cnotes Posts:23707 Followers:32
03/23/2013 10:01 AM

NCAAB

Saturday, March 23

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East Regional: Day 3 NCAAB betting preview
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(12) California Golden Bears vs. (4) Syracuse Orange (-7.5, 124.5)

Twelfth-seeded California scored an upset over Nevada-Las Vegas in the second round of the NCAA Tournament on Thursday. The Golden Bears’ reward for that is a date Saturday in San Jose, Calif., with No. 4 seed Syracuse, which put on one of the most impressive displays of the entire second round in a demolition of Montana. The Orange nearly set a school record with their 81-34 victory and will be looking to book a trip to the Sweet Sixteen for the fourth time in five years.

California has the benefit of being within 50 miles of its campus, and a strong support from the crowd was evident in the 64-61 victory over the Rebels. Syracuse had little trouble with the environment against the Grizzlies, but will have to contend with a more partisan crowd when it faces the Golden Bears. The Orange are on a roll after reaching the finals of the Big East tournament and leaned on senior guard Brandon Triche for 20 points Thursday.

TV: 9:40 p.m. ET, TBS

ABOUT CALIFORNIA (21-11): The Golden Bears benefited from something that Syracuse has employed for years in the win over UNLV - a zone defense. California’s zone led to an 11:23 stretch in which the Rebels failed to score and the Golden Bears surged out to a nine-point lead before holding on in the final minutes. California was one of the last at-large teams to make it into the NCAA Tournament and has not advanced to the Sweet Sixteen since 1997. Coach Mike Montgomery’s team has a pair of guards in Justin Cobb and Allen Crabbe that average a combined 34.1 points and will try to push the tempo. Crabbe, who was voted Pac-12 Player of the Year, led the way with 19 points and nine rebounds on Thursday.

ABOUT SYRACUSE (27-9): The Orange’s zone confounded Montana into 20.4 percent shooting in a performance that nearly set Syracuse school records for dominance. The 47-point margin of victory was two off the team’s NCAA Tournament record of 49 in a first round victory over Brown in 1986, and it set an NCAA Tournament record for the biggest win by a team seeded third or lower. Triche and Michael Carter-Williams form a backcourt strong enough to challenge Cobb and Crabbe, and the Orange have plenty of size on the interior as well. Syracuse seems to be recovered from a rough stretch at the end of the regular season that saw it drop four of five - all to ranked teams.

TRENDS:

* Golden Bears are 5-0 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
* Under is 5-0 in Golden Bears’ last five Saturday games.
* Under is 4-0 in Orange’s last four games following a win of more than 20 points.

TIP-INS

1. The Golden Bears have held five of their last seven opponents to less than 40 percent from the field.

2. Syracuse has never faced California in the NCAA Tournament and has not faced a Pac-12 team since beating Arizona State in the second round in 2009.

3. Orange F C.J. Fair is 9-of-12 from 3-point range in his last five games.

(6) Butler Bulldogs vs. (3) Marquette Golden Eagles (-2, 126)

After narrowly avoiding a second-round upset bid from Davidson, No. 3 Marquette plays No. 6 Butler on Saturday in the third round of the NCAA Tournament in Lexington, Ky. Vander Blue scored seven points in the final 1:33 - including the game-winning layup with one second left - as the Golden Eagles came back from a six-point deficit with 1:10 left to beat the Wildcats 59-58. Blue also hit a game-winning shot in Marquette’s regular-season finale against St. John’s to clinch a share of the Big East regular-season title. The Golden Eagles have won five of their last six games, but will have their hands full facing a Bulldogs team loaded with postseason experience.

Butler staved off 11th-seeded Bucknell 68-56, regularly double-teaming Bison star center Mike Muscala. Andrew Smith helped hold Muscala to nine points on 4-of-17 shooting and controlled the paint with 14 points and a career-high 16 rebounds. After one year away from the Big Dance, Butler is attempting to make its third Sweet 16 in four seasons - losing in back-to-back national championship games in 2010 and 2011. The Bulldogs beat Marquette 72-71 on Rotnei Clarke's 3-pointer at the buzzer on Nov. 19 at the Maui Invitational earlier this season.

TV: 7:45 p.m. ET, CBS

ABOUT MARQUETTE (24-8): Blue (14.4 points) has registered 16-plus points in three of his last four games, stepping up as the Golden Eagles’ go-to scoring option late in the fourth quarter. He and Jamil Wilson (9.6 points) combined for three 3-pointers in the final minute against Davidson, with Wilson’s second trey in the span pulling Marquette within one point with 10 seconds left. Davante Gardner adds 11.4 points on 58.4 percent shooting for the Golden Eagles, who are playing in their seventh consecutive NCAA Tournament and are looking for their third straight Sweet 16 appearance.

