Idaho +9.5 over New Mexico State
0 Reply | 211 ViewsOn 02/07/2013 11:40 AM in Cappers
Point Spread: +9½/-101 Idaho
Idaho is a better team than their record indicates but they have had some bad breaks. They are 9-12 on the year but outscoring opponents by 0.6 ppg. New Mexico State is a good team, no doubt about it, but they are only outscoring conference opponents by 6.5 ppg for a 9-2 record.
Idaho did lose earlier in the year at home to New Mexico State, but that was after getting out to a 42-27 halftime deficit. They battled back and I think they are going to carry that momentum into tonight's contest. New Mexico State has not only won nine in a row, but also six in a row at the pay window. Idaho on the other hand has lost four in a row against the spread. Oddsmakers have over-adjusted and now you get a matchup of one team being over-valued and the other under.
Idaho is 7-1 ATS in the role of an underdog this year and 82-53 ATS on the road against conference opponents since 1997. New Mexico State is just 36-62 ATS after scoring 75 points or less in two straight games since 1997.
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