughest I've ever seen, compounded by seeding mistakes that punished Missouri (75/1) and Oregon (100/1) for key injuries they've now overcome. As a result, you've got two teams capable of making a run that would square off in the Sweet 16 if they survive the opening weekend.

Ninth-seeded Missouri plays a unique pressing style that is going to pose problems for Louisville on short rest. A win over the tournament favorite (9/2) would be a tremendous confidence boost for a team that really didn't take off the way many hoped given all the talent on board. Talented guard Jabari Brown has been inconsistent for the past two months, but he's capable of being a huge X-factor. Due to all the transfers on board, Mizzou is an older team, even able to rely on 22-year-old Alex Oriakhi's championship experience with UConn from 2011.

Oregon, which knows Brown well since he was their top recruit last season, overcame his departure through an infusion of talent in Rice transfer Arsalan Kazemi and freshmen Dominic Artis and Damyean Dotson. When those guys are all in the mix, the Ducks are 21-4 and they’re fresh off a Pac-12 championship.

On the opposite side of the Midwest bracket, Creighton (100/1) looks most appealing. Although they would potentially have to get through physical Duke and Michigan State, the Blue Jays have Greg McDermott to lean on. No one has had an answer for the All-American, who gets plenty of help from burly center Gregory Echenique and a batch of solid guards.

The other three divisions aren't as loaded, so while the teams aren't necessarily as formidable, the draw will be considerably lighter.

In the South, VCU (50/1) is loaded with veteran talent and a pressing style accurately termed "Havoc" that will test everyone in its path. The Rams have already walked this road before. Head coach Shaka Smart has long surpassed novelty status and is in position to make his seemingly far-fetched belief that Richmond's Virginia Commonwealth University can become a national program come to fruition. Another long run looks likely, since there isn't anyone in the region they can't defeat.

The same can be said about San Diego State (300/1) if they find a way to get consistent offense. Head coach Steve Fisher is a tournament winner who has a driving force in slashing guard Jamaal Franklin and a few shooters capable of sniping a number of upsets. Scoring has been an issue throughout the past few months, so there's a reason they're such a longshot, but they've got a puncher's chance.

In the East, the top candidates capable of shocking the world also consist of a newly minted Atlantic 10 school and a Mountain West power that has had bouts of inconsistency. Butler (100/1) and UNLV (100/1) are at opposite ends and may loom as the biggest threats to top teams Indiana and Miami, Fl.

Brad Stevens and his Bulldogs have already graduated from being talked about as a candidate for a sleeper to being legitimately considered a threat to break through in a third championship game in four seasons. Although Butler has lost a few key cogs, it has game-changing 3-point shooters as part of its equation in Arkansas transfer Rotnei Clarke and freshman Kellen Dunham, who have combined for 164 makes.

UNLV is led by a future lottery pick in freshman Anthony Bennett and has momentum after winning its league tournament and watching senior Mike Moser look closer to his former self. The Rebels have as much quality size as anyone in the region and has shooters Bryce Dejean-Jones and Katlin Reinhardt to bust zones, necessary given Syracuse's presence. If point guard Anthony Marshall is a factor at both ends, the Rebels have all the pieces to contend with the heavily favored Orange and Indiana.

Lastly, the West often winds up being the wildest, so if you're not sold on Gonzaga or Ohio State, know there are some wild options that would allow you to impress your friends while cashing in.

Seventh-seeded Notre Dame (100/1) is a pretty solid play given its veteran guard play, skilled shooters like Pat Connaughton who come in hot and a traditional center in Jack Cooley to space the floor. Still, there are zanier options that could very well become the talk of the country.

Wichita State's Shockers (300/1) advertise their potential on nickname alone. Forwards Carl Hall and Cleanthony Early are athletes needed to hang with the physical teams in their portion of the bracket. Guard Malcolm Armstead makes it a chore to run offense. Although Pittsburgh and Gonzaga will both be rightfully favored during this opening week, Wichita won't be overmatched.

One final shot in the dark would be to ride 11th-seeded Belmont's pace, efficient offense and ability to bury teams behind a flurry of 3-pointers. At 1,000/1, the capable Bruins are worth a buck or to for a shot at the greatest Cinderella story ever told. Unlikely, sure, but they are in the most offensively challenged region of the four. Dare to dream if they get by Arizona.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24970 Followers:33
03/20/2013 04:56 PM

South Region Outlook

March 20, 2013

With the brackets set, here is a quick look at the South region and some of the games and teams to pay attention to. Kansas, Georgetown, Florida, and Michigan lead a bracket filled with powerhouse programs with a lot of great tradition. Take a look at the South region in this snapshot.

Favorite: Florida – While Kansas and Georgetown were seeded higher in this region, Florida is the odds-on favorite in this region at 7/5 to advance to the Final Four. Only Louisville and Indiana are liked better by the oddsmakers to win the national championship despite the Gators being a #3 seed. Florida opened the season looking like the best team in the nation opening up 7-0 with blowout wins over Wisconsin, Middle Tennessee State, Marquette, and Florida State but things have not gone as well lately. The Gators did also lead Georgetown in the aircraft carrier game to open the season before it was cancelled for an interesting side story should those teams meet in this bracket. Florida has certainly shown some vulnerability in recent weeks, losing four of the past nine games including two losses to teams that did not make the NCAA Tournament field. Another concern is the inability to win close games for the Gators despite a well-balanced veteran team. Most Florida wins came by huge margins with 10 points being the smallest margin of victory all season. Six of the seven Florida losses came by six points or less and in the NCAA Tournament there will likely be some close games where the Gators will need to make plays down the stretch to get or hold a lead. Florida has dominant statistics and has the best efficiency ratings in the nation due to the many lopsided wins, but this is a team that will need to prove itself in crunch time now that the games really matter.

Final Four Sleeper: VCU – Virginia Commonwealth made an amazing Final Four run two years ago and this is a team that has the potential to make a run again. While this team is not as talented as the squad from two years ago, the aggressive turnover-forcing defensive philosophy can cause a lot of problems in a tournament setting. The bracket also lines up favorably as the Rams draw an Akron team that will be playing without its starting point guard in the first round and then will face a Michigan squad that is young and really struggles defensively at times. VCU is more efficient on offense than you might expect, but that is an impact of the easy baskets in transition and off turnovers as this is a pretty average shooting team and a marginal rebounding squad. The Rams will play close with anyone, as just about every loss came in a very close game including narrow misses against Wichita State, Duke, and Missouri early in the year. VCU went 0-2 against St. Louis this season in a very strong Atlantic 10 conference, but there are wins over five different NCAA Tournament teams on the resume. The NCAA Tournament track record is pretty impressive the last two years as last year this team followed up the Final Four run with a strong showing last year, beating Wichita State and then losing by just two against Indiana. VCU beat Kansas two years ago to get to the Final Four and they may get that chance again in the Sweet 16 of the South region.

Sweet 16 Sleeper: Oklahoma – Many can see VCU, San Diego State, or even Minnesota making a run in this region, but an Oklahoma squad that had a very respectable season is getting little attention. While the Mountain West rated as one of the best conferences in the nation this year, the track record of that league in the NCAA Tournament is incredibly poor and San Diego State may be the weakest of the five entrants. The Aztecs went 4-5 in the final nine games of the season yet still managed a #7 seed, but the price includes traveling to the east coast with as long of travel as any team in the tournament for the opening game. San Diego State went 5-8 against teams that made the NCAA Tournament and this team is getting too much respect for a dominant 55-34 win over New Mexico back in January that came in a very difficult spot for the Lobos. That leaves this team vulnerable to an Oklahoma a team with wins over Oklahoma State, Kansas, and Iowa State in Big XII play. Losing the last game of the regular season and the first conference tournament game should leave the Sooners motivated and with two overtime losses and four other losses by three or fewer points on the year, it very easily could have been an even stronger year for Oklahoma. Facing Georgetown in the Round of 32 will be a big challenge if Oklahoma gets by San Diego State, but Georgetown is one of those teams that can go into great slumps offensively and keep in mind the Hoyas have not won a second game in the NCAA Tournament since the Final Four run in 2007.