ABOUT BUTLER (27-8): The sharpshooter Clarke (16.7 points) scored 11 of his 17 points against Bucknell in the final 8:44, helping the Bulldogs recover from a six-point, second-half deficit. Clarke shoots 40.7 percent from deep and 88.2 percent from the foul line, scoring 20 points on Marquette earlier this season. Smith (11.1 points, 6.0 rebounds) could cause Marquette problems in the frontcourt, stretching Gardner with his speed and aggression on the boards. Roosevelt Jones (10.2 points) put up 14 points, five rebounds and four assists against Bucknell.

TRENDS:

* Bulldogs are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six Saturday games.
* Golden Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Under is 4-1 in Bulldogs’ last five Saturday games.

TIP-INS

1. Butler has won 11 of its last 13 NCAA Tournament games - the two losses coming in the 2010 and 2011 title games.

2. The Bulldogs sealed Thursday's victory by shooting 25-for-28 from the foul line, including 18-for-20 in the last 4:43.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23707 Followers:32
03/23/2013 10:05 AM

NCAAB

Saturday, March 23

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South Regional: VCU vs. Michigan betting preview
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(5) VCU Rams vs. (4) Michigan Wolverines (-3.5, 143)

Fourth-seeded Michigan meets No. 5 Virginia Commonwealth on Saturday in an NCAA Tournament third-round game at Auburn Hills, Mich., that features two up-tempo, guard-oriented teams. The Wolverines contained Nate Wolters and South Dakota State in their second-round matchup 71-56. Tim Hardaway Jr. and Glenn Robinson III scored 21 points apiece for Michigan, which shot 51 percent and 9-for-20 from downtown. Big Ten Player of the Year Trey Burke managed a season-low six points on 2-of-12 shooting, but will have a chance to redeem himself if the Wolverines can outwork the Rams' “havoc” defense.

VCU rattled Akron in its second-round matchup, forcing 21 turnovers and holding the Zips to 34.9 percent shooting and 1-of-13 from long range en route to an 88-42 rout. Coach Shaka Smart’s pressure defense places them first in the nation in turnover margin at plus-8.2. The Rams, who became the first No. 11 seed in tournament history to reach the Final Four two years ago, are also 11th in the nation in scoring at 78 points.

TV: 12:15 p.m. ET, CBS

ABOUT MICHIGAN (27-7): Burke leads the Wolverines in scoring (18.8) and assists (6.7). He and Hardaway (14.8 points) help Michigan match up well with VCU. That strong guard play - the duo averages only four turnovers combined - matches up well against the Rams’ pressure. Also in the Wolverines’ favor is the location of the game, a little more than 50 miles from campus. The Wolverines, who were 17-1 at home this season, haven’t made the Sweet 16 since 1994.

ABOUT VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH (27-8): Treveon Graham leads four Rams players who average double figures with 15.2 points and 5.9 rebounds. Juvonte Reddic (14.6) poured in 21 points against Akron while Troy Daniels (12.4) led VCU with 23 points on 6-of-11 shooting from beyond the arc. Rob Brandenberg scores 10.5 points for the Rams, who also lead the nation in steals at 11.8. The Rams have forced 21.7 turnovers in victories this season, but only 14 in losses.

TRENDS:

* Rams are 12-1 ATS in their last 13 NCAA Tournament games.
* Wolverines are 1-7 ATS in their last eight Saturday games.
* Under is 5-1 in Rams’ last six neutral site games.

TIP-INS:

1. Auburn Hills is the closest to campus Michigan has ever played in the NCAA Tournament.

2. Before the last game, Burke had scored in double figures in every game this year and at least 18 in each of his previous 10. He also said his back is a "little sore" after taking a tumble on the floor during Thursday's win. Burke said it will not keep him out of the lineup Saturday.


3. After reaching the Final Four in 2011, VCU knocked off No. 5 Wichita State 62-59 as a No. 12 seed last year before pushing No. 4 Indiana in a 63-61 loss.


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NCAAB


Saturday, March 23

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West Regional: Day 3 NCAAB betting preview
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(9) Wichita State Shockers vs. (1) Gonzaga Bulldogs (-6.5, 128.5)

A shaky first outing was survived and top-seeded Gonzaga hopes to give a much stronger performance against ninth-seeded Wichita State with an NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 berth on the line Saturday in Salt Lake City. The top-ranked Bulldogs were given quite a scare by 16th-seeded Southern and didn’t secure the 64-58 victory until the final half-minute. The Shockers had a much easier time by routing Pittsburgh 73-55. Wichita State lacks star power, but is strong defensively.

The Zags put on brave faces after Thursday’s victory despite being one of the few No. 1 seeds severely challenged by a 16 seed. “Any win in the tournament is a good win,” junior forward Kelly Olynyk said after the team’s 15th consecutive victory. “So we have to kind of take that into consideration and then moving forward, we’ve got some stuff we can work on.” The Shockers aren’t intimidated by Gonzaga and are planning for a fierce battle. “Playing angry, toughness, going out and give it your all,” senior guard Malcolm Armstead said. “Not leaving anything on the floor. You’ve got to leave it all on the floor at the end of the day.”

TV: 8:40 p.m. ET, TNT

ABOUT GONZAGA (32-2): Olynyk started slow against Southern before cranking it up and scoring 17 of his 21 points in the second half. The West Coast Conference Player of the Year took a more aggressive approach over the final 20 minutes and it paid off. “In the second half, I really just had to focus on finishing plays,” said Olynyk, who also grabbed 10 rebounds for his fifth career double-double. Bulldogs coach Mark Few said there was extra emphasis placed on working the ball into Olynyk. Sophomore guard Kevin Pangos also played well and made four 3-pointers en route to 16 points.

ABOUT WICHITA STATE (27-8): Armstead had 22 points and junior forward Cleanthony Early added 21 against Pittsburgh, but a player who had only six points also was one of the heroes. Sophomore guard Tekele Cotton pestered Panthers’ leading scorer Tray Woodall to two points on 1-of-12 shooting and recorded a career-best five steals. “Malcolm called him a free safety - I think he’s more of a strong safety,” Shockers coach Gregg Marshall said. “I think he’s going to come up and help in run support. He’s a tremendous athlete.” Senior forward Carl Hall (12.7 points, 7.1 rebounds) will be a key player against a Gonzaga squad with a strong frontcourt. Hall has posted five consecutive double-digit outings and has 43 blocks, second on Wichita State behind senior center Ehimen Orukpe’s 54.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-0 in Bulldogs’ last four neutral site games.
* Over is 4-1 in Shockers’ last five overall.
* Bulldogs are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS loss.

TIP-INS

1. Wichita State is 1-6 when playing the nation’s top-ranked team.

2. The Shockers are aiming to advance to the Sweet 16 for the first time since 2006.

3. The Bulldogs made eight 3-pointers against Southern and are 12-0 when making eight or more in a game this season.

(14) Harvard Crimson vs. (6) Arizona Wildcats (-10, 132.5)

Harvard will try to become the third No. 14 seed to advance to the Sweet 16 when it plays sixth-seeded Arizona on Saturday in the third round of the NCAA Tournament in Salt Lake City, Utah. Chattanooga in 1997 was the last No. 14 seed to win its first two games. The Crimson have a shot if they play like they did in their tournament opener, shooting 52.4 percent in the 68-62 victory against third-seeded New Mexico. The Wildcats looked strong as well, shooting 56.9 percent in an 81-64 victory against Belmont.

Arizona should be able to take advantage of its interior height against Harvard. New Mexico 7-foot sophomore center Alex Kirk put up 22 points and 12 rebounds against the undersized front line for the Crimson. Arizona has its own 7-footer in the middle, freshman Kaleb Tarczewski, with freshmen forwards Grant Jerrett (6-10) and Brandon Ashley (6-8) coming off the bench. Kenyatta Smith, the 6-8 sophomore center for Harvard, needs to avoid the foul trouble that kept him on the bench for long stretches against New Mexico.

TV: 6:10 p.m. ET, TNT

ABOUT ARIZONA (26-7): Mark Lyons had his best game in six weeks in the tournament opener, scoring a team-high 23 points. The senior transfer from Xavier has been playing out of position at point guard the entire season, but appears to be more comfortable with the ball-handling responsibilities. He hasn’t turned the ball over more than twice in the last three games, something he struggled with at times this season. His defense will be just as important against the Crimson, who are sixth in the nation in 3-point shooting (40.3 percent).

ABOUT HARVARD (20-9): Arizona and Harvard haven’t played since 1977 but that doesn’t mean some players haven’t crossed paths. Arizona has six players with Southern California ties and Harvard has two; Smith and Wesley Saunders, the team’s leading scorer (16.5). Saunders, a 6-5 sophomore guard, has reached double figures in scoring in every game this season, including a team-high 18 points in the second-round upset against New Mexico. Another player that can’t be left alone is shooting guard Laurent Rivard, who’s shooting 40.9 percent from 3-point range.

TRENDS:

* Crimson are 5-0 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
* Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last four NCAA Tournament games.
* Under is 22-4 in Wildcats’ last 26 Saturday games.

TIP-INS

1. Arizona senior F Solomon Hill is eight points from moving into 20th in career scoring at the school and three rebounds from moving into 10th. Six former Wildcats rank in the top 20 in career scoring and top 10 in rebounding.

2. Of the 210 shots Rivard has taken this season, 193 have come from 3-point range.

3. Arizona is 26-5 all-time against teams seeded 10th through 16th in the NCAA Tournament.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23707 Followers:32
03/23/2013 11:02 AM

Saturday, March 23

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Stanford - 12:00 PM ET Alabama -3.5 500 POD # 1
Alabama - Under 127.5 500

VCU - 12:15 PM ET Michigan -3.5 500 POD # 4
Michigan - Under 144.5 500

Eastern Kentucky - 1:30 PM ET Eastern Kentucky +5 500
Evansville - Over 144 500

Memphis - 2:45 PM ET Memphis +5.5 500 POD # 2
Michigan St - Over 130 500

Rider - 5:00 PM ET East Carolina -4 500
East Carolina - Under 143.5 500

Colorado St. - 5:15 PM ET Louisville -10.5 500
Louisville -Over 135 500

Harvard - 6:10 PM ET Harvard +10 500 POD # 3
Arizona - Over 133 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23707 Followers:32
03/23/2013 05:47 PM

Evening POD'S

Canisius - 7:05 PM ET Youngstown St. -2.5 500
Youngstown St. - Under 151 500

Oregon - 7:10 PM ET Saint Louis -4.5 500 POD # 2
Saint Louis - Over 126 500

Butler - 7:45 PM ET Marquette -2 500 POD # 1
Marquette - Over 128 500

Tulane - 8:00 PM ET Bradley -2.5 500
Bradley - Under 146 500

Illinois-Chicago - 8:00 PM ET Illinois-Chicago +12.5 500
Northern Iowa - Over 129 500

Wichita St. - 8:40 PM ET Wichita St. +6.5 500
Gonzaga - Over 130.5 500 POD # 3

Air Force - 9:00 PM ET Weber St. -9 500
Weber St. - Under 141 500

California - 9:40 PM ET California +7 500 POD # 4
Syracuse - Under 126 500 POD # 5

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23707 Followers:32
03/24/2013 10:01 AM

Sunday's Early Action

March 23, 2013

The Bracket Busters were out in force in Friday’s Round of 64 of this year’s NCAA Tournament. They will now try and keep it going all the way to the Sweet 16 in the third round. Here is a quick look at the first four games for Sunday.

West Regional from Dayton (CBS, 12:15 p.m. ET)
No. 10 Iowa State Cyclones vs. No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes

Ohio State opened as a seven-point favorite over Iowa State, while the total is hovering between 141 and 142 at most betting shops.

The Cyclones sent the Fighting Irish of Notre Dame packing on Friday in a 76-58 romp as one-point favorites. The total stayed UNDER the 140-point line. Georges Niang led the team with 19 points while Melvin Ejim added another 17 points in the winning effort. Iowa State is 4-1 both straight-up and against the spread in its last five games. Friday’s outcome against the Irish stayed ‘under’ the closing total of 140 but Iowa State has been a great ‘over’ team (20-6-1) this season.

Ohio State had little problem with Iona in its Round of 64 game with a 25-point victory as a 15-point favorite. The total went OVER the 144-point line after staying UNDER in seven of its last eight games. The Buckeyes’ current winning streak SU reached nine games and they are 6-0 ATS in their last six outings. Deshaun Thomas and Sam Thompson combined for 44 points in the win.

Including Friday’s win over Iona, Ohio State is now 12-2 in non-conference action and the two setbacks came against a pair of quality contenders in Duke (68-73) and Kansas (66-74).

The Cyclones haven’t earned a trip to the Sweet Sixteen since 2002 when standouts Jamaal Tinsley and Marcus Fizer were with the school.

East Regional from Dayton (CBS, 2:45 p.m. ET)
No. 9 Temple Owls vs. No. 1 Indiana Hoosiers

Indiana opened as a 12-point favorite over Temple and the number has been dropped to 11 ½ at most books. This is the highest point-spread for Sunday’s card.

Temple closed as a 4 ½-point underdog against North Carolina State but held off a furious rally down the stretch to post a 76-72 victory over the Wolfpack. The total stayed UNDER the 148-point line. The Owls are now 5-0 ATS in their last five games as underdogs. The Owls have been installed as double-digit underdogs twice this season and they went 1-1 straight up and 2-0 against the spread. Temple beat Syracuse (83-79) in the first Chevrolet Gotham Classic from Madison Square Garden in mid-December but came up short against Kansas (62-69) at Allen Fieldhouse in early January.

There was little question about the outcome of Indiana’s first game in this tournament with an 83-62 rout of James Madison that actually ended as a PUSH on a closing line of 21. It had five players in double figures led by Kevin Ferrell’s 16 points. The total went well OVER the 135 ½-point line after staying UNDER in four of its last five games. The Hoosiers have been tough to wager on lately with a 2-4-1 ATS record in their last seven games.

The last time Temple faced the Hoosiers was in 2004 but it is 3-0 both SU and ATS in the last three meetings.

South Regional from Kansas City (CBS, 5:15 p.m. ET)
No. 8 North Carolina Tar Heels vs. No. 1 Kansas Jayhawks

Kansas opened as a six-point favorite over North Carolina and the line seems a little short when you look at the location and pedigree. Since Bill Self took over the program in 2004, the Jayhawks have reached the Sweet Sixteen in six of his nine seasons. In the second round, Kansas is 6-1 and five of the six wins have come by double digits. The lone loss happened three years ago to Northern Iowa (67-69).

North Carolina advanced to this round with a 78-71 victory over Villanova as a five-point favorite. It was just the second time in five games that the Tar Heels covered the spread. The total went OVER the 143-point line and has now gone OVER in their last four contests. PJ Hairston led all scorers with 23 points.

The Jayhawks had their hands full with Western Kentucky the entire 40 minutes of their first tournament outing but came away with a 64-57 win as prohibitive 20 ½-point favorites on Friday. Kansas had previously covered in 10 of its last 11 games. The total stayed UNDER the 132-point closing line and has now stayed UNDER in four of its last six games.

Kansas beat North Carolina 80-67 in last year’s regional finals before eventually losing to Kentucky (59-67) in the National Championship. The previous meeting also occurred in the NCAA Tournament, with the Jayhawks beating the Tar Heels 84-66 in the 2008 National Semifinal.

South Regional from Austin (TNT, 6:10 p.m. ET)
No. 11 Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. No. 7 Florida Gators

Oddsmakers are respecting Florida in this tournament. Bovada.lv opened the Gators as 7/1 third-favorites to win this year’s NCAA title and so far so good with a 79-47 rout of Northwestern State as 19 ½-point favorites. It was just the third time they covered the spread in their last 10 games. The total stayed UNDER the 142 ½-point line but Florida had no problem piling-up the points with four players scoring in double figures with Erik Murphy (18 points) leading the way.

For Sunday, the Gators have been installed as healthy 8 ½-point favorites against the Golden Gophers.
Minnesota may have been the lower seed but not too many people were shocked over its 83-63 beatdown of UCLA as a three-point favorite. Andre Hollins was unstoppable with 28 points and Austin Hollins chipped-in another 16 points.

The Golden Gophers snapped a three-game losing streak both SU and ATS. The total went OVER the 134-point line thanks to a big second-half (86 points).

Billy Donovan’s team has advanced to the Sweet Sixteen the past two seasons, beating UCLA 73-65 in 2011 and Norfolk State 84-50 last year.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23707 Followers:32
03/24/2013 10:13 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

-- Harvard got stripped of four National Quiz Bowl titles because one of their people looked at the questions beforehand. Is nothing sacred?

-- Going to be little weird seeing James Shields pitch for the Royals.

-- Flying under the radar because Miami has won 25 games in row, but the Denver Nuggets have won 15 in a row. George Karl is a superior coach.

-- Charlotte Bobcats were actually favored Saturday, but they lost, ending the Pistons' 10-game losing streak. NBA doesn't exactly have competitive balance this year, does it?

-- Eldrick Woods has a 2-shot lead at Bay Hill; he's won the tournament 51 of the 55 times he led after three rounds.

-- If you're looking for a job, North Dakota has the lowest unemployment rate in America. Just thought you'd like to know.


*****

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday.......

13) Wichita State 76, Gonzaga 70-- Naysayers are going to kill Gonzaga for losing, but this was an excellent game; Shockers made 14-28 from arc, seven in row at one point. When a good team hits 14-28 from the arc, they're going to win. Kind of wish Zags' 7-footer Kelly Olynyk would take less 3's.

12) Marquette 74, Butler 72-- Buzz Williams 2013, meet Jim Valvano 1983, as Marquette has survived two near-death experiences to advance to Sweet 16- they were down six with 1:10 left Thursday, were down 8 at half in this game Saturday. Tough minded group of kids.

11) Louisville 82, Colorado State 56-- Cardinals were so aggressive in this game on defense, it seemed like they had 8-10 guys on court at times. This is a very good Colorado State team that started five seniors- they had no shot.

10) Michigan 78, VCU 53-- Someone posted a stat on Twitter that VCU is 1-7 this year against teams that turn the ball over less than 18% of time, and Wolverines are #1 in country protecting the ball, so this makes sense. Guess the ease in which Michigan won is surprising.

9) Michigan State 70, Memphis 48-- Tom Izzo has a great record in these quick turnaround games; Spartans held Memphis to 29.7% from floor. Pod system the NCAA put in is to get bigger crowds, but it has made it so much harder to post a second round upset. These two games were true road games; seems like its too big an advantage for the bigger schools.

8) Izzo, by the way, has an amazing 30-4 tournament record when his team is the better seed.

7) Syracuse 66, California 60-- Orange made 26-41 on foul line playing in enemy territory in San Jose. Not sure what the deal is with Cal's best scorer, Allen Crabbe; seems like he's near a meltdown every time a call goes against him. Teammates are always talking to him, putting an arm around him. For record, Cal was 12-19 from the line in this game, Crabbe 3-9 from floor.

6) Oregon 74, Saint Louis 57-- Billikens picked bad time to play their worst game of the season. How did Arselan Kazemi get eligible right away after he bolted from Rice? He's from Iran, so he doesn't have any sick relatives on the west coast. Kazemi has played very well the last few weeks.

5) Arizona 74, Harvard 51-- Terrible game, but not as bad as four Harvard Quiz Bowl titles being vacated because they cheated. Thats the thing about people who always tell you they're elite; they don't believe it themselves, so they have to cheat to make sure they seem that way. Nitwits.

4) UCLA is going to fire Ben Howland today; Bruins were 25-10 this year, are 233-107 under Howland, with couple Final Fours, but they haven't been seeded higher than 6th in any of the last five tournaments, because he can't keep players in his program, either they're disgruntled and transfer, or they do well and bolt for the NBA. Same problem Texas is having.

3) Meanwhile, Howland disciple Jamie Dixon turned down USC, signed an extension with Pitt until 2023; if the Trojans would hire Dixon, why not try and see if Howland would stay in LA and coach at USC? I'm sure the brass at USC would be pretty happy if the Trojans went 25-10.

2) In five of its last seven games, Louisville has forced turnovers on 30.9% or more of opponents' possessions; this is postseason ball, impressive.

1) It dawned on me that Butler and Denver will both be playing in their third different basketball league in a three-year span next year. Butler and Denver, not Louisville-Missouri-Syracuse. College sports are crazy.
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Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23707 Followers:32
03/24/2013 10:14 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Illinois vs. Miami (FL)
The Hurricanes look to take advantage of an Illinois team that is coming off a 57-49 win over Colorado and is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. Miami (FL) is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Hurricanes favored by 9. Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-7 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

SUNDAY. MARCH 24

Game 717-718: Creighton vs. Duke (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Creighton 66.232; Duke 73.305
Dunkel Line: Duke by 7; 142
Vegas Line: Duke by 5; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-5); Under

Game 719-720: Florida Gulf Coast vs. San Diego State (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Gulf Coast 61.766; San Diego State 66,049
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 4 1/2; 138
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 7; 133
Dunkel Pick: Florida Gulf Coast (+7); Over

Game 721-722: Temple vs. Indiana (2:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 63.229; Indiana 76.656
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 13 1/2; 144
Vegas Line: Indiana by 11 1/2; 147 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-11 1/2); Under

Game 723-724: Iowa State vs. Ohio State (12:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 69.505; Ohio State 74.522
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 5; 148
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 7 1/2; 142
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+7 1/2); Over

Game 725-726: LaSalle vs. Mississippi (7:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LaSalle 65.380; Mississippi 70.518
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 5; 140
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 3 1/2; 143
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (-3 1/2); Under

Game 727-728: North Carolina vs. Kansas (5:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 67.801; Kansas 75.622
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 8; 148
Vegas Line: Kansas by 6; 143
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-6); Over

Game 729-730: Illinois vs. Miami (FL) (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 64.966; Miami (FL) 73.955
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 9; 124
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 7 1/2; 128 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-7 1/2); Under

Game 731-732: Minnesota vs. Florida (6:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 66.918; Florida 73.298
Dunkel Line: Florida by 6 1/2; 127
Vegas Line: Florida by 8 1/2; 123
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+8 1/2); Over

Game 733-734: St. John's at Virginia (11:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. John's 60.461; Virginia 68.915
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 8 1/2; 128
Vegas Line: Virginia by 11; 123 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. John's (+11); Over

Game 737-738: Kent State at Loyola-MD (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 55.425; Loyola-MD 60.884
Dunkel Line: Loyola-MD by 5 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: Loyola-MD by 4; 141 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-MD (-4); Under
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Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23707 Followers:32
03/24/2013 10:15 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 24

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CREIGHTON (28 - 7) vs. DUKE (28 - 5) - 3/24/2013, 9:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game this season.
CREIGHTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
CREIGHTON is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 44-70 ATS (-33.0 Units) in March games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FLA GULF COAST (25 - 10) vs. SAN DIEGO ST (23 - 10) - 3/24/2013, 7:10 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TEMPLE (24 - 9) vs. INDIANA (28 - 6) - 3/24/2013, 2:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 29-50 ATS (-26.0 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
INDIANA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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IOWA ST (23 - 11) vs. OHIO ST (27 - 7) - 3/24/2013, 12:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LASALLE (23 - 9) vs. OLE MISS (27 - 8) - 3/24/2013, 7:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLE MISS is 90-65 ATS (+18.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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N CAROLINA (25 - 10) vs. KANSAS (30 - 5) - 3/24/2013, 5:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS is 1-0 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS is 1-0 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ILLINOIS (23 - 12) vs. MIAMI (28 - 6) - 3/24/2013, 8:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 24-37 ATS (-16.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 24-37 ATS (-16.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
MIAMI is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
MIAMI is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
MIAMI is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
MIAMI is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MINNESOTA (21 - 12) vs. FLORIDA (27 - 7) - 3/24/2013, 6:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 98-72 ATS (+18.8 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
FLORIDA is 99-70 ATS (+22.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
FLORIDA is 61-35 ATS (+22.5 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ST JOHNS (17 - 15) at VIRGINIA (22 - 11) - 3/24/2013, 11:00 AM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all home games this season.
VIRGINIA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home lined games this season.
VIRGINIA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home games after a non-conference game this season.
VIRGINIA is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in home games after allowing 60 points or less this season.
VIRGINIA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) against Big East conference opponents since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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KENT ST (21 - 13) at LOYOLA-MD (22 - 11) - 3/24/2013, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENT ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
LOYOLA-MD is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.
KENT ST is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
KENT ST is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in road games this season.
KENT ST is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in road lined games this season.
KENT ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
KENT ST is 39-19 ATS (+18.1 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
KENT ST is 63-38 ATS (+21.2 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 51-83 ATS (-40.3 Units) in all home games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 51-83 ATS (-40.3 Units) in home lined games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23707 Followers:32
03/24/2013 10:17 AM

NCAAB
Top 25 Short Sheet

Sunday, March 24

NCAA Tournament Betting Trends

Creighton vs. Duke, 9:40 ET TBS
Creighton: 10-2 ATS off a non-conference game
Duke: 11-3 Under away off ATS losses in 2 of their last 3 games

Florida Gulf Coast vs. San Diego State, 7:10 ET TBS
FL Gulf Coast: 8-0 ATS in tournament games
San Diego State: 3-12 ATS away off BB games forcing 11 or less turnovers

Temple vs. Indiana, 2:45 ET CBS
Temple: 17-7 ATS with a total of 140 to 149.5 points
Indiana: 11-24 ATS away playing their second game in three days

Iowa State vs. Ohio State, 12:15 ET CBS
Iowa State: 7-0 Over playing with 1 or 0 days rest
Ohio State: 7-1 ATS away off 3+ wins

La Salle vs. Mississippi, 7:40 ET TRUTV
La Salle: 17-6 Over playing with 1 or 0 days rest
Mississippi: 9-1 ATS off a SU win as an underdog

North Carolina vs. Kansas, 5:15 ET CBS
North Carolina: 1-9 ATS playing their second road game in three days
Kansas: 14-5 Under away off an Under

Illinois at Miami FL, 8:40 ET TNT
Illinois: 3-11 ATS after allowing 55 points or less
Miami FL: 16-6 ATS as a favorite

Minnesota vs. Florida, 6:10 ET TNT
Minnesota: 11-3 Over away off a non-conference game
Florida: 17-8 ATS off a win by 20+ points


NIT Tournament Betting Trends

St. John's at Virginia, 11:00am ET ESPN
St. John's: 7-1 ATS after playing 3+ games as an underdog
Virginia: 0-9 ATS in March


CIT Tournament Betting Trends

Kent State at Loyola Maryland, 3:00 ET
Kent State: 1-8 ATS in tournament games
Loyola MD: 15-5 ATS off 3+ ATS losses
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Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23707 Followers:32
03/24/2013 10:19 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 24

Sunday's games
Since 1998, Duke is 12-1 in last 13 second round games, with only loss to West Virginia in '08 (5-8 vs spread). Blue Devils are 12-3 in their last 15 games, since 90-63 loss to Miami Jan 23. Duke sleptwalk thru win on Friday, shooting 58% from floor vs outclassed foe. Creighton shoots 42.2% from arc (#1 in US), 56.1% inside it (#2), have #1 eFG% (59.0%). Bluejays outscored Cincinnati 22-4 from line Friday in 67-63 win- they won their last six games, are 3-2 vs top 25 teams- #13 Wisconsin is best team they've beaten. Over last four years, #2 seeds are 10-5-1 vs spread in second round games; second round favorites of 5+ points are 24-14-1 vs spread. Duke won four of five games vs top 20 teams.

How does Florida Gulf Coast react to being America's Team for the last 46 hours? The six other #15 seeds who upset #2 seeds in first round are 1-4-1 vs spread in second round games; Coppin State in '97 came closest to winning, losing 82-81. Eagles are not fluky, having beaten Miami back in November- they have a cockiness about them, and San Diego State is fairly similar to Georgetown- athletic team that struggles to score, but Aztecs outscored Oklahoma 39-22 in second half Friday, outscoring the Sooners 16-4 on foul line. San Diego State is second #7 seed since '93 to be second round favorite (1-0-2 vs spread since '87); Florida (-14) won 84-50 over Norfolk State LY. Second round favorites of 5+ points are 24-14-1 vs spread.

