Jeff Scott Sports
4 UNIT PLAY
Virginia/ Miami Over 116.5: I see this line rising buy game time, so I will grab it now. Virginia was mired in many low scoring games earlier in the year, but now that their offense has come to life their games have been higher scoring of late. Virginia has average 74.4 ppg in their last 5 games and those games have averaged 139.2 ppg. Cav's road games have averaged 128.4 ppg and their defense has struggled away from home, allowing 64.6 ppg on 46.3% shooting. They have also allowed 38.2% from long range away from home, and Miami hits 42.4% from downtown at home. The Miami offense did struggle in their last game vs Clemson, but they are back home for this one, where they have averaged 75.5 ppg overall, including 80 ppg in their last 4 games at home. Miami home games have averaged 132.8 ppg, while their last 4 ACC home games have put up 135.3 ppg. I would not at all be surprised to see 135+ points scored in this one, but I will call this one to played in the 120's.
3 UNIT PLAYS
North Carolina -3.5 over GEORGIA TECH: I know at the end of the day I will be kicking myself for not making this play higher rated, but because it looks so easy to me, I will play it safe and make it a 3 unit play. The Heels have struggled on the road this year, but they still have been playing much better and I feel that down the stretch they will start to dominate teams like they know how to. When you put up 91 points on a Virginia defense you know your doing something right. Carolina's last 3 road losses were to Duke, Miami and NC State and there is no shame in that, as those teams are all very tough. Carolina's 2 ACC road wins this year were vs FSU and Boston College and Tech is more in the class of those teams. Georgia Tech has alternated wins and losses for a couple of wees and they are off a win, so this is a loss spot. they lost to Carolina by 16 earlier in the year and I feel the Tar Heels are a better now then at that point in the season and they should win this one by nearly DD.
LSU +8 Over TENNESSEE: Nice letdown spot here for the Vols as they are off a 30 point win over Kentucky. LSU has been playing much better of late as they have won 6 of their last 8 games and while both losses were on the road they were by a combined 8 points. LSU is just 2-5 in their alst 7 road games and just one of those loses have been by more than 8, and that was a 9 point loss at Georgia. This team is in just about every game they have played within the SEC and they should be able to keep this one close vs a Tennessee squad that may be just a bit flat.
3 TEAM 8 POINT TEASER--- VCU +11, Virginia +15 & North Carolina +4.5
2 UNIT PLAYS
Wichita State -3.5 over INDIANA STATE
MICHIGAN STATE -1.5 over Indiana
Fresno State/ Nevada Over 122
1 UNIT PLAYS
TCU +5.5 over Texas
MISSOURI +5 over Florida