cnotes Posts:24232 Followers:32
03/28/2013 03:42 PM

Thursday's Late Action

March 28, 2013


An interesting contrast of late games takes place to wrap up the first night of the Sweet 16. Indiana and Syracuse are no surprise to make it to this round of the NCAA Tournament, but La Salle and Wichita State were definitely not predicted to qualify at this point. We'll start with the rematch of the 1987 National Championship in the Nation's Capital.

East Regional

(1) Indiana vs. (4) Syracuse - 9:45 PM EST - CBS

These two traditional powers are meeting for the first time since 1998, as the Hoosiers survived a scare from Temple in the round of 32. Indiana advanced to the Sweet 16 for the second consecutive season by knocking out Temple, 58-52, but failed to cash as 12-point favorites. Tom Crean's club will not be laying points at that magnitude for at least the next two rounds (assuming they advance), as Syracuse's road to this round hasn't been difficult so far.

The Orange pulled off the biggest blowout in the second round by dispatching Montana, 81-34 as 13-point 'chalk.' Syracuse stepped in class in the next round against Cal, which had a slight home-court advantage by playing the game in nearby San Jose. Jim Boeheim's team overcame 39% shooting from the floor by eliminating the Golden Bears, 66-60, but couldn't grab the money as 7 ½-point favorites. Syracuse benefited greatly from the line by attempting 22 more free throws than Cal, while converting 26 foul shots.

Indiana has struggled down the stretch to cover numbers, posting a 2-5-1 ATS in the last eight games, which includes an outright underdog victory at Michigan to close the regular season. The Hoosiers put together a lousy 3-7 ATS record in the role of a single-digit favorite, while losing outright the last four times (Wisconsin, Illinois, Minnesota, and Ohio State).

Syracuse thrived in the underdog role two weeks ago in the Big East tournament with outright victories over Georgetown and Pittsburgh. However, the Orange blew a 16-point cushion in the championship against Louisville in a 78-61 defeat as 5 ½-point underdogs. Since 2006, Syracuse owns an 0-3 SU/ATS record when receiving points in an NCAA Tournament game, including last season's Elite Eight setback to Ohio State.

Indiana is listed as 5 ½-point favorites, while the total is set at 136.

West Regional

(9) Wichita State vs. (13) La Salle - 10:15 PM EST - TBS

The Explorers finished tied for third in the Atlantic 10 standings, while being one of five teams from the conference to make the NCAA Tournament. La Salle is the only team remaining from that league in the Sweet 16, as the Explorers are the lone school to win three games so far after beating Boise State in the First Four.

Wichita State pulled off a nice shock by bouncing top-seeded Gonzaga, 76-70 as 6 ½-point underdogs in the third round. Gregg Marshall's club shot lights out by hitting 50% from the field, while drilling 14 three-pointers, including four each by Ron Baker and Cleanthony Early. The win was the second one in the underdog role for Wichita State in the tournament, who routed Pittsburgh in the second round, 73-55 as four-point 'dogs.

Interestingly enough, La Salle dropped its opening game inside the Atlantic 10 tournament to Butler, but has won three straight contests since, all in the underdog role. The Explorers held off Kansas State in the second round, 63-61 to cash as six-point 'dogs, while rallying late to stun Ole Miss, 76-74 as four-point 'dogs. Since the start of February, La Salle owns a solid 9-4 ATS record the previous 13 games.

Following a nice run of 'unders' to close January, the Shockers are 6-2 to the 'over' the last eight contests. Since winning and covering road contests at Drake and Bradley to kick off Missouri Valley play, the Shockers have cashed just once in the last five opportunities in the road favorite role on the highway (2-3 SU).

Wichita State is listed as 4 ½-point favorites, while the total is set at 135 ½.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24232 Followers:32
03/28/2013 03:45 PM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds to win the NBA title this spring.......

-- Miami Heat 23/20-- Who beats them best-of-7?

-- Oklahoma City Thunder 7/2-- Favorite to win the west.

-- San Antonio Spurs 13/2-- Need Parker back healthy.

-- Los Angeles Clippers 10/1-- No easy playoff series out west.

-- Indiana Pacers 18/1-- Need Miami to get hit with injuries.

-- Los Angeles Lakers 20/1-- Worst bet on the board.
Denver Nuggets, who just won 15 games in a row, are listed at 30-1.


*****

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Random thoughts on a spring day......

13) Shaka Smart signed an extension with VCU thru 2023 and UCLA is left scratching its head, wondering why no one they want wants them. You fire a guy after he wins a league title and no one thinks its that great a job.

According to SI.com.....

"A majority of what Smart asked VCU for was improvements for his staff and program. That includes more salary for his staff and a bevy of things like better meals for players, improved travel for the program and other perks for his staff."

12) Rick Pitino knows that deflections are a great indicator of how hard a team is playing. Every time a Cardinal tips a pass, blocks a shot, makes a steal, swats a dribble or grabs a loose ball, he gets credit for one. Doing little things help teams win, and few teams win as much as Louisville.

11) Life in the NBA isn’t always glamorous; Clippers lost in OT at Dallas Tuesday, didn’t get to New Orleans until 3:30 am, then had to play the Hornets 17 hours later. There are lot worse ways to make a living, but it ain’t always fun.

10) Pretty cool of Jeep to use Al Pacino’s “Life is a game of inches…” speech from Any Given Sunday in one of its commercials. Caught me by surprise the first time I heard it.

9) Jason Campbell better write a book someday; he signed on to play QB with Cleveland this year, his 4th NFL team in the last five years. When he was at Auburn, he played for four different OC’s in four years; he’s had one of the most dysfunctional careers ever, much of it not his doing. Would like to see him have some success before he’s through playing.

8) There are around 40,000 Subway sub shops worldwide, double what they had just ten years ago.

7) Northwestern hired Chris Collins as basketball coach; not sure how sitting next to (Chicago native) Mike Krzyzewski makes you qualified to be a Big Dozen head coach with no prior head coaching experience, but there he is with a big job in his pocket.

Of Coach K’s coaching tree, only Mike Brey has been successful- Johnny Dawkins is doing OK at Stanford, but not that great, plus he played over a decade in the NBA. Tommy Amaker couldn’t win at Seton Hall/Michigan; he’s doing well at Harvard because they loosened the admissions strings for him. We’ll see how young Collins does; Wildcats would’ve been better off hiring his father, but they probably couldn’t afford Doug Collins.

6) Up until six years ago, I used to spend two weeks every July in Florida at AAU basketball tournaments in Orlando; if you’ve read this site for a long time, you’ll remember me talking about various kids I saw play, or meeting Doc Rivers and Tubby Smith, among other coaches. One of the kids we wrote about in 2007 is now writing an unlikely story for himself at Southern Mississippi, after almost falling through the cracks of the system.

5) Dwayne Davis played AAU ball for my friend Joe Gill with the PA Red Storm in ‘07; he was an explosive scorer even back then, but washed out at Morehead State (academics), then played JC ball in Texas, before finally getting a chance this season with the Golden Eagles in this, his last year of college eligibility, and boy, has he taken advantage of that chance, scoring 16 ppg for a team that lost in double OT in the conference USA title game.

Dwayne is 6-5, plays some point guard and makes 42% of his shots behind the arc. Would be a special story if he could make it to the NBA, but at least we’re thinking he’ll make good money playing in Europe next year, or in the NDBL. 6-5 guards who can shoot aren't that easy to find.

Would be great to see him the NBA Summer League in Las Vegas this July.

4) Stanford's football team has players from 30 states and Canada.

