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North Carolina State vs. Clemson, 02/10/2013 13:00
Point Spread: +3½/-107 Clemson
NC State was once considered once of the best teams in the nation, but after dropping three straight and four of their last five it's no surprise that is a thing of the past. This team doesn't force turnovers and doesn't do a great job on the glass, giving their opponents six more shots per game than they attempt.
Clemson has lost two in a row and things go ugly at Virginia, but at home this team has won four straight in ACC action. I expect their defense to clamp down in this one as the Tigers are 11-2 ATS at home after allowing a shooting percentage of 50% or higher for two straight games and 32-14 at home after a double digit loss since 1997.
The first time these two teams played NC State managed a four point victory at home. However, in that game Clemson shot 5-of-19 behind the 3-point line compared to 6-for-12 for the Wolfpack. NC State also attempted 23 free throws compared to Clemson's 7. I expect those numbers to normalize today and for Clemson to pull off the home win.
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