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Study Group: Wednesday's Top 25 NCAAB Betting Notes
The race towards March is on. Check out all of Wednesday's Top 25 betting action:
DePaul Blue Demons at Georgetown Hoyas (-15, 135)
It wasn’t long ago that No. 11 Georgetown was an unranked team that began Big East play with a 2-3 record. However, the Hoyas will put the conference’s longest winning streak on the line on Wednesday when they host DePaul. On Jan. 19, Georgetown provided South Florida with its only league win, but since that setback, the Hoyas have trumped three top-25 opponents and won seven straight overall.
The win streak has allowed Georgetown to move from the bottom half of the conference and into a three-way tie for first with Marquette and Syracuse, the latter of which it will meet Saturday. In the meantime, the Hoyas stand a good chance at remaining atop the Big East with a home game against the Blue Demons. DePaul snapped a nine-game slide with Saturday’s victory over Rutgers, but has lost 11 straight against Georgetown.
Providence Friars at Syracuse Orange (-12.5, 130)
Providence has suddenly put itself in major contention for a postseason bid after a four-game win streak, its longest in Big East play since 2004. The healthier Friars attempt to beat their third ranked team of the month when they travel to Syracuse on Wednesday. Providence was without guards Vincent Council and Kris Dunn for 10 and nine games, respectively, with injuries and leading scorer Bryce Cotton missed two close Friars’ losses. Providence must continue its strong play on the defensive end to win at the Carrier Dome for the first time since 1999.
Eighth-ranked Syracuse is only 3-3 its last six games, but is 15-0 at the Dome this season – 5-0 in league play. The contest will start a critical three-game stretch for the Orange, who host Georgetown on Saturday and play at Marquette on Monday. Syracuse won at Providence 72-66 on Jan. 9.
Minnesota Golden Gophers at Ohio State Buckeyes (-6, 121)
Both Minnesota and Ohio State have 18 victories this season, but neither is playing well entering Wednesday’s matchup at Columbus. The visiting Golden Gophers are far removed from a 15-1 start, losing seven of their past 10 and falling into a three-way tie for sixth in the Big Ten standings. Minnesota is last in conference games in defending the 3-point shot, which could prove problematic against the Buckeyes.
Ohio State is third in the conference in 3-point shooting (36.5 percent), and junior Lenzelle Smith Jr. (39.1 percent) and Deshaun Thomas (38.5 percent) rank in the top 12 in the Big Ten in shooting from beyond the arc. Ohio State is fifth in the conference standings, three games out of first.
Wisconsin Badgers at Northwestern Wildcats (+7, 112)
No. 17 Wisconsin will be fighting to keep its Big Ten title hopes alive when it travels to slumping Northwestern on Wednesday night. The Badgers are two games behind conference co-leaders No. 1 Indiana and No. 5 Michigan State, but are flying high after a routine 71-49 win over No. 18 Ohio State.
The Wildcats enter on a three-game losing streak, having posted a season-low 41 points against in-state rival Illinois on their home floor on Sunday. Its the longest skid of the season for Northwestern, and even a matchup against a Badger squad that's been less than adequate on the road would seem a tough place to stop it. Wisconsin hasn't lost to the Wildcats since Jan. 7, 2009, in Evanston.
Kansas Jayhawks at Oklahoma State Cowboys (-1.5, 138)
Oklahoma State puts its seven-game win streak on the line Wednesday against No. 9 Kansas in a critical Big 12 contest, with both teams trailing first-place Kansas State by a half-game. The 14th-ranked Cowboys are trending upward behind the play of freshman point guard Marcus Smart, who scored a career-high 28 points in an 84-79 overtime win over Oklahoma on Saturday.
Kansas bounced back after suffering its first three-game losing streak since 2005 with dominating wins over Kansas State and Texas last week. Oklahoma State ended Kansas’ 33-game home win streak with an 85-80 victory Feb. 2, but the Jayhawks have defeated the Cowboys in five of the last seven games. Kansas freshman guard Ben McLemore, who leads the Big 12 in scoring in conference play at 17.8 points per game, had 23 points against the Cowboys in the first matchup.
Houston Cougars at Memphis Tigers (-19, 158)
Memphis staved off a second-half rally from Marshall last time out to win its 16th straight game, the second longest streak in the nation. The 19th-ranked Tigers host Houston Wednesday in a Conference USA game needing two more wins to clinch their second-straight conference title. Memphis has try to avoid looking past the Cougars with Southern Mississippi, its lone threat in the conference, on deck.
Houston is coming off a heart-breaking loss to Tulsa in triple overtime. The Cougars scored five points in the final five seconds of regulation to force the extra sessions but ran out of gas in the final period. TaShawn Thomas was named the conference's Player of the Week averaging 27.5 points and 13 rebounds over a pair of games last week.
Colorado State Rams at UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-3, 138)
Colorado State has a clear route to sole possession of first place in the Mountain West. It will be far from easy though. To reach a showdown for the top spot in the league on Saturday with New Mexico, the 21st-ranked Rams must first end UNLV’s 13-game home winning streak on Wednesday night. Colorado State has won six straight contests since losing at New Mexico on Jan.23. That came one game after beating UNLV 66-61 at home. The Rams have five players averaging at least 9.9 points and led the nation in rebounding through Monday.
UNLV has lost three of its last five games, but the two victories were against No. 16 New Mexico and talented San Diego State at home where the Runnin’ Rebels are 15-1 overall and 7-0 in the league. UNLV, led by freshman Anthony Bennett, could use another key victory to seal an NCAA bid.
Washington Huskies at Arizona Wildcats (-12, 137)
A Pac-12 championship is still within reach for No. 12 Arizona heading into its game Wednesday night against visiting Washington. The Wildcats ended a two-game losing streak with a win Sunday against Utah, leaving them a game behind first-place Oregon with five remaining. Washington ended a three-game losing streak with Saturday’s victory against Oregon State. The Huskies, the defending conference champions, were picked to finish fifth in the Pac-12 but are tied for eighth with Stanford.
Washington has one of the premier scorers in the Pac-12 in junior guard C.J. Wilcox but he was stymied by Nick Johnson when these teams met Jan. 31, scoring 11 points on 4-for-16 shooting in the 57-53 win by the visiting Wildcats. That was part of an overall decline by Wilcox, in which he shot 34.9 percent from the floor during an eight-game stretch that resulted in seven losses. He regained his touch against Oregon State, shooting 7-for-14 and scoring 24 points.
Santa Clara Broncos at Gonzaga Bulldogs (-15, 142)
No. 3 Gonzaga appeared to have cleared the last major hurdle on the way to an undefeated season in the West Coast Conference when it eased past Saint Mary's to cap a sweep against its biggest conference rival. The Zags host dangerous Santa Clara needing one more win to match the most its ever had in regular-season play. Kelly Olynyk continues to state his claim for national Player of the Year winning the conference's weekly honor for the second time last week.
Rising Santa Clara looks to end the Zags' eight-game winning streak in the one-sided series. Gonzaga has won 26 of the last 27 meetings. Santa Clara coach Kerry Keating has beaten Gonzaga just once, that coming in 2011. The Broncos beat Pepperdine last game 70-60 as senior Raymond Cowels III scored the 1,000th point in his career.
Kansas at Oklahoma State: Both teams tied w/K-State in the loss column, so this has really big implications. Most brackets have these two as #4 and #5 seeds, so a win here, especially by the Cowboys, can go a long, long, way. They could be a bit weary, both physically and mentally, after the OT win over the Sooners. However, they'd better be ready because they beat Kansas in Kansas this season, and very few teams do that. But, aside from a game at ISU later, they should be favored to win out, so winning here is even more important. Kansas also plays at ISU and at Baylor, who they beat soundly. Mental edge here probably goes to the home team, but Kansas does have the size and the experience advantage. Cowboys still a bit young, but they do get to the FT line, as does Kansas. Because the Jayhawks have had some turnover issues, I doubt I could take them on the road. And because Oklahoma State hasn't been a great offensive rebounding team, that may mean more fast break/transition baskets, and in what ought to be a close game I would lean to the over, as almost-too-easy as it looks. I do think the number gets bet up, so the sooner the better on that one, or, wait til very late and see what happens. This is a Kansas team that lost to TCU, and even given the spot they were in, losing SU in that one is tough for me to forget. They play TCU next, and if I were them I'd almost be thinking about beating the shit out of the Horned Frogs more than playing the Cowboys, so lean Oklahoma State here.
Colorado State at UNLV: OK, so NOW the Rebels are back in bettors favors and we've forgot all about the Rams, or so it seems. Highly unlikely I could fade a team that rebounds as well as CSU, and CSU is tied in the loss column with the Rebels. CSU beat the Rebels by five at home a month or so back in a game that really was fairly even (statistically), but they key thing was that the Rams were able to slow the game down. Clearly that's not what the Rebels want here. I probably want no part of this game, since the Rams simply don't play defense to create turnovers, and that's what they'll need to keep this a close game. If there's a total it will probably be over 140, which might tempt me to take the under. I simply don't expect CSU to buckle even if the Rebels play "their" game, and would lean to UNLV a bit but as I said a second ago, I cannot bet against the better coached team.
Minnesota at Ohio State: Well, we were all over Iowa the other night after watching what they did to Penn State, and we loved Wisconsin over the Buckeyes, so we've been right on these teams recently. Now, both teams come in after brutal losses. Usually in that case I'd tend to go with the better coach, which IMO is none of the above. As I said last week, without Sullinger and other options Craft had last year, his numbers almost across the board are down this season. Both teams have big game in the near future, but Minnesota has six days off while OSU has Michigan State on Sunday. Both of these teams are likely #6 and #7 type seeds if the season were to end right now, so there're really no place to go but up, which would seemingly put more pressure on OSU given the preseason hype. Minnesota hasn't won on the road in conference since they beat Illinois almost six weeks ago, which is always tough for me to back, However, there's the chance they they simply couldn't play worse than they did against Iowa and are under valued here. Buckeyes only conference home loss was to Indiana. I suppose because the Gophers turn the ball over too much and are near the bottom of the conference in defending the perimeter, I'd have to lean Ohio State here, provided they can not allow Minnesota extra possessions, since the Gophers are the number one offensive rebounding team in the Conference. Ohio State just has more ways to win this game, but winning and covering are two different things. This could be one of those game where I take the OSU ML 1* and the Gophers plus the points 3*. Or something to that effect. Again, often times it's all about the number(s) and not so much who is playing that dictates what I might do personally.
Iowa State at Baylor: This is a big game if for no other reason than the fact that they are tied for fourth in the Conference, which obviously makes for a big advantage come Tournament time. Plus, neither team is a lock to get into the Big Dance. Many people smarter than me have them both as either last-in or last-out, so there's probably much more at stake here than a rematch of an ISU eight point win earlier this season. ISU still hasn't won a road conference game, but they do have a gimme coming up, so they can put all their eggs in this one basket, because it's quite likely the difference between and NCAA bid and the NIT. Baylor's only home loss was by three points to Oklahoma. What I don't really like about taking Baylor here is that they will play fast, which is exactly the type of game ISU wants. I'd feel much better about laying those points if the Bears were a slow-down team, and did not have the rematch at Oklahoma Saturday. ISU does have the experience factor going for them, and for as under sized as they are, are a much better rebounding team than one might think. To me, this game has the potential to be the public undoing of the day.
Illinois State at Evansville: Well, for a while there E'ville were the cash machine. They lost a tough one to Creighton at home on Saturday, which was their first home loss (conference) this season, and they've got a chance to avenge an earlier loss to Illinois State. I do have to wonder how much emotion that Creighton loss sapped from them. Their simply not a great defensive team, and Illinois State has already proved they can win on the road, beating the aforementioned Jays. They themselves lost that tough one to Witchita State (this IS the time of year when good team simply find way to win) so this game is more about who rebounds mentally better. See coaching. I think I'd have to take Dan Muller. Illinois State is just a more complete team with some size. I don't like road teams, but with enough points I could be swayed. Because Evansville will want to slow this game down and keep it in the 60's, but Illinois State will want it faster and in the 70's, I do lean over if there is a total. Simpy because ISU has been able to force teams, on the road, to pick up the tempo. Again, see coaching.
Five Alive: Likable Long Shots to Win the NCAA Tournament
by Jason Logan
Making a deep run in March sometimes has as much to do with momentum as it does with overall talent. And, in an upside-down season like this year’s college basketball slate, the eventual national champ can come from anywhere.
While the teams atop the NCAAB futures board have remained the same for most of the season, there are a handful of programs presenting solid long-shot value. Here are five programs with huge payout potential to win the NCAA tournament:
Memphis Tigers +5,000 (22-3 SU, 10-12-0 ATS)
Head coach Josh Pastner has his players peaking at the right time. Memphis is unblemished in C-USA play and has won 16 straight since losing to Louisville back in December. The Tigers are packed with plenty of raw talent and are buying into Pastner’s philosophies in his third year replacing John Calipari. A potential high tournament seed could pave a smooth road for Memphis in March.
Georgetown Hoyas +5,000 (19-4 SU, 12-7-0 ATS)
It’s surprising to still see Georgetown as big as this after stringing together seven straight wins and losing just once in its last 10 conference games. The Hoyas are contending for the Big East regular season crown and a top seed in the NCAA, locking down foes to just 55.7 points a night. While the Princeton offense may cloud Georgetown’s talent, guys like Otto Porter and Markel Starks can turn it on and carry this team.
Oklahoma State Cowboys +5,000 (19-5 SU, 12-10-1 ATS)
In a down year in the Big 12, the Pokes could sneak into a high tournament seed if they can knock off Kansas and keep Kansas State at bay. Oklahoma State played a tough non-conference sked and has a ton of momentum heading into Wednesday’s date with KU, winning seven in a row. The Cowboys have responded well in tight games during this streak, taking four of those victories by five points or less and showing the character needed come tourney time.
Saint Louis Billikens +15,000 (19-5 SU, 13-9-0 ATS)
Don’t think the Billikens are cut from a championship cloth? They have one of the best defenses in the land (57.8 points allowed per game), shoot well from beyond the arc (36.5 percent), and have a deep rotation. Saint Louis has an eerily-similar makeup to those Butler squads that stunned their way to the Final Four a few years ago. The Billikens are quickly separating themselves from the rest of a very competitive A-10 Conference, winning seven in a row heading into Tuesday’s home showdown with VCU.
New Mexico Lobos +6,000 (22-4 SU, 13-10-2 ATS)
In a year in which the Top 25 rankings play musical chairs, the so-called “mid-majors” have the best shot at cracking the Final Four. The Lobos are in the heat of things in the Mountain West Conference, which could send as many as five teams dancing, and could lock in a solid seed if it wins the MWC outright. You could take a shot on San Diego State at +5,000 to win the NCAA, but New Mexico is playing better ball as the postseason draws near.
-- Northeastern lost its last two games after starting 12-1 in CAA play; 10 of Huskies' last 11 games were decided by 7 or less points- they won nine of last 11 games vs James Madison, winning three of last four here, with wins by 16-22-12 points. Dukes won seven of last nine games, are 3-4 on CAA road, with all three wins by 7 or less points. CAA home favorites of 6 or less points are 11-19 against the spread.
-- Ohio State won its last five games vs Minnesota, with four of the five wins by 10+ points; Gophers lost last five visits here, by 14-16-6-22-3 points. Buckeyes lost three of last four games, but losses were against top 10 teams- they're 3-3 as Big Dozen home favorite, winning at home by 26-3-9-9-10 points. Gophers also lost three of last four; they're 2-2 as road underdog. Big Dozen home faves of 6 or less points are 12-7.
-- Syracuse (-11) won 72-66 at Providence Jan 9, game they trailed by 6 with 13:49 left; Orange were 3-21 from arc, Friars 9-18, but Orange beat PC for 11th straight time, winning by 25-7-17-7-23 points in last five games played here. Syracuse is 3-2 as home favorite, with four wins by 11+ points, Friars won last four games, all as underdogs- they're 3-2-1 as road dogs. Big East double digit home favorites are 6-11 vs spread.
-- Illinois State (-7) beat Evansville 67-62 Jan 26, game they trailed by 4 in last 11:00; State outscored Aces 21-11 on foul line, making 21-31 on charity stripe. Redbirds are 2-5 as home faves, winning last four home games by 2-5-36-20 points- they blew 5-point lead in last 0:40 Sunday vs Wichita. MVC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 14-6 vs spread. Aces lost four of last five games, covered four of last five as a dog.
-- Kentucky (-12) beat Vanderbilt 60-58 in Nashville Jan 10, surviving a 18-0 Vandy run midway thru second half; Vandy grabbed 20 offensive boards that nite. Wildcats lost last two games since Noel got hurt, by 17-30 points- Tennessee shot 58% against them last game. SEC double digit home favorites are 10-12 vs spread. Vandy lost five of last seven games, but three of their last four losses were by four or less points.
-- Air Force (+3) beat Boise State 91-80 Jan 19; Lyons had 37 points on 18 shots from floor, as Falcons scored 1.28 ppp, but Flyboys are 1-3 in last four games, 1-4 on MWC road, with only win at Wyoming- they've lost road games by 5-39-23-5 points. MWC home favorites of 7 or less points are 11-5 vs spread. Boise State lost six of last nine games; they're 3-1 SU at home, 1-2 as home fave, winning by 7-5-7 points.
-- Southern Mississippi is 3-2 as C-USA home favorite, winning home games by 11+ points, with loss to Memphis; four of their last six games were decided by 4 or less points. UTEP allowed 74+ points in last three losses, 67 or less in its last five wins; Miners are 2-3 on road in C-USA, losing by 3-6-18 points. C-USA home favorites of 8 or less points are 17-10 vs spread. Southern Miss has rematch with Memphis up next.
-- Oklahoma State (+9.5) upset Kansas 85-80 in Lawrence Feb 2; Brown hit 7-10 behind arc, rest of Cowboys were 1-14. State won seven games in row, are 6-0 at home in Big X, with last three wins by 2 points or in OT. Kansas won last two games by 21-26 points after losing previous three games; they won at Ohio State, in only other game they were dog this season. Big X home teams are 3-1 vs spread if number is 3 or less.
-- Iowa State (-4) beat Baylor 79-71 Feb 2, making 60% inside arc and outscoring Bears 25-11 on foul line; Cyclones lost last four road games, by 5-2-9-3 points (2-1 as road dog). Baylor lost four of last six games; they're 3-3 as home favorites, winning in Waco by 7-11-10-27-20, with a loss to Oklahoma. Big X home favorites of 6 or less points are 8-4 vs spread. Cyclones' last seven games all went over the total.
-- Pacific won five of last seven games with Cal-Irvine, going 5-4 in last nine visits here; Tigers are 9-3 in last 12 games, but 2-4 on road in Big West, with three of four losses by 8 or less points. Anteaters are 7-0 at home in conference, with five of seven wins by 7 or less points, or in OT. Big West home favorites of less than 5 points are 10-14 vs spread. Irvine is 4-3 vs spread as a Big West home favorite this season.
-- Favorites are 7-2-1 vs spread in Colorado State's MWC games; Rams (-3.5) beat UNLV 66-61 Jan 19, outscoring Rebels on foul line 19-9 in game they trailed by 3 with 3:40 left. State won last six games, winning by 11-3-4 points in last three road games. MWC home favorites of less than five points are 6-3 vs spread. UNLV is struggling without dynamic PG, but they're 5-0 at home in MWC, winning by 5-12-12-9-2 points.
-- Arizona (-4.5) beat Washington 57-53 in Seattle Jan 31, just second series win in last seven tries for Wildcats; teams were combined 4-30 on arc that game. Huskies' win in Tucson LY was their first in last six trips here, with losses by 30-20-9-17-11 points. U-Dub lost last four games on road, by 8-5-2-11 points; they're 5-2 as road dog. Pac-12 double digit home favorites are 2-8 vs spread. Arizona is 1-5 as a home favorite.
-- Gonzaga (-5.5) shot 63% inside arc, outscored Santa Clara 27-17 from foul line in 81-74 road win Jan 5, Zags' 20th win in last 22 series games. Gonzaga won eight of last nine visits here. Zags are 2-3 as WCC home favorite, winning home games by 5-20-14-26-19 points. Broncos are 0-3 vs spread as WCC dog this year; they're 3-2 on road, losing by 4-17 points. WCC double digit home favorites are 6-8 vs spread.
College basketball selections Today's tip Central Florida, -7.5
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NCAA Basketball Picks
Vanderbilt at Kentucky
The Commodores look to take advantage of a Kentucky team that is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games against SEC opponents. Vanderbilt is the pick (+10 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Wildcats favored by only 8. Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+10 1/2). Here are all of today's games.
WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 20
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST
Game 723-724: NC-Wilmington at Old Dominion (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Wilmington 45.525; Old Dominion 53.897
Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Old Dominion by 6
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (-6)
Game 725-726: George Mason at Hofstra (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Mason 51.858; Hofstra 50.368
Dunkel Line: George Mason by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: George Mason by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hofstra (+6 1/2)
Game 727-728: DePaul at Georgetown (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: DePaul 58.686; Georgetown 70.629
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 12
Vegas Line: Georgetown by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: DePaul (+14 1/2)
Game 729-730: James Madison at Northeastern (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: James Madison 52.700; Northeastern 56.669
Dunkel Line: Northeastern by 4
Vegas Line: Northeastern by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: James Madison (+5 1/2)
Game 731-732: Wright State at Cleveland State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 55.298; Cleveland State 51.137
Dunkel Line: Wright State by 4
Vegas Line: Wright State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Wright State (-1)
Game 733-734: South Florida at St. John's (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 54.506; St. John's 65.933
Dunkel Line: St. John's by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: St. John's by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. John's (-7 1/2)
Game 735-736: Minnesota at Ohio State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 65.596; Ohio State 74.985
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 9 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 5; 127
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-5); Over
Game 737-738: Providence at Syracuse (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Providence 62.499; Syracuse 77.539
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 15; 132
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 12 1/2; 136
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-12 1/2); Under
Game 739-740: Oklahoma at Texas Tech (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 66.337; Texas Tech 54.879
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 11 1/2; 144
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 10; 140
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-10); Over
Game 741-742: Massachusetts at St. Bonaventure (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 58.989; St. Bonaventure 64.117
Dunkel Line: St. Bonaventure by 5
Vegas Line: St. Bonaventure by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Bonaventure (-2 1/2)
Game 743-744: Fordham at George Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fordham 50.391; George Washington 60.385
Dunkel Line: George Washington by 10
Vegas Line: George Washington by 11
Dunkel Pick: Fordham (+11)
Game 745-746: Xavier at Rhode Island (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Xavier 58.406; Rhode Island 59.355
Dunkel Line: Rhode Island by 1
Vegas Line: Xavier by 2
Dunkel Pick: Rhode Island (+2)
Game 747-748: Mississippi at South Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 62.922; South Carolina 59.282
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 6
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (+6)
Game 749-750: Marshall at Central Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 51.395; Central Florida 60.296
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 9
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (-7 1/2)
Game 751-752: Illinois State at Evansville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois State 60.919; Evansville 61.282
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Illinois State by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Evansville (+1 1/2)
Game 753-754: Bradley at Drake (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bradley 57.057; Drake 59.340
Dunkel Line: Drake by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Drake by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bradley (+4 1/2)
Game 755-756: Mississippi State at Alabama (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 50.688; Alabama 62.658
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 12
Vegas Line: Alabama by 15
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (+15)
Game 757-758: Vanderbilt at Kentucky (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 60.098; Kentucky 68.160
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 8
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+10 1/2)
Game 759-760: Air Force at Boise State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 64.004; Boise State 64.070
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Boise State by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+6 1/2)
Game 761-762: UTEP at Southern Mississippi (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 59.679; Southern Mississippi 64.091
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (+7 1/2)
Game 763-764: Texas A&M at Auburn (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 59.462; Auburn 62.786
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Auburn by 1
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (-1)
Game 765-766: Illinois-Chicago at WI-Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 49.799; WI-Milwaukee 44.670
Dunkel Line: Illinois-Chicago by 5
Vegas Line: Illinois-Chicago by 3
Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (-3)
Game 767-768: East Carolina at Tulsa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 58.051; Tulsa 57.856
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (+2 1/2)
Game 769-770: Houston at Memphis (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 51.625; Memphis 73.260
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 21 1/2
Vegas Line: Memphis by 18
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-18)
Game 771-772: Kansas at Oklahoma State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 71.530; Oklahoma State 74.568
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 3; 140
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 1; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-1); Over
Game 773-774: Wisconsin at Northwestern (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 69.905; Northwestern 64.112
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 6; 110
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 8; 115
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+8); Under
Game 775-776: Iowa State at Baylor (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 65.872; Baylor 73.223
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 7 1/2; 150
Vegas Line: Baylor by 4 1/2; 146 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-4 1/2); Over
Game 777-778: Cal Poly at CS-Fullerton (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 57.718; CS-Fullerton 51.046
Dunkel Line: Cal Poly by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: CS-Fullerton by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cal Poly (+1 1/2)
Game 779-780: UC-Santa Barbara at UC-Riverside (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 48.525; UC-Riverside 49.535
Dunkel Line: UC-Riverside by 1
Vegas Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Riverside (+2 1/2)
Game 781-782: Pacific at UC-Irvine (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 52.716; UC-Irvine 57.515
Dunkel Line: UC-Irvine by 5
Vegas Line: UC-Irvine by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Irvine (-2 1/2)
Game 783-784: UC-Davis at Long Beach State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Davis 55.061; Long Beach State 58.041
Dunkel Line: Long Beach State by 3
Vegas Line: Long Beach State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Davis (+7 1/2)
Game 785-786: Washington State at Arizona State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 58.258; Arizona State 66.980
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-6 1/2)
Game 787-788: Colorado State at UNLV (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 69.653; UNLV 66.962
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 2 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: UNLV by 3 1/2; 140 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (+3 1/2); Under
Game 789-790: Washington at Arizona (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 57.934; Arizona 71.510
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 13 1/2; 142
Vegas Line: Arizona by 12; 136
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-12); Over
Game 791-792: Santa Clara at Gonzaga (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Santa Clara 60.950; Gonzaga 76.505
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 15 1/2; 148
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 13; 144
Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-13); Over
Game 793-794: College of Charleston at Western Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: College of Charleston 53.546; Western Carolina 52.425
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 1
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Carolina (+2 1/2)
Game 795-796: Furman at Davidson (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Furman 42.780; Davidson 62.983
Dunkel Line: Davidson by 20
Vegas Line: Davidson by 22
Dunkel Pick: Furman (+22)
Game 797-798: Oakland at IPFW (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 54.270; IPFW 50.816
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland by 2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-2)
Game 799-800: Austin Peay at Eastern Kentucky (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 45.527; Eastern Kentucky 59.912
Dunkel Line: Eastern Kentucky by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Eastern Kentucky by 12
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Kentucky (-12)
Game 801-802: Murray State at Morehead State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Murray State 50.964; Morehead State 48.402
Dunkel Line: Murray State by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Murray State by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Murray State (-1 1/2)
Game 803-804: SE Missouri State at Jacksonville State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SE Missouri State 48.678; Jacksonville State 51.162
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville State by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Jacksonville State by 5
Dunkel Pick: SE Missouri State (+5)
Game 805-806: Tennessee State at SIU-Edwardsville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee State 52.836; SIU-Edwardsville 48.045
Dunkel Line: Tennessee State by 5
Vegas Line: Tennessee State by 7
Dunkel Pick: SIU-Edwardsville (+7)
Game 807-808: The Citadel at Appalachian State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: The Citadel 40.133; Appalachian State 51.499
Dunkel Line: Appalachian State by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Appalachian State by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Appalachian State (-10 1/2)
Game 809-810: North Dakota at Northern Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota 45.030; Northern Colorado 50.015
Dunkel Line: Northern Colorado by 5
Vegas Line: Northern Colorado by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota (+6 1/2)
Game 811-812: Belmont at Eastern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Belmont 59.432; Eastern Illinois 49.252
Dunkel Line: Belmont by 10
Vegas Line: Belmont by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois (+12 1/2)
Game 813-814: Eastern Michigan at Ohio (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 50.381; Ohio 69.112
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio by 15
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (-15)
Play On - Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OHIO ST) good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an excellent defensive team (<=40%), in a game involving two good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) after 15+ games.
67-31 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.4% 32.9 units )
10-5 this year. ( 66.7% 4.5 units )
CBB AUSTIN PEAY at E KENTUCKY
Play On - A road team vs. the money line (AUSTIN PEAY) off a road win, a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season.
68-98 over the last 5 seasons. ( 41.0% 56.4 units )
11-21 this year. ( 34.4% 3.1 units )
CBB DEPAUL at GEORGETOWN
Play Against - A favorite vs. the 1rst half line (GEORGETOWN) after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season.
89-45 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.4% 39.5 units )
20-17 this year. ( 54.1% 1.3 units )
On Wednesday night the free NCAAB Play is on Oakland University. Game 797 at 7:00 eastern. This one nearly made he unit rated cut tonight and is a solid free selection. Oakland is 26-5 vs losing teams and is 6-1 straight up and to the spread as a road favorite of 3 or less. In their last 19 February games they have emerged with a win 16 times. Tonight they take on Indiana Fort Wayne or IUFW for short. IUFW has lost and failed to cover 3 of 4 times as a short home dog of 3 or less and has lost 9 of 10 times vs teams with a winning record. They have also lost 3 of 4 off a conference win and have lost 12 of the last 14 in the series vs Oakland, so we will lay the small number here tonight with Oakland.