3) Huge blow for Miami Hurricanes; center Reggie Johnson is out for this weekend. Takes a productive big body out of the middle.

2) Good news for people who watch baseball on TV: Tim McCarver is out at FOX after this season. Like most analysts, McCarver was way better when he was working every day. Doing games once a week, he's not as good.

1) Glad to hear that Marcus Lattimore did well in his workout at South Carolina’s pro day; kid has been through a lot with injuries. Curious to see who drafts him next month.
Reply With Quote

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24232 Followers:32
03/28/2013 03:46 PM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Marquette vs. Miami (FL)
The Hurricanes look to take advantage of a Marquette team that is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games overall. Miami (FL) is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Hurricanes favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-5 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, MARCH 28

Game 807-808: Syracuse vs. Indiana (9:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 71.864; Indiana 72.513
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 1; 140
Vegas Line: Indiana by 5 1/2; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (+5 1/2); Over

Game 809-810: Marquette vs. Miami (FL) (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marquette 66.549; Miami (FL) 73.692
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 7; 125
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 5 1/2; 127
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-5 1/2); Under

Game 811-812: Arizona vs. Ohio State (7:47 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 68.350; Ohio State 76.116
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 8; 137
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 3; 133 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-3); Over

Game 813-814: LaSalle vs. Wichita State (10:17 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LaSalle 63.466; Wichita State 69.176
Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 5 1/2; 132
Vegas Line: Wichita State by 4; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wichita State (-4); Under




NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 28

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SYRACUSE (28 - 9) vs. INDIANA (29 - 6) - 3/28/2013, 9:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 135 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 70-97 ATS (-36.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
INDIANA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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MARQUETTE (25 - 8) vs. MIAMI (29 - 6) - 3/28/2013, 7:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
MIAMI is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
MIAMI is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MARQUETTE is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 188-145 ATS (+28.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 112-84 ATS (+19.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARIZONA (27 - 7) vs. OHIO ST (28 - 7) - 3/28/2013, 8:47 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 39-27 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 39-27 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 35-24 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 203-156 ATS (+31.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
OHIO ST is 132-96 ATS (+26.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LASALLE (24 - 9) vs. WICHITA ST (28 - 8) - 3/28/2013, 10:17 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WICHITA ST is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Friday, March 29

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OREGON (28 - 8) vs. LOUISVILLE (31 - 5) - 3/29/2013, 7:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 22-14 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
LOUISVILLE is 22-14 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
LOUISVILLE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 35-24 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in March games this season.
LOUISVILLE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
LOUISVILLE is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a NCAA tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LOUISVILLE is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
LOUISVILLE is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MICHIGAN ST (27 - 8) vs. DUKE (29 - 5) - 3/29/2013, 9:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game this season.
DUKE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
DUKE is 45-70 ATS (-32.0 Units) in March games since 1997.
DUKE is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 2-0 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MICHIGAN (28 - 7) vs. KANSAS (31 - 5) - 3/29/2013, 7:37 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
KANSAS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
MICHIGAN is 56-38 ATS (+14.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 56-38 ATS (+14.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all tournament games this season.
MICHIGAN is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS is 1-0 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLA GULF COAST (26 - 10) vs. FLORIDA (28 - 7) - 3/29/2013, 10:07 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 99-72 ATS (+19.8 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
FLORIDA is 100-70 ATS (+23.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
FLORIDA is 62-35 ATS (+23.5 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
FLORIDA is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
FLA GULF COAST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
FLA GULF COAST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all tournament games this season.
FLA GULF COAST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NCAAB
Top 25 Short Sheet

Thursday, March 28

NCAA Tournament, Sweet Sixteen

Syracuse vs. Indiana, 9:45 ET CBS
Syracuse: 1-7 ATS away playing thier second game in seven days
Indiana: 14-5 ATS after allowing 55 points or less

Marquette vs. Miami FL, 7:15 ET CBS
Marquette: 2-9 ATS away after winning 4 of their last 5 games
Miami FL: 16-6 ATS after playing as a favorite

Arizona vs. Ohio State, 7:45 ET TBS
Arizona: 15-6 ATS as an underdog
Ohio State: 3-11 ATS after having 5 or less offensive rebounds

La Salle vs. Wichita State, 10:15 ET TBS
La Salle: 0-6 ATS off 3+ ATS wins
Wichita State: 14-4 ATS off BB Overs


Friday, March 29

NCAA Tournament, Sweet Sixteen

Oregon vs. Louisville, 7:15 ET CBS
Oregon: 1-7 ATS after playing as an underdog
Louisvile: 8-0 ATS in March

Michigan State vs. Duke, 9:45 ET CBS
Michigan State: 14-5 ATS away off an ATS win
Duke: 1-8 ATS after having 9 or less assists

Michigan vs. Kansas, 7:35 ET TBS
Michigan: 7-1 ATS in tournament games
Kansas: 11-1 Under in NCAA Tournament games

Florida Gulf Coast vs. Florida, 10:05 ET TBS
FL Gulf Coast: 7-0 ATS as an underdog
Florida: 5-13 ATS off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 28

Thursday's games
Underdogs are 11-5 vs spread in regional semis last two years; Syracuse will have crowd advantage playing in Washington, but since '04, Orange lost three of four regional finals, losing by 9-13-4 points, winning by one LY- they're 0-6 vs spread in last six regional semis, with two wins by a point. Indiana beat Georgetown in OT in its only game vs Big East team this year; Crean has experience vs Syracuse zone when he was coaching Marquette up until '08 (0-2 vs Syracuse in Big East). Crean is 1-1 in this round, losing to Kentucky LY, upsetting Pitt in '03. Since 2002, #1 seeds are 9-3 vs #4 seeds in this round, but only 5-7 vs spread.

Miami won its last six games, five by 10+ points; this is same building where Larranaga won regionals with George Mason in '06. Hurricanes are #9 in country in experience, played #14 schedule- they allowed 54 ppg in first two tourney games, after winning ACC tournament. Since 2002, underdogs are 7-4 vs spread when 2-seed plays a 3-seed in this round. Marquette was down six with 1:10 to Davidson in first round, trailed by down 8 at half to Butler Saturday- they lost in this round last two years, by 18 to UNC, 10 to Florida. Over last decade, ACC tournament winner is 3-5 in this round, despite being favored in eight of the nine games.

LaSalle-Wichita is 9-13 game, first one in tourney history- there was an 8-13 game in '98, with Valparaiso losing/covering vs URI. Explorers won three games last week, after losing last regular season game by 24, first game in A-16 tourney by 11- they've got average experience, are #320 in bench minutes but defend arc (29.9%) well. Wichita pummeled Pitt, then upset #1 seed Gonzaga-- Shockers are 14-1 outside MVC, losing 69-60 at Tennessee- they're #79 in experience, played #67 schedule. LaSalle is #173 in experience, played #77 schedule. Explorers give up 64.5% of its points inside arc, highest percentage in country, partly because center Zack is out injured.

Last five years, team that won Big 10 tourney got to Sweet 16, then lost this game, despite being favored four times; only twice in last decade has tourney winner gotten to Elite 8 (1-6 vs spread in regional semi). SoCal site favors Arizona whose fans were all over Vegas for Pac-12 tourney two weeks ago; Wildcat coach Miller was once an assistant for Matta when he was Xavier's coach. Since 1987, underdogs are 15-9-1 vs spread when 2-seed plays 6-seed in this round. Arizona won by 17-23 in its first two tourney games, but they're going way up in class vs Buckeyes, after facing Belmont/Harvard last week. Wildcats are 14-0 in non-league games, with only three of those wins against top 40 teams.

