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dave
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On 02/28/2013 01:13 PM in Cappers
Philadelphia vs. Chicago, 02/28/2013 20:00
Point Spread: +7½/-105 Philadelphia

Philadelphia 76ers +7
The Key: Right away, Philly has a good amount of history on its side. Consider that road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that check in with six or more consecutive defeats, provided the game is being played in the second half of the season, are 32-10 ATS the last five seasons. Teams fitting into this situation have been underdogs of 7.2 points on average but have lost by only 0.4 points on average. This system is 16-4 ATS the last three seasons. In addition, Philly is on a 16-4 ATS run in road games after 6 or more consecutive losses. Chicago has been overvalued all season at home where it is just 7-22 ATS. It has also been a terrible investment when laying points. The 11-20 ATS as a favorite this season, 4-15 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season and 1-10 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season. Five of the last six meetings between these two have been decided by seven points or less. Expect another close game between a pair of struggling teams. Take the points.

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