Best Opening Game: North Carolina vs. Villanova – UCLA and Minnesota could also be a highly competitive game, but this should be the most entertaining. North Carolina has been forced to play small down the stretch, but it has been a formula that has worked as the Tar Heels played excellent late season ball and gave Miami a great run in an offensive showdown in the ACC Championship game. North Carolina won 11 of the last 15 games of the season and all four losses came against teams that are #2 seeds in the NCAA Tournament, so this is a team with some great momentum and talent that is finally starting to reach its potential. Villanova will clash in style with the Tar Heels as this Wildcats team has had success in slower half-court games. While the Wildcats are not the most consistent offensive team in the bracket, they are one of the most efficient defensive teams in this region and this team picked up several big wins down the stretch to play into the field after a rough start to the season. Villanova played one of the nation’s toughest schedules and has wins over Louisville, Syracuse, Marquette, and Georgetown this season and this could be a great match-up between traditional powers. The winner will certainly be a tough draw for top seeded Kansas in a four-team pod that features a lot of history.

Trendy Upset that won’t be: South Dakota State over Michigan – Michigan is young and the Wolverines have struggled down the stretch with a 6-6 record in the final 12 games of the season after being the #1 team in the nation at one point. South Dakota State is an offensive juggernaut that scores nearly 74 points per game and has one of the top shooting percentages in the field. Michigan is one of the worst defensive teams in the Big Ten, but South Dakota State is perhaps the worst defensive team in the entire 68-team bracket. The Jackrabbits won the Summit League title, but the conference fared very poorly in the Bracket Buster and this team only has two wins over teams that made the NCAA Tournament. One of the wins was a true gem, winning at New Mexico with a very cold shooting performance for the Lobos in a game that meant far more to the underdog. Michigan won’t be caught off guard by this match-up and star guard Nate Wolters will be forced into difficult shots throughout this game. Against Minnesota earlier this season, South Dakota State lost by 22, so matching up with a superior Big Ten team could be problematic. This has the feel of a match-up where the underdog might have a hot start and make some waves early, but eventually the stronger team will prevail and stopping Michigan’s offense that ranks second in the nation in efficiency will be a big problem for the Jackrabbits.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24970 Followers:33
03/20/2013 04:58 PM

East Region Outlook

March 20, 2013

With the brackets set, here is a quick look at the East region and some of the games and teams to pay attention to. Indiana leads this bracket and is one of the favorites to win the whole tournament, but there are other contenders lurking and several popular first round upset calls waiting in this region. Take a look at the East region in this snapshot.

Favorite: Indiana - The Hoosiers are the favorites to win the East region and only sit behind Louisville as the favorite to win the national championship. Indiana only lost six games all season, but three of those losses have come in the last six games. This team has the experience and talent to go all the way, but there have been signs of trouble down the stretch. Tom Crean has also had some notable blunders that could cost his team at some point. The bracket sets up relatively well for Indiana, although the second round game with either N.C. State or Temple will be a challenge. Miami and Marquette appear to be among the less feared #2 and #3 seeds in the tournament, but two teams that beat Indiana, Butler and Illinois, are also in this region. Indiana will play the first two games in Dayton, a still favorable venue for the Hoosiers despite falling off the #1 overall seeding that many expected the Hoosiers to claim. Being in Washington D.C. for the Sweet 16 and the Elite 8 won't provide a great advantage to any of the teams in this region. This is certainly Indiana's bracket to lose and it this might be one of the weaker regions in the tournament.

Final Four Sleeper: Marquette - While the Golden Eagles are a #3 seed, the co-champions in the Big East are not getting great respect and are even a popular go-against team in Round 1. Should Marquette get by Davidson, they could get a revenge opportunity against Butler after losing on a last-second shot earlier this season against the Bulldogs. Marquette has had several big name players in recent years that have moved on to the NBA, but this might be the most complete team in the Buzz Williams era, though perhaps lacking a star. Marquette only had one bad loss this season, as every other team to beat the Golden Eagles is in the tournament field and the two-point loss to UW-Green Bay came in a tough situation with travel through a heavy snowstorm. Florida and Louisville are the only teams that soundly beat Marquette this season and most losses were in tight games and Marquette proved itself with 14 wins through a very tough Big East schedule. Miami could potentially be a very tough Sweet 16 opponent for the Golden Eagles, but the Hurricanes are unproven on this stage and it may simply have been a down year for the ACC as many metrics suggest.

Sweet 16 Sleeper: California - The Golden Bears played a tough non-conference schedule and had a bit of a disappointing start to the season, but this team rallied to win seven of the last eight games of the conference season. Cal picked up wins over the other four NCAA Tournament teams in the Pac-12 in that stretch and this team should be hungry after losing in upset fashion in the Pac-12 tournament. Cal lost in the First Four last season, so this team should be focused for a better showing this year and they draw a rematch of a one-point loss at home against UNLV earlier this season. That was certainly a much bigger game on the UNLV schedule as Cal has just come off a trip to Madison and an ugly loss to Wisconsin and then had a more prominent game with Creighton up next. That was the first big test of the season for UNLV and the Rebels barely won despite strong shooting and a big rebounding edge. This game will be in San Jose which is a big location advantage for the Bears and could be a big help in a potential Round of 32 matchup with Syracuse. Cal has the talent to make a run led by NBA prospect Allen Crabbe, who has been dominant at times this season and could carry the team.

Best Opening Game: Butler vs. Bucknell - Butler has earned respect in the NCAA Tournament after two recent Final Four runs, but this year's team stumbled down the stretch and could not compete with St. Louis, the top team in the Atlantic 10 that beat Butler three times. Several wins over marginal teams came down to the wire for the Bulldogs and while this team has a history of big wins in the NCAA Tournament, many of those games also came by slim margins. Bucknell is not a deep team, but the Bison have the ability to deliver a minor upset in this matchup. Bucknell has notable wins over Purdue, George Mason, Niagara, New Mexico State, Kent State, and LaSalle this season as they played a tough non-conference schedule. Bucknell also nearly beat Missouri with a two-point road loss in January. Last year's Patriot League champion Lehigh beat Duke in the first round, so this conference deserves respect. In the NIT last season, Bucknell beat Arizona in Tucson and while this will be a favorable venue for Butler, this could be a great first round match-up that could go either way.

Trendy Upset that won't be: Davidson over Marquette - Davidson was a great story a few years ago with an Elite 8 run, but that team had now NBA star Steph Curry leading the way. The Wildcats don't have a player of that caliber this year and the 17-1 record in the Southern Conference can not be viewed as being overly meaningful as it was not a strong year for the conference, featuring only three of twelve teams closing with a winning record. Davidson has won 17 straight games, but only an overtime home win over Montana brings any semblance of credibility. Early season wins over Vanderbilt and West Virginia looked impressive at the time, but neither of those teams had a strong season. Credit Davidson for playing a strong non-conference schedule, but they lost soundly in games with Gonzaga and Duke and also lost to UW-Milwaukee and Drexel. Davidson's best two players mainly score inside the post and the opportunities will not be the same going against Marquette compared with many of the Southern Conference opponents. Marquette is not a flashy team, but this has been a disciplined group that plays team basketball in a bit of a departure from past Golden Eagles squads. Marquette battled through an extremely tough schedule and won a share of the Big East title along with Louisville and Georgetown in a conference that put eight teams into the NCAA Tournament. Both of these teams have strong offensive numbers, but Marquette has been the superior team through a far more rigorous schedule. Marquette has been in the Sweet 16 the last two years and this is a team that has the ability to make another solid postseason run.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24970 Followers:33
03/20/2013 05:03 PM

Big Dance Breakdown

March 20, 2013

By Selection Sunday standards, this season's rendition was a bit tame. No real surprises in the mix; few complaints from the masses. For the most part (with a possible exception or two that we'll note in a moment), the Committee seems to have gotten the 68-team field right for once.

Still, the perception that the process is anything other than a subjective act continues to be forwarded by the Selection Committee, when nothing could be further from the truth. Among the TV talking heads on Sunday, only ESPN's Jay Bilas was inclined to question the Committee's process because of what appeared to be some inconsistencies both in seeding and in eventual criteria for separating teams at the cut line.

For us, we conceded long ago that the Big Ten was going to be given a wide berth by the Committee, though upon closer inspection we wonder why. Moreover, it was as if the Committee simply borrowed the talking points from sorts such as Andy Katz and Joe Lunardi about the SEC being in such a down cycle this season. Regarding the latter, however, we detected some inconsistencies with the Committee and, for that matter, the majority of media talking heads who have similarly downgraded the SEC this season.

We have long believed that the selection process, while tedious, is also mostly overblown by the media and the Committee itself, which guards the secrets of its 10-man enclave in Indianapolis as if it is dealing with national security. There are a handful of former national defense secretaries like Bob Gates and Leon Panetta who are looking for things to do these days; perhaps they should be included into next year's Big Dance Selection Committee mix to maintain that cloud of secrecy.

For us, we have to wonder about the sharpness of the Committee when it violated one of its supposed tenets and slotted regular-season rematches (supposedly a no-no) at the top of a sub-regional round. The reaction of the CBS crew (Doug Gottlieb in particular) confirmed that oversight when UNLV and Cal were unveiled as a Thursday matchup in San Jose. The Runnin' Rebels and Golden Bears played a regular-season game back on December 9 at Berkeley, and their rematch was one of the questions addressed to Committee Chairman Mike Bobinski, who fumbled around for a proper answer.

Apparently, according to Bobinski, the Committee had boxed itself in and had no alternative but to put UNLV and Cal against one another. Which we find curious, as with a simple paper, pencil, and notes, we have been able to seed a projected NCAA field for the last two months while avoiding rematches at the top of sub-regional action. All it takes is a pencil with an eraser to move some of the teams around to prevent what is supposedly a Big Dance no-no.

The wide space granted to the Big Ten might also be a bit misplaced. Especially when referring to Minnesota, whose 5-11 record over its last 16 games was never mentioned once by one of the talking heads that instead seemed to be comparing the Gophers to Bill Russell's old USF title teams when discussing what a fundamental mismatch it would be for UCLA when facing the "mighty" Golden Gophers in the first round.

Upon further inspection of information from the first half of the season, we acknowledge some of the Big Ten's impressive performances, but it's not an airtight case for Big Ten superiority. Wisconsin, after all, lost almost every challenging non-league game (vs. Florida, Creighton, Virginia, and Marquette...three of those losses by double-digit margins) it played. Ohio State's non-conference victims list is dotted with Rhode Island, Savannah State, Northern Kentucky, and Winthrop; the Buckeyes lost when stepping up to face Duke and Kansas. No shame there, but similar criteria when used to evaluate teams from other leagues was apparently overlooked.

Indiana had two significant non-conference games; it beat Georgeotwn in OT in Brooklyn before the Hoyas hit stride, and lost vs. Butler. The win over North Carolina came long before the Tar Heels hit stride later in the season. Michigan State beat Kansas and several lesser entities but lost vs. UConn and Miami-Florida. While Gonzaga was disparaged by several talking heads for its loss to Illinois and a so-so non-league slate (which was not true, as the Zags went 5-0 vs. the Big 12), Michigan got lots of credit for its win over Kansas State and a pair of other successes vs. Pitt and N.C. State teams that were no better than the eighth-line teams in Dance seeding. Iowa beat Iowa State, but was whipped by Wichita State and Virginia Tech. Illinois won at Maui and dealt Gonzaga one of its two regular-season defeats, but was also routed in St. Louis by SEC rep Missouri.

Speaking of the SEC, we have to wonder why the Committee and the talking heads seemed to absolve Florida of its association with the league and rewarded the Gators a three-seed in the Dance while downgrading the rest of the loop. Florida lost every game it played that was decided by single digits and dropped five SEC games played away from Gainesville, including the conference tourney finale in Nashville vs. Ole Miss. If the SEC was so terrible, why did the Gators keep losing league games, as did supposedly highly-regarded Missouri, which lost seven of nine road games in the league as well as a pre-conference date at UCLA? But, for some reason, the Committee made exceptions for Florida and, to a lesser extent Missouri, as did the talking heads by refusing to clump those two with the rest of the loop.

There were also inconsistencies (as ESPN's Bilas noted) about the inclusion of Middle Tennessee as one of the last at-large teams (or, apparently, the last at-large, as Committee Chair Bobinski seemed to indicate) at the expense of a Tennessee, which was hot down the stretch. Bobinski again stumbled for answers other than noting that MTSU had beaten the same Ole Miss team that had toppled the Vols twice. The Blue Raiders, however, lost other challenging non-league assignments vs. Florida, Akron, and Belmont.

We're on record as having no problem with mid-majors like the Sun Belt catching an occasional break from the Selection Committee. And Tennessee could have probably moved to the safe side of the cut line had it beaten Alabama in the quarters of the SEC tourney last week in Nashville. Still, we might have picked the Vols over MTSU.

Elsewhere, there were questions related to seeding, especially the apparent downgrading of the Pac-12, where Oregon and Cal both received lower-than-expected 12 seeds (although Bobinski noted that each was originally an 11 seed, and was moved down a line in the procedural "bump" the Committee reserves in order to balance the field). Still, we believe this is really much ado about nothing, as 12 seeds usually have a better deal than eight or nine-seeds that are almost assuredly going to have to face regional number one seeds in the round of 32, as opposed to a more-beatable 4 or 5 seed. Although a downgraded seeding can dent the psyche of a team, in fact it often acts as a blessing in disguise. The fact that a 12 seed has advanced to the Sweet 16 in all but three years since the modern seeding of the tourney began in 1985 (a much better percentage than eight of nine seeds) is a confirmation that sometimes it can be better to be a bit downgraded at the outset.

We also wonder about all of the discussion regarding the top regional seeds, which seems like a manufactured storyline to us. Practically speaking, there is effectively no difference between a one and a two seed, except that a handful of 2's have been knocked off by 15 seeds in the last three decades. Whether Gonzaga is a one or two seed is going to have little impact on the proceedings save for being a nice feather in the Zags' hat.

The bottom line? The Selection Committee is comprised of humans, and they make the decisions, not the machines. We just wish that more members would confirm the selection process as a subjective exercise. And we'd also suggest a sequester of the Committee members from exposure to the TV talking heads who so seem to influence their thought process.

ANY GEORGE MASONS OR BUTLERS IN THE HOUSE?

The unexpected runs of mid-majors such as George Mason and Butler (and Virginia Commonwealth in 2011) to the Final Four in recent years have prompted us to offer a "mid-major alert" each of the past few seasons, highlighting teams to watch that could emerge and deliver a similar run in the Dance. Following are a handful of those sides that we would watch closely...

Davidson (SUR 26-7; seeded 14th in East)...Among all of the mid-major entries, we suspect the Wildcats might be the most complete and dangerous team. All starters returned from last year's side that made it to the Dance and gave Louisville a fight in the sub-regionals. Well-balanced, with six players who led the team in scoring in at least one game this season. A unique weapon in Ryan Kelly-like, Euro-style 6-10 F Jake Cohen (14.8 ppg), and a matchup nightmare in 6-7 swingman De'Mon Brooks (13.8 ppg), who can post-up smaller defenders. Team FT shooting (80.1%) is the best in the nation; G Nik Cochran (94.1%) tops all. Underrated, vet HC Bob McKillop has taken several teams to the Dance that did not include Stephen Curry. Pushed New Mexico to the limit in a challenging non-conference slate that also included Gonzaga and Duke. Junior-senior dominated roster that returned eight of nine top contributors from last season...the sort of team makeup that suggests it can at least be a dangerous underdog.

Belmont (SUR 26-6; seeded 11th in West)...No longer a well-kept secret, vet HC Rick Byrd's Bruins make a return visit return to the Dance after moving from the Atlantic Sun to the Ohio Valley. Electric backcourt featuring senior G's Ian Clark (18.3 ppg & 54.3% FGs) and Kerron Johnson (13.5 ppg). But balanced beyond the backcourt, with four starters scoring in double figures. Whipped South Dakota State at Nashville in December; other notable wins over Stanford and Ohio. Not big (no starter taller than 6'7) and probably a bit too perimeter-oriented to make a Mason, Butler, or VCU-type run, but Byrd is due for a win in the Dance after losing in five previous tries. Arizona is forewarned for the Thursday game in Salt Lake City.

South Dakota State (SUR 25-9; seeded 13th in South)...Back for another try after competitive loss vs. Baylor in the sub-regionals last year. Four starters returned from that tourney team, led by hot-shooting G Nate Wolters (22.7 ppg), who exploded for 53 points in a Feb. 7 win at IPFW. Wolters is more than a shooter, also a drive-and-kick penetrator who can count upon a squadron of dagger-throwing teammates including F Jordan Dykstra and G Chad White, both 43% beyond the arc. Efficient on the attack end by limiting TO's, this is still a perimeter-oriented squad that has some defensive liabilities. But could be a very tricky matchup nonetheless, especially vs. a team that is lax in defending the arc. Famously won at The Pit vs. New Mexico in December after an arduous 1200-mile bus ride from Nashville (after the Jackrabbits lost to Belmont) necessitated by weather conditions that grounded air travel. Rumor has it the team made at least one Waffle House stop en route to Albuquerque.

Bucknell (SUR 28-5; seeded 11th in East)...The alma mater of CBS head honcho Les Moonves, the Bison could be the latest in a string of Patriot League reps that have made some noise in recent Dances, including a year ago when Lehigh famously dumped Duke in the sub-regional. The Bison returned four starters from last year's NIT team, including 6-11 sr. C Mike Muscala, one of the best-kept secrets in the country after scoring 19.1 ppg and hauling in 11 rpg this season. Which means that foes are going to have to vigorously defend the post vs. Bucknell. The "outside" part of the inside-outside balance is courtesy of capable Gs 6-5 jr. Cameron Ayers (12.7 ppg) and sr. Bryson Johnson (11.5 ppg), both proficient shooting 3s. Notable wins this season include Purdue, La Salle, and New Mexico State.

Northwestern State (SUR 23-8, seeded 14th in South)...KO'd favored Stephen F. Austin in the Southland Tourney finale, although that was the Demons' second win in three tries vs. the Lumberjacks. Led the nation in scoring offense for much of the season thanks a relentless lineup that goes 10-deep; top scorer F DeQuan Hicks (14.2 ppg) usually comes off the bench. Defense a bit suspect, as we noted in its BracketBuster loss at Niagara, but NW can prove an awkward matchup due to its go-go style for HC Mike McConathy. Beat La Tech in early December and was a close loser at Oklahoma and LSU.

Montana (SUR 25-6, seeded 13th in East)...The Grizzlies were functioning minus top scorer F Mathias Ward (14.8 ppg; foot injury) for the last month of the season, this after high-scoring G Will Cherry (14.5 ppg) missed the first month of the campaign with his own broken foot. Cherry also missed some late-season action with another foot injury, but was back in the lineup for the Big Sky Tourney and win in the finale vs. dangerous Weber State. With Cherry and Ward absent for long stretches this season, F Kareem Jamar (14.2 ppg) stepped into the breach and was named Big Sky MVP. Lost four games early with Cherry out of starting lineup due to injury, but sent a warning shot in the BracketBuster at Davidson, pushing the Wildcats into OT despite being minus Ward and with Cherry re-injuring his foot in the 2nd half. Repeat Big Dance qualifier after losing to Wisconsin in sub-regional action last season.

Let's hope we're still talking about one or more of these teams next week for the Sweet 16; the tourney is always a bit more memorable when at last one Cinderella side emerges!

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24970 Followers:33
03/20/2013 05:06 PM

Wednesday's First Four

March 19, 2013

The First Four concludes on Wednesday night in Dayton, Ohio as a pair of 16's and a pair of 13's look to advance to Friday's action. We'll also take a quick glance at some of the intriguing games in the NIT, but things tip off between two 16 seeds trying to get a date with Indiana in the second round.

LIU-Brooklyn vs. James Madison - 6:40 PM EST (TruTV)

These two teams aren't household names by any stretch, but both squads finished the season with 20 wins apiece. LIU-Brooklyn won the Northeast Conference championship by ousting Mount St. Mary's, 91-70 as 3 ½-point favorites, the fifth consecutive victory for the Blackbirds. There isn't much to go off of from a pointspread angle on LIU, who played just four lined games this season, but the Blackbirds covered all four times.

James Madison put together one of the top ATS records in the country this season with a 21-10 mark, while covering in eight of its final nine games. The Dukes captured all three games of the Colonial tournament, including a 70-57 triumph over regular-season conference champion Northeastern as two-point underdogs. JMU leading scorer and rebounder Rayshawn Goins (12.9 ppg) is expected to sit out the first half on Wednesday night after getting arrested for disorderly conduct over the weekend.

The Dukes become the first Colonial team to participate in the Play-In game of the tournament, while the Blackbirds are the third-ever squad from the Northeast Conference to play in Dayton. Monmouth (2006) and Mount St. Mary's (2009) each advanced past the Play-In contest with victories, as LIU is participating in the NCAA Tournament for the third straight season (losses to North Carolina in '11 and Michigan State in '12).

Boise State vs. LaSalle - 9:10 PM EST (TruTV)

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The Broncos were a part of the best conference RPI-wise this season as one of five teams to qualify for the NCAA Tournament. Granted, Boise State still has to win on Wednesday night to be part of the 64-team field, but the Broncos compiled a 21-10 SU and 16-11 ATS record this season. LaSalle put together a solid start in Atlantic-10 play, while the Explorers split their final six games of the season for a 21-9 SU and 12-12-1 ATS ledger.

The Explorers closed the season with consecutive losses to St. Louis and Butler (both tournament teams), but LaSalle won seven of eight games prior to those defeats. In those seven victories, LaSalle failed to beat a team that qualified for the NCAA Tournament, while the Explorers compiled a dreadful 1-6 ATS record in the underdog role. In non-conference play earlier this season, LaSalle beat tournament teams Iona and Villanova, but were routed at Miami as 6 ½-point 'dogs.

Boise State did most of its damage at home this season (14-1), while its signature win came at Creighton in November as 13-point 'dogs, 83-70. After starting Mountain West play at 0-4 ATS in the favorite role, the Broncos cashed their last four games when laying points, but none of those victories came against current tournament teams. Boise State is playing in its first Big Dance since 2008 when the Broncos lost to Louisville as 14-point 'dogs, 79-61.

What to watch for in NIT Action:

-- Iowa battles Indiana State for the first time ever as the two teams hook up in Iowa City. The Hawkeyes (-12 ½) covered their final six games of the season, while winning seven straight contests at Carver-Hawkeye Arena (6-1 ATS). The Sycamores went the opposite direction down the stretch by cashing just one of its last nine games in a 51-50 victory over Evansville in the Missouri Valley tournament.

-- Providence hosts Charlotte in a Big East/Atlantic 10 matchup, as the Friars won their last four games at the Dunkin Donuts Center. PC (-9 ½) won seven of eight contests down the stretch, but losses to Connecticut and Cincinnati burst its bubble for a potential NCAA Tournament bid. The 49ers captured the craziest victory in any of the conference tournaments by scoring eight points in the final five seconds of a 68-63 upset of Richmond. Charlotte did knock off Butler and Davidson as heavy road underdogs, proving this team isn't afraid of the highway.

-- Arizona State spent most of the conference season on the tournament bubble, but fell short after blowing a late lead in a defeat to UCLA in the Pac-12 tournament quarterfinals. The Sun Devils (-4) return home to host a tough Detroit squad, who closed the season with wins in eight of their final 12 games. The Titans covered four of their last five times in the underdog role, including an upset of eventual Horizon champ Valparaiso, 84-74. ASU dropped five of six down the stretch, but put together a 6-3 SU and 5-4 ATS record at home inside conference play.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24970 Followers:33
03/20/2013 05:09 PM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Nate Silver posted the odds for each team winning its region..........

Midwest West
Louisville 53% Gonzaga 33%
Duke 18% Ohio State 25%
Michigan State 11% Wisconsin 9%
Saint Louis 5% New Mexico 9%
Creighton 3% Arizona 8%
Missouri 3% Kansas State 5%
Memphis 2% Pittsburgh 5%


*****

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud.........

13) One of the NFL’s newer traditions is that the Super Bowl champ opens up at home on the first Thursday night of the season, which this year is September 5; problem is, the Baltimore Orioles have a home game that night, so the Ravens asked them to move the game to an afternoon tilt, but the O’s are so far resisting doing that, since it’s the first game of a 4-game weekend series. Not good.

12) Kicker is the Ravens would rather open on the road September 5 than play at home that first Sunday night, because of the 3+-day advantage in preparation/rest for their Week 2 game, that comes with opening the season on a Thursday.

11) Orioles traded Joe Flacco’s younger brother to the Red Sox last week; he is a minor league third baseman who is a .252 hitter in four minor league seasons, mostly all in A ball. Wonder if that annoyed the Ravens, too.

10) Speaking of annoying, Bobby Valentine is close to signing a deal to be in SNY’s (Mets’ TV station) studios 10-15 nights this summer. Valentine just signed on as the new AD at Sacred Heart University in Connecticut.

9) NFL’s Hall of Fame game in Canton August 4: Cowboys-Dolphins.

8) Someone on Twitter actually researched this: of the 68 NCAA tournament teams, 52 wear Nike, 13 adidas, three Under Armour. Alrighty then.

7) ESPN figured out that Andrew Bynum is making $46,700 a day from the 76ers this season, and he won’t play a game for them. We need to invent the Blunder Hall of Fame, and give awards each year for stuff like this. Bynum would definitely be one of this year’s winners; either him or the guy who traded for him in Philly.

6) I’ve never had SPAM. It looks gross. Apparently people eat this stuff. I’m not sure why. Anyone out there who likes it or knows someone who likes it, please clue me in. I'm told its very salty.

5) Heat-Celtic game Monday night was ESPN’s highest-rated regular season NBA game, ever.

4) Maryland beat Duke two out of three this year; one of Terps’ players is Logan Aronholt, who spent the last three years playing for the Albany Great Danes, who play Duke Friday afternoon in Philly.

Wonder if Aronholt shared the Terps’ scouting knowledge on Duke with his former teammates. They’ll need all the help they can get.

3) It snowed all day Tuesday in beautiful downtown Albany, which is actually slushy downtown Albany; it is March 20, Opening Day is 11 days away and it snowed all day. That said, today is the first day of spring and spring will be welcome here this year, for sure.

2) It still boggles my mind that Super Bowl next February is in Swamp Stadium in New Jersey; what, the Arctic Circle was booked that day? San Diego isn’t good enough? Miami? Phoenix? It just seems wrong.

1) Robert Morris 59, Kentucky 57-- Wonder if this result pumps LIU up for its play-in game with James Madison tonight? Seeing a league rival have success on TV has to boost your confidence, no?
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Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24970 Followers:33
03/20/2013 05:12 PM

NCAAB
Dunkel

James Madison vs. LIU-Brooklyn
The Blackbirds look to build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 games versus teams with a winning record. LIU-Brooklyn is the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Blackbirds favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: LIU-Brooklyn (-1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 20

Game 623-624: James Madison vs. LIU-Brooklyn (6:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: James Madison 53.256; LIU-Brooklyn 57.353
Dunkel Line: LIU-Brooklyn by 4; 140
Vegas Line: LIU-Brooklyn by 1 1/2; 144
Dunkel Pick: LIU-Brooklyn (-1 1/2); Under

Game 625-626: LaSalle vs. Boise State (9:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LaSalle 66.642; Boise State 65.933
Dunkel Line: LaSalle by 1; 144
Vegas Line: Boise State by 2; 139
Dunkel Pick: LaSalle (+2); Over

Game 627-628: Indiana State at Iowa (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana State 57.938; Iowa 69.192
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 11 1/2; 138
Vegas Line: Iowa by 12 1/2; 133
Dunkel Pick: Indiana State (+12 1/2); Over

Game 629-630: Charlotte at Providence (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 57.375 Providence 65.783
Dunkel Line: Providence by 8 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Providence by 9 1/2; 137
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+9 1/2); Under

Game 631-632: Stony Brook at Massachusetts (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stony Brook 59.119; Massachusetts 65.487
Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 6 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 4 1/2; 140 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (-4 1/2); Under

Game 633-634: Mercer at Tennessee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mercer 59.384; Tennessee 65.457
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 6; 128
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 9; 125 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mercer (+9); Over

Game 635-636: Long Beach State at Baylor (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 53.621; Baylor 64.401
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 11; 155
Vegas Line: Baylor by 12 1/2; 149
Dunkel Pick: Long Beach State (+12 1/2); Over

Game 637-638: Charleston Southern at Southern Mississippi (9:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charleston Southern 51.124; Southern Mississippi 67.521
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 16 1/2; 138
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 13 1/2; 143
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-13 1/2); Under

Game 639-640: Detroit at Arizona State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 59.356; Arizona State 65.053
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 5 1/2; 151
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 4; 153
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-4); Under

Game 647-648: Western Illinois at Purdue (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:

Game 649-650: Richmond at Bryant (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 59.363; Bryant 55.714
Dunkel Line: Richmond by 3 1/2; 149
Vegas Line: Richmond by 5 1/2; 146 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bryant (+5 1/2); Over

Game 651-652: Tulsa at Wright State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 54.087; Wright State 60.676
Dunkel Line: Wright State by 6 1/2; 122
Vegas Line: Wright State by 5; 127
Dunkel Pick: Wright State (-5); Under

Game 653-654: North Dakota State at Western Michigan (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 57.427; Western Michigan 56.344
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 1; 128
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 1 1/2; 124 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota State (+1 1/2); Over

Game 655-656: Texas at Houston (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 61.860; Houston 56.709
Dunkel Line: Texas by 5; 144
Vegas Line: Texas by 2 1/2; 148 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-2 1/2); Under

Game 659-660: Elon at Canisius (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Elon 50.282; Canisius 59.486
Dunkel Line: Canisius by 9; 139
Vegas Line: Canisius by 7; 143
Dunkel Pick: Canisius (-7); Under

Game 661-662: South Alabama at Tulane (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 52.521; Tulane 57.032
Dunkel Line: Tulane by 4 1/2; 144
Vegas Line: Tulane by 6 1/2; 140
Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (+6 1/2); Over

Game 663-664: WI-Green Bay at Bradley (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Green Bay 56.745; Bradley 55.349
Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 1 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: Pick; 133 1/2
Dunkel Pick: WI-Green Bay; Over

Game 665-666: Chicago State at Illinois-Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago State 44.769; Illinois-Chicago 57.551
Dunkel Line: Illinois-Chicago by 13; 127
Vegas Line: Illinois-Chicago by 11 1/2; 129 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (-11 1/2); Under

Game 667-668: Oral Roberts at TX-Arlington (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oral Roberts 52.594; TX-Arlington 55.243
Dunkel Line: TX-Arlington by 2 1/2; 129
Vegas Line: TX-Arlington by 4 1/2; 133
Dunkel Pick: Oral Roberts (+4 1/2); Under

Game 669-670: Cal Poly at Weber State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 56.390; Weber State 61.640
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 5 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Weber State by 6 1/2; 129
Dunkel Pick: Cal Poly (+6 1/2); Over