Friday's NCAA games
Louisville is 12-0 since losing in five OTs to Notre Dame Feb 9, winning last seven games by 12+ points each; Pitino is 4-0 in this round with the Cardinals (4-0 vs spread) winning by 14-19-39-13 points. Louisville is #2 in country at forcing turnovers (28.2% of time). Oregon turns ball over 21.5% of time (#264 in country); they lost by 11 to Cincinnati on neutral floor in only game vs Big East foe; they've won last five games, allowing 57-55 points in two tourney wins. Since 2001, #1 seeds are 8-2 vs spread in this round when facing someone other than a 4-5 seed (15-18 vs 4-5 seeds). Teams that won Pac-12 tourney are 3-2 in this round, 1-4 vs spread, 0-2 as underdogs, losing by 13-14 points.

Since 2005, Duke is 1-4 in this round, despite being favored in all five of the games, losing as favorites of 5-5-2-4 points. Since 1987, Duke is 8-3 vs Big Dozen teams in NCAAs; they're 2-1 vs Michigan State, winning 85-74 (-5) in '94, 68-62 (-12) in '99, losing in '05 78-68 (-5). Blue Devils beat Minnesota by 18, Ohio State by 5 in two tilts vs Big Dozen teams this year. You're reading ***************.com. Spartans are 14-2 outside Big Dozen play, but one of losses was 67-59 at Miami, its only game vs ACC team. Since '01, underdogs are 9-7 vs spread when 2-seed faces a 3-seed in this round. Spartans are holding teams to 29.8% from arc; Duke makes 40.3% behind arc, 5th in country. Appling hurt his shoulder last week, is expected to play here.

Bill Self is 5-1 (3-3 vs spread) in Sweet 16 games at Kansas, winning by 15-3-15-20-3 points, losing only to Michigan State (-2.5) in '09- they've won 12 of last 13 games (lost at Baylor), winning first two tourney tilts by 7-12, allowing 57.5 ppg. Michigan beat K-State by 14, West Virginia by 15 in its two games vs Big X teams; Wolverines won first two games in NCAAs by 15-25 points after going 6-6 in last 12 regular season tilts. #1 seeds are 15-18 vs spread in this round when facing a 4-5 seed (8-2 vs others). Michigan is young (#339 in experience), doesn't sub much (#325 in bench minutes) but their 54.6 eFG% is #11 in country. Jayhawk foes shoot just 38.7% inside arc; Michigan better make some 3-pointers.

Florida Gulf Coast is first 15-seed to get this far; they beat pair of teams last week (Hoyas/Aztecs) that struggle on offense, now Florida (28-1 in games decided by 10+ points, 0-6 in games decided by less than 10) are presenting a different problem- Gators shoot 38.3% from arc, 55.1% on 2-pointers are #28 in experience. FGCU has five losses to teams ranked outside top 200, but not now; this confident, athletic team has only two seniors in its rotation, but Comer is superior PG who has Eagles running and playing with swagger. Florida won its last five Sweet 16 games (4-1 vs spread) winning by 9-4-8-9-10 points. Hard to go against the Eagles here, but when Cinderella goes down, it often goes down by a big score.




NCAAB

Thursday, March 28

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Trend Report
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7:15 PM
MARQUETTE vs. MIAMI
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 10 games
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

7:47 PM
ARIZONA vs. OHIO STATE
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Ohio State's last 10 games
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

9:45 PM
SYRACUSE vs. INDIANA
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games
Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

10:17 PM
LA SALLE vs. WICHITA STATE
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wichita State's last 6 games
Wichita State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games


Friday, March 29

7:15 PM
OREGON vs. LOUISVILLE
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisville's last 5 games
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

7:37 PM
MICHIGAN vs. KANSAS
No trends available
Kansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

9:45 PM
MICHIGAN STATE vs. DUKE
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Duke's last 5 games when playing Michigan State
Duke is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

9:57 PM
FLORIDA GULF COAST vs. FLORIDA
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Florida's last 11 games
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games


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NCAAB

Thursday, March 28

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NCAA tournament East Regional: Semifinal betting previews
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Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Miami Hurricanes (-5, 127)

After both survived scares last weekend, the road will end for either third-seeded Marquette or second-seeded Miami when they clash Thursday in the NCAA Tournament round of 16 in Washington, D.C. The Hurricanes continued their charmed season by holding off Illinois 63-59 on Sunday, reaching the Sweet 16 for only the second time. They have never advanced to the Elite Eight, but will have to do so without reserve C Reggie Johnson, who underwent arthroscopic knee surgery Tuesday.

The Golden Eagles are in the Sweet 16 for the third straight year, but they haven't advanced past this point since a Final Four run in 2003. Marquette was fortunate to get out of the round of 64, needing a late rally to fend off upset-minded Davidson 59-58, and the Golden Eagles denied another challenge in a 74-72 win over Butler on Saturday. The teams have split four all-time meetings and are squaring off for the first time since 1989.

TV: 7:15 p.m. ET, CBS

ABOUT MARQUETTE (25-8, 13-15-1 ATS): The Golden Eagles have been forced to rally in the second half of their first two games in the tournament, and junior guard Vander Blue has been the hero in both. Blue made the winning basket in the final seconds against Davidson and poured in 29 points against Butler. "We had two close games - we had a lot of those this year," Blue told reporters. "What we went through earlier this year prepared us." They ought to expect another tight contest in a matchup of defensive-minded teams. Blue and junior forward Jamil Wilson are the only Marquette players averaging double-digit scoring in the tournament.

ABOUT MIAMI (29-6, 21-10-1 ATS): The Hurricanes already have enjoyed what could be described as the best season in school history, winning the ACC regular-season and tournament titles, and they're not ready to send off six seniors yet. "Words can't describe it," forward Julian Gamble told reporters. "It is the first time (in the Sweet 16) for our school since the year 2000. To be going with this group of guys and continue with this dream season of sorts is really hard to put into words right now. We are really excited about the opportunity." Junior Rion Brown helped keep the season going with 21 points against Illinois, as the Hurricanes overcame a tough offensive night from senior Durand Scott. There's a chance Johnson could return if Miami reaches the Final Four.

TRENDS:

* Golden Eagles are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Under is 6-2 in Golden Eagles' last eight NCAA Tournament games.
* Over is 7-1 in Hurricanes' last eight NCAA Tournament games.

TIP-INS:

1. In five postseason games, Miami's Shane Larkin, Trey McKinney Jones, Scott and Brown all are averaging more than nine points, have hit 10 or more 3-pointers and are shooting better than 80 percent from the foul line.

2. Marquette is 4-6 this season when trailing at halftime, including two wins in the NCAA Tournament. The Golden Eagles are 20-1 when leading at half and 1-1 when tied at the break.

3. The Verizon Center is the same site where Miami coach Jim Larranaga led George Mason to the Final Four in 2006. The Patriots beat Wichita State in the regional semifinals and Connecticut in the regional final in Washington, D.C.


Indiana Hoosiers vs. Syracuse Orange (+5.5, 135.5)

It has been more than a quarter-century since Indiana and Syracuse created one of the most memorable finishes in national championship history. The two basketball powers will meet again in the NCAA Tournament for the first time since – this time in the East Regional semifinals – on Thursday in Washington D.C. In 1987, the Hoosiers’ Keith Smart drained a 16-foot jumper from the left baseline in the final seconds against the Orange, giving Indiana its last NCAA title. The Hoosiers reached their second consecutive Sweet 16 for the first time in school history Sunday after rallying in the final minutes to defeat Temple 58-52.

Like Indiana, the Orange survived their own third-round scare, pulling out a 66-60 victory over California despite 15 missed free throws and a second-half field-goal drought that lasted 12:09. “It was not pretty. Honestly, I don't think I can describe it. It was about as ugly as I think it can get,” Syracuse coach Jim Boeheim said following the game. The winner will face either Miami (Fla.) or Marquette in the Elite Eight on Saturday.

TV: 9:45 p.m. ET, CBS

ABOUT SYRACUSE (28-9, 18-15-0 ATS): Although he did not find out about it until after the game, Michael Carter-Williams’ home in Massachusetts was destroyed by fire Saturday, approximately at the same time the Orange were on the court with the Golden Bears in San Jose, Calif. Syracuse held Pac-12 Player of the Year Allen Crabbe to eight points and nine field-goal attempts – each mark two shy of his season low. The Bears also shot 4-for-21 beyond the arc. Defending the 3-point shot will be pivotal against the Hoosiers, who rank third in the country beyond the arc (40.8 percent) and feature three starters who knock down at least 43 percent of their 3-point attempts.

ABOUT INDIANA (29-6, 17-15-1 ATS): Victor Oladipo was named one of four finalists for the Naismith Award on Sunday and promptly closed out the Hoosiers’ victory over Temple by converting the tiebreaking free throw and a critical insurance 3-pointer with 14 seconds remaining. The Big Ten Defensive Player of the Year will enjoy a homecoming of sorts this week in the nation’s capital, which is a short drive from Oladipo’s hometown of Upper Marlboro, Md. The 58 points against the Owls matched the Hoosiers’ second-lowest output of the season and marked the first time the third-highest scoring team in the country won a game in which they scored fewer than 66 points.

TRENDS:

* Orange are 2-5 ATS in their last seven NCAA Tournament games.
* Hoosiers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four NCAA Tournament games.
* Over is 5-2 in Orange last seven neutral site games.
* Under is 5-2 in Hoosiers last seven overall.

TIP-INS:

1. Indiana is 11-1 all-time as a No. 1 seed, with the resulting .916 winning percentage the best such mark for a top seed in NCAA Tournament history.

2. Boeheim’s 50 NCAA Tournament victories rank fourth all-time.

3. The Hoosiers are the sixth-best shooting team in the country (48.6 percent) while the Orange own the third-best field-goal defense (37.3).


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NCAAB

Thursday, March 28

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NCAA tournament West Regional: Semifinal betting previews
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Arizona Wildcats vs. Ohio State Buckeyes (-3.5, 134)

The longstanding friendship between Arizona coach Sean Miller and Ohio State coach Thad Matta will be set aside Thursday when the sixth-seeded Wildcats and No. 2 Buckeyes collide in the NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 in Los Angeles. Miller and Matta became friends while serving on the Miami (Ohio) staff of Herb Sendek, currently the head coach at Arizona State. Their 12th-seeded RedHawks upset fifth-seeded Arizona in the 1995 NCAA Tournament.

Matta later hired Miller as his assistant at Xavier, where Miller took over after Matta left for Ohio State in 2004. They met on opposite ends of the floor once before, in the second round of the 2007 NCAA Tournament, with the top-seeded Buckeyes prevailing in overtime against No. 9 Xavier. This matchup looks to be similarly close, as Ohio State enters on a 10-game winning streak but could be vulnerable against Arizona’s size. Amir Williams, a 6-11 sophomore center, is the only player taller than 6-8 for the Buckeyes, but he's been limited to 16.5 minutes. The Wildcats, meanwhile, feature 7-foot freshman center Kaleb Tarczewski in the starting lineup with freshmen forwards Grant Jerrett (6-10) and Brandon Ashley (6-8) off the bench.

TV: 7:47 p.m. ET, TBS.

ABOUT ARIZONA (27-7, 16-16-0 ATS): Mark Lyons has already accomplished something no other player in NCAA history done, advancing to two straight Sweet 16s with different teams. Lyons, a 6-1 senior point guard, led Xavier to the quarterfinals last season before moving to Arizona in the offseason as a graduate transfer. He also helped the Musketeers to the Sweet 16 as a freshman before they lost in double overtime to Kansas State. Lyons has been playing his best basketball of the season lately. He’s averaging 25 points through the first two tournament games and has turned the ball over twice in each of the last four games.

ABOUT OHIO STATE (28-7, 20-12-1 ATS): Aaron Craft missed three free throws in the final 4:40 of Sunday’s game against 10th-seeded Iowa State but saved the Buckeyes by drawing a controversial charge with 1:41 remaining and then sinking a 3-pointer with one second left in the 78-75 victory. His defense on Lyons will be key in the West Regional semifinal. Some opposing coaches consider Craft the best defensive guard in the country. “You can’t simulate the defensive pressure of Craft in practice. He’s like having two guys on you,” Northern Kentucky coach Dave Bezold said after a loss to the Buckeyes back in December.

TRENDS:

* Wildcats are 5-0 ATS in their last five NCAA Tournament games.
* Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last six neutral-site games.
* Under is 22-10-1 in Wildcats' last 33 overall.
* Under is 7-3 in Buckeyes' last 10 overall.

TIP-INS:

1. Ohio State forward Deshaun Thomas is averaging 23 points through the first two tournament games after leading all players in scoring at last season’s NCAA Tournament (19.2).

2. Ohio State and Arizona have met once previously, a 90-47 victory by the Buckeyes during the 1972-73 season.

3. With his next appearance, Arizona State senior forward Solomon Hill will tie the school record for most games played (139). Kyle Fogg set the current mark from 2008-12.

La Salle Explorers vs. Wichita State Shockers (-4, 135.5)

Either Wichita State or La Salle will be playing for a spot in the Final Four. The ninth-seeded Shockers and 13th-seeded Explorers are unlikely opponents in Thursday’s Sweet 16 contest in Los Angeles and the winner advances to Saturday’s West Regional final. Wichita State shocked top-seeded Gonzaga in the round of 32, while La Salle won three days in five games and advanced to the Sweet 16 with a 76-74 victory over Mississippi.

Explorers coach John Giannini refuses to buy into the notion that the Explorers are a “Cinderella” after their unlikely string of victories that began with wins over Boise State and Kansas State. “What people label us, we really try not to acknowledge it,” Giannini said. Wichita State routed Pittsburgh before posting the 76-70 victory over the Bulldogs, and the Shockers are very much aware that few people expected them to reach the Sweet 16 for the first time since 2006. “You hear stuff and people come up to you saying, ‘What do you think about 70 percent of America has you losing the first game?’” junior forward Cleanthony Early said. “You have to avoid everyone’s opinion and go out there and play hard.”

TV: 10:17 p.m. ET, TBS

ABOUT WICHITA STATE (28-8, 17-14-2 ATS): Freshman guard Ron Baker joined Early in having a big game in the slaying of Gonzaga. Both players scored 16 points and made four 3-pointers but Baker’s effort stood out for two reasons – it fell two points shy of his career-best output and it was only his fifth game since returning from a foot injury that sidelined him for 21 games. “Those 21 games were a long 21 games, I’ll just say that,” said Baker, who is averaging 8.3 points in 15 games. Early averages a team-best 13.9 points, senior forward Carl Hall averages 12.6 points and a team-high 6.9 rebounds and senior guard Malcolm Armstead contributes 10.6 points and a team-best four assists.

ABOUT LA SALLE (24-9, 15-12-2 ATS): Fatigue hasn’t yet been an issue for the Explorers despite the fact the team had to travel to Kansas City after winning their first outing in Dayton, Ohio. “At this point, you’re too young to be getting tired,” junior guard Tyreek Duren said. “You don’t really have time to get tired at this point. You wake up and win games.” Duren had 19 points against Ole Miss and ranks second on the squad in scoring at 14.5 points. Senior guard Ramon Galloway scored 24 points against the Rebels and averages a team-best 17.4 points. Junior guard Tyrone Garland averages 12.8 points and scored 17 against Ole Miss, including the game-winning basket on a driving shot with two seconds left.

TRENDS:

* Explorers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven non-conference games.
* Shockers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.
* Over is 7-3 in Explorers' last 10 overall.
* Over is 5-1 in Shockers' last 6 overall.

TIP-INS:

1. Wichita State last advanced to a regional final in 1981. La Salle played in back-to-back title games in 1954-55 and won the 1954 championship game.

2. Five Explorers have 30 or more steals, led by Galloway (63) and Duren (56).

3. The Shockers made 14 3-pointers in the upset of Gonzaga, tying for second-most in school history

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24232 Followers:32
03/28/2013 03:57 PM

NCAAB

Thursday, March 28

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NCAA tournament West Regional: Semifinal betting previews
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Arizona Wildcats vs. Ohio State Buckeyes (-3.5, 134)

The longstanding friendship between Arizona coach Sean Miller and Ohio State coach Thad Matta will be set aside Thursday when the sixth-seeded Wildcats and No. 2 Buckeyes collide in the NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 in Los Angeles. Miller and Matta became friends while serving on the Miami (Ohio) staff of Herb Sendek, currently the head coach at Arizona State. Their 12th-seeded RedHawks upset fifth-seeded Arizona in the 1995 NCAA Tournament.

Matta later hired Miller as his assistant at Xavier, where Miller took over after Matta left for Ohio State in 2004. They met on opposite ends of the floor once before, in the second round of the 2007 NCAA Tournament, with the top-seeded Buckeyes prevailing in overtime against No. 9 Xavier. This matchup looks to be similarly close, as Ohio State enters on a 10-game winning streak but could be vulnerable against Arizona’s size. Amir Williams, a 6-11 sophomore center, is the only player taller than 6-8 for the Buckeyes, but he's been limited to 16.5 minutes. The Wildcats, meanwhile, feature 7-foot freshman center Kaleb Tarczewski in the starting lineup with freshmen forwards Grant Jerrett (6-10) and Brandon Ashley (6-8) off the bench.

TV: 7:47 p.m. ET, TBS.

ABOUT ARIZONA (27-7, 16-16-0 ATS): Mark Lyons has already accomplished something no other player in NCAA history done, advancing to two straight Sweet 16s with different teams. Lyons, a 6-1 senior point guard, led Xavier to the quarterfinals last season before moving to Arizona in the offseason as a graduate transfer. He also helped the Musketeers to the Sweet 16 as a freshman before they lost in double overtime to Kansas State. Lyons has been playing his best basketball of the season lately. He’s averaging 25 points through the first two tournament games and has turned the ball over twice in each of the last four games.

ABOUT OHIO STATE (28-7, 20-12-1 ATS): Aaron Craft missed three free throws in the final 4:40 of Sunday’s game against 10th-seeded Iowa State but saved the Buckeyes by drawing a controversial charge with 1:41 remaining and then sinking a 3-pointer with one second left in the 78-75 victory. His defense on Lyons will be key in the West Regional semifinal. Some opposing coaches consider Craft the best defensive guard in the country. “You can’t simulate the defensive pressure of Craft in practice. He’s like having two guys on you,” Northern Kentucky coach Dave Bezold said after a loss to the Buckeyes back in December.

TRENDS:

* Wildcats are 5-0 ATS in their last five NCAA Tournament games.
* Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last six neutral-site games.
* Under is 22-10-1 in Wildcats' last 33 overall.
* Under is 7-3 in Buckeyes' last 10 overall.

TIP-INS:

1. Ohio State forward Deshaun Thomas is averaging 23 points through the first two tournament games after leading all players in scoring at last season’s NCAA Tournament (19.2).

2. Ohio State and Arizona have met once previously, a 90-47 victory by the Buckeyes during the 1972-73 season.

3. With his next appearance, Arizona State senior forward Solomon Hill will tie the school record for most games played (139). Kyle Fogg set the current mark from 2008-12.

La Salle Explorers vs. Wichita State Shockers (-4, 135.5)

Either Wichita State or La Salle will be playing for a spot in the Final Four. The ninth-seeded Shockers and 13th-seeded Explorers are unlikely opponents in Thursday’s Sweet 16 contest in Los Angeles and the winner advances to Saturday’s West Regional final. Wichita State shocked top-seeded Gonzaga in the round of 32, while La Salle won three days in five games and advanced to the Sweet 16 with a 76-74 victory over Mississippi.

Explorers coach John Giannini refuses to buy into the notion that the Explorers are a “Cinderella” after their unlikely string of victories that began with wins over Boise State and Kansas State. “What people label us, we really try not to acknowledge it,” Giannini said. Wichita State routed Pittsburgh before posting the 76-70 victory over the Bulldogs, and the Shockers are very much aware that few people expected them to reach the Sweet 16 for the first time since 2006. “You hear stuff and people come up to you saying, ‘What do you think about 70 percent of America has you losing the first game?’” junior forward Cleanthony Early said. “You have to avoid everyone’s opinion and go out there and play hard.”

TV: 10:17 p.m. ET, TBS

ABOUT WICHITA STATE (28-8, 17-14-2 ATS): Freshman guard Ron Baker joined Early in having a big game in the slaying of Gonzaga. Both players scored 16 points and made four 3-pointers but Baker’s effort stood out for two reasons – it fell two points shy of his career-best output and it was only his fifth game since returning from a foot injury that sidelined him for 21 games. “Those 21 games were a long 21 games, I’ll just say that,” said Baker, who is averaging 8.3 points in 15 games. Early averages a team-best 13.9 points, senior forward Carl Hall averages 12.6 points and a team-high 6.9 rebounds and senior guard Malcolm Armstead contributes 10.6 points and a team-best four assists.

ABOUT LA SALLE (24-9, 15-12-2 ATS): Fatigue hasn’t yet been an issue for the Explorers despite the fact the team had to travel to Kansas City after winning their first outing in Dayton, Ohio. “At this point, you’re too young to be getting tired,” junior guard Tyreek Duren said. “You don’t really have time to get tired at this point. You wake up and win games.” Duren had 19 points against Ole Miss and ranks second on the squad in scoring at 14.5 points. Senior guard Ramon Galloway scored 24 points against the Rebels and averages a team-best 17.4 points. Junior guard Tyrone Garland averages 12.8 points and scored 17 against Ole Miss, including the game-winning basket on a driving shot with two seconds left.

TRENDS:

* Explorers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven non-conference games.
* Shockers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.
* Over is 7-3 in Explorers' last 10 overall.
* Over is 5-1 in Shockers' last 6 overall.

TIP-INS:

1. Wichita State last advanced to a regional final in 1981. La Salle played in back-to-back title games in 1954-55 and won the 1954 championship game.

