02/28/2013 12:32 PM
The field is so wide open this season given the fact you also cannot underestimate the mid-majors somehow playing the role of Cinderella. Also given the fact that the last unbeaten went down so early, it's not unusual that you have those teams (slipping or backing into) the number one spot only because of many upsets at the top or the rotation based on regular season record. Seems like nobody is holding a firm grasp which makes the seeding right after the conference tourneys all the more interesting.
Even those teams that currently make up the top 20 are just as vulnerable as bubble teams or those who don't get as much respect playing out of a mid-major. Given the fact they may need to do more work in their conference tourney increases the level of competition and not just because you go by an Indiana, Gonzaga, Duke, or Florida.
Every year around this time I give a glance over the final couple of regular season weekends determining who will be my field of 68. The degree of difficulty is so important given the fact that a late season or signature win could bounce you from the last 4 in to the first 4 out or a bad loss can result in vice versa.
As of the Wednesday review I have come up with this. Of course this is and will be subject to change.
Overall #1 seed: Gonzaga
4 # 1 seeds: Gonzaga, Duke, Kansas, Indiana
Last 4 teams in: Minnesota, Oklahoma, Arizona St, Alabama
First 4 teams out: Missouri, LaSalle, Boise St, BYU
A couple of weeks ago I had Kansas the furthest thing from a 1 seed but they seemingly have turned it around.
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