Game 671-672: Air Force at Hawaii (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 59.334; Hawaii 53.008
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 6 1/2; 144
Vegas Line: Air Force by 1; 147 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (-1); Under

Game 673-674: High Point at UC-Irvine (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: High Point 49.115; UC-Irvine 55.535
Dunkel Line: UC-Irvine by 6 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: UC-Irvine by 8 1/2; 133 1/2
Dunkel Pick: High Point (+8 1/2); Over

Game 679-680: North Dakota at Northern Iowa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota 49.098; Northern Iowa 60.439
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 11 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 15 1/2; 131
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota (+15 1/2); Over

Game 681-682: Fairfield at Kent State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fairfield 52.086; Kent State 57.176
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 5; 133
Vegas Line: Kent State by 7; 125
Dunkel Pick: Fairfield (+7); Over
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Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24970 Followers:33
03/20/2013 05:14 PM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 20

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LONG ISLAND (20 - 13) vs. JAMES MADISON (20 - 14) - 3/20/2013, 6:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JAMES MADISON is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games this season.
JAMES MADISON is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LASALLE (21 - 9) vs. BOISE ST (21 - 10) - 3/20/2013, 9:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 60-86 ATS (-34.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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INDIANA ST (18 - 14) at IOWA (21 - 12) - 3/20/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games this season.
IOWA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
IOWA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
IOWA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all home games this season.
IOWA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home lined games this season.
IOWA is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
IOWA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
IOWA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
INDIANA ST is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CHARLOTTE (21 - 11) at PROVIDENCE (17 - 14) - 3/20/2013, 7:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 14-31 ATS (-20.1 Units) in March games since 1997.
CHARLOTTE is 44-70 ATS (-33.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
PROVIDENCE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games in March games since 1997.
PROVIDENCE is 55-79 ATS (-31.9 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
PROVIDENCE is 30-54 ATS (-29.4 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
PROVIDENCE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
PROVIDENCE is 32-56 ATS (-29.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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STONY BROOK (24 - 7) at MASSACHUSETTS (21 - 11) - 3/20/2013, 7:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MASSACHUSETTS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
MASSACHUSETTS is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MERCER (23 - 11) at TENNESSEE (20 - 12) - 3/20/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
TENNESSEE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
MERCER is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
MERCER is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 26-49 ATS (-27.9 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LONG BEACH ST (19 - 13) at BAYLOR (18 - 14) - 3/20/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LONG BEACH ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
LONG BEACH ST is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BAYLOR is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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CHARLESTON SO (19 - 12) at SOUTHERN MISS (25 - 9) - 3/20/2013, 9:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SOUTHERN MISS is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SOUTHERN MISS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
SOUTHERN MISS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DETROIT (20 - 12) at ARIZONA ST (21 - 12) - 3/20/2013, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA ST is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA ST is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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W ILLINOIS (22 - 8) at PURDUE (15 - 17) - 3/20/2013, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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RICHMOND (18 - 14) at BRYANT (19 - 11) - 3/20/2013, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TULSA (17 - 15) at WRIGHT ST (21 - 12) - 3/20/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WRIGHT ST is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
WRIGHT ST is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
TULSA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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N DAKOTA ST (24 - 9) at W MICHIGAN (20 - 12) - 3/20/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N DAKOTA ST is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
N DAKOTA ST is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
N DAKOTA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
N DAKOTA ST is 1-0 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS (16 - 17) at HOUSTON (19 - 12) - 3/20/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ELON (21 - 11) at CANISIUS (18 - 13) - 3/20/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ELON is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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S ALABAMA (17 - 12) at TULANE (19 - 14) - 3/20/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S ALABAMA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TULANE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TULANE is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
TULANE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
TULANE is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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WI-GREEN BAY (18 - 15) at BRADLEY (16 - 16) - 3/20/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WI-GREEN BAY is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
WI-GREEN BAY is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
BRADLEY is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CHICAGO ST (11 - 21) at IL-CHICAGO (17 - 15) - 3/20/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IL-CHICAGO is 104-75 ATS (+21.5 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 107-76 ATS (+23.4 Units) in all home games since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 107-76 ATS (+23.4 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in March games since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 99-64 ATS (+28.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 37-17 ATS (+18.3 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ORAL ROBERTS (18 - 14) at TX-ARLINGTON (19 - 13) - 3/20/2013, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORAL ROBERTS is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in March games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CAL POLY-SLO (18 - 13) at WEBER ST (26 - 6) - 3/20/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WEBER ST is 123-91 ATS (+22.9 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
WEBER ST is 86-61 ATS (+18.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
WEBER ST is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
WEBER ST is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


AIR FORCE (17 - 13) at HAWAII (17 - 14) - 3/20/2013, 11:59 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 66-42 ATS (+19.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
HAWAII is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games against Mountain West conference opponents since 1997.
HAWAII is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games in March games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


HIGH POINT (17 - 13) at UC-IRVINE (20 - 15) - 3/20/2013, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, March 21

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MISSOURI (23 - 10) vs. COLORADO ST (25 - 8) - 3/21/2013, 9:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSOURI is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
COLORADO ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


DAVIDSON (26 - 7) vs. MARQUETTE (23 - 8) - 3/21/2013, 3:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARQUETTE is 71-48 ATS (+18.2 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 187-144 ATS (+28.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 111-83 ATS (+19.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
DAVIDSON is 67-38 ATS (+25.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BUCKNELL (28 - 5) vs. BUTLER (26 - 8) - 3/21/2013, 12:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUTLER is 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
BUTLER is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
BUTLER is 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
BUTLER is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
BUTLER is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
BUTLER is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in first round tournament games since 1997.
BUTLER is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
BUTLER is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
BUTLER is 60-40 ATS (+16.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
BUTLER is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


VALPARAISO (26 - 7) vs. MICHIGAN ST (25 - 8) - 3/21/2013, 12:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VALPARAISO is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) after a conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


AKRON (26 - 6) vs. VA COMMONWEALTH (26 - 8) - 3/21/2013, 9:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games in first round tournament games since 1997.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
AKRON is 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
AKRON is 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
AKRON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
AKRON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
AKRON is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
AKRON is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
AKRON is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after a conference game this season.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
AKRON is 1-0 against the spread versus VA COMMONWEALTH over the last 3 seasons
VA COMMONWEALTH is 1-0 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


S DAKOTA ST (25 - 9) vs. MICHIGAN (26 - 7) - 3/21/2013, 7:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 54-38 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 54-38 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 45-30 ATS (+12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
S DAKOTA ST is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
S DAKOTA ST is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
S DAKOTA ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
S DAKOTA ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
S DAKOTA ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SOUTHERN U (23 - 9) vs. GONZAGA (31 - 2) - 3/21/2013, 4:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GONZAGA is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
GONZAGA is 1-0 straight up against SOUTHERN U over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WICHITA ST (26 - 8) vs. PITTSBURGH (24 - 8) - 3/21/2013, 1:40 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


HARVARD (19 - 9) vs. NEW MEXICO (29 - 5) - 3/21/2013, 9:50 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HARVARD is 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) in March games since 1997.
HARVARD is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing with 7 or more days rest since 1997.
HARVARD is 85-117 ATS (-43.7 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
NEW MEXICO is 43-20 ATS (+21.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 43-20 ATS (+21.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 since 1997.
NEW MEXICO is 38-15 ATS (+21.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
NEW MEXICO is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 26-8 ATS (+17.2 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEW MEXICO is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
NEW MEXICO is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
HARVARD is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BELMONT (26 - 6) vs. ARIZONA (25 - 7) - 3/21/2013, 7:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BELMONT is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BELMONT is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
BELMONT is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
BELMONT is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


OREGON (26 - 8) vs. OKLAHOMA ST (24 - 8) - 3/21/2013, 4:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
OKLAHOMA ST is 160-125 ATS (+22.5 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
OKLAHOMA ST is 92-61 ATS (+24.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
OKLAHOMA ST is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in first round tournament games since 1997.
OKLAHOMA ST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NEW MEXICO ST (24 - 10) vs. SAINT LOUIS (27 - 6) - 3/21/2013, 2:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAINT LOUIS is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) in March games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------


CALIFORNIA (20 - 11) vs. UNLV (25 - 9) - 3/21/2013, 7:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALIFORNIA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest this season.
CALIFORNIA is 94-68 ATS (+19.2 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
CALIFORNIA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
UNLV is 26-39 ATS (-16.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 26-39 ATS (-16.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 22-33 ATS (-14.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UNLV is 2-0 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
UNLV is 2-0 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MONTANA (25 - 6) vs. SYRACUSE (26 - 9) - 3/21/2013, 9:55 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTANA is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTANA is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTANA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in March games this season.
MONTANA is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MONTANA is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, March 22

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ALBANY (24 - 10) vs. DUKE (27 - 5) - 3/22/2013, 12:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
DUKE is 48-28 ATS (+17.2 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
DUKE is 44-69 ATS (-31.9 Units) in March games since 1997.
DUKE is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CINCINNATI (22 - 11) vs. CREIGHTON (27 - 7) - 3/22/2013, 2:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
CINCINNATI is 92-124 ATS (-44.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
CREIGHTON is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 3 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


FLA GULF COAST (24 - 10) vs. GEORGETOWN (25 - 6) - 3/22/2013, 6:50 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGETOWN is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
GEORGETOWN is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGETOWN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GEORGETOWN is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
FLA GULF COAST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


OKLAHOMA (20 - 11) vs. SAN DIEGO ST (22 - 10) - 3/22/2013, 9:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO ST is 80-56 ATS (+18.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
SAN DIEGO ST is 40-24 ATS (+13.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TEMPLE (23 - 9) vs. NC STATE (24 - 10) - 3/22/2013, 1:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
NC STATE is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
NC STATE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games in first round tournament games since 1997.
TEMPLE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


IONA (20 - 13) vs. OHIO ST (26 - 7) - 3/22/2013, 7:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 38-26 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 38-26 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 48-28 ATS (+17.2 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
OHIO ST is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 202-155 ATS (+31.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
OHIO ST is 131-95 ATS (+26.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


IOWA ST (22 - 11) vs. NOTRE DAME (25 - 9) - 3/22/2013, 9:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA ST is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA ST is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA ST is 27-16 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


W KENTUCKY (20 - 15) vs. KANSAS (29 - 5) - 3/22/2013, 9:50 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W KENTUCKY is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
W KENTUCKY is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
KANSAS is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
W KENTUCKY is 49-27 ATS (+19.3 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
W KENTUCKY is 37-18 ATS (+17.2 Units) in March games since 1997.
W KENTUCKY is 49-27 ATS (+19.3 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
W KENTUCKY is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


VILLANOVA (20 - 13) vs. N CAROLINA (24 - 10) - 3/22/2013, 7:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VILLANOVA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
N CAROLINA is 131-99 ATS (+22.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
N CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games this season.
VILLANOVA is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


OLE MISS (26 - 8) vs. WISCONSIN (23 - 11) - 3/22/2013, 12:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 40-24 ATS (+13.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
OLE MISS is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OLE MISS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NORTHWESTERN ST (23 - 8) vs. FLORIDA (26 - 7) - 3/22/2013, 7:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 98-70 ATS (+21.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
FLORIDA is 60-35 ATS (+21.5 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MINNESOTA (20 - 12) vs. UCLA (25 - 9) - 3/22/2013, 9:55 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


PACIFIC (22 - 12) vs. MIAMI (27 - 6) - 3/22/2013, 2:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
MIAMI is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
MIAMI is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
MIAMI is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
MIAMI is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


COLORADO (21 - 11) vs. ILLINOIS (22 - 12) - 3/22/2013, 4:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 120 to 129.5 since 1997.
COLORADO is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ILLINOIS is 23-37 ATS (-17.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 23-37 ATS (-17.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24970 Followers:33
03/20/2013 05:15 PM

NCAAB
Short Sheet

Wednesday, March 20

NCAA Tournament Betting Trends

NCAA Tournament, First Round
Long Island vs. James Madison, 6:40 ET TRUTV
Long Island: 8-1 ATS after winning 5 or 6 of their last 7 games
James Madison: 12-23 ATS off BB Unders

NCAA Tournament, First Round
La Salle vs. Boise State, 9:10 ET TRUTV
La Salle: 6-0 ATS off BB Unders
Boise State: 4-18 ATS after losing 2 of their last 3 games


NIT Tournament Betting Trends

NIT Tournament, First Round
Indiana State at Iowa, 7:00 ET ESPN2
Indiana State: 13-27 ATS off ATS losses in 4 of their last 5 games
Iowa: 11-3 ATS in home games

NIT Tournament, First Round
Charlotte at Providence, 7:15 ET
Charlotte: 4-19 ATS after playing 3+ games as an underdog
Providence: 8-4 ATS in home games

NIT Tournament, First Round
Louisiana Tech at Florida State, 7:15 ET
Stony Brook: 5-1 ATS after making 50%+ of their three-point shot attempts
Massachusetts: 3-10 ATS vs. non-conference opponents

NIT Tournament, First Round
Mercer at Tennessee, 8:00 ET ESPNU
Mercer: 9-1 ATS after winning 4 or 5 of their last 6 games
Tennessee: 5-13 ATS in first round tournament games

NIT Tournament, First Round
Long Beach State at Baylor, 9:00 ET ESPN2
Long Beach State: 1-6 ATS after scoring 60 points or less
Baylor: 5-0 ATS off BB games committing 11 or less turnovers

NIT Tournament, First Round
Charleston Southern at Southern Miss, 9:15 ET
Charleston Southern: 0-4 ATS off a combined score of 155+ points
Southern Miss: 6-1 ATS in tournament games

NIT Tournament, First Round
Detroit at Arizona State, 10:00 ET ESPNU
Detroit: 2-13 ATS after allowing 60 points or less
Arizona State: 5-1 ATS after losing 2 of their last 3 games


CBI Tournament Betting Trends

CBI Tournament, First Round
Western Illinois at Purdue, 7:00 ET
Western Illinois: 1-12 ATS off 4+ games with a combined score of 125 points or less
Purdue: 8-1 ATS off BB games committing 8 or less turnovers

CBI Tournament, First Round
Richmond at Bryant, 7:00 ET
Richmond: 10-3 ATS in March
Bryant: 0-2 ATS off 3+ conference games

CBI Tournament, First Round
Tulsa at Wright State, 7:00 ET
Tulsa: 2-7 ATS off BB Overs
Wright State: 8-2 ATS after playing as a road underdog

CBI Tournament, First Round
North Dakota State at Western Michigan, 7:00 ET
North Dakota State: 15-3 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Western Michigan: 0-6 ATS off ATS losses in 2 of their last 3 games

CBI Tournament, First Round
Texas at Houston, 9:00 ET
Texas: 6-0 ATS off a conference loss by 10+ points
Houston: 13-4 Over playing with 5 or 6 days rest


CIT Tournament Betting Trends

CIT Tournament, First Round
Elon at Canisius, 7:00 ET
Elon: 22-9 ATS after allowing 5 or less offensive rebounds
Canisius: 0-6 ATS after scoring and allowing 80+ points

CIT Tournament, First Round
South Alabama at Tulane, 8:00 ET
South Alabama: 6-0 ATS after losing 2 of their last 3 games
Tulane: 0-6 ATS after allowing 80+ points

CIT Tournament, First Round
Wisconsin Green Bay at Bradley, 8:00 ET
Wisc Green Bay: 13-4 ATS off a loss by 6 points or less
Bradley: 6-13 ATS after playing as an underdog

CIT Tournament, First Round
Chicago State at Illinois Chicago, 8:00 ET
Chicago State: 0-3 ATS off an ATS win
Illinois Chicago: 8-1 ATS off a SU loss / ATS win

CIT Tournament, First Round
Oral Roberts at Texas Arlington, 8:30 ET
Oral Roberts: 3-13 ATS in March
Texas Arlington: 10-3 ATS after playing as an underdog

CIT Tournament, First Round
Cal Poly Slo at Weber State, 9:00 ET
Cal Poly Slo: 6-0 ATS off 3+ games allowing 31 or less rebounds
Weber State: 0-7 ATS after allowing 5 or less offensive rebounds

CIT Tournament, First Round
Air Force at Hawaii, 11:59 ET
Air Force: 4-12 ATS away after playing as an underdog
Hawaii: 12-3 ATS off an Under

CIT Tournament, First Round
High Point at Cal Irvine, 10:00 ET
High Point: 4-8 ATS in tournament games
Cal Irvine: 14-5 Over vs. non-conference opponents

CIT Tournament, First Round
** Rescheduled from Tuesday **
North Dakota at Northern Iowa, 8:00 ET
North Dakota: 6-0 ATS in March
Northern Iowa: 2-9 ATS after having 5 or less offensive rebounds

CIT Tournament, First Round
** Rescheduled from Tuesday **
Fairfield at Kent State, 7:00 ET
Fairfield: 2-9 ATS off BB ATS losses
Kent State: 12-4 ATS off BB games with 12 or less assists


Thursday, March 21, 2013

NCAA Tournament Betting Trends

NCAA Tournament, Second Round
North Carolina A&T vs. Louisville, 6:50 ET TBS
North Carolina A&T:
Louisville:

NCAA Tournament, Second Round
Missouri vs. Colorado State, 9:20 ET TBS
Missouri: 17-6 ATS off an ATS loss
Colorado State: 5-13 ATS off 5+ games committing 14 or less turnovers

NCAA Tournament, Second Round
Davidson vs. Marquette, 3:10 ET TRUTV
Davidson: 3-10 ATS off an ATS win
Marquette: 9-0 ATS off a conference loss

NCAA Tournament, Second Round
Bucknell vs. Butler, 12:40 ET TRUTV
Bucknell: 2-10 ATS off 4+ games committing 14 or less turnovers
Butler: 17-3 ATS playing on a neutral court

NCAA Tournament, Second Round
Valparaiso vs. Michigan State, 12:15 ET CBS
Valparaiso: 3-11 ATS off 4+ wins
Michigan State: 22-8 ATS off a loss by 3 points or less

NCAA Tournament, Second Round
TBD vs. Memphis, 2:45 ET TRUTV
TBD:
Memphis:

NCAA Tournament, Second Round
Akron vs. Virginia Commonwealth, 9:45 ET CBS
Akron: 14-4 ATS in tournament games
VA Commonwealth: 0-7 ATS away off a SU loss

NCAA Tournament, Second Round
South Dakota State vs. Michigan, 7:15 ET CBS
South Dakota State: 20-10 ATS off BB conference games
Michigan: 5-12 ATS off BB conference games

NCAA Tournament, Second Round
Southern vs. Gonzaga, 4:10 ET TBS
Southern: 1-6 ATS off BB games scoring 30 or less first-half points
Gonzaga: 8-1 Under off a conference game

NCAA Tournament, Second Round
Wichita State vs. Pittsburgh, 1:40 ET TBS
Wichita State: 3-18 ATS as a neutral court underdog of 6 points or less
Pittsburgh: 10-2 ATS away off ATS losses in 2 of their last 3 games

NCAA Tournament, Second Round
Harvard vs. New Mexico, 9:50 ET TNT
Harvard: 6-16 ATS playing with 7+ days rest
New Mexico: 10-0 ATS off 3+ games allowing 60 points or less

NCAA Tournament, Second Round
Belmont vs. Arizona, 7:20 ET TNT
Belmont: 0-6 ATS in March
Arizona: 6-0 Under vs. non-conference opponents

NCAA Tournament, Second Round
Oregon vs. Oklahoma State, 4:40 ET TNT
Oregon: 2-8 ATS off BB conference wins
Oklahoma State: 8-2 ATS off an Under

NCAA Tournament, Second Round
New Mexico State vs. St. Louis, 2:10 ET TNT
New Mexico State: 16-4 ATS away off BB Unders
St. Louis: 5-16 ATS away off BB games with a combined score of 125 or less points

NCAA Tournament, Second Round
California vs. UNLV, 7:25 ET TRUTV
California: 21-7 ATS away off BB conference losses
UNLV: 0-8 ATS off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games

NCAA Tournament, Second Round
Montana vs. Syracuse, 9:55 ET TRUTV
Montana: 9-2 ATS off an Under
Syracuse: 8-19 ATS off 5+ games forcing 14 or less turnovers


Friday, March 22, 2013

NCAA Tournament Betting Trends

NCAA Tournament, Second Round
Albany vs. Duke, 12:15 ET CBS
Albany: 7-0 ATS away after winning 3 of their last 4 games
Duke: 15-28 ATS off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games

NCAA Tournament, Second Round
Cincinnati vs. Creighton, 2:45 ET CBS
Cincinnati: 5-14 ATS off a conference game
Creighton: 8-1 ATS away off an ATS win

NCAA Tournament, Second Round
Florida Gulf Coast vs. Georgetown, 6:50 ET TBS
Florida GC: 6-0 ATS in March
Georgetown: 7-1 Under after winning 2 of their last 3 games

NCAA Tournament, Second Round
Oklahoma vs. San Diego State, 9:20 ET TBS
Oklahoma: 1-11 ATS away off BB losses
San Diego State: 8-2 Over as a favorite

NCAA Tournament, Second Round
TBD vs. Indiana, 4:10 ET TBS
TBD:
Indiana:

NCAA Tournament, Second Round
Temple vs. NC State, 1:40 ET TBS
Temple: 7-1 Over as an underdog
NC State: 9-2 ATS after allowing 80+ points

NCAA Tournament, Second Round
Iona vs. Ohio State, 7:15 ET CBS
Iona: 9-21 ATS off a win by 3 points or less
Ohio State: 20-9 ATS off an Under

NCAA Tournament, Second Round
Iowa State vs. Notre Dame, 9:45 ET CBS
Iowa State: 11-3 ATS off a conference loss
Notre Dame: 7-17 ATS away after winning 2 of their last 3 games

NCAA Tournament, Second Round
Western Kentucky vs. Kansas, 9:50 ET TNT
Western Kentucky: 2-8 ATS away after having 9 or less assists
Kansas: 13-6 ATS off BB conference games

NCAA Tournament, Second Round
Villanova vs. North Carolina, 7:20 ET TNT
Villanova: 7-19 ATS after winning 2 of their last 3 games
North Carolina: 8-1 ATS off a conference loss

NCAA Tournament, Second Round
Mississippi vs. Wisconsin, 12:40 ET TRUTV
Mississippi: 12-3 Over with a total of 129.5 points or less
Wisconsin: 15-6 ATS after scoring 55 points or less

NCAA Tournament, Second Round
TBD vs. Kansas State, 3:10 ET TRUTV
TBD:
Kansas State:

NCAA Tournament, Second Round
Northwestern State vs. Florida, 7:25 ET TRUTV
Northwestern State: 10-2 Over off BB conference games
Florida: 2-8 ATS after making 45% or less of their free throw attempts

NCAA Tournament, Second Round
Minnesota vs. UCLA, 9:55 ET TRUTV
Minnesota: 9-21 ATS away off 3+ ATS losses
UCLA: 6-0 Over after having 9 or less assists

NCAA Tournament, Second Round
Pacific vs. Miami FL, 2:10 ET TNT
Pacific: 3-11 ATS away off BB wins
Miami FL: 15-6 ATS as a favorite

NCAA Tournament, Second Round
Colorado vs. Illinois, 4:40 ET TNT
Colorado: 15-5 ATS with a line of +3 to -3
Illinois: 0-6 ATS playing with 5 or 6 days rest
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