2. Five Explorers have 30 or more steals, led by Galloway (63) and Duren (56).

3. The Shockers made 14 3-pointers in the upset of Gonzaga, tying for second-most in school history

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24232 Followers:32
03/28/2013 04:31 PM

Thursday, March 28

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Marquette - 7:15 PM ET Marquette +5.5 500
Miami-Florida - Over 126.5 500 POD # 1

Arizona - 7:47 PM ET Ohio St. -3.5 500 POD # 2
Ohio St. - Over 134 500

Syracuse - 9:45 PM ET Indiana -5 500 POD # 3
Indiana - Under 136 500

La Salle - 10:17 PM ET La Salle +4.5 500 POD # 4
Wichita St. - Under 134 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24232 Followers:32
03/30/2013 01:46 PM

Saturday, March 30

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Syracuse - 4:30 PM ET Syracuse -5 500
Marquette - Under 128 500 POD # 5

Evansville - 5:00 PM ET East Carolina +1.5 500
East Carolina - Under 150.5 POD # 6
500
Wichita St. - 7:05 PM ET Ohio St. -4 500 POD # 1
Ohio St. - Over 130 500 POD # 2

Weber St. - 8:00 PM ET Weber St. +4.5 500 POD # n3
Northern Iowa - Over 137.5 500 POD # 4

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24232 Followers:32
03/30/2013 01:51 PM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Wichita State vs. Ohio State
The Shockers look to build on their 6-2 ATS record in their last 8 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600. Wichita State is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Buckeyes favored by only 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Wichita State (+4 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

SATURDAY, MARCH 30

Game 521-522: Syracuse vs. Marquette (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 71.864; Marquette 69.712
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 2; 132
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 4 1/2; 127 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marquette (+4 1/2); Over

Game 523-524: Wichita State vs. Ohio State (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wichita State 71.298; Ohio State 73.639
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 2 1/2; 127
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 4 1/2; 131 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wichita State (+4 1/2); Under

Game 525-526: Evansville at East Carolina (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Evansville 63.153; East Carolina 59.233
Dunkel Line: Evansville by 4; 146
Vegas Line: Evansville by 1 1/2; 151 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Evansville (-1 1/2); Under

Game 527-528: Weber State at Northern Iowa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 63.566; Northern Iowa 64.399
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 1; 140
Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 4; 136 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Weber State (+4); Over




NCAAB
Long Sheet

Saturday, March 30

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SYRACUSE (29 - 9) vs. MARQUETTE (26 - 8) - 3/30/2013, 4:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 71-97 ATS (-35.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 244-200 ATS (+24.0 Units) in all games since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 244-200 ATS (+24.0 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 51-29 ATS (+19.1 Units) in road games on Saturday games since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 189-145 ATS (+29.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 113-84 ATS (+20.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARQUETTE is 4-0 against the spread versus SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
MARQUETTE is 3-1 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WICHITA ST (29 - 8) vs. OHIO ST (29 - 7) - 3/30/2013, 6:55 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 263-216 ATS (+25.4 Units) in all games since 1997.
OHIO ST is 263-216 ATS (+25.4 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
OHIO ST is 182-142 ATS (+25.8 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
OHIO ST is 45-25 ATS (+17.5 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
OHIO ST is 203-157 ATS (+30.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
OHIO ST is 132-97 ATS (+25.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
WICHITA ST is 49-31 ATS (+14.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
WICHITA ST is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
WICHITA ST is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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EVANSVILLE (21 - 14) at E CAROLINA (21 - 12) - 3/30/2013, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EVANSVILLE is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
EVANSVILLE is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
EVANSVILLE is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
EVANSVILLE is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
EVANSVILLE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
E CAROLINA is 162-201 ATS (-59.1 Units) in all games since 1997.
E CAROLINA is 162-201 ATS (-59.1 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
E CAROLINA is 67-93 ATS (-35.3 Units) in all home games since 1997.
E CAROLINA is 67-93 ATS (-35.3 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
E CAROLINA is 63-99 ATS (-45.9 Units) on Saturday games since 1997.
E CAROLINA is 50-80 ATS (-38.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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WEBER ST (29 - 6) at N IOWA (21 - 14) - 3/30/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WEBER ST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
WEBER ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
WEBER ST is 84-55 ATS (+23.5 Units) on Saturday games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, March 30

Saturday's games
Marquette (+1.5) beat Syracuse 74-71 at home Feb 25, game they trailed by 11 in first half; Eagles outscored Orange 29-5 on foul line, making 29-35, while SU was just 5-7- both teams shot 57%+ inside arc. Gardner scored 27 points off bench for Marquette (7-7 from floor, 12-14 on foul line). Marquette held Miami to 35% Thursday in 71-61 win, playing a whole lot better than they did last week in two narrow wins. Syracuse won its three tourney games by 47-6-11 points- they're 3-2 in regional finals since '87, losing LY to Ohio State in this round. Since 2003, dogs covered last five regional finals with neither a #1 or #2 seed in them. Marquette (+5) upset Syracuse 66-62 in second round of '11 tourney.

Over last 17 years, underdogs are 9-8 in West region final (12-3 last 15 vs spread); Wichita State won 10 of last 13 games; they beat Iowa by 12 on neutral court Nov 21, its only game by Big Dozen foe. Shockers won first three tourney games by 18-6-14 points, wiith no opponent making more than 35.7% of its shots from floor. Ohio State won its last two games by 2-3 points- they've won 11 games in row since 71-49 loss at Wisconsin Feb 17. Buckeyes played four starters 30+ minutes in last games Thursday, couple subs got 14+ minutes- Ross had 17 points in 18 minutes off bench. OSU beat Memphis/Syracuse in regional finals in last six years. Wichita trying to be first Final Four team from MVC since Larry Bird's Indiana State team in '79.

Other tournaments
Evansville won seven of last eight games (lost by point to Indiana State in MVC tourney), with three of seven wins on road- they scored 84+ in last four wins. East Carolina won its last five home games- they haven't left home in this tournament, after losing at Tulsa in C-USA tourney.

Weber State won 16 of last 17 games, with only loss at Montana by 3 in Big Sky tourney final; this is Wildcats' first road game since then, with home wins by 42-21-9 since then. Northern Iowa won home games by 11-12-14 in this event; they've won 10 of last 13 overall, are 2-0 vs Big Sky teams this year, beating North Dakota by 25, No Colorado by 17.




NCAAB

Saturday, March 30

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Trend Report
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4:30 PM
SYRACUSE vs. MARQUETTE
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Marquette's last 5 games
Marquette is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

5:00 PM
EVANSVILLE vs. EAST CAROLINA
Evansville is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games on the road
East Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of East Carolina's last 16 games

7:05 PM
WICHITA STATE vs. OHIO STATE
No trends available
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ohio State's last 6 games

8:00 PM
WEBER STATE vs. NORTHERN IOWA
Weber State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Northern Iowa is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
Northern Iowa is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home


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NCAAB

Saturday, March 30

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Syracuse vs. Marquette: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Syracuse Orange (-3.5, 128)

The conference that is disintegrating due to the realignment chaos is assured of having a team in the Final Four. Big East mates Syracuse and Marquette square off Saturday in Washington D.C. in the East Regional final, marking the first time since 2009 that teams from the same conference will compete for a Final Four berth. The fourth-seeded Orange dominated top-seeded Indiana on Thursday while third-seeded Marquette thrashed second-seeded Miami.

The Golden Eagles defeated Syracuse 74-71 on Feb. 25 in the lone regular-season meeting. Marquette squeezed past Davidson and Butler in its first two NCAA Tournament games, which made the rout of the Hurricanes particularly impressive. “They dominated a team that won the regular-season ACC and the ACC tournament,” Orange coach Jim Boeheim said. “Tremendous team and Marquette dominated the game.” Syracuse frustrated Indiana 61-50 after posting earlier tournament victories over Montana and California. Golden Eagles junior guard Vander Blue knows his team will be the underdog. “We’re used to people not giving us credit, saying we were no good,” Blue said. “If you were to look at our roster, no one would expect us to be an Elite Eight team.” The last time conference foes battled for a Final Four spot also featured two Big East squads – Villanova defeating Pittsburgh.

TV: 4:30 p.m. ET, CBS.

ABOUT MARQUETTE (26-8): The Golden Eagles are led by Blue, but feature a wealth of contributors who are capable of stepping up at any time. Junior forward Jamil Wilson had 16 points and eight rebounds against Miami, while Blue and junior reserve forward Davante Gardner contributed 14 points apiece. In fact, Gardner’s 11.4 average is second on the squad behind Blue’s 14.8. Wilson averages 9.9 points, senior guard Junior Cadougan averages 8.6 and senior wing Trent Lockett contributes 7.2 points and a team-best 5.1 rebounds. A blue-collar mentality sometimes leads to Marquette being overshadowed by more talented teams. “We want to keep being the hunters,” Blue said. “We don’t want to be the hunted.”

ABOUT SYRACUSE (29-9): Sophomore point guard Michael Carter-Williams had a spectacular game against Indiana with a career-best 24 points to go with six rebounds and four steals. “This was the best he’s played all year,” Boeheim said. “He was tremendous. He was the difference in the game on offense, clearly.” Williams ranks fourth on the Orange at 12.1 points per game while averaging a team-best 7.5 assists. He has 104 steals, one of three players nationally with 100 or more. Junior forward C.J. Fair averages a team-high 14.4 points and also grabs a team-leading seven rebounds per game, while senior guard Brandon Triche (13.8) and senior forward James Southerland (13.4) also score in double digits.

TRENDS:

* Orange are 0-5 ATS in their last five Saturday games.
* Over is 4-0 in Golden Eagles’ last four games following a win.
* Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Orange are 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings.

TIP-INS

1. Gardner scored 26 points in Marquette’s February win over the Orange. Fair scored 20 to lead Syracuse.

2. Syracuse is attempting to reach the Final Four for the first time since the Carmelo Anthony-led team won the 2003 national title.

3. Marquette is also vying to return to the Final Four for the first time since 2003, when Dwyane Wade was the team’s star player.


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NCAAB

Saturday, March 30

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Wichita State vs. Ohio State: What bettors need to know
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Wichita State Shockers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes (-4, 130)

Ohio State has become accustomed to coming up with critical shots late in the NCAA Tournament in its quest for a second consecutive Final Four. Wichita State has simply played big as it pursues a regional final victory for the second time in school history. The teams meet for the first time since 1963 on Saturday in Los Angeles for the right to represent the West Region in the Final Four.

For the second straight game, Ohio State drained a 3-pointer in the waning seconds to break a tie and advance. After Ohio State used a 3-pointer from Aaron Craft to break Iowa State’s heart on Sunday, LaQuinton Ross hit one to sink Arizona on Thursday. The Buckeyes will put their 11-game winning streak on the line against the Shockers, who followed their upset win over top-seeded Gonzaga last Saturday with an impressive victory over La Salle on Thursday.

TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, CBS.

ABOUT WICHITA STATE (29-8): Carl Hall dominated the undersized Explorers inside, hitting his first five shots and scoring 14 of his 16 points inside the paint. The Shockers recorded 40 points in the paint against La Salle and took 43 shots inside, the most such attempts for a team in this tournament. Wichita State’s tournament opponents – Pittsburgh, Gonzaga and La Salle – each entered their games with the Shockers shooting at least 45 percent, but the teams combined to shoot 35.5 percent against the Missouri Valley Conference’s top-ranked field-goal percentage defense.

ABOUT OHIO STATE (29-7): Unlike the play that left Craft open for a 3-pointer against the Cyclones, the pivotal moment in the win Thursday came when Arizona overcommitted to the Buckeyes’ point guard. "It was similar to the play we ran last game," Ross said. "We like to get the (big men) on a pick-and-roll. It so happened they messed up the switch there and I was able to knock down the shot." Perhaps one of the biggest turnarounds the team has made lately is beyond the arc. In three NCAA Tournament games, Ohio State is a combined 23-for-46 (50 percent) from the 3-point line after shooting 35.9 percent over its first 33 contests.

TRENDS:

* Shockers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Under is 6-0 in Buckeyes’ last six Saturday games.
* Over is 4-1 in Shockers’ last five non-conference games.
* Shockers are 4-0 ATS in their last four non-conference games.

TIP-INS

1. Craft and Ross are two of only four players in this tournament to make a potential game-tying or go-ahead field goal in the final 10 seconds of a game.

2. Wichita State, one win shy of its first 30-win season, is seeking its first Final Four since 1965.

3. The Buckeyes are 8-2 all-time as a No. 2 seed in the NCAA Tournament.


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NCAAB

Saturday, March 30

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NCAA's biggest betting mismatches: Saturday's Elite Eight
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Syracuse Orange vs. Marquette Golden Eagles (+3, 127)

Orange’s flat final 20 vs. Golden Eagles’ halftime adjustments

Marquette won the lone meeting with the Orange this season, putting together a strong second-half push to win 74-71 as a 1.5-point home underdog in February. Second-half adjustments are the Golden Eagles’ calling card in March, having won in comeback fashion in their first two NCAA games, versus Davidson and Butler, before steamrolling Miami Thursday.

Syracuse has been a poor second-half squad all season. The Orange ranked fifth in the country in first half margin (+8.7) but ran out of steam in the final 20 minutes, boasting an average margin of just +3.4. The Orange were outscored in the second half versus Indiana and Cal – which resulted in a backdoor cover for the Golden Bears - and who can forget their embarrassing 16-point collapse to Louisville in the conference title game. It’s enough to turn Orange bettors green.


Wichita State Shockers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes (-6.5, 132)

Shockers’ deep bench vs. Buckeyes’ short reserves

Just like a swarm of bugs, the Shockers have strength in numbers. Wichita State head coach Gregg Marshall rolls out wave after wave of players, frustrating foes with their pressure defense and physical play. Just like a boxer working the body, WSU’s “Play Angry” philosophy wears on opponents and leaves them gasping for air come crunch time. The Shockers have gone at least 10 deep into their bench in each of their tournament games.

Ohio State head coach Thad Matta is not as trusting with his reserves. The Buckeyes have water wings on when it comes to their bench and try not to go too deep. They usually run an eight-man rotation and only two of those backups - Shannon Scott and LaQuinton Ross – get serious minutes. The grind of the tournament will never be more prominent for OSU than against the relentless Shockers Saturday. The Buckeyes have to avoid early foul trouble, especially PG Aaron Craft who picked up four personals versus Arizona.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24232 Followers:32
03/30/2013 02:04 PM

NCAAB
Short Sheet

Saturday, March 30

NCAA Tournament, Elite Eight

Syracuse vs. Marquette, 4:30 ET CBS
Syracuse: 9-2 ATS off BB non-conference games
Marquette: 4-11 ATS off BB SU wins

Wichita State vs. Ohio State, 7:05 ET CBS
Wichita State: 4-18 ATS as a neutral court underdog of 6 points or less
Ohio State: 22-10 ATS away after having 9 or less assists


CIT Tournament, Semifinals

Evansville at East Carolina, 5:00 ET
Evansville: 14-1 ATS off 3+ games scoring 75+ points
East Carolina: 12-25 ATS at home off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games

Weber State at Northern Iowa, 8:00 ET
Weber State: 7-1 ATS after winning 4 of their last 5 games
Northern Iowa: 30-15 Under in tournament games
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Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24232 Followers:32
03/31/2013 02:19 PM

Sunday's Elite Eight

March 30, 2013


The Final Four takes place next Saturday at the Georgia Dome in Atlanta, as two more spots need to be filled out on the dance card. Four big-time programs look to advance to the Peach State, as Florida takes on Michigan, while Duke battles Louisville. We'll begin in the Lone Star State with two schools that have gotten together for bowl games, but not tournament showdowns.

South Regional

(3) Florida vs. (4) Michigan - 2:20 PM EST - CBS

Both the Gators and Wolverines had to rally from double-digit deficits on Friday night to advance to the Elite Eight, but both squads put together their comebacks in different ways. Florida erased an early 15-4 deficit to upstart Florida Gulf Coast en route to a 62-50 victory, but the Gators didn't cash as 14-point favorites. Meanwhile, Michigan pulled off a bit more dramatic rally to reach the round of eight.

Kansas sat two minutes away from the regional final, but the Jayhawks squandered a 10-point lead late in regulation as Trey Burke's three-pointer in the final seconds forced overtime. The Wolverines responded in the extra session by capping off a 33-17 run in a 12-minute span to upend the Jayhawks, 87-85 to cash as 1 ½-point underdogs. Burke put the Wolverines on his back by scoring 13 points in a 5 ½-minute stretch, giving Michigan its first Elite Eight appearance since 1994.

The Gators covered in their first two tournament games in victories over Northwestern State and Minnesota, while Billy Donovan's team failed to knock down some key free throws in the final seconds in the non-cover against Florida Gulf Coast. Florida fell to 6-11 ATS the last 17 games, but eight of those ATS defeats came as 'chalk' of 10 points or more. As a favorite of single-digits, the Gators own a mediocre 3-4 ATS record, including outright losses away from Gainesville against Kentucky, Missouri, and Arizona.

Michigan closed the regular season with a 1-9 ATS record in the final 10 games, but John Beilein's club has cashed four of five postseason contests (including the Big 10 tournament). The Wolverines are just 2-2 ATS this season when receiving points, as the Maize and Blue did lose outright at Indiana and Ohio State as underdogs. Michigan has trended towards the 'over' in the 'dog role, cashing three times in four opportunities.

Florida is listed at 2 ½-point favorites, while the total is set at 131.

Midwest Regional

(1) Louisville vs. (2) Duke - 5:05 PM EST - CBS

The only top-seed left in the tournament is Louisville, who plays with revenge after losing to Duke in the Bahamas back in November. The Cardinals won their 13th straight game following Friday's 77-69 Sweet 16 triumph over Oregon, but Louisville couldn't close for backers as 11-point favorites. Rick Pitino's squad led by 14 points at the half, as the Ducks grabbed a backdoor cover with a layup in the final 30 seconds.

Seth Curry lifted Duke's offense to a Sweet 16 triumph over Michigan State on Friday, 71-61 as two-point favorites. Curry scored a game-high 29 points, including six three-pointers, while the Blue Devils knocked down 24-of-26 free throws to ice the victory. The game barely finished 'under' the total of 132 ½, in spite of Duke hitting all eight free throws in the final two minutes.

The Blue Devils held off the Cardinals as 1-point underdogs at the Battle 4 Atlantis during Thanksgiving weekend, 76-71. Duke shot just 5-of-20 from three-point range, including a 2-of-9 effort from Curry. Louisville rallied from an eight-point deficit to make things interesting, but Quinn Cook scored the final eight points for Duke to hand the Cardinals their first loss of the season.

Since the start of February, Mike Kryzyewski's team has covered consecutive games four times. However, the Blue Devils were unable to cash in the third opportunity, including outright losses to Virginia and Maryland. Duke enters this situation off back-to-back ATS wins over Creighton and Michigan State.

During this 13-game hot streak, the Cardinals have drilled the 'over' in eight consecutive contests, while posting a 9-1 ATS record in the last 10 victories. This is the third time the Cardinals are playing with revenge this season, as the Big East champions won and covered against Syracuse and Notre Dame after losing to those teams earlier in the campaign.

Louisville is listed as 3 ½-point favorites, while the total is set at 137.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24232 Followers:32
03/31/2013 02:27 PM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Odds to win next fall's college football championship......

3-1-- Alabama-- Why not? They've won the last two years.

8-1-- Oregon-- Can the new coach maintain their momentum?

10-1-- LSU-- If Les Miles plays Scrabble, he probably tries to use words that don't exist, just to see if he can get away with it.

10-1-- Ohio State-- Urban Meyer's daughter plays volleyball at that noted sports factory, Florida Gulf Coast.

14-1-- Texas A&M-- Kind of high for a team with a sophomore QB-- oh wait, forget I said that (it was a JOKE!!!!).

15-1-- Florida and Florida State. Four SEC teams in the top seven.


*****

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday.......

13) Steve Alford to UCLA? Wow. He gets $2.6M a year for seven years and his son Bryce, who scored 37 ppg in high school this year, gets an upgrade from playing in the Pit to Pauley Pavilion, while still playing for his dad. So UCLA wins the press conference, hiring a famous name to replace the fired Ben Howland, who made it to three Final Fours in ten years.

12) Like we said, Howland made it to three Final Fours in Westwood; he won the Pac-12 regular season this year, was 25-10 and he got canned. There are significant expectations involved with coaching the Bruins. Alford seems to be a good coach but his record in the NCAAs is 5-7. Uh-oh.

11) Alford is hoping his assistant coach Craig Neal replaces him with the Lobos, since New Mexico has everyone back next year and figures to win the Mountain West again. New Mexico gets tremendous crowd support and they recruit well, so its a good job that also has high expectations.

10) Alford recently signed a 10-year extension at New Mexico, but these days, contracts don't mean much-- the extension was going to start Monday, but instead, New Mexico is looking for its new coach, and Alford is house shopping and then recruiting. Coaching is an interesting profession.

9) Wichita State has six players who played JC basketball; all three of their assistant coaches also once worked at junior colleges.

8) Not sure why, but it bothers me when TV announcers call Syracuse "the 'cuse". So many of ESPN's play-by-play guys went to Syracuse, can't help but think they get preferential treatment from the media. Lets see how the media deals with it when they go on probation soon, and they are going to go on probation, if half of what is being written is true.

7) All minor league baseball players have to wear the two-flap batting helmets now, but major leaguers don't have to.

6) One of these years, would be nice if A's didn't open the season with the Mariners, so they didn't have to see Felix Hernandez in the opener. In 2012, they played Seattle over in Japan, so they had to face Hernandez in both the first and third games. Not the best planning there.

5) It never ends: a horse ran at Golden Gate Saturday: Trust in Tebow.

4) Kevin Kolb gets $13M for two years from Buffalo; what has this guy done to keep getting paid so much money?

3) Syracuse 55, Marquette 39-- Eagles shot 22.6% from floor. Gardner was 6-9, rest of team was a miserable 6-44. Marquette played scared.

2) Wichita State 70, Ohio State 66-- Shockers led 53-33 with 11:30 left in game, hung on for dear life to become first #9 seed to make Final Four in 64-team era of tournament. Penn was a #9 seed that made it back in 1979.

1) Its a cold world; weird seeing Johan Santana getting released in our 16-team fantasy baseball league, and knowing no one will pick him up.
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Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: