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Best & Worst NBA ATS Trends at The Break
by Marc Lawrence
With the NBA taking a timeout for the All-Star break, there is no better time than the present to examine the condition of each team in the league at this stage of the season. From the surprise teams to the disappointments, the run to the 2013 playoffs is about to take off.
Here’s a quick look at the very best and the very worst pointspread records to date on every team in games played this season through the All-Star break. In addition, I also present a noteworthy most recent trend on each team. All results are SU (Straight Up), ATS (Against The Spread) or O/U (Over Under in exact sequence), unless stated otherwise.
Best: 3-0 ATS when dogs of seven or more points.
Worst: 0-8 ATS off an ATS win of 13 or more points.
Trending: Hawks are struggling with good teams off a spread loss, going 0-7 SU/ATS.
Best: 4-0-1 ATS in double no-rest games.
Worst: 0-7 SU/ATS when coming off a loss of 13 or more points.
Trending: Celtics are playing down to the level of their opponents, going 1-7 ATS versus sub .250 opposition.
Best: 7-1-1 ATS as favorites off back-to-back wins.
Worst: 0-5 ATS at home versus foes coming off a double-digit win.
Trending: Nets are having trouble in games off one loss-exact, going 2-9 ATS
Best: 3-0 ATS when coming off SU favorite loss.
Worst: 1-9 ATS away from home versus foes coming off SU/ATS loss.
Trending: Bobcats have played under in all 10 games as dogs of 11 or more points.
Best: 5-1 ATS away in division games.
Worst: 0-11 ATS with no rest off a SU/ATS win.
Trending: Bulls have struggled laying more than eight points, going 0-7 ATS.
Best: 5-0 ATS as dogs of more than 10 points.
Worst: 0-5 ATS as favorites versus non-rested opponents.
Trending: Cavs struggle at home off road games, going 4-12 SU/ATS, including 0-5 SU/ATS as favorites.
Best: 5-0 ATS versus conference opponent off a SU dog win.
Worst: 0-4 ATS off back-to-back losses, the last as a favorite.
Trending: Mavs are 17-8 ATS since the return of Dirk Nowitzki to the lineup, including 14-3 ATS the last 17 games.
Best: 6-0 ATS at home off back-to-back wins.
Worst: 0-4 ATS with revenge versus non-conference opponents.
Trending: Nuggets have struck gold at home against conference foes, going 14-1 SU and 13-2 ATS.
Best: 8-1 ATS off back-to-back SU/ATS losses.
Worst: 1-5 ATS at home off a win versus an opponent off a loss.
Trending: Pistons are misfiring as dogs of more than eight points, going 1-6 ATS.
Best: 4-0 SU/ATS at home versus opponent off double-digit loss.
Worst: 0-6 ATS on the road off back-to-back SU/ATS wins.
Trending: Warriors are cleaning up against foes off SU dog wins, going 4-0 ATS as dogs and 4-0 ATS away.
Best: 13-1 ATS at home versus opponent coming off a loss.
Worst: 1-10 ATS off a loss versus opponent off SU/ATS win
Trending: After hitting a 1-8 SU and 0-9 ATS wall in mid-January, Rockets closed 7-4 SU and 9-2 ATS in last 11 games into the break.
Best: 7-0 ATS at home coming off a division game.
Worst: 0-4 ATS away versus greater than .666 opponents.
Trending: Indiana has trouble keeping pace as dogs in games off back-to-back wins, going 1-7 ATS.
Best: 5-1 ATS off a SU dog win.
Worst: 0-5 ATS as favorites of 13 or more points.
Trending: One is not enough for the Clippers, who are 7-1 SU/ATS in games off one win-exact.
Best: 5-1 ATS as favorites in games off a double-digit loss.
Worst: 0-5 ATS off back-to-back SU/ATS wins.
Trending: Once great Lakers dog log is howling at 0-9 SU and 1-8 ATS when taking points in games off a loss.
Best: 5-0-1 ATS off SU dog win.
Worst: 0-3 SU/ATS off ATS loss 20 or more points.
Trending: Sleepy Grizzles are dangerous, going 6-1-1 ATS with no rest.
Best: 5-0 ATS off back-to- back SU/ATS wins versus foe off back-to-back SU/ATS losses.
Worst: 1-7 ATS off division game.
Trending: The defending champs shine at home, going 8-1 SU/ATS as favorites of less than seven points and 7-1 SU/ATS versus greater than .667 opponents.
Best: 4-0 ATS as favorites off a loss of 15 or more points.
Worst: 0-9 ATS versus conference opponent off a win.
Trending: Bucks are gracious hosts, going 1-8-1 ATS versus foes coming off a win.
Best: 5-0 ATS versus opponent coming off back-to-back SU/ATS losses
Worst: 2-11 SU and 1-12 ATS home versus opponent off a win.
Trending: Wolves waltz in games with O/U total 196 or more, going 3-13 under, including 0-6 under if total 201 or more.
Best: 5-0 ATS off back-to-back SU/ATS losses.
Worst: 0-3 ATS at home versus opponent off SU favorite loss.
Trending: Hornets stirred things up in final 21 games, going 12-9 SU and 15-6 ATS.
Best: 4-0 ATS as conference dogs.
Worst: 1-5-1 ATS as road favorites versus opponent off SU/ATS loss.
Trending: Knicks raise their level of play depending on opposition, going 6-1 SU/ATS versus .750 or greater foes, including 4-0 ATS at home.
Best: 9-1 ATS off a non-division loss.
Worst: 1-6 ATS versus .333 or less opponent off back-to-back losses.
Trending: Thunder playing up and down to the level of opposition, going 4-1-1 ATS versus greater than .750 foes and 0-6 ATS versus less than .285 opponents.
Best: 6-1 ATS as double-digits dogs.
Worst: 1-9 ATS as favorites.
Trending: Magic act disappeared after 12-13 start, going 3-24 SU and 9-18 ATS over their last 27 games.
Best: 4-0 ATS away with three or more days of rest.
Worst: 0-6 ATS with no rest versus opponent off SU/ATS loss.
Trending: Sixers play according to the level of their opposition, going 8-3 SU/ATS versus sub .333 opponents and 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS versus greater than .666 foes.
Best: 3-0-1 ATS off back-to-back SU/ATS wins.
Worst: 0-9 SU and 1-8 ATS versus opponents coming off a double-digit loss.
Trending: Suns set against non-conference foes off a SU/ATS loss, going 1-8 ATS, including 0-6 ATS at home.
Best: 6-1 ATS versus opponents coming off a SU favorite loss.
Worst: 0-6 ATS off back-to-back SU/ATS wins.
Trending: Over/under total dictates Blazers success, going 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in games in which the total is less than 192, and 2-6 SU and 2-5-1 ATS in games in which the total is 202 or higher.
Best: 4-0 ATS coming off a division game versus an opponent coming off a win.
Worst: 1-7 ATS versus opponent coming off a SU favorite loss.
Trending: Kings get crowned in matchups of both teams playing off SU/ATS losses, going 0-6 ATS at home.
Best: 5-0 ATS versus opponents coming off a loss of 20 or more points.
Worst: 1-6 ATS versus an opponent coming off a double-digit win.
Trending: Spurs have struggled at both ends of the spectrum, going 1-5-1 ATS versus .250 or less opponents and 1-6 ATS versus greater than .666 opponents.
Best: 8-1 ATS when coming off a divisional game.
Worst: 0-3 ATS at home when coming off a SU favorite loss.
Trending: Raptors run well without rest, going 11-2 ATS, including 4-0 ATS at home.
Best: 5-0 ATS as home dogs.
Worst: 1-7-1 ATS away off back-to-back wins.
Trending: Flip sides to Jazz records, going 5-1 ATS off back-to-back SU/ATS losses and 0-6 ATS versus foes coming off back-to-back SU/ATS losses.
Best: 8-1-1 ATS when coming off a win versus an opponent also coming off a win.
Worst: 1-4 ATS at home versus non-division opponens coming off a double-digit loss.
Trending: Wizards work magic in games against foes coming off an ATS win, going 14-4-1 ATS, including 11-0 ATS the last eleven.
FYI: Teams that have responded exceptionally well in same season revenge affairs this season include the Thunder (5-1 SU/ATS) and the Heat (5-2 SU/ATS, including 4-1 ATS home), while the teams that have struggled mightily in these same payback situations include the Timberwolves (3-9 SU and 3-8-1 ATS, including 0-7 ATS versus an opponent off a win), the Magic (2-15 SU and 5-12 ATS).