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Can someone who knows more about this game explain it please? Assuming the FG is almost a sure thing from that distance (90%+), the Ravens need to get the first down AND then convert it to a touchdown almost half the time to make it a profitable play. Can they reasonably expect that to happen? Or is there not much difference between 14-3 and 17-3 (SF need 2 TDs either way) so they take the risk trying to go up 18?
If anything the move might have made sense if it was San Francisco in the same situation ahead or behind. Taking points off the board is a momentum killer, but then again Akers has the only 2 field goals on the board to this point. Still a whole half of football left, but currently the decision impact isn't likely to affect Baltimore.
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