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dave
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FREE PLAY

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On 02/14/2013 11:59 AM in Cappers
Gonzaga vs. St. Mary's, 02/14/2013 23:00
Point Spread: +1/-108 St. Mary's

Free Play for 2/14/13
Saint Mary's +1
The Key: Gonzaga has been rolling right along but I believe it runs into a brick wall tonight. Saint Mary's is a perfect 13-0 at home on the season, and it won last season's home meeting against Gonzaga by 21 points. These two have split the 8 last meetings and have alternated wins over the last 4. That's about as even as it gets. Gonzaga got the first one this season by 5, and now it's the Gaels' turn. The Bulldogs are 0-7 ATS in road games the last 3 seasons after 2 straight wins by 15 points or more. They have lost by an average score of 72.0 to 69.3 in these contests. Much of Gonzaga's success stems from beating teams on the boards, but it will have trouble outrebounding Saint Mary's, which has won the battle of the boards in 3 of the last 4 meetings. Consider that the Gaels are 6-0 ATS the last 2 seasons when at least 15 games into the schedule versus good rebounding teams that outrebound foes by 4.0 or more per game. Saint Mary's has defeated these teams by an average score of 74.8 to 65.3. Take Saint Mary's as another highly rated team falls in a season filled with parady.

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