02/26/2013 05:34 PM
Air Force (-4) over Wyoming
AIR FORCE (15-10) -4 over Wyoming (18-9) Prediction: Air Force by 11-12
Comments: The 2012-13 edition of the Air Force Academy basketball team is one of the best it has ever put on the floor and has been show-casing its talent of late with home wins over UNLV (21-7), 71-56, and San Diego State (20-7), 70-67, and by taking powerful Colorado State (21-6) to the money before losing, 89-86. The Falcons only other home loss this season was to Wichita State (22-5), 72-69. Air Force starts a lineup of four seniors and a sophomore and is led by senior guard Michael Lyons who has for the past two seasons been every one’s nemesis. This year he is averaging 18.8 points per game and in that 3-point loss to Colorado State scored 45 points. The Falcons are simply a relentless team that that comes to play every night, is well coached, disciplined and finds ways to win. The first time these teams met this season, a month ago in Laramie, Air Force won, 57-48, as a 7 ½-point underdog. Despite the fact Wyoming is in better shape physically that it was then, my figures say the Falcons should dominate.
WiscGreen Bay (-14) over WiscMilwaukee
WISCONSIN-GREEN BAY (15-13) -14 over Wisconsin-Milwaukee (8-122) Prediction: Wisconsin-Green Bay by 19-20
Comments: The first time these teams played this season—four weeks ago in Milwaukee—Green Bay won by 20 points, 74-54, as a 7-point favorite and there is absolutely nothing to suggest that won happen again. Wisconsin-Milwaukee, which is 1-15 on the road, has to be happy about one thing—this is its last game of the regular season. As basketball teams go, Green Bay and Milwaukee operate on different planes and my figures say the former should again win in blowout fashion.
Alabama (-11½) over Auburn
7:00 PM -- Coleman Coliseum
ALABAMA (18-9) -11 ½ over Auburn (9-18) Prediction: Alabama by 18-19 Played at Coleman Coliseum (15,383) in Tuscaloosa, Alabama RPI Ranking: Auburn 218 of 347 teams, Alabama 62nd of 347. Strength of Schedule Ranking: Auburn 103rd of 347, Alabama 84th of 347. Home/Road Record: Alabama 12-3 at home, Auburn 2-10 on road. Enrollment: Auburn (20,446), Alabama (28,026) Starting Time: 7:05 TV: ESPNU Comments: This is one of the big revenge games of the year in the SEC. Not only are these two schools heated—and I mean heated—rivals but Auburn, which is 1-11 in its last 12 games, embarrassed Alabama, 49-37, when these teams met three weeks ago at Auburn. Yes, the only win in those last 12 games was over Alabama. There is no question the Crimson Tide are by far the best team in this game and are 10-3 in their last 13 games. Take it to the bank Alabama will come out firing the big guns in this one and wipe away the memory of their terrible performance at Auburn, a game in which they hit but 28.6% from the floor, including 10.5% from 3-point range.
Towson (+7) over George Mason
7:00 PM -- Patriot Center
Towson (16-13) +7 over GEORGE MASON (17-11) Prediction: Towson by 3-4
Comments: Towson is the number one surprise of the 2012-13 season, having gone 1-31 last season, and they can really put the icing on the cake with a win tonight, and a victory at home against Hofstra. A win in both those games would close out Towson 18-13 and the team would go into the NCAA record book with the greatest one season turn-around in history. Since Towson is prohibited from post-season play because of past academic problems, I do believe it will give it everything it has to do just that. The first time these teams met this season—January 23 at Towson—George Mason won, 77-67, as a 1 ½-point favorite but now catch an incentive-driven Tigers team that is playing its best basketball right now, is 6-1 in its last seven games, including in that span road wins at Hofstra, 57-50, Georgia State, 90-82, and Old Dominion, 68-66. My figures, plus the hidden incentive factors, should put Towson in the winner’s circle again.