Temple was up 44-26 over NC State Friday, held off Wolfpack to give Dunphy rare first round win, Owls' 8th win in last nine games overall behind senior guard Wyatt, who scored 31, despite painful thumb. Owls are 3-2 vs top 20 teams this season, losing by 23 to Duke, 7 at Kansas- they beat Syracuse/Saint Louis/VCU. Since 2005, second round double digit favorites are 13-5 vs spread. #1 seeds are 11-6-1 vs spread in this round last four years. Temple (35.4%) hasn't defended 3's well this year and Hoosiers make 41.1% of them (#2 in country). Indiana lost in OT to Butler, its only game vs A-16 team; Hoosiers are just 4-3 in last seven games, but beat James Madison by 21 Friday, in game that wasn't nearly that close.

Iowa State hammered Notre Dame because Irish big guys were slow to defend pick/roll; thats not case here; Buckeyes won last nine games with an easy 95-70 win over Iona Friday- they are #7 in defensive efficiency in country. OSU did lose at home by 8 to Kansas, its only game vs Big X opponent. Second round favorites of 5+ points are 24-14-1 vs spread. Cyclones were +11 in turnovers Friday, forcing 14 in first half; four of their five seniors are transfers, so they're older kids. Ohio State won last second round games, by 7-9-32-7 points; only one of its seven losses is to team (Illinois) not ranked in top 12 in country. Much like Michigan site Saturday, playing in Dayton favors the Buckeyes.

LaSalle-Ole Miss is 12th game with 12-13 seed meeting in tournament history; favorites are 9-2 vs spread in first 11. Rebels won their last six games, allowing 55.8 ppg in last four- they beat Fordham 95-68, its one game vs an A-16 opponent. LaSalle is playing its third gamr this week; at end of K-State game, Steve Kerr kept saying on TV how tired LaSalle looked, but they survived that after blowing 44-26 halftime lead- they're #306 in country in bench minutes- three starters played 38+ minutes in Friday's win. After going 6-0 in tourney thru Friday, A-16 teams were 0-3 Saturday. Since 2009, second round favorites of less than 5 points are 20-11 against the spread.

Kansas won four in row, 11 of last 12 games after odd 3-game skid early in February; Jayhawks were first team in 12 years to win tourney game without making 3-pointer (0-6) in Friday's struggle with #16 seed WKU- they were also -8 (17-9) in turnovers in 64-57 win. North Carolina will struggle with Withey inside; they've won nine of last 11 games, but nine wins were vs teams ranked outside top 30; two losses, by 16-10 points, were vs top 15 teams. Second round favorites of 5+ points are 24-14-1 vs spread. #1 seeds are 11-6-1 against the spread in this round last four years. Obviously, Roy Williams used to coach Kansas, but its been so long, don't think it really factors into this game.

Miami is #8 in country in experience; they played #18 schedule, won its last five games, all by 10+ points- they beat Michigan State 67-59, in its only game vs Big Dozen opponent. Illinois blew 16-point lead Friday, trailed by 5 with 8:58 left, but outscored Colorado 18-5 down stretch to win game in which four starters played 31+ minutes. Miami's win over Pacific was a glorified practice. Second round favorites of 5+ points are 24-14-1 vs spread. Over last four years, #2 seeds are 10-5-1 vs spread in second round games. Illini beat Georgia Tech by 13 in its only game vs an ACC team- they're still just 3-4 in last seven games, but they're #35 in country in experience, and played #2 schedule in country.

Minnesota's 83-63 win over crippled UCLA ended Gophers' losing skid at three games; they're 6-11 in last 17 games, after starting season 15-1, but are also #1 offensive rebounding team in country. Florida's eFG% is 55.7%, #5 in country, so they're deep, athletic, get good shots. Gators won last four games in second round, by 22-7-8-34 points. Florida beat Wisconsin by 18, only game they played vs Big Dozen squad. Since 2003, #11 seeds are 5-9 vs spread when facing #3 seed in second round. Second round favorites of 5+ points are 24-14-1 vs spread. Minnesota turns ball over 21.5% of time, which didn't matter vs UCLA team that seemed to be glad season was over-- it'll matter in this game.

Other tournaments
Bennett vs Lavin is severe coaching mismatch; St John's 63-61 win over St Joe's in first round snapped their 5-game road skid- they're 3-8 in last 11 games overall. Virginia beat Duke, then went 2-3 in next five games. Keep in mind St John's tossed their best player off team last month.

Loyola Md won five of last seven games; their 15-point loss to Florida Gulf Coast in December doesn't look as bad as it used to. Four of last five Greyhound games were decided by 4 or less points. Kent State won nine of last 11 games after beating Fairfield of MAAC 73-71 last game.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: