cnotes Posts:27373 Followers:33
10/03/2011 08:14 PM

Phillies At Cardinals MLB Playoff Betting Preview

Scoring first is usually a very good thing in baseball, or just about any sport for that matter. But it hasn't worked out for either the Philadelphia Phillies or St. Louis Cardinals in the first two games of their NLDS.

The Phils and Cards head west to St. Louis for Games 3 and 4 knotted a win apiece. Both teams failed to protect 3-0 first-inning leads in the City of Brotherly Love over the weekend, St. Louis watching that advantage evaporate in an 11-6 Game 1 loss while Philadelphia saw the same edge slip away in a 5-4 Game 2 defeat.

Action resumes Tuesday at 5:07 p.m. (ET) at Busch Stadium. TBS will provide the telecast that features a matchup of southpaws, Cole Hamels (18-13, 2.79) for the Phillies and Jaime Garcia (19-13, 3.56) for the Redbirds.

The MLB odds sent Philadelphia out on a -141 line with seven runs for the Game 3 total.

That the Phillies battled back from the early 3-0 hole on Saturday behind ace Roy Halladay was one thing. Seeing the Cards overcome an eventual 4-0 deficit against Cliff Lee on Sunday was quite another, and the Game 2 win should give St. Louis the momentum in front of the home fans.

The Cardinals are going to need it. Busch Stadium wasn't all that favorable for the boys in the birds-on-bat jerseys. Tony La Russa's lads were 45-36 on their home diamond this season, sixth best in the National League but nothing to really crow about. The Phillies were the best road club in the big leagues, meanwhile, winning 50 of their 81 games away from Citizens Bank Park.

If there was one statistical weakness the Phils had during the regular season, it was facing left-handers. Philadelphia went level against lefties, 24-24, and that might play well alongside the Cardinals' 11-4 mark at home in Garcia's 15 starts. The 25-year-old hurler posted a 2.55 ERA at Busch, more than two runs lower than out on the road, and served up just six long balls in 99 innings.

Garcia didn't seem to care where he pitched against the Phils this season, helping the Cardinals to a 2-0 record in his two outings. He allowed just one unearned run in eight innings at Busch in mid-May, and went seven frames in Philly a little more than two weeks ago, surrendering just a single run in that appearance.

Philadelphia lost four of Hamels' last five starts, three of those on the road and the other at home to these Cardinals in his only appearance against them this campaign. He's actually pitched pretty well vs. St. Louis the past few seasons, but doesn't have a win on his personal ledger to show for the efforts.

The playoff experience edge definitely goes to Hamels who will be making his 13th postseason start and Garcia on the October stage for the very first time. Hamels allowed just nine hits while walking one and striking out 17 in his 15 innings of playoff pitching last year.

Matt Holliday is officially listed as doubtful for Tuesday's game, the slugger still nursing a hand injury. He did pinch hit in Game 1, striking out to end the game, and could be playing that role off the bench in Game 3.

Jerry Meals, working his seventh postseason series and sixth LDS, has the plate for this one. The last two times he's worked a Phillies playoff game, Charlie Manuel's crew came out on top.

No worries about the weather for this game. Clear skies, temps in the mid-70s at game time and a light southeast breeze should make for an excellent night for the crowd.

The teams will be right back in action on Wednesday for Game 4. Neither manager has officially named his starter, but it's expected to be Roy Oswalt for Philadelphia against St. Louis' Edwin Jackson.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
  • 10/03/2011 10:45 PM

    Preview: Brewers (96-66) at Diamondbacks (94-68)


    Game: 3
    Venue: Miller Park
    Date: October 04, 2011 9:37 PM EDT

    PHOENIX (AP) - Down in the standings or down to their last out, the Arizona Diamondbacks found a way to rally all season, riding their comebacks into the playoffs.

    After two lackluster games in Milwaukee, the Diamondbacks need another big comeback or it's going to be a short return to the postseason.

    Trailing the bashing-and-bunting Brewers 2-0 in the NL division series, Arizona returns home for Game 3 on Tuesday night, sending out rookie right-hander Josh Collmenter to face Milwaukee righty Shaun Marcum in what should be a raucous atmosphere at Chase Field.

    ``I think it's good that we came from behind all year,' Diamondbacks third baseman Ryan Roberts said Monday. ``There's no panic mode here.'

    There at least has to be some concern.

    Arizona put up a monster May after falling behind by 6 1/2 games in April and mastered the art of the comeback, rallying to win a major league-high 48 times on its way to the NL West title.

    Unable to catch the Brewers in the regular season to secure home-field advantage in the first round, the Diamondbacks opened the NLDS with two games in Milwaukee.

    They return to the desert searching for answers after two deflating losses.

    Playing like the team to beat in the National League, the Brewers put the Diamondbacks on their heels with a tough-to-beat combination of good pitching, power and some small ball mixed in.

    Milwaukee touched up Arizona's two best pitchers to start the series, getting to 21-game winner Ian Kennedy for four runs to win the opener 4-1, and 16-game winner Daniel Hudson for five in a 9-4 victory in Game 2.

    The Brewers' brawn of Prince Fielder and Ryan Braun have been brutally effective, combining to go 9 for 16 with two homers, six RBIs and six runs.

    Milwaukee also has done the little things right, including Jonathan Lucroy's deftly placed safety squeeze that triggered a five-run sixth inning in the Brew Crew's Game 2 win on Sunday.

    It's been just two games, but the Brewers have been monsters, their ``Beast Mode' celebrations against the Diamondbacks putting a scare into the rest of the playoff field.

    ``We've done a really good job of staying in the moment, embracing the moment and trying to accomplish as much as we can every day,' Braun said.

    Next in line to try to stop Milwaukee is Collmenter, the Paul Bunyan-esque right-hander with the over-the-top delivery crafted from his tomahawk-throwing days as a kid.

    Buried deep in Arizona's farm system just a year ago, Collmenter had a superb start to his rookie season, starting with an impressive stint as a reliever after an April call-up, followed by a pair of scoreless starts after being added to the rotation. He couldn't keep up that pace as teams figured out how to hit against his quirky delivery, but still finished the regular season 10-10 with a 3.38 ERA.

    The Brewers were among the teams unable to figure out Collmenter. He pitched 14 scoreless innings and allowed six hits in consecutive starts against Milwaukee in July - a big reason Diamondbacks manager Kirk Gibson went with the big right-hander for Game 3.

    ``Against the Brewers, I had a lot of things working,' Collmenter said. ``I was able to establish the fastball, work a changeup in on them and really kept them uncomfortable.'

    The Diamondbacks may have the right man on the mound and the advantage of playing at home, but Milwaukee might have the perfect anti-venom in Marcum.

    A counterbalance to Zack Greinke's home dominance, Marcum was Milwaukee's big man on the road.

    Just 5-4 with a 4.81 ERA in 17 home starts, the 29-year-old went 8-3 with a 2.21 ERA in 16 games away from Miller Park. After a strong start to the season, Marcum had some struggles down the stretch, putting up a 6.66 ERA in his final four outings, but he does have postseason experience and has proven to be resilient.

    ``He's not lights-out maybe like he was earlier,' Brewers manager Ron Roenicke said. ``He has those stretches where he is, but it wouldn't surprise me at all if he came out and did the same thing he did early in the season and occasionally during the season.'

    Marcum will have to do it against a desperate team that doesn't like being told it can't do something.

    Playing with a chip-on-their-shoulder mentality all season, the Diamondbacks gave all the naysayers a big shush with all those comeback wins and their first NL West title in four years. Now, with everyone counting them out again, they're looking to do it again.

    ``We prospered together and we failed together and that's the way it will remain,' Gibson said. ``We understand people are going to have opinions on how things are happening. It's not over yet, so it's almost amusing. We're still competing, we're still in the series.'

    If the rest of the season was any indication, a chance is all the Diamondbacks may need.

    Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
  • 10/03/2011 10:46 PM

    Tampa Bay Rays Down 2-1 To Texas Rangers

    It's do or die time for the Tampa Bay Rays, and they'll put their season on the line Tuesday afternoon at Tropicana Field against the Texas Rangers in Game 4 of the American League Divisional Series. The first pitch from the Trop is set for 2:07 p.m. (ET), with live television coverage coming on TBS.

    Tampa Bay was looking good on Monday in Game 3 until allowing the Rangers to explode for four runs in the seventh inning. The bullpen was a major culprit, as Brandon Gomes walked two batters on just nine pitches, giving way to J.P. Howell, who gave up a two-run single to blow the game open to Josh Hamilton.

    Now, manager Joe Maddon and company are down to their last hope, as they trail 2-1 in this series.

    It was his two most veteran pitchers, David Price and James Shields that couldn't get the job done in the two losses in this series. In the Game 1 win, rookie Matt Moore picked up the win. Now, Maddon hopes that another youngster, Jeremy Hellickson can knot this series at two games apiece and bring it back to Arlington for Game 5.

    At just 24 years old, this is clearly the biggest start that Hellickson has ever made. He went 13-10 in the regular season with a 2.95 ERA.

    Hellickson has some problem with walks, as he allowed 72 free passes in his 29 starts, and he only had 117 strikeouts to offset them.

    However, if you look at the way that Hellickson pitched down the stretch, it's amazing that Maddon waited until Game 4 to deploy him. He hasn't allowed more than three earned runs in a start since August 13, and in that stretch, he faced the New York Yankees twice, the Boston Red Sox twice, and these Rangers.

    In that start against Texas, Hellickson allowed just two runs on six hits in six innings, but he was given the loss in a 2-0 defeat.

    Matt Harrison led the Rangers to five straight wins to end the regular season, and he'll take the mound for the second time in this series on Tuesday. The southpaw allowed a run in 2/3-inning in the 9-0 loss in Game 1, but it would have been his regular day to throw some pitches on the side, so it shouldn't be a hamper on him for this outing.

    Against Tampa Bay in his career, Harrison has only made one start, but he has appeared in four games. The southpaw has allowed just two runs in 14 innings.

    The Rangers have now won four straight postseason games here at Tropicana Field over the course of the last two postseasons. They also went 3-3 in the regular season at Tampa Bay.

    The Rays opened up as minus 120 favorites on the on the Don Best odds screen. The total has been set at eight, with both the 'over' and 'under' lined at -110.

    If there is a Game 5, it will be back in Arlington on Thursday. James Shields is currently scheduled to pitch for the Rays, while the Rangers will almost certainly turn the ball over to Game 1 starter, CJ Wilson.

    Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
  • 10/03/2011 10:50 PM

    Yankee/Tiger game will be posted tomorrow when the lines come out.....
    Going with these now:

    Tuesday, October 4

    Game Score Status Pick Amount

    Texas - 2:00 PM ET Tampa Bay -111 500
    Tampa Bay -

    Philadelphia - 5:00 PM ET St. Louis +125 500
    St. Louis - Under 7 500

    Milwaukee - 9:30 PM ET Arizona +104 500
    Arizona - Over 9 500

    Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
  • 10/04/2011 01:12 AM

    Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

    10/03/11 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
    10/02/11 5-­1-­0 83.33% +­2505 Detail
    10/01/11 3-­1-­0 75.00% +­1000 Detail
    09/30/11 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­360 Detail

    Totals 11-­3-­0 78.57% +4145


    'Yankees/Tigers game no line yet post laters.......good luck !

    Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
  • 10/04/2011 05:33 PM

    Tuesday's Playoff Tips

    October 4, 2011

    Playoff Results - Playoff Winners


    NATIONAL LEAGUE DIVISIONAL SERIES


    Game 3, Philadelphia at St. Louis - (TBS, 5:05 PM ET)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Betting Trends Betcha Didn't Know
    (L) Cole Hamels (14-9, 2.75 ERA) Philadelphia is 13-13 on Tuesday
    Phillies are 11-6 with Hamels on the road
    Phillies are 30-14 against Lefties
    Phillies are 13-5 as a road favorite against Lefties, but 3 losses with Hamels
    Philadelphia is 8-2 in the playoffs with Hamels

    (L) Jamie Garcia (13-7, 3.56 ERA) St. Louis is 16-8 on Tuesday Garcia is 2-1 vs. Phillies
    Cards are 11-4 at home behind Garcia
    Cardinals are 9-13 at home versus Lefties
    St. Louis is 3-10 in last 13 at home vs. Lefties

    Free Expert Analysis - Bruce Marshall: The Phillies could be in trouble, having lost home-field edge in the NLDS to St. Louis after Sunday's 5-4 loss. The venue switches back to Busch Stadium for tonight's Game 3, and noted Phillies nemesis Jaime Garcia is on the mound for the Redbirds. All he has done is flummox the Phils lately, allowing only 1 run in 15 innings pitched over two starts this season, with a 1.20 career ERA and .178 OBA against Philly as well. Garcia was also 30 with a 2.,64 ERA in September, while Phils counterpart Cole Hamels was shaky in September, allowing 9 homers in 38 IP. Prices in the +125 range for Cards are too good to pass up in Game Three. Play the Cardinals on Money Line!




    Game 3, Milwaukee at Arizona - (TNT, 9:35 PM ET)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Betting Trends Betcha Didn't Know
    Shaun Marcum (13-7, 3.54 ERA) Brewers are 20-11 as road favorites vs. Righthanders
    Milwaukee went 2-2 at Arizona in reg. season
    The 'under' went 3-1 in the desert meetings
    Brewers are 15-8 on Tuesday
    The Brewers have watched the 'under' go 13-2 with Marcum on the road

    Josh Collmenter (9-10, 3.59 ERA) Arizona is 51-30 at home
    D-Backs are 17-9 on Tuesday
    Arizona is 14-8 as a home 'dog this season
    D-Backs are 7-3 as a home 'dog off a loss
    Arizona is 16-1 last 17 at home vs. Righthanders -- check competition though!

    Free Expert Analysis - Vince Akins: There is nothing more than the DiamondBacks would like to do than to send their home fans home with at least one victory this postseason. However, they just don’t have the fire power to do it. Shaun March vs. Josh Collmenter is a decent pitching advantage for Milwaukee and with a better lineup as well, you have to like the Brewers at even money. However, Milwaukee faced Collmenter twice this season and was held scoreless over 14 innings. Consider, the Brewers are 24-5 since May 20, 2010 as a favorite when they lost the last time they faced this starting pitcher for a net profit of $1800.Milwaukee is playing great baseball right now, having won four straight and seven of eight going back to the regular season. The Diamondbacks are 3-11 since July 27, 2010 as a dog vs a team that has won at least their last four games for a net profit of $722 when playing against. Arizona meanwhile dropped their season finale. The Brewers are 17-6 since July 09, 2010 vs a team that has lost at least their last three games for a net profit of $1214.In the last game on Sunday, Arizona won going away, 9-4. Milwaukee led by counts of 2-0 and 4-1 early, never trailing in that game. The Diamondbacks are 11-21 since May 10, 2010 within 20 cents of pickem when they are off a loss in which they never led for a net profit of $933 when playing against.Milwaukee 5, Arizona 2





    AMERICAN LEAGUE DIVISIONAL SERIES


    Game 4, Texas at Tampa Bay - (TBS, 2:05 PM ET)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Betting Trends Betcha Didn't Know
    (L) Matt Harrison (14-9, 3.43 ERA) TEX is 13-12 on Tuesday
    TEX is 26-23 in Day Games
    The 'under' has gone 18-11 in Harrison's starts
    Texas is 10-5 to the 'under' during the day as a road 'dog

    Jeremy Hellickson (13-10, 2.95 ERA) The Rays have won four of last five with Hellickson on the hill
    TB just 11-14 on Tuesday
    Rays are 35-24 in Day Games
    Tampa Bay is 14-6 at home vs. Lefties, 5-2 during the daytime
    Tampa is 7-2 L9 as a home favorite durng the daytime

    Free Expert Analysis - Micah Roberts: Matt Harrison has been one of the hottest pitchers there is coming into the post-season. He’s won four decisions in his last five starts and the Rangers have won all of his five starts. His no decision was a 3-1 Rangers win where he went 6 innings allowing only one run. The Rangers have also won Harrison’s last five road starts. Jeremy Hellickson has pitched well of late but only has two wins to show for his efforts over his last five. I also like the Rangers in this situation after winning a big Game 3 at Tampa. I could see a major blow out here. Play the Rangers!




    Game 4, New York at Detroit - (TBS, 8:35 PM ET)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Betting Trends Betcha Didn't Know
    A.J. Burnett (11-11, 5.16 ERA) Yankees are 7-14 as a road 'dog vs. righthanders
    NYY is 14-9 on Tuesday
    Yankees are 8-14 with Burnett at night
    The 'under' is 3-1-2 in Burnett's last six starts
    Yankees are 4-9 as a road 'dog off a loss

    Rick Porcello (14-9), 4.75 ERA DET is 14-10 on TUE
    Porcello has watched the 'over' go 17-12 this season
    Tigers are 7-1 in L8 with Porcello tossing
    DET is 12-1 L13 as a home favorite off a win

    Free Expert Analysis - Matt Fargo: Detroit got a big edge when the rainout took place for Game 1 because its rotation stayed the same but New York was forced to make a change and it was not a change it had in mind. The Yankees has originally tagged A.J. Burnett for the bullpen but because of the rotation the way it went after the Friday delay, he has been thrust into the playoff rotation. He was pretty below average for the most part this season and the wheels really came off in the latter half as he posted a 6.85 ERA in 13 starts and one relief appearance after the All-Star break. He was much better at home than on the road as he put up a 6.28 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in 14 road starts with only three of those being quality performances. The Tigers got an excellent last month from Rick Porcello and he earned a spot in the playoff rotation. He had an average season as well but his year was mixed with a lot more consistency to go along with a few blowups. He closed the year with five straight quality starts in September and Detroit ended up winning seven of his final eight starts. While he is still young, he is very confident. "I'm ready to go," Porcello said. "I want to show everybody what I can do." The Tigers are 5-1 in his last six starts against winning teams. Take the Detroit Tigers!


    Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
  • 10/04/2011 05:36 PM

    2011 Playoff Results

    October 4, 2011

    Playoff Results: 2010 - 2009 - 2008

    Overall Playoff Results


    Home teams are 6-4
    Favorites are 6-4
    The 'over' is 7-3
    American League Divisional Series


    New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers
    Game Matchup Date/Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
    1 New York (-160) vs. Detroit 9-3 FAVORITE OVER (9.0)
    2 New York vs. Detroit (+130) 5-3 UNDERDOG UNDER (9.0)
    3 New York vs. Detroit (-123) 5-4 FAVORITE OVER (7.0)
    4 New York vs. Detroit Oct. 4
    *5 New York vs. Detroit Oct. 6




    Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
    Game Matchup Date/Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
    1 Texas vs. Tampa Bay (+160) 9-0 UNDERDOG OVER (8.5)
    2 Texas (-118) vs. Tampa Bay 8-6 FAVORITE OVER (8.0)
    3 Texas (+106) vs. Tampa Bay 4-3 UNDERDOG UNDER (8.0)
    *4 Texas vs. Tampa Bay Oct. 4
    *5 Texas vs. Tampa Bay Oct. 6



    National League Divisional Series


    Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals
    Game Matchup Date/Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
    1 Philadelphia (-220) vs. St. Louis 11-6 FAVORITE OVER (7.0)
    2 Philadelphia vs. St. Louis (+165) 5-4 UNDERDOG OVER (7.0)
    3 Philadelphia vs. St. Louis Oct. 4
    *4 Philadelphia vs. St. Louis Oct. 5
    *5 Philadelphia vs. St. Louis Oct. 7




    Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
    Game Matchup Date/Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
    1 Milwaukee (-125) vs. Arizona 4-1 FAVORITE UNDER (7.5)
    2 Milwaukee (-165) vs. Arizona 9-4 FAVORITE OVER (7.0)
    3 Milwaukee vs. Arizona Oct. 4
    *4 Milwaukee vs. Arizona Oct. 5
    *5 Milwaukee vs. Arizona Oct. 7


    Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
  • 10/04/2011 05:38 PM

    Tigers try to end Yankees season on Tuesday

    NEW YORK YANKEES

    at DETROIT TIGERS


    ALDS Game 4 - Detroit leads series 2-1
    First pitch: Tuesday, 8:35 p.m. EDT
    Line: New York -110, Detroit +100, Total: 9.5

    The Yankees find themselves in a difficult situation, facing the Tigers in an elimination Game 4 at Comerica Park. Detroit won a big Game 3 on Monday night, beating New York 5-4 behind their ace Justin Verlander.

    The Yanks will send A.J. Burnett (11-11, 5.15 ERA) to the mound in hopes of extending their season. Burnett will try to use the confidence he may have obtained from the success in his past two road starts where he went 1-0 with a 3.18 ERA and struck out 15 batters in 11.1 innings. On the hill for Detroit will be right-hander Rick Porcello (14-9, 4.75 ERA). Porcello was inconsistent throughout the season, but ended strong with five straight quality starts, going 2-1 with a 3.55 ERA in September. Despite having 98 wins this year, night games have oddly been a problem for the Yankees and Burnett. New York is just 54-54 (-18.6 Units) under the lights, including 8-13 in night games with Burnett as the starter. Burnett has always had trouble on the road in his career, and this season he has a 6.30 ERA and 1.64 WHIP outside of Yankee Stadium. The Yankees put themselves in a rough situation with Burnett on the mound in the biggest game of their season, and consequently DETROIT will finish them off on Tuesday night.

    This pair of three-star FoxSheets trends also supports the Tigers.

    DETROIT is 79-42 (65.3%, +32.7 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season. The average score was DETROIT 5.1, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 3*).

    Play On - All underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (DETROIT) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, in October games. (42-20 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.7%, +29.9 units. Rating = 3*).

    Burnett has not had much success pitching in the postseason, going 1-2 with a 5.67 ERA in six starts. He lasted just two innings in the 2009 World Series and allowed a whopping six runs. In his last playoff outing in the 2010 ALCS against Texas, Burnett threw six innings and allowed five runs. The righty may not change his luck against Detroit, considering he has a 6.33 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in eight career starts against the Tigers. Look for Detroit to be patient at the plate with the often-erratic Burnett.

    The Yankees hope to get some offense from their sluggers Alex Rodriguez and Mark Teixeira who are a horrid 1-for-21 with 7 K combined in the series. Rodriguez has always been criticized for his playoff struggles and batting .167 with no homers and just five RBI in 12 postseason games in the past two seasons won’t help his case.

    Porcello hasn’t pitched well at home this year, going 5-5 with a less-than-solid 5.64 ERA and .302 opponents’ BA. However, Porcello has pitched fantastic in his past two outings at Comerica Park against the Yankees, throwing 14 innings and allowing just two runs. Porcello is just 22 years old and a couple shutout innings early would really calm his nerves.

    Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
  • 10/04/2011 05:39 PM

    Brewers try to finish sweep in Arizona

    MILWAUKEE BREWERS

    at ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS


    NLDS Game 3 - Milwaukee leads series 2-0
    First pitch: Tuesday, 9:35 p.m. EDT
    Line: Milwaukee -115, Arizona +105, Total: 9

    With their backs against the wall, the Diamondbacks will turn to a rookie pitcher to keep their season alive when they host Milwaukee for an NLDS Game 3 Tuesday night.

    Rookie righthander Josh Collmenter was one of the surprises of the regular season, an unheralded prospect who ended up winning 10 games. Collmenter threw 14 shutout innings over two starts against the Brewers this season, as Milwaukee never seemed to adjust to his funky, over-the-top delivery, going 6-for-46 (.130 BA) with just one walk. He was a little shakier down the stretch, but not as shaky as Brewers Game 3 starter Shaun Marcum, who posted a 6.66 ERA over his final four starts. The Brewers had a losing record on the road (39-42), and Arizona averaged nearly a run more at home than it did away (4.94 to 4.09). It all adds up to make ARIZONA the pick.

    The FoxSheets have a four-star trend that sides with the D-backs:

    Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game on the season. (64-31 over the last 5 seasons, 67.4%, +42 units. Rating = 4*).

    Collmenter (10-10, 3.38 ERA) posted a 5.50 ERA over his final three starts, but did deliver quality starts in his last two, including seven innings of two-run ball in a win over the Giants to finish the year. He was more successful at home, where he went 9-4 with a 3.30 ERA in 16 appearances (12 starts).

    Marcum (13-7, 3.54 ERA) finished the season by getting knocked around by the Pirates, allowing seven runs and 13 base runners over 4.2 innings. He was excellent away from home though, where he went 8-3 with a 2.21 ERA as the Brewers won 10 of his 16 starts. He wasn’t particularly impressive in his two starts against the D-backs, allowing three runs over five innings in Arizona back in May and allowing four runs over six innings at home in July. In two career starts against the Diamondbacks, he has strong 13-to-3 K/BB ratio over those 11 innings.

    Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
  • 10/04/2011 05:43 PM

    Late Afternoon Game:


    NY Yankees - 8:30 PM ET Detroit +112 500

    Detroit - Over 10 500

    Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
  • 10/04/2011 05:51 PM

    Tuesday’s betting tips: D-Backs rookie SP owns Brewers

    Who’s hot

    MLB: Milwaukee has won eight of its last 10 games in Arizona.

    MLB: Detroit is 19-7 in Rick Porcello’s last 26 starts.

    Who’s not

    MLB: The over is 0-7 in Tampa Bay’s last seven home playoff games.

    MLB: The over is 6-16-1 in Philadelphia’s last 23 contests.

    Key stat

    0 – Arizona Diamondbacks rookie starting pitcher Josh Collmenter heads into his first MLB postseason start Tuesday against Milwaukee, a club he has dominated in his short career. The 25-year-old kept the Brewers off the scoreboard in two starts against them back in July. He threw 14 scoreless innings, allowing six hits while striking out 10 with one walk. The Diamondbacks are set as +105 home underdogs.

    Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

    Antonio Gates, San Diego Chargers - San Diego Chargers tight end Antonio Gates was scheduled to run Tuesday to test his injured foot. Gates has sat out the past two games with a plantar fascia injury that caused him to miss the final six games last season. Chargers coach Norv Turner on Monday said his Pro Bowl tight end is making progress but his status for this weekend’s game at Denver. The Chargers are early 4-point favorites.

    Game of the day

    Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays (-120, 8.5)

    Notable quotable

    "It's over already. (Tigers starter Justin) Verlander has it (Monday). Next day, have the celebration in Detroit ... 100 per cent. The Yankees have a good team, but I think that's it for them." – Detroit Tigers closer Jose Valverde following Sunday’s win over the Yankees. Valvarde later told reporters he was joking.

    Notes and tips

    Ohio State running back Dan Herron, wide receiver DeVier Posey and offensive lineman Marcus Hall have been suspended for Saturday's game against No. 14 Nebraska for accepting extra money while working summer jobs near Cleveland. Herron and Posey, along with left tackle Mike Adams and defensive end Solomon Thomas, were suspended for the first five games of the Buckeyes' season for various infractions, including accepting cash and tattoos in exchange for game memorabilia and autographs. The Sooners moved from 9.5-point underdogs against Nebraska to 11-point pups Monday evening.

    If the Philadelphia Phillies want to re-sign shortstop Jimmy Rollins, they'll have to pay market value. Rollins says he won't give the Phillies a hometown discount when he becomes a free agent at season's end. Rollins made the comments following Sunday's loss to St. Louis in Game 2 of the National League Divisional Series. The 33-year-old infielder said he will seek a five-year deal when he hits the open market. Rollins remains one of the top shortstops in the NL. He batted .268 with 16 homers, 63 RBIs and 30 stolen bases in 567 at-bats in the regular season.

    Washington Capitals superstar Alex Ovechkin left the team Monday to fly to Moscow following the death of his uncle. A team spokesman told the Washington Post that the Capitals are hopeful Ovechkin will be back in time for Saturday's regular-season opener against the Carolina Hurricanes. The two-time league MVP had 32 goals and 53 assists last season for a career-low 85 points. Ovechkin had reeled off three consecutive seasons of at least 50 goals, including a career-high 65 in 2007-08, and last season marked the first time he scored fewer than 46 in six seasons with the Capitals.

    New York Jets coach Rex Ryan lashed out at his team following a humbling 34-17 loss at Baltimore on Sunday night, telling the team it is going back to a grind-it-out offense. The Jets have lost two straight games and failed to score an offensive touchdown in the loss to the Ravens. Quarterback Mark Sanchez was 11 of 35 for 119 yards and committed four turnovers - three of which were returned for touchdowns by the Ravens. Sanchez had thrown for a career-high 369 yards in a loss to Oakland the previous week. The Jets opened as 9.5-point underdogs at New England.

    Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
  • 10/04/2011 05:53 PM

    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    -- Cleveland Browns' center Alex Mack played Sunday despite feeling sick; he had an emergency appendectomy Monday. Yikes.

    -- They sell fried peanut butter/jelly/banana sandwiches at the Texas State Fair. Have to get there one of these years.

    -- Curtis Painter's 87-yard TD pass Monday night is longer than any of Peyton Manning's TD passes in the regular season.

    -- Over the last two weeks, 22 of 32 NFL games were decided by 7 or less points.

    -- Los Angeles Angels fired three front office executives since regular season ended last week.

    -- Today's lesson: If you're a public figure with a cushy job you'd like to keep, never, ever compare anyone to Adolf Hitler. Ever. Bad idea.


    *********************


    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Bottom 5 and top 8 in the NFL........

    28) Jaguars—Coach who needs to win this year is playing rookie QB who isn’t ready. This usually leads to the coach being fired.

    29) Seahawks—Coach who bolted USC before probation hit is playing a QB no one else thinks is any good. This generally leads to the coach being fired, but probably not until next year.

    30) Dolphins—QB no one thinks is good hurt his shoulder Sunday; team is 0-4 and on a bye week. This often results in coach being fired.

    31) Colts-- Star QB who basically was offensive coordinator isn’t going to play this year, creaky old veteran has a concussion, #3 QB played bit better than we expected Monday night, but he's still basically a rookie. This gives coach boatload of excuses, plus it puts team in line for good draft choice next spring.

    32) Rams-- Team with good young QB can’t block for him, can’t catch his passes, hasn’t come close to winning yet. Hopefully that’ll lead to this coach being fired, since coach quit on a Week 2 game when he trailed 28-16 with 7:00 left. Three words for Mr Kroenke: HIRE JEFF FISHER

    8) Giants—Go thru all 32 starting QB’s, and tell me where you rank Eli Manning. Not as easy as it sounds. Scroll way down on this page—I had him at #8 before season started.

    7) Chargers—Norv is 3-1 against a weak schedule, but 3-1 ain’t 2-3 and that’s what Norv usually is this time of year.

    6) Saints—Scored TDs on first two possessions Sunday, then didn’t get another one rest of game. They’re probably better than this ranking.

    5) Texans—Andre Johnson better be healthy soon, or offense could be in trouble, since they already lost possession receiver Walter. Good win vs Steelers. Games with Tennessee are looking huge.

    4) Ravens—Bully team; they deal in intimidation. Scoring three defensive TDs in one game doesn’t happen very much. Flacco looked lost Sunday night; not sure why, but his play was a red flag.

    3) Lions—They believe; should be good scene in Motor City Monday night, first MNF home game in a decade, as long as they don’t punt to Devin Hester, and as long as they don't behind by three TDs again.

    2) Patriots—They’ve got the best QB, but defense has allowed total of 1,910 yards in four games. That needs to improve.

    1) Packers—Defending champs showing no signs of slowing down, but their last three opponents haven’t been good.

    Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
  • 10/04/2011 05:54 PM

    MLB
    Dunkel


    Philadelphia at St. Louis
    The Phillies look to bounce back from their Game 2 loss and build on their 8-2 record in Cole Hamels last 10 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150. Philadelphia is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the Phillies favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-135). Here are all of today's picks.

    TUESDAY, OCTOBER 4

    Game 971-972: Texas at Tampa Bay (2:05 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Harrison) 15.862; Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 16.859
    Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 9
    Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-115); 8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-115); Over

    Game 973-974: NY Yankees at Detroit (8:35 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Burnett) 16.793; Detroit (Porcello) 15.905
    Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 9
    Vegas Line: Detroit (-110); 9 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-110); Under

    Game 975-976: Philadelphia at St. Louis (5:05 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.754; St. Louis (Garcia) 15.213
    Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 6 1/2
    Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-135); 7
    Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-135); Under

    Game 977-978: Milwaukee at Arizona (9:35 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Marcum) 15.081; Arizona (Collmenter) 15.684
    Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 9 1/2
    Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-115); 9
    Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-105); Over

    Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
  • 10/04/2011 05:55 PM

    MLB
    Armadillo's Write-Up


    Tuesday, October 4

    Collmenter is 3-3, 2.88 in his last nine starts; he threw 14 consecutive scoreless innings vs Milwaukee in starts July 6-18 (back/back starts that were wrapped around All-Star break), winning 3-0 here (Arizona bullpen lost other game). Brewers much better at home (59-24) than on foreign soil (39-42), can they wrap up series on road? Marcum is 1-2, 7.03 in his last four starts; he allowed four runs in six IP vs Arizona July 4, in a game Diamondbacks later won 8-6. Milwaukee won six of Marcum's last seven road starts.

    Garcia is 3-0, 4.11 in his last five starts; he was 0-0, 1.20 in two starts vs Philly this season (two runs/15 IP). Cardinals are 7-4 vs Philly this year, holding Phils to four or less runs in all seven wins, with five of those seven staying under total. Phillies scored 10-4-9-11 runs in their four wins. Hamels is 0-2, 4.74 in his last three starts; he allowed four runs in seven IP Sept 18, in meaningless game for the Phils.

    Hellickson is 3-2, 2.38 in his last eight starts; he allowed two runs in 6.2 IP in 2-0 loss at Texas August 30. Rangers are 7-5 vs Tampa Bay this year, with three of seven wins via shutouts; Rays scored 5-4-5-5-9 runs in their five wins, 5-0-0-2-0-6-3 in the seven losses. Harrison is 4-0, 2.64 in his last five starts; he beat Rays 11-4 Sept 4, allowing two runs in seven IP. Under is 5-5-1 in eleven series games, 3-3-1 in this park.

    Home team won seven of ten Detroit-Bronx games, as Tigers won four of five at home- Tigers are 6-4 in season series this year, as Detroit held them to three or less runs in four of six series wins. Bronx scored 6-10-5-9 runs in its four series wins. Burnett is 2-0, 4.08 in his last three starts; Bronx is 16-16 in his 32 starts this season. Burnett split pair of starts vs Detroit early in season, allowing eight runs in 12 IP. Porcello is 2-1, 3.55 in his last five starts; he beat Bronx here 6-3 back in May, allowing two runs in seven IP. Over is 6-4 in series games, 2-3 in Comerica Park, a more spacious ballpark.

    Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
  • 10/04/2011 05:56 PM

    MLB


    Tuesday, October 4

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    2:07 PM
    TEXAS vs. TAMPA BAY
    Texas is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
    Texas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home
    Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

    5:07 PM
    PHILADELPHIA vs. ST. LOUIS
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 11 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
    St. Louis is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of St. Louis's last 13 games at home

    8:37 PM
    NY YANKEES vs. DETROIT
    NY Yankees are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing Detroit
    NY Yankees are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games
    Detroit is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games at home

    9:37 PM
    MILWAUKEE vs. ARIZONA
    Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
    Milwaukee is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Arizona
    Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee


    Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
  • 10/04/2011 05:57 PM

    MLB


    Tuesday, October 4

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    What bettors need to know: Tuesday's MLB playoff action
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    American League

    Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays (-108)

    Texas leads series 2-1

    THE STORY: The Texas Rangers are one win away from reaching the American League Championship Series for the second consecutive season. They'll look to secure that victory Tuesday when they face the Tampa Bay Rays in Game 4 of the division series. Texas defeated Tampa Bay 4-3 on Monday to make it four straight road victories over the Rays in the past two postseasons. Mike Napoli hit the go-ahead, two-run homer and Colby Lewis allowed just one hit in six innings.

    TV: 2:07 p.m. ET, TBS.

    PITCHING MATCHUP: Rangers LH Matt Harrison (14-9, 3.39 ERA) vs. Rays RH Jeremy Hellickson (13-10, 2.95 ERA)

    Harrison pitched in relief in the opening game of the series and gave up a run in two-thirds of an inning. He went 4-0 with a 2.64 ERA in five September starts to beat out Alexi Ogando for a postseason starting spot. Harrison’s only career start against the Rays came in 2008 when he tossed eight innings of three-hit ball. Johnny Damon is 5-for-10 with three walks against Harrison.

    Hellickson is one of the favorites for AL Rookie of the Year honors after finishing eighth in the league in ERA and ranking as the second-toughest pitcher to hit (.210) behind Detroit ace Justin Verlander. He had a 2.64 ERA after the All-Star break but one of his three second-half losses was to Texas when he gave up two runs and six hits in six innings on August 30.

    ABOUT THE RAYS: Tampa Bay faces elimination despite outhomering the powerful Rangers 7-2 in the first three games. Desmond Jennings hit two homers in Monday’s loss to became the first leadoff hitter to go deep twice in a postseason game since Damon did so for the Boston Red Sox in 2004. Evan Longoria struck out three times but is 3-for-3 with a homer and double against Harrison.

    ABOUT THE RANGERS: Napoli has four RBIs over the past two games as he follows up the best regular season of his career. Napoli also threw out B.J. Upton trying to steal in the eighth inning. Josh Hamilton had a two-run single for the other two Texas runs, his first RBIs of the series. Adrian Beltre is hitting just .091 in the series. Closer Neftali Feliz has saved two games and had a four-out save on Monday. Only once did Feliz record more than three outs in 32 regular-season saves.

    TRENDS:

    * Under is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings in Tampa Bay.
    * Over is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings.
    * Rangers are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Tampa Bay.
    * Under is 41-13-6 in umpire Greg Gibsons last 60 games behind home plate.

    FINAL PITCH: Monday’s Game 3 marked Tampa Bay’s first sellout at Tropicana Field since Opening Day.


    New York Yankees at Detroit Tigers (-103)

    Detroit leads series 2-1

    THE STORY: Trying to stave off elimination, the New York Yankees will send enigmatic righthander A.J. Burnett to the mound in Tuesday’s Game 4 of the American League Division Series in Detroit. Burnett was not scheduled to get a start in the series, but Friday’s rain-forced suspension scrambled the pitching plans for both teams. The Tigers will counter with 22-year-old Rick Porcello. New York must win the next two against a team that hasn’t lost back-to-back games since Aug. 28-29.

    TV: 8:37 p.m. ET, TBS

    PITCHING MATCHUP: Yankees RH A.J. Burnett (2011: 11-11, 5.15 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Rick Porcello (0-0, 9.00 ERA).

    Burnett hasn’t won consecutive starts since winning his first three outings of the season. He had only three wins in the last three months of the season and two of them came in a two-week span in September, including an 11-strikeout effort in Seattle. Burnett has not fared well at Comerica Park, going 2-2 with a 7.17 ERA in four starts. He is 1-1 vs. the Tigers this year.

    Porcello allowed more than three runs only once in his last seven starts, but also was winless in his last three outings. Certainly not overpowering, he doesn’t give up a lot of walks and home runs, which will be crucial against the Yankees. He limited New York to two runs in seven innings earlier this season at Comerica. Robinson Cano is 5-for-11 against Porcello.

    ABOUT THE YANKEES: New York needs to find some production from the middle of its lineup after the Nos. 3-6 hitters went 0-for-14 Monday. Alex Rodriguez and Mark Teixeira are a combined 1-for-21 in the ALDS. No. 9 hitter Brett Gardner had a two-out, two-run double that tied Monday’s game and has four RBIs in the series. Closer Mariano Rivera has not pitched in two nights, so he’ll likely be available for two innings Tuesday.

    ABOUT THE TIGERS: Detroit received unexpected offense from a couple of sources Monday. No. 9 hitter Brandon Inge led off a pair of innings with hits and scored both times on run-scoring hits by Ramon Santiago, who had 30 RBIs on the season. Delmon Young’s second homer of the series accounted for the winning run in Game 3. He clubbed eight homers in 40 games after he was acquired from Minnesota in mid-August.

    TRENDS:

    * Under is 6-1-2 in the last nine meetings in Detroit.
    * Over is 8-3-2 in the last 13 meetings.
    * Yankees are 1-5 in the last six meetings.
    * Yankees are 0-4 in the last four meetings in Detroit.

    FINAL PITCH: Tigers closer Jose Valverde jokingly guaranteed the series wouldn’t return to New York after Game 2. He has turned in a pair of high-wire acts, throwing 34 and 19 pitches the past two nights to keep Detroit unbeaten (85-0) when leading entering the ninth inning.



    National League

    Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals (+125, 7)

    Series tied 1-1

    THE STORY: The St. Louis Cardinals didn't give up when they were 10 1/2 games out of a postseason berth in late August - so they certainly weren't going to wave the white towel after falling into a four-run deficit on Sunday. Tony La Russa's club came through with key hits and used a brilliant performance by its bullpen to gain a split of their National League Division Series with the Philadelphia Phillies. The series now shifts to the Gateway City with the wild-card Cardinals brimming with confidence and the NL East champion Phillies on their heels. St. Louis lefthander Jaime Garcia will take the mound against southpaw Cole Hamels in Game 3 on Tuesday.

    TV: 5:07 p.m. ET, TBS

    PITCHING MATCHUP: Phillies LH Cole Hamels (14-9, 2.79 ERA) vs. Cardinals LH Jaime Garcia (13-7, 3.56 ERA)

    Hamels will vie for his first win in nearly a month when he takes the mound on Tuesday. The 2008 World Series MVP has fared well on the road, posting a 7-3 mark away from Citizens Bank Park this season. Hamels is just 2-3 in his career versus the Cardinals, dropping his lone outing on Sept. 18. He permitted four runs on seven hits in seven innings in a 5-0 loss.

    Garcia won three in a row to finish the season with a flourish. The 25-year-old Mexican has posted a 2-1 career mark against the Phillies, but settled for a pair of no-decisions this season. He yielded just one run in both respective outings on May 17 and Sept. 16 - with both contests eventually won by the Cardinals.

    ABOUT THE CARDINALS: La Russa used an in-game television interview to fire up his club. With Philadelphia leading 4-0, the Cardinals skipper publicly complained about the strike zone - a move which will likely result in a slap on the wrist by the league but also slapped some sense into the Cardinals. Albert Pujols, who is nursing a sore right heel, delivered the final blow with a run-scoring single in the seventh to give his team a 5-4 victory. Pujols has struggled versus Hamels - going 4-for-23 in his career - but launched a mammoth first-inning homer in their last outing on Sept. 18. Ryan Theriot, who had two hits on Sunday, is 7-for-21 in his career versus Hamels.

    ABOUT THE PHILLIES: Ryan Howard is having a significantly better postseason in 2011 than he had in 2010. The slugger ripped a two-run single in Game 2 to increase his total to six RBIs in the NLDS. Last year, Howard did not have an RBI in nine postseason games. Jimmy Rollins went 3-for-4 with a pair of doubles and two runs scored on Sunday. He is now 5-for-8 with five runs scored in the series. Both Howard and Rollins have struggled against Garcia, going 2-for-11 and 1-for-11, respectively.

    TRENDS:

    * Cardinals are 4-0 in Garcias last four starts vs. Phillies.
    * Under is 4-0 in Garcias last four starts vs. Phillies.
    * Phillies are 4-1 in Hamels' last five road starts vs. Cardinals.
    * Under is 4-1 in Hamels' last five starts vs. Cardinals.
    * Under is 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings in St. Louis.
    * Phillies are 2-5 in the last seven meetings.

    FINAL PITCH: While stepping up defensively, Placido Polanco and Carlos Ruiz have stepped back at the plate. The pair is a combined 0-for-16 in the series with five strikeouts. Both players are 0-for-8, with Polanco fanning three times.


    Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks (+106, 9)

    Milwaukee leads series 2-0

    THE STORY: The Milwaukee Brewers are one win away from their first postseason series victory since 1982. Ryan Braun and Prince Fielder each have a home run and have combined for nine hits and six RBIs through the first two games of the National League Division Series. The Arizona Diamondbacks are hoping a trip home will turn their fortunes. The Diamondbacks will send Josh Collmenter to the mound in Game 3 on Tuesday.

    TV: 9:37 p.m. ET, TBS

    PITCHING MATCHUP: Brewers RH Shaun Marcum (13-7, 3.54 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Josh Collmenter (10-10, 3.38 ERA).

    Marcum had one of his worst starts closing out the season, getting torched for seven runs and 10 hits in 4 2/3 innings against light-hitting Pittsburgh. The righthander went 1-2 with a 6.66 ERA in his final four outings. Marcum went six innings against Arizona on July 4, yielding four runs on seven hits in a no decision.

    Collmenter finished up the regular season with a win over San Francisco on Sept. 25 and recorded a quality start in seven of his last nine turns. The 25-year old did have some trouble keeping the ball in the yard toward the end, surrendering five homers in his last three games. Collmenter made two starts against Milwaukee, allowing a total of six hits in 14 scoreless innings.

    ABOUT THE BREWERS: Fielder’s two-run blast provided the highlight of a 4-1 victory in Game 1 on Saturday and Braun went deep in the first inning of Game 2 to get Milwaukee started. The Brewers got some production from the rest of their lineup in Sunday’s 9-4 triumph, specifically during a five-run rally in the sixth that gave them the lead. Milwaukee was just 39-42 away from Miller Park during the regular season.

    ABOUT THE DIAMONDBACKS: Arizona will be attempting to become the first NL team in the wild card era to come back from a 2-0 deficit in a best-of-five series. It has happened four times in the American League, most recently when the Boston Red Sox overtook the Oakland Athletics in 2003. Ian Kennedy and Daniel Hudson could not get the job done in the first two games but the Diamondbacks went 51-30 at Chase Field this season. They scored 400 runs and hit .262 in the desert, up from 331 and .239 on the road.

    TRENDS:

    * Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Arizona.
    * Brewers are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Arizona.
    * Brewers are 4-1 in the last five meetings.
    * Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.

    FINAL PITCH: Milwaukee came back from 2-0 down in 1982 American League Championship Series, beating the California Angels in five games.


    Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27373 Followers:33
10/05/2011 05:59 PM

Wednesday, October 5

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Philadelphia 0 Bot 0 St. Louis +107 500

St. Louis 0 Over 7.5 500

Milwaukee - 9:30 PM ET Milwaukee -106 500

Arizona - Over 9 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27373 Followers:33
10/05/2011 06:26 PM

Wednesday’s betting tips: Early bettors jump on Phillies

Weather to watch

Meteorologists expect temperatures in the mid-to-high 70s when the Philadelphia Phillies head to St. Louis for Game 4. About 7 mph winds are expected to blow toward the third base line with a zero percent chance of precipitation.

Who’s hot

MLB: Philadelphia has won five of its last six.

WNBA: Minnesota is 19-7 against the spread in its last 26 home games.

Who’s not

MLB: The over is just 2-5-1 in the last eight meetings between St. Louis and Philadelphia.

WNBA: Atlanta is 0-4 against the number in its last four meetings with Minnesota.

Key stat

22 – If you’re talking about parity in the NFL, consider this: A total of 22 games from Week 3 and Week 4 were decided by seven or fewer points, the most in any two-week period in NFL history. This week 11 of 13 games on the board currently have pointspreads set at seven or fewer points. A total of 35 games through four weeks have been decided by seven or fewer points, which also an all-time high.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Matt Holliday, St. Louis Cardinals – Despite his finger injury, Holliday managed to squeeze a big pinch-hit single through the right side of the infield in the eighth inning of Tuesday’s 3-2 loss. Look for the Cards to have him ready as their first pinch hitter off the bench again on Wednesday if needed.

Game of the day

Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals (+105, 8)

Notable quotable

“The fun will be in February when you guys are interviewing us up in Indy. That’ll be fun. Very bold prediction. But I’m gonna stand by it.” – Redskins running back Tim Hightower told CSNWashington.com about playing in the Super Bowl in Indianapolis. The Redskins are on their bye this week and are currently set around +4500 to win the Super Bowl.

Notes and tips

Angel Hernandez is scheduled to be behind the plate when Philadelphia heads to St. Louis for Game 4. Hernandez saw home teams go just 14-21 in the regular season while the under was 19-14 in the games he worked. The early line for Wednesday’s matchup has the visiting Phillies pegged as -115 favorites with a 7.5-run total. About 61 percent of *********** Consensus bettors are currently backing Philadelphia.

The Atlanta Dream are expected to have 6-foot-5 center Erika de Souza back in the lineup for Wednesday’s Game 2 of the WNBA finals. She left the team midway through the playoffs to play for Brazil in the Olympic qualifiers and her presence in the middle should help the Dream deal with Minnesota center Rebekkah Brunson, who went off for 26 points and 11 rebounds in Game 1’s victory. The Lynx outrebounded the Dream 40-28 and outscored them 52-30 in the paint. The Lynx are set as 5.5-point home favorites for Game 2.

Florida State quarterback EJ Manuel is feeling better and expects to play in Saturday's game against Wake Forest. Manuel injured his non-throwing shoulder in a loss to Oklahoma on Sept. 17. He practiced for the first time since the injury on Monday. Manuel said his range of motion and strength have improved greatly from two weeks ago. However, coach Jimbo Fisher was non-committal when asked if Manuel or redshirt freshman Clint Trickett would play against Wake Forest. Trickett threw for 336 yards, three touchdowns and an interception in his first career start with Manuel out, a 36-30 loss to Clemson. Florida State is currently set as at 13-point favorite this week.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27373 Followers:33
10/05/2011 06:37 PM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

-- Baltimore Ravens lead NFL in takeaways with 14; five other teams have 11.

-- Lions/49ers (+8) lead the NFL in takeaway margin; surprisingly, the Steelers (-10) are last in this important category.

-- Pittsburgh has one takeaway in four games; Miami/Seattle have two each, which helps explain their poor records.

-- Ohio State's offense is ranked 108th in country. Out of 120 teams.

-- Kid from Carson HS in Nevada kicked a 64-yard field goal last week, longer than any field goal in NFL history.

-- Underdogs are 10-6 vs spread in NFL divisional games so far; home underdogs are 4-2, home favorites 4-6.


**********************


Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but..........

13) Finally saw Moneyball last week; being an A's fan since the mid-60's, I came at it from a different direction than most of you, but it was alright, other than making Billy Beane look like a combination of Gandhi, Vince Lombardi and well........Brad Pitt. Thats Hollywood for you.

12) The movie does an incredible hatchet job on manager Art Howe, who was 600-533 in seven years as Oakland manager, 205-119 the last couple years. Movie made it look like Howe was a spectator while Billy Beane orchestrated the whole thing. Does that mean Bob Geren was a spectator during the debacle of the last four years? I'm just asking.......

Another thing, the actor that plays Howe looks EXACTLY like Whitey Herzog, and that was distracting, but thats probably a minor point.

11) One little mistake bothered me a lot; in the credits, they spelled relief pitcher Jim Mecir's name wrong. Mecir pitched for 11 years in the major leagues, 4.5 years with the A's. His name is in the Baseball Encyclopedia. No excuse for spelling it wrong.

10) After watching Cam Newton play for a month, I could make a case for him being one of the best 10 QBs in the NFL. If you started the NFL all over again now and re-drafted, Newton would definitely be one of the first five quarterbacks taken. He's been that good so far.

9) Story popped up out of nowhere this week that Bill Hodges, who was Larry Bird's college coach, is now teaching history/coaching high school basketball down in Virginia. Hodges has been all over since Indiana State fired him three years after Bird left Terre Haute in 1979.

8) Used to be a guy on TV infomercials named Don Lapre who bragged how easy it was to make money while not working very hard. Turns out he was ripping people off, scamming over 220,000 people out of $47M+ over the years. While awaiting trail for fraud in Arizona, gutless bastard killed himself. Anyone who tells you that its easy to make money, run in the other direction. Fast. No such thing as easy money.

7) Denver Broncos have started five drives in enemy territory; should get a score on every one of those, but Broncos have no TDs, one field goal on those five drives, which helps explain their 1-3 record.

6) Big reason why Giants are 3-1, other than then the refs bailing them out in Glendale Sunday, is fact that they've scored 13 touchdowns while trying only two field goals. When they get close, they score TDs.

5) Wes Welker has 40 catches for 616 yards through four games, which puts him on pace for 160 catches for 2,464 yards, which won't happen of course, but he's been huge so far. Helps to be smart, and helps to play on same team with the game's best quarterback.

4) This is what well-prepared teams with a great quarterback do to start games-- the Patriots' opening drive in their first four games.....
Week 1, at Miami-- six plays, 78 yards, TD
Week 2, San Diego-- 12 plays, 92 yards, TD
Week 3, at Buffalo-- nine plays, 80 yards, TD
Week 4, at Oakland-- nine plays, 80 yards, TD

Dallas and Houston have 17 points on their four opening drives. Seven teams haven't scored on an opening drive yet.

3) Then there is Jacksonville, which in its last three games, has given up two safeties and lost the ball on downs on its opening drive. They did get a touchdown on their first drive of the season.

2) Jaguars have had a total of 45 drives in their four games, scoring three touchdowns, kicking six field goals with 16 3/outs. Coaches who use a rookie quarterback either want to get fired or have a longterm contract.

1) Finally. South Carolina is benching troubled senior QB Stephen Garcia and will play Connor Shaw this week. Garcia has been nothing but trouble off the field for Steve Spurrier throughout his Gamecock career, and his play hasn't justified all the second chances he's gotten. Baffling that the Head Ball Coach hasn't been able to develop a QB in Columbia.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27373 Followers:33
10/05/2011 06:38 PM

MLB
Dunkel


Milwaukee at Arizona
The Brewers look to bounce back from yesterday's 8-1 loss and build on their 6-1 record in Randy Wolf's last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in the previous game. Milwaukee is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Brewers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-110). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 5

Game 979-980: Philadelphia at St. Louis (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Oswalt) 14.805; St. Louis (Jackson) 16.162
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-105); Over

Game 981-982: Milwaukee at Arizona (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Wolf) 16.402; Arizona (Saunders) 15.364
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-110); Under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27373 Followers:33
10/05/2011 06:39 PM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up


Wednesday, October 5

Brewers much better at home (59-24) than on foreign soil (39-43), can they wrap up series on road? Saunders is 3-1, 3.58 in his last four starts; he gave up two runs in seven IP vs Brewers July 20, a game Milwaukee won in 10 innings. Wolf is 1-1, 6.27 in his last three starts; he was 0-2, 6.75 in two starts vs Arizona this season, allowing 10 runs in 13.1 IP. Arizona won six of its last eight home games. Home team won all three games in this series.

Oswalt is 3-3, 4.24 in his last seven starts; he was 1-1, 3.21 in his three starts vs St Louis this year, blanking Cardinals for seven innings only 18 days ago. Under is 4-0-1 in his last five outings. St Louis won six of last seven Jackson starts (2-0, 3.26 in his last six outings); he didn't make a start vs Philly this season. Holliday being restricted to pinch-hitting has obviously hurt St Louis offense- they've been outscored 13-7 from sixth inning on in this series.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27373 Followers:33
10/05/2011 06:40 PM

MLB


Wednesday, October 5

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Trend Report
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6:07 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
St. Louis is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games

9:37 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. ARIZONA
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Arizona is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27373 Followers:33
10/05/2011 06:41 PM

MLB


Wednesday, October 5

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Payoff pitch: Wednesday's best mound matchup
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Roy Oswalt, Philadelphia Phillies vs. Edwin Jackson, St. Louis Cardinals

Roy Oswalt, (9-10, 3.69 ERA)

The last time Roy Oswalt headed to St. Louis for a big playoff was a wizard. That was back in 2005 when he was with the Astros and he held St. Louis to just three hits and a single run over seven innings to help Houston claim the NL pennant.

Oswalt is 5-1 with a 3.39 ERA in 12 postseason appearances, but this has been a bit of a tough year for the veteran. He had two separate stints on the DL with back problems and had only 93 strikeouts in 24 starts this season.

That said, he did shut out the Cards over seven innings while striking out seven last month and fired six scoreless innings in his regular-season finale against Atlanta.

"I feel like I can still compete," Oswalt told reporters. "When you get to the point where you don't feel like you can compete, that's when you start doubting about pitching. I actually have a few more pitches than I did when I first started. I feel like I can do it another three or four or five years."

Edwin Jackson (12-9, 3.79 ERA)

The St. Louis Cardinals had their eye on Edwin Jackson for a while before they landed him from the White Sox at the deadline. In 13 appearances with the Cards, the 28-year-old is 5-2 with a 3.58 ERA and now has a chance to make a big impression on his sixth big league team.

This will be his first postseason start, but Philadelphia doesn’t have much experience against Jackson as no member on the club has more than seven lifetime at-bats against him.

"They have a lot of depth in the lineup, and there's really no easy outs. You just have to go out and be aggressive, but at the same time, you can't give them too much credit. You have to have confidence in your pitches, and at the end of the day, either you get it done or you don't, there's no in between."

Jackson has been consistent since joining the Cards, allowing more than four runs just twice while yielding only one home run in his last seven starts.

He pitched one inning of relief, giving up a couple of hits but no runs in a 13-6 win over Houston on Sept. 27.


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MLB


Wednesday, October 5

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Hot lines: Wednesday's best MLB bet
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Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks (-107)

The Arizona Diamondbacks played desperate baseball in Game 3 of the NLDS Tuesday, and were able to force a Game 4 at Chase Field Wednesday night.

Arizona needed a Grand Slam from rookie Paul Goldshmidt to spark an 8-1 victory over the Brewers, who continue to struggle outside of Miller Park. Milwaukee is the lone playoff team with a losing road record, finishing the regular season 39-42 in opposing parks.

“They're a tough team, especially in (Chase Field)”, Milwaukee starter Randy Wolf, who takes the ball in Game 4, told the media of Arizona. “They're one of those teams you really want to keep off base. You want to slow the game down because they have the tendency to bring the intensity on their side, and you want to slow that down. They're a good team, you've got to respect them."

The Brewers managed only one run on a solo shot from Corey Hart in Game 3. For the year, Milwaukee averaged just over four runs and hit .246 BA on the road – a far cry from its .277 BA at home, which was tops in the National League.

The Brewers do have the safety net of Miller Park in Game 5 if they fail again to close the series out on the road.

"It's not a 'do or die' game," manager Ron Roencike told reporters. "We need to come out and play a solid game, but it's certainly not 'do or die.'"

Pick: Arizona -107


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27373 Followers:33
10/05/2011 06:42 PM

MLB
Long Sheet


Wednesday, October 5

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PHILADELPHIA (104 - 61) at ST LOUIS (91 - 74) - 6:05 PM
ROY OSWALT (R) vs. EDWIN JACKSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 67-46 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 43-21 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 21-13 (+9.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 104-61 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 28-15 (+10.8 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 51-31 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-5 (+14.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 102-60 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 148-86 (+24.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 91-61 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 45-25 (+12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 26-10 (+12.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
OSWALT is 37-13 (+18.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday since 1997. (Team's Record)
OSWALT is 58-23 (+30.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 177-151 (-22.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 4-9 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Wednesday this season.
ST LOUIS is 174-148 (-22.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSON is 10-17 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 7-5 (+4.1 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.1 Units)

ROY OSWALT vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
OSWALT is 12-8 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.16 and a WHIP of 1.218.
His team's record is 16-17 (-5.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 21-12. (+7.8 units)

EDWIN JACKSON vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
JACKSON is 0-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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MILWAUKEE (98 - 67) at ARIZONA (95 - 70) - 9:35 PM
RANDY WOLF (L) vs. JOE SAUNDERS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 96-71 (+25.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 53-31 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 96-71 (+25.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 73-50 (+23.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 59-37 (+21.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ARIZONA is 37-32 (+8.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SAUNDERS is 96-69 (+21.5 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 92-66 (+20.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 99-67 (+22.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 99-67 (+22.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 66-46 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WOLF is 190-154 (+31.3 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
WOLF is 149-118 (+33.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
WOLF is 30-19 (+15.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 22-35 (-17.7 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 60-86 (-30.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 5-5 (+0.3 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)

RANDY WOLF vs. ARIZONA since 1997
WOLF is 10-5 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.64 and a WHIP of 1.391.
His team's record is 13-7 (+7.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-8. (+1.9 units)

JOE SAUNDERS vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
SAUNDERS is 0-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 5.68 and a WHIP of 1.263.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27373 Followers:33
10/05/2011 06:43 PM

MLB
Short Sheet


Wednesday, October 5

PHILADELPHIA at ST LOUIS, 6:05 PM ET NL Division Series - Best of 5 - Game 4 - PHI leads 2-1
OSWALT: PHILADELPHIA 51-31 against the money line in road games
JACKSON: 12-25 at home when the money line is +125 to -125

MILWAUKEE at ARIZONA, 9:35 PM ET NL Division Series - Best of 5 - Game 4 - MIL leads 2-1
WOLF: MILWAUKEE 31-43 when the money line is +125 to -125
SAUNDERS: ARIZONA 20-8 after a win by 4 runs or more

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: