cnotes Posts:23749 Followers:32
On 02/01/2013 02:22 PM in NCAA Basketball

Cnotes February's NCAA Best Bets !!

NCAAB
Dunkel

Columbia at Pennsylvania
The Lions look to take advantage of a Penn team that is 0-5-1 ATS in its last 6 Friday games. Columbia is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lions favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Columbia (-3 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 1

Game 825-826: WI-Milwaukee at Valparaiso (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Milwaukee 45.838; Valparaiso 61.927
Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 16
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 18 1/2
Dunkel Pick: WI-Milwaukee (+18 1/2)

Game 827-828: Yale at Harvard (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Yale 49.783; Harvard 63.629
Dunkel Line: Harvard by 14
Vegas Line: Harvard by 12
Dunkel Pick: Harvard (-12)

Game 829-830: Cornell at Princeton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 48.481; Princeton 63.402
Dunkel Line: Princeton by 15
Vegas Line: Princeton by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Princeton (-13 1/2)

Game 831-832: Columbia at Pennsylvania (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Columbia 52.781; Pennsylvania 46.682
Dunkel Line: Columbia by 6
Vegas Line: Columbia by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbia (-3 1/2)

Game 833-834: Brown at Dartmouth (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brown 46.968; Dartmouth 50.574
Dunkel Line: Dartmouth by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Dartmouth by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dartmouth (-1 1/2)

Game 835-836: Youngstown State at Detroit (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 55.796; Detroit 66.349
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 10 1/2; 159
Vegas Line: Detroit by 11 1/2; 154
Dunkel Pick: Youngstown State (+11 1/2)

Game 837-838: Manhattan at Siena (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 52.032; Siena 47.325
Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 4 1/2; 121
Vegas Line: Manhattan by 3; 118 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Manhattan (-3); Over

Game 839-840: Rider at Fairfield (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rider 55.522; Fairfield 58.436
Dunkel Line: Fairfield by 3
Vegas Line: Fairfield by 8
Dunkel Pick: Rider (+8)

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23749 Followers:32
02/01/2013 02:25 PM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, February 1

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WI-MILWAUKEE (5 - 17) at VALPARAISO (16 - 6) - 2/1/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VALPARAISO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 154-112 ATS (+30.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 147-111 ATS (+24.9 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 30-13 ATS (+15.7 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more since 1997.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
VALPARAISO is 3-3 against the spread versus WI-MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
VALPARAISO is 3-3 straight up against WI-MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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YALE (7 - 12) at HARVARD (10 - 6) - 2/1/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
YALE is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in road games on Friday nights since 1997.
HARVARD is 80-110 ATS (-41.0 Units) after a conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
HARVARD is 2-2 against the spread versus YALE over the last 3 seasons
HARVARD is 3-1 straight up against YALE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CORNELL (9 - 10) at PRINCETON (8 - 7) - 2/1/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CORNELL is 100-73 ATS (+19.7 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
CORNELL is 35-15 ATS (+18.5 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points since 1997.
CORNELL is 97-62 ATS (+28.8 Units) in road games since 1997.
CORNELL is 97-62 ATS (+28.8 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
CORNELL is 62-41 ATS (+16.9 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PRINCETON is 2-2 against the spread versus CORNELL over the last 3 seasons
PRINCETON is 3-1 straight up against CORNELL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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COLUMBIA (9 - 7) at PENNSYLVANIA (3 - 15) - 2/1/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBIA is 85-57 ATS (+22.3 Units) in road games since 1997.
COLUMBIA is 85-57 ATS (+22.3 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
COLUMBIA is 62-40 ATS (+18.0 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
PENNSYLVANIA is 70-100 ATS (-40.0 Units) in all home games since 1997.
PENNSYLVANIA is 70-100 ATS (-40.0 Units) in home lined games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PENNSYLVANIA is 2-2 against the spread versus COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
PENNSYLVANIA is 3-1 straight up against COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROWN (7 - 9) at DARTMOUTH (4 - 12) - 2/1/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DARTMOUTH is 45-69 ATS (-30.9 Units) in all home games since 1997.
DARTMOUTH is 45-69 ATS (-30.9 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
DARTMOUTH is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
DARTMOUTH is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROWN is 3-0 against the spread versus DARTMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
BROWN is 3-1 straight up against DARTMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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YOUNGSTOWN ST (13 - 8) at DETROIT (14 - 8) - 2/1/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 22-44 ATS (-26.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-2 against the spread versus YOUNGSTOWN ST over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 5-1 straight up against YOUNGSTOWN ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MANHATTAN (6 - 14) at SIENA (5 - 16) - 2/1/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MANHATTAN is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.
MANHATTAN is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
SIENA is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SIENA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SIENA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MANHATTAN is 5-2 against the spread versus SIENA over the last 3 seasons
SIENA is 4-3 straight up against MANHATTAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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RIDER (11 - 11) at FAIRFIELD (12 - 10) - 2/1/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RIDER is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
RIDER is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
FAIRFIELD is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
RIDER is 4-2 against the spread versus FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
FAIRFIELD is 4-2 straight up against RIDER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23749 Followers:32
02/01/2013 02:27 PM

NCAAB
Top 25 Short Sheet

Friday, February 1

** No Top 25 Games Scheduled For Friday **




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, February 1

-- Milwaukee lost its last four visits to Valparaiso, by 12-1-17-2 points; Panthers (+11) lost 76-52 at home to Crusaders in first meeting Jan 12- Valpo made 12-31 from arc, 61% inside it. Milwaukee is 1-7 in Horizon, 0-4 on road, losing by 15-2-11-10 points. Double digit home favorites in Horizon League are 2-4 vs spread. Valpo won six of last seven games, winning last three at home, by 24-6-12 points.
-- Yale is 5-12 vs D-I teams but played #35 non-league schedule; they're 0-4 vs top 100 teams, losing by 10-16-21-26 points. Harvard won six of last seven games with Yale, winning last three here by 20-3-15 points; Crimson won first two Ivy games but didn't cover vs Dartmouth- they're turning ball over 22.6% of time, make 40.3% behind arc (#5 in country) but have no depth, due to off-court issues.
-- Home teams won six of last eight Cornell-Princeton games; Big Red is 1-3 in last four visits here, losing by 20-18-18 points. Princeton is 4-1 in last five games vs D-I teams, with all four wins by 12+ points- they are forcing turnovers on 22.6% of possessions. Ivy League home favorites of 7+ points are 0-3 vs spread. Cornell is 0-5 vs top 100 teams, losing by 33-11-23-41-16 points.
-- Penn swept Columbia LY, winning games by 2-3 points; Quakers won last three series games, but they're 3-15 vs D-I teams this season, with 10 losses in last 11 games. Columbia is 5-3 on road with a 75-57 win at Villanova; they make 38.3% of 3-pointers (#26 in country). Penn turns ball over 24.3% of time, make just 32% behind arc; this is their second home game since December 8.

-- Brown won nine of last 11 games with Dartmouth, but lost here by 5 LY; they're 3-5 in its last eight visits to Hanover. Big Green lost 12 of 15 games vs D-I teams, but covered both games vs Harvard to start league play. Brown is 4-5 vs teams outside top 200; they're 1-7 on road, with six losses by 12+ points. Road teams covered four of first six Ivy League games. Two of Brown's last four games went to overtime.
-- Detroit drained 11-21 from arc, forced 20 turnovers in 101-60 win Jan 10 at Youngstown, Titans' 8th win in last nine series games. Penguins are 1-8 in last nine visits to Detroit, with five of eight losses by 11+ points. YSU won last four games, scoring 74 ppg, winning last three home tilts. Detroit lost two of its last three home games. Double digit home faves in Horizon League are 2-4 against the spread.
-- Siena beat Manhattan in OT in last two MAAC tourneys, but Saints are 5-16 this year, 3-3 in last six; they're 2-3 at home in league, losing by 6-4-9 points. Home teams won last five Manhattan-Siena games; Jaspers lost last six visits to Albany, by 17-13-24-15-7-6 points. MAAC home underdogs are 8-4 vs spread. Manhattan turns ball over 26.4% of time, #344 in country; they've lost nine of last twelve games.
-- Fairfield won 65-52 at Rider Dec 9, forcing 31 turnovers, its fifth win in last seven series games; Broncs did win three of last four visits here, as road teams won six of last eight series games. MAAC home favorites of 8+ points are 8-3 vs spread, but Fairfield lost three of four MAAC home games, with only win by 34 over Marist. Rider lost last two games by 17-11 points; they turn ball over 23.3% of time.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23749 Followers:32
02/01/2013 02:29 PM

NCAAB

Friday, February 1

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
RIDER vs. FAIRFIELD
Rider is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Fairfield's last 7 games
Fairfield is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Rider

7:00 PM
CORNELL vs. PRINCETON
Cornell is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Princeton
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cornell's last 8 games when playing on the road against Princeton
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Princeton's last 8 games when playing at home against Cornell
Princeton is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Cornell

7:00 PM
MANHATTAN vs. SIENA
Manhattan is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Siena
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Manhattan's last 6 games when playing on the road against Siena
Siena is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing Manhattan
Siena is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home

7:00 PM
YALE vs. HARVARD
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Yale's last 6 games when playing on the road against Harvard
Yale is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Harvard is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Yale
Harvard is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games

7:00 PM
BROWN vs. DARTMOUTH
Brown is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Dartmouth is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Brown
Dartmouth is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Brown

7:00 PM
COLUMBIA vs. PENNSYLVANIA
Columbia is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pennsylvania's last 5 games when playing Columbia

8:05 PM
WISC-MILWAUKEE vs. VALPARAISO
Wisc-Milwaukee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Wisc-Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Valparaiso
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Valparaiso's last 11 games when playing Wisc-Milwaukee
Valparaiso is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home

9:00 PM
YOUNGSTOWN STATE vs. DETROIT
Youngstown State is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Youngstown State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games at home

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23749 Followers:32
02/01/2013 05:51 PM

Friday, February 1

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Brown - 7:00 PM ET Brown +1.5 500
Dartmouth -

Yale - 7:00 PM ET Yale +11 500 POD
Harvard -

Manhattan - 7:00 PM ET Siena +3.5 500
Siena - Under 121 500

Rider - 7:00 PM ET Rider +7.5 500
Fairfield -

Cornell - 7:00 PM ET Cornell +12.5 500
Princeton -

Columbia - 7:00 PM ET Columbia -4 500
Pennsylvania -

Wis.-Milwaukee - 8:05 PM ET Wis.-Milwaukee +19.5 500
Valparaiso -

Youngstown St. - 9:00 PM ET Youngstown St. +11.5 500
Detroit - Over 154.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23749 Followers:32
02/02/2013 09:40 AM

Bracketology Report

February 1, 2013

Lots can change in the Bracketology report at this time of the season. In fact, we've really turned our brackets inside-out since our last update in mid-January, and expect to do more of the same throughout February as the NCAA Tourney begins to loom larger on the horizon.

This update, we also add in RPI (Rating Percentage Index) numbers for the first time this season; we had refrained from weighing the RPI too heavily until now, figuring that a month's worth of conference play would provide more meaningful numbers after the wild disparities in some schools with their non-conference schedules.

As usual, we break down the projected matchups by each region, beginning with the sub-regionals, which this year will begin on Thursday, Mar. 21 ("First Four" in Dayton on Mar. 19 and 20).

Straight-up records and RPI are thru Wednesday, January 30. Remember, March Mayhem isn't that far away.

EAST REGIONAL (Washington, D.C.)

At Auburn Hills...

1 Michigan (SU 20-1, RPI-6) vs. 16 Bryant (13-6, 151)...We're thinking at least two Big Ten teams land on the top line, and Michigan has the best shot to do so. Those who suggested early that this might be John Beilein's best-ever team, including his previous stops at West Virginia, Richmond, and Canisius, are being proved correct. Meanwhile, the Northeast has turned into a dogfight; for the moment we prefer the (Emmett) Bryant Bulldogs (are we dating ourselves, or what?), led by Columbia transfer G Dyami Starks, as Big Dance chatter is heard for the first time ever in Smithfield, RI (and certainly not heard at all last season when Bryant finished 2-28!). Although the home team of the Pittsburgh Airport, Robert Morris, and Sacred Heart (below .500 overall but tied atop the loop at 6-2 with Bryant and Robert Morris at midweek) remain very much in the mix.

8 Georgetown (15-4, 38) vs. 9 North Carolina (14-6, 36)...Shades of 1982 at the Superdome, when a then-called "Mike" Jordan was a mere frosh but hit the winning bucket of a pulsating 63-62 title game win over Georgetown and its frosh C, Patrick Ewing, in truly one of the memorable NCAA title games. Will Fred Brown be watching? Also the first-ever CBS televised national title game (maybe TNT or CBS could re-enlist Gary Bender and Billy Packer for announcing duties). With four wins in their last five heading into the weekend, we think the Tar Heels are moving away from bubble trouble, although this certainly doesn't appear to be one of Roy Williams' vintage teams at Chapel Hill. Nor does it appear to be a vintage hoops year at Pat Buchanan's alma mater.

At Austin...

4 Creighton (19-3, 30) vs. 13 Bucknell (17-4, 45)...After a couple of recent defeats, Creighton has straightened itself with easy wins over Southern Illinois and Mizzou State to stay in contention for a protected seed. Rampaging F Doug McDermott figures to be one of the spotlighted players in March. The Patriot League race was turned inside out earlier in January when Lehigh G C.J. McCollum (23.9 ppg) went down with a foot injury, but Andrea Tantaros' alma mater has stayed afloat and even managed an upset over Bucknell, which temporarily assumed the league's favored role when McCollum went down. Expect the Mountain Hawks and Bison to battle down to the wire, likely meeting on the home court of one in the conference title game.

5 Ole Miss (17-3, 31) vs. 12 Memphis (17-3, 49)...We had the Rebs as a protected seed before the midweek loss to Kentucky. But with G Marshall Henderson leading the SEC in scoring, and much of the league struggling, the folks in Oxford can at least start making their Big Dance plans. As for Conference USA, it could be a one-bid league this season, especially if Josh Pastner's Memphis wins the loop tourney. The Tigers and Southern Miss are likely the only C-USA sides with a realistic shot at an at-large berth, however. A Rebs-Tigers matchup would have plenty of local flavor, as the schools are not far apart.

At Philadelphia...

2 Syracuse (18-2, 9) vs. 15 Stony Brook (15-5, 92)...There's still time for Syracuse to climb back to the top line, but the Orange have struggled a bit lately minus suspended sparkplug James Southerland (eligibility issues), have some new injury worries (frosh PD DaJuan Coleman bad knee), and the recent loss at Villanova has temporarily put Syracuse on our second line. Whatever, there's a very good chance the Orange end up in Philly for the sub-regionals. Fans of Strat-o-Matic games might be amused that one of the schools closest to Strat-o's Long Island headquarters in Glen Head is Stony Brook, which has a shot at its first Big Dance bid if it continues to set the pace in the America East. Familiar Big Dance qualifier Vermont and Boston U. are giving chase.
7 San Diego State (16-4, 29) vs. 10 Colorado (14-6, 21)...Although this might seem a more-likely West Regional matchup, both have slid down their respective conference totem poles in January and will be at the whim of the Selection Committee in March. SDSU is still looking to recover from recent losses to UNLV and Wyoming that have temporarily knocked it out of protected seed territory. For CU, it has bounced back from losing four of their first five Pac-12 games, winning three straight heading into the weekend to rehab the Buffs' Selection Sunday hopes.

At Kansas City...

3 Butler (17-3, 20) vs. 14 Harvard (10-6, 91)...The Bulldogs helped their protected seed status greatly with the recent win over Gonzaga sans injured G Rotnei Clarke, but a subsequent loss at La Salle suggests there are going to be some more banana peels to avoid in A-10 play. If Butler wins the conference tourney (which this year has moved from Atlantic City to the new Barclays Center in Brooklyn), we think it gets a protected seed. Still a lot of basketball left to be played in the Ivy League, but to this point Tommy Amaker's Harvard side once again appears the class of the loop.

6 Kansas State (16-4, 37) vs. 11 Maryland (15-6, 65)/St. John's (14-7, 75)...Maybe all Bruce Weber really needed was a change of scenery away from Champaign-Urbana; his new K-State team has been one of the pleasant surprises in the Big 12 and seems on course to stay clear of the cut line as we move into February. Recent developments in the Big East suggest that Steve Lavin is steering his St. John's side back into the bubble discussion, and the Red Storm is hitting February with a head of steam (five straight wins). We're thinking that could get the Johnnies into an at-large play-in game, perhaps vs. Maryland, although the Terps have failed to build upon their recent win over NC State with three losses in four subsequent games, including a midweek setback vs. Florida State that has put Mark Turgeon's team in definite bubble trouble.

SOUTH REGIONAL (Arlington, TX)

At Lexington...

1 Florida (17-2, 5) vs. 16 Florida Gulf Coast (14-8, 113)/Norfolk State (12-10, 193)...Florida is on a General Sherman-like march through the SEC at the moment, and we dare say the Gators could end up as the number one overall seed, as they figure to face less resistance than any Big Ten, Big 12, or Big East contenders for spots on the top line. Although it might be a bit strange seeing the Gators wearing their home whites if they're shipped to the nearest sub-regional (as would be expected) at Lexington, normally hostile territory. Meanwhile, take your pick in the Atlantic Sun race, where the league has turned into a free-for-all after recent powerhouse Belmont moved to the OVC. By midweek five teams were tied atop the league standings at 6-3; our current preference is for Florida Gulf Coast. But the Eagles or any other side that might win the Sun are likely ticketed for a 16 vs. 16 play-in game, where the MEAC champ is likely headed as well. At the moment, a measured vote for Norfolk State to make a return trip to the Dance, although the Spartans are minus last year's star Kyle O'Quinn (now with the NBA's Orlando Magic), who paced that huge sub-regional upset win over Missouri last March.

8 Colorado State (17-4, 23) vs. 9 Wisconsin (14-7, 47)...As the Mountain West race shakes out, CSU definitely looks as if it is going to be one of the survivors. Is there a first-year coach in the country who walked into a better situation than the Rams' Larry Eustachy, who inherited an all-senior lineup from a team that made the NCAA field of 68 last March? This might not be Wisconsin's best team under Bo Ryan, but the Badgers remain tough as ever to beat, and even a mid-table finish in the Big Ten is going to be good enough to get an invitation on Selection Sunday.

At Lexington....

4 Louisville (17-4, 11) vs. 13 La Tech (18-3, 42)...If you thought the sight of Florida wearing the home whites at Rupp Arena would look strange, imagine how the senses might react to Louisville being the "home" team for a game on the UK Wildcats' home court? The Cards, however, have put themselves in some danger of missing a protected seed with three recent defeats in a row, although last Monday's win vs. capable Pitt has temporarily stopped the bleeding. Before La Tech leaves for Conference USA next season, it looks to be the class of the WAC, especially with injury-plagued Utah State faltering in recent weeks. The next coach du jour after the season could well be the Bulldogs' Michael White, who could quickly be in demand at many higher-profile ports of call.

5 Minnesota (16-5,11) vs. 12 Middle Tennessee (18-4, 35)...While some Big Ten observers were wondering if a few recent losses by Minnesota suggested that the Gophers were ready to go into a deep funk as they have the at this stage the past couple of years, we don't think so. Although Tubby Smith's side might have trouble scrambling back into protected seed territory. Once again, Kermit Davis' MTSU looks to be the class of the Sun Belt; it was a year ago, too, before getting upset in the conference tourney and then winning a couple of games in the NIT. The Blue Raiders will be favored again in this season's Belt Tourney at Hot Springs.

At Philadelphia...

2 Duke (18-2, 1) vs. 15 Northeastern (12-8, 109)...Duke has time to climb back onto the top line in one of the regions, but we don't think we can consider the Blue Devils as a serious national title contender until F Ryan Kelly returns from injury. How far the Colonial has dropped from its recent multi-bid status, and having sent a pair of reps (George Mason and VCU) to the Final Four in recent years. This year, the CAA is getting dangerously close to the play-in game, especially with VCU having left the league, several entries banned from the postseason, and other contenders either in down years or hampered by injuries. A measured vote at the moment for Northeastern, but the fragility of the Huskies' status was underlined in a midweek upset loss at home vs. so-so Georgia State.

7 UCLA (16-6, 32) vs. 10 Oklahoma State (14-5, 44)...While frosh-leaden UCLA should still safely make the field of 68, the Bruins' seeding is fluctuating after recent losses to Arizona State and Southern Cal. The Bruins could easily fall into the 9-11 seed category if they're not careful. So might Oklahoma State, although the Cowboys won a crucial midweek game vs. Iowa State to stay on the safe side of the cut line...at least for now.

At Auburn Hills...

3 Michigan State (17-4, 12) vs. 14 Davidson (13-7, 111)...Never underestimate a Tom Izzo-coached MSU team, which despite its Sunday loss at Indiana has seemed to hit stride in recent weeks. If history repeats, the Spartans will again be peaking as we head into March, although Izzo's current edition is a bit more perimeter-oriented than usual MSU title contenders. The Spartans would also likely get ticketed for the nearby Palace of Auburn Hills for sub-regional action. Although having taken some hits in pre-league play, Davidson is slowly taking command of the SoCon and appears to be a clear favorite for the fast-approaching conference tourney. A similar-looking Wildcat team made the Dance last season for vet Big Dance HC Bob McKillop, who has taken several sides to the Dance minus Stephen Curry.

6 Cincinnati (17-4, 25) vs. 11 Temple (14-6, 56)...There is still time for capable Cincy to work its way into protected seed territory, although we suspect Mick "The Ghost" Cronin's current, perimeter-oriented edition probably lands in the 5-6 range instead. There's a bit of concern in Philly that Temple could be in trouble of missing the Dance entirely for what would be the first time in HC Fran Dunphy's six-year tenure at the school; the A-10 is deeper this season with the additions of Butler and VCU. But the league also benefits from those new powers, and we suspect at least four A-10 bids will be forthcoming. The Owls' mid-December win over Syracuse will be a valuable chip to cash on Selection Sunday, too.

MIDWEST REGIONAL (Indianapolis)

At Kansas City...

1 Kansas (19-1, 2) vs. 16 Southern U (14-7, 174)/Charleston Southern (12-6, 170)...We would give Kansas as good a chance as any top contender of garnering the number one seed for the entire tourney; as it is, we suspect the Jayhawks are at least on course for the top line in the Midwest. Remember, since the nearby Sprint Center in Kansas City isn't KU's home court (even though the Jayhawks have played at the site this season), Bill Self's troops are eligible for sub-regional action at this very friendly venue. Expect the Big South and SWAC champs to be two of the four teams in the pair of 16 vs. 16 play-in games. There are clear favorites in both leagues right now, as Charleston Southern is cruising in the Big South (and one of only two teams, along with 11-10 UNC-Asheville, over .500 for the season from the loop), and Southern U is the only SWAC side above .500 (no one else even remotely close).

8 Notre Dame (17-4, 48) vs. 9 Kentucky (14-6, 63)...Wouldn't this be a dandy sub-regional matchup! Shades of Austin Carr going wild at Freedom Hall in Louisville and scoring 50 poitns vs. Adollph Rupp's Cats in December of 1970! UK's midweek win over Ole Miss should ease the concerns of any Big Blue backers who were wondering if Coach Cal's newest group of diaper dandies migth miss the Dance entirely. Although we don't think the current UK version is anything close to last year's Anthony Davis-led side. As for Notre Dame, the Irish are wobbling, but have at least stopped the bleeding a bit with recent wins over South Florida and Villanova. But we suspect the Irish are looking at more losses and perhaps dropping to dark-uni-in-sub-regional range before Selection Sunday.

At Dayton...

4 Ohio State (16-4, 24) vs. 13 Akron (16-4, 67)...While Ohio State might not be on par with last year's Final Four team led by the departed Jared Sullinger, the Bucks are more than holding their own at home in Big Ten play, and the win over Michigan suggests to us that Thad Matta's side can qualify for protected seed status and get this preferred sub-regional assignment in nearby Dayton. It could be an all-Ohio battle if matched vs. the MAC champ, which at the moment we project to be Keith Dambrot's Akron, although Ohio U (with much the same look as last year's Sweet 16 team, save for new HC Jim Christian) figures to have something to say about that at the conference tourney in Cleveland.

5 Virginia Commonwealth (17-5, 39) vs. 12 Belmont (17-4, 14)...VCU has made a smooth adjustment to the A-10, and while not dominating loop foes quite as much as we expected, still looks to be on course for a top two finish in the league and contention for a protected seed. Belmont has also made a move to a new league (from the Atlantic Sun to the Ohio Valley), and Rick Byrd's tourney veteran Bruins appear to be emerging as the class of the OVC pack as well. The Eastern Kentucky Colonels and last year's league champ, the Murray State Racers, figure to give chase into the conference tourney

At Austin...

2 Miami-Florida (16-3, 3) vs. 15 Montana (14-4, 125)....There hasn't been a bigger "mover" from our last update than Jim Larranaga's Miami, which has emerged as the team to beat in the ACC and has welcomed C Reggie Johnson back to active duty from a hand injury. Those who wondered what Larranaga could do with more talent on his hands than he was working with at George Mason are getting their answer. As for Montana, it assumed command of the Big Sky race last Saturday in Missoula when beating top contender Weber State; remember, the regular-season champ in the Sky also hosts the conference tourney. The Grizzlies have not lost in ten games since star G Will Cherry returned to the starting lineup in mid-December after missing the first month of the season with a foot injury.

7 Pitt (17-5, 52) vs. 10 Baylor (14-6, 34)...The Big East doesn't appear to be quite as top heavy as it was a couple of years ago when more than half of the league earned Big Dance invites, but the Selection Committee will still go pretty deep in the loop, and Jamie Dixon's side gets back to the Dance after missing out a year ago (although the Panthers did win the CBI). The Committee also likely goes deep into the Big 12, although Baylor is probably going to need a few more marquee wins to move into the single-digit seeding range.

At San Jose...

3 Oregon (18-3, 19) vs. 14 Detroit (14-8, 87)...Keep an eye on Oregon, which emerged as the team to beat in the Pac-12 in January but is now going without injured star frosh PG Dominic Artis (foot injury) for a bit, losing at Stanford on Wednesday in the first road game of his absence. Another loss this Saturday vs. Cal, however, could knock the Ducks out of protected seed territory. The Horizon race remains competitive, but we suspect that when the dust settles, it will be Ray McCallum's Detroit Titans emerging from the pile. Remember, Detroit won the conference tourney last season, and its rugged pre-league slate is beginning to pay dividends, as the midweek win at Wright State suggests the Titans are about to take control of the loop.

6 UNLV (17-4, 17) vs. 11 Saint Mary's (18-4, 63)...This would be a fascinating regional clash, and Saint Mary's would welcome this assignment in San Jose, within an hour of its Moraga campus. The Gaels helped their at-large candidacy greatly with a recent one-point win at BYU that puts them temporarily ahead of the Cougs in the WCC queue. There have been indications that UNLV and man-child frosh star PF Anthony Bennett could surge to the top of the Mountain West, but the Rebs need to prove they can win consistently on the road to have a chance at a protected seed.

WEST REGIONAL (Phoenix)

at Dayton...

1 Indiana (19-2, 16) vs. 16 Niagara (13-8, 118)...As mentioned earlier, we fully expect two Big Ten teams to land on the top line and for Indiana to be one of those. The Hoosiers would gladly take the sub-regional assignment in Dayton, a close drive on the west side of neighboring state Ohio for the countless IU backers. No clear-cut favorite has yet emerged from the Metro-Atlantic; at this moment, our best guess is Niagara, which has surged in recent weeks, although any number of others (Iona, Loyola-Maryland, Canisius, Fairfield, Rider) figure to rate a decent shot in the upcoming free-for-all conference tourney, to be held in early March at Springfield, MA.

8 Wichita State (19-3, 18) vs. 9 Oklahoma (14-5, 22)...The Missouri Valley is likely a multi-bid league this March, and for the moment Wichita State appears safely in the field of 68, though the Shockers slipped a notch or two in the seeding scale after a midweek loss to pesky Indiana State. Notice that Lon Kruger has been waving his magic wand in Norman, as his Sooners appear on course for a return to the Dance for the first time since Blake Griffin's days on campus. Kruger has already taken alma mater Kansas State, Florida, Illinois, and UNLV to the Dance before, and can set a record by taking his fifth school to the tourney in March.

At Salt Lake City...

4 New Mexico (18-3, 7) vs. 13 North Dakota State (16-5, 59)...The best chance for a Mountain West rep to gain a protected seed is likely going to be New Mexico, although the top level of conference contenders are likely to beat up one another. The Lobos needed to bounce back from last Saturday's ugly 55-34 loss at San Diego State, and Wednesday's grinding win at Wyoming is just what the doctor ordered for Steve Alford's crew. We love the developing race in the Summit League, where three distinctly different-styled teams (North and South Dakota State, plus Western Illinois) have emerged as the teams to beat. The league tourney in Sioux Falls should be a donnybrook.

5 Marquette (5-4, 20) vs. 12 Virginia (15-5, 92)/La Salle (14-6, 26)...Buzz Williams' reputation is being burnished even more by steering this mostly-rebuilt Marquette edition into contention for a protected seed. The Golden Eagles qualify as one of the pleasant surprises in this year's Big East. The final at-large play-in game could have a surprise guest, with Tony Bennett's Virginia making a nice impression in recent weeks and moving into contention after the crucial midweek win over NC State. If anything, the Cavs are on an upward trajectory at the moment. La Salle, looking for its first NCAA invitation since 1992, put itself in position with recent wins over Butler & VCU, but a shock midweek home loss to UMass has pushed the Explorers back to near the cut line.

At San Jose...

2 Arizona (17-2, 4) vs. 15 Pacific (12-8, 112)...We're still not completely convinced that Arizona is going to hold onto a protected seed, considering all of the close calls the Wildcats have endured. Although the Pac-12 does not have as many banana peels as the Big Ten or Big East (or the Mountain West, for that matter), so we think Sean Miller's Cats maintain a 2 or 3 seed. The Big West race is wide open; any among Pacific, Long Beach State, Cal State Fullerton, and Hawaii will have a good chance in the league tourney at Anaheim's Honda Center in March. Maybe we're just being nostalgic, but we would get a kick out of seeing UOP make the Dance in the final season for retiring HC Bob Thomason, who has quietly developed a model mid-major program in Stockton. The Tigers, by the way, move to the WCC (where they once competed until the early '70s) next season.

7 Missouri (15-5, 26) vs. 10 Villanova (13-8, 49)...It wasn't long ago that we had Mizzou as a protected seed. Now, with injuries (such as key F Laurence Bowers) impacting proceedings and the Tigers taking bad losses such as Wednesday's setback at LSU, Frank Haith's team is sliding the wrong way on the seeding pole. Heading in the other direction is Jay Wright's Villanova, which was temporarily cooled by Notre Dame in a close loss on Wednesday night, but will find that recent wins over Syracuse and Louisville could come in very handy on Selection Sunday.

At Salt Lake City....

3 Gonzaga (19-2, 8) vs. 14 Stephen F. Austin (16-2, 77)...A lot of West Coast observers believe that this is Mark Few's best team in his 14 seasons at Gonzaga; the Zags could even have had a stronger case for a regional top seed had they not lost that last-second decision at Butler a few weeks ago. Few's team could easily move into a 2 slot, and there's still time to make a run at a regional top seed as well. The Lumberjacks from SFA, which once upon a time produced NFL place-kicker Mark Moseley, have emerged as the team to beat in the Southland. The Nacogdoches, TX bunch is being chased by Scott Sutton's Oral Roberts, which made the move from the Summit League after last season.

6 NC State (16-5, 15) vs. 11 Arizona State (16-4, 58)...This would be a very interesting sub-regional matchup if ASU HC Herb Sendek was pitted vs. former employer NC State. Speaking of the Wolfpack, it could easily yet work its way back into protected seed territory, but too many flat road efforts (such as losses at Maryland, Wake Forest, and Virginia) are going to undermine some very good wins (such as Duke and North Carolina) and likely keep NCS out of protected seed territory. As for Sendek, this season is turning into a redemption of sorts as he was squarely on the hot seat, especially with a new AD (Steve Patterson) in the fold. With last Saturday's rousing win over UCLA, Sendek is definitely proving he can still coach.

Last four in: Maryland, St. John's, La Salle, Virginia.
Last four out: Southern Miss, Charlotte, Wyoming, Illinois.
Next four out: BYU, Iowa State, Boise State, Saint Louis.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23749 Followers:32
02/02/2013 09:45 AM

Michigan at Indiana

February 1, 2013

I constantly talk about how AP rankings during college basketball’s regular season are 1,000-percent meaningless, but there is always an exception or two to every rule, right?

Case in point: Never in the historic annals of Assembly Hall in Bloomington have two of the nation’s top three teams squared off. Until Saturday night at 9:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN, that is.

BetOnline.com opened Indiana (19-2 straight up, 10-9 against the spread) as a four-point home favorite. Within a half-hour, the number was moved to 4.5. As of early Friday night, the total was 143.

Tom Crean’s team has won four consecutive games but is mired in an abysmal 2-7 ATS slump. IU dealt out woodshed treatment in the form of a 97-60 win Wednesday night at Purdue. The Hoosiers easily took the cash as 7 ½-point road favorites. The 157 combined points sailed ‘over’ the 135 ½-point total.

All five Indiana starters scored in double figures against the Boilermakers with Cody Zeller leading the way with 19 points and 11 rebounds. Christian Watford and Victor Oladipo added 17 points apiece.

Zeller leads the Hoosiers in scoring (16.1 points per game), rebounding (8.2 RPG) and blocked shots with 28 for the year. Oladipo is averaging 14.0 points and 6.0 rebounds per game while burying 53 percent of his attempts from 3-point land.

Watford (12.9 PPG) and Jordan Hulls (11.1 PPG) can also stroke it from beyond the arc, shooting 3’s at 47.9 and 48.1 clips, respectively. Hulls has unlimited range along with several of the country’s top perimeter shooters like Marshall Henderson (Ole Miss), Travis Bader (Oakland), Rotnei Clarke (Butler), Brady Haslip (Baylor), Scott Wood (North Carolina St.) and Kevin Pangos (Gonzaga).

IU has won 13 of its 14 home games while compiling a 7-5 spread record. The Hoosiers failed to cover the number in a pair of single-digit home ‘chalk’ spots this season against Michigan St. and Minnesota.

Michigan (20-1 SU, 12-6-1 ATS) has been an underdog twice this year, going 1-1 both SU and ATS. The Wolverines lost 56-53 at Ohio St. as two-point ‘dogs and won 83-75 at Minnesota as 2 ½-point puppies.

Since the loss in Columbus, John Beilein’s team has won four in a row while going 3-1 ATS. Michigan is coming off Wednesday’s 68-46 win over Northwestern as a 15-point home favorite. Trey Burke was the catalyst for the Wolverines, producing 18 points and eight assists compared to only one turnover.

Michigan is led by Burke, the sophomore point guard, and junior slasher Tim Hardaway Jr. Burke is averaging a team-high 17.9 PPG and has a stellar 150/39 assists-to-turnovers ratio. Hardaway (15.5 PPG) has a beautiful mid-range jumper, can also shoot it from deep (41.1%) and can put it on the floor and get to the rim.

Michigan doesn’t have many flaws. In addition to Burke and Hardaway, Nik Stauskas (12.7 PPG) and Glenn Robinson III (12.0 PPG) are outstanding freshmen who can score and have good size. Stauskas is knocking down 49.5 of his shots from 3-point range.

Junior center Jordan Morgan plays his role perfectly, setting vicious screens with his wide frame to get Stauskas and Hardaway open for perimeter looks. The Detroit product is also an excellent finisher and is one of the Big Ten’s premier post defenders.

The ‘over’ is 11-8-1 overall for Michigan, but the ‘under’ is on a 5-1 run in its last six games. The ‘over’ is 3-2 in the Wolverines’ five true road assignments.

IU has watched the ‘over’ go 9-8 overall, 6-4 in its home games with a total.

The ‘over’ is 6-2 in the last eight head-to-head meetings between Michigan and IU.

These Big Ten adversaries split a pair of regular-season encounters last year with both teams holding serve at home. However, we should note that Michigan took the cash both times, including a 73-71 loss as a 7 ½-point road underdog.

ESPN will provide television coverage at 9:00 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--Michigan has won four of its five road games, posting a 3-2 spread record.

--Gamblers will need to get their action in early for a Big East clash between Seton Hall and Cincinnati. That’s because this game will come off the board at 11:00 a.m. Eastern. The Bearcats are five-point road favorites. ESPNU will have the telecast.

--Duke is a 6 ½-point road favorite at Florida St. The Seminoles have beaten the Blue Devils both SU and ATS in three of the last four head-to-head meetings. ESPN will have television coverage at 2:00 p.m. Eastern.

--Although Ole Miss has only tasted defeat once in SEC play, it is still a 16 ½-point underdog (as of early Friday night) for Saturday’s game at Florida. The Gators have been dealing out pimpslaps galore and have hooked up their backers in eight straight games.

--I’m not sure I’ve seen worse shot selection than what we saw out of the Rebels’ Henderson against Kentucky the other night since Kobe was a rookie.

--Pitt will host Syracuse as a three-point home ‘chalk’ on ESPN at noon Eastern. Jamie Dixon’s team has won eight of its last 10 games against the ‘Cuse, going 9-1 versus the number. The ‘over’ is 9-2 overall for the Panthers this season.

--Alabama is a 2 ½-point road favorite at Vanderbilt even though it hasn’t tasted victory at Memorial Gymnasium since 1990 (hat tip to Cecil Hurt of the Tuscaloosa News for that factoid).

--Outside of the Gators, the SEC is as bad as it has ever been in my lifetime. Unless Kentucky’s young guys really improve and come of age in the next five weeks, only Florida will be playing beyond the first weekend of March Madness. Yes, Missouri is better than decent when Laurence Bowers is healthy, but I’m just not seeing it from this squad right now (see loss at LSU a few nights ago).

--Speaking of Mizzou, how about that complete no-show by Alex Oriakhi in Baton Rouge? Foul trouble was an issue but 1 point and three rebounds? That’s unacceptable from the UConn transfer.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23749 Followers:32
02/02/2013 09:48 AM

No. 14 Miami seeks 8-0 ACC start at NC State Saturday

MIAMI HURRICANES (16-3)

at NORTH CAROLINA STATE WOLFPACK (16-5)


Tip-off: Saturday, 4:00 p.m. ET
Line: North Carolina State -2.5

No. 19 N.C. State will look to hand No. 14 Miami its first ACC loss as the two teams square off Saturday afternoon in Raleigh, NC.

The Hurricanes have rolled through ACC play, winning all seven of their games SU and going 5-1-1 ATS with a scoring margin of 12.9 PPG. While the Wolfpack have struggled, losing three of their past five games SU, they own quality wins against No. 5 Duke and North Carolina, and are 5-3 (SU and ATS) in the conference. The question in this game will be if Miami’s athletic frontcourt will be able to tame NC State’s big men that have led them to a 50.3% FG on the season, the fourth-best clip in the nation. Another big question though, is if Wolfpack PG Lorenzo Brown (12.7 PPG, 6.9 APG, 4.3 RPG) will be available to play on his injured ankle that limited him to 10 minutes in Tuesday's loss.

Will Miami keep its win streak intact on Saturday? For the answer, connect to College Basketball Best Bets for all the Expert picks throughout the entire 2012-13 season. StatFox Dave was a perfect 4-0 ATS on Best Bets Thursday night, giving him a 9-3 ATS (75%) mark in the past four days and 54% ATS (108-93-3) for the season. StatFox Gary is 3-1 ATS in his past two days of Best Bets, boosting his season record to 56% ATS (66-53-1).

NC State SF C.J. Leslie (15.6 PPG, 7.3 RPG) owned Miami when these two teams met in Raleigh last season, going off for 21 points (on 7-for-10 FG) and 11 rebounds. This season, has been one of the ACC’s most efficient bigs, hitting 55.7% FG, though he has struggled with 3.0 turnovers per game. PF Richard Howell (12.7 PPG, 11.0 RPG) averages a double-double and isn’t slowing down, having recorded double-digit rebounds in nine consecutive games with 13.3 RPG in that span. SG Scott Wood (11.6 PPG) is the team’s sharp-shooter and led the Wolfpack to victory when they visited Coral Gables last season, hitting 4-of-6 three-pointers en route to a game-high 21 points. This season, Wood is knocking down 2.6 threes per game on a 42.2% clip. Brown leads the conference in assists, but could be unable to go, thrusting freshman SG Rodney Purvis into an even larger role with this team that typically plays only seven guys. Purvis (9.6 PPG) has the skills to become an elite scorer, but has yet to consistently find that form and is averaging just 6.5 PPG in the team’s past two games after dropping 18 against Wake Forest. Six-foot-8 freshman F T.J. Warren (12.1 PPG, 3.6 RPG) has had a much more efficient freshman campaign than Purvis, hitting a remarkable 63.3% of his field goals this season. However, he is coming off a terrible game at Virginia Tuesday, with more fouls (4) than points (3), making just 1-of-7 FG. But in his past two home games, Warren has 20.0 PPG on 18-of-23 FG (78%).

Miami C Kenny Kadji (13.3 PPG, 6.8 RPG) seemingly gets better every game for Miami and is averaging 17.0 PPG in the team’s past three contests, wins against Duke, Florida State and Virginia Tech, making 67% FG in that span. He’s joined in the frontcourt by 292-pound bull, senior C Reggie Johnson (9.9 PPG, 9.2 RPG), who will be playing in just his fourth game since returning from a thumb injury. He has struggled to return to form in these games, averaging just 3.7 PPG on 2-of-14 FG, but remains a threat on the boards as shown by his 10-rebound performance against the Hokies on Wednesday. PG Shane Larkin (12.9 PPG, 4.3 RPG, 4.0 APG) runs the offense and is a defensive menace with 2.2 SPG. He grinds out a remarkable 36.2 MPG and is coming off a 25-point performance Wednesday in which he nailed 5-of-10 three-pointers and made all four of his two-point field goals. The Hurricanes will also look for a nice contribution off their bench from junior SG Rion Brown (6.1 PPG) who averaged 12.5 PPG in the two meetings between these teams last season.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23749 Followers:32
02/02/2013 09:49 AM

No. 5 Duke travels to FSU on Saturday

DUKE BLUE DEVILS (18-2)

at FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES (12-8)


Tip-off: Saturday, 2:00 p.m. ET
Line: Duke -7.5

Finally with a road win under its belt, No. 5 Duke will hit the road again Saturday, taking on Florida State in Tallahassee.

These teams met three times last season with the eventual ACC Tournament champion Seminoles winning two of those three meetings. But this is a different Florida State squad this year, losing three of their past five in ACC play with the last two defeats coming by 20 points and 24 points. Duke brings one of the nation’s most potent offenses to the table (78.0 PPG, 13th in Div. I), but has struggled to find a rhythm without PF Ryan Kelly (foot), having dropped two of their past five games without him.

Will Duke be able to win convincingly on the road? For the answer, connect to College Basketball Best Bets for all the Expert picks throughout the entire 2012-13 season. StatFox Dave was a perfect 4-0 ATS on Best Bets Thursday night, giving him a 9-3 ATS (75%) mark in the past four days and 54% ATS (108-93-3) for the season. StatFox Gary is 3-1 ATS in his past two days of Best Bets, boosting his season record to 56% ATS (66-53-1).

The Duke offense is led by senior PF Mason Plumlee (18.1 PPG, 11.1 RPG), a National Player of the Year candidate who is coming off a career-high, 32-point performance against Wake Forest. He’ll need to step up his play against the Seminoles, though, averaging just 5.0 PPG in the three contests last season. Fellow senior, SG Seth Curry (16.0 PPG), is the team’s other top scorer and is one of the nation’s best shooters, nailing 41.4% of his threes this season. PG Quinn Cook (11.2 PPG, 6.3 APG) is developing into an elite floor general has the second-best assist-to-turnover ratio in the ACC at 2.78 (145 assists, 45 turnovers). Freshman SG Rasheed Sulaimon (11.7 PPG, 3.4 RPG) rounds out the backcourt, but has dealt with inconsistent play. He followed up a career-high, 25-point performance against Maryland with just six points in the 75-70 road win over Wake Forest on Wednesday. The X-factor, though, may be the play of freshman forwards Amile Jefferson (4.4 PPG, 3.1 RPG) and Josh Hairston (2.0 PPG, 2.2 RPG) who have assumed Kelly’s minutes, but combined for just one point in the team’s narrow win against the Demon Deacons.

FSU senior SG Michael Snaer (14.2 PPG, 4.6 RPG) was a Duke killer last season, averaging 16.0 PPG in the three contests against the Blue Devils, including a last-second 3-pointer to give the Seminoles a win at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Snaer bears a heavy burden for the offense this season and has struggled with turnovers, coughing it up 2.9 times per game. However, he is coming off a strong game against Maryland, in which he scored 19 points on 7-for-13 shooting and did not turn it over in his 29 minutes of action. The only other double-digit scorer for the 'Noles is junior PF Okaro White (12.7 PPG, 5.6 RPG) who is an athletic defensive weapon, averaging 1.4 BPG and 1.1 SPG. But he will have to step up, as the team’s leading rebounder, PF Terrance Shannon (8.5 PPG, 6.3 RPG), remains out with a neck injury. White will need to be physical and attack Plumlee, who cannot afford to be in foul trouble given Duke’s shallow frontcourt depth.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23749 Followers:32
02/02/2013 09:51 AM

No. 1 Michigan visits No. 3 Indiana Saturday

MICHIGAN WOLVERINES (20-1)

at INDIANA HOOSIERS (19-2)


Assembly Hall - Bloomington, IN
Tip-off: Saturday, 9:00 p.m. ET
Line: Indiana -2.5

The game of the season in college basketball takes place Saturday night at Assembly Hall when No. 1 Michigan visits No. 3 Indiana.

Since their lone loss of the season at Ohio State, the Wolverines have ripped off four straight wins by an average of 14.8 PPG, shooting 49% or better in all four victories. The Hoosiers have also won four in a row, but are just 1-5 ATS in their past six games. However, they are coming off a 97-60 drilling at rival Purdue on Wednesday. These schools have incredibly alternated wins and losses in each of their past 10 meetings, with Indiana holding a slight 6-4 ATS advantage during this pattern.

Who will win this true marquee matchup on Saturday night? For the answer, connect to College Basketball Best Bets for all the Expert picks throughout the entire 2012-13 season. StatFox Dave was a perfect 4-0 ATS on Best Bets Thursday night, giving him a 9-3 ATS (75%) mark in the past four days and 54% ATS (108-93-3) for the season. StatFox Gary is 3-1 ATS in his past two days of Best Bets, boosting his season record to 56% ATS (66-53-1).

It's no fluke that Michigan is the No. 1 team in the nation. The Wolverines commit the fewest fouls in the country (11.8 per game) and have the second-fewest turnovers in Division-I (9.4 TOPG). They also take good shots, ranking third in the nation in FG Pct. (51.0%), including a 40.8% clip from downtown (5th-best in D-I). Guards Trey Burke (17.9 PPG, 7.1 APG) and Tim Hardaway Jr. (15.5 PPG, 5.0 RPG) not only lead the team in scoring, but also make 50% FG and 48% FG, respectively. Burke ranks second in the nation in Ast/TO ratio at 3.85 and shoots 78% from the free-throw line. He made just 4-of-15 shots in the loss at Assembly Hall last season, but had seven rebounds and eight assists that game. He then scored 18 points with four rebounds and four assists in the home victory over Indiana last February. Hardaway shot terribly in the series versus IU last season (11-for-33 FG, 2-of-15 threes), but has made 12-of-17 FG (6-of-9 threes) in his past two road games. Freshman SF Nik Stauskas (12.6 PPG, 50% FG) has quickly established himself as one of the best long-range shooters in the country at 49.5% from three-point range, the second-highest mark in the nation. And since getting shut out in the loss at Ohio State, Stauskas has scored at least 11 points in each of the past four games. Fellow freshman F Glenn Robinson III (12.1 PPG, 5.8 RPG) has been outstanding in the past three games with 12.3 PPG on 16-of-21 FG (76%) and 6.0 RPG. Another freshman, PF Mitch McGary (5.6 PPG, 6.0 RPG) has done a great job on the boards, pulling down 19 rebounds in just 31 minutes in his past two games. With PF Jordan Morgan (6.4 PPG, 5.2 RPG) questionable for this game with a sprained right ankle, both Robinson and McGary will need to throw their weight around inside.

Indiana boasts the highest-scoring offense in the entire country with 84.0 PPG, while giving up just 60.4 PPG for a nation's-best 23.5 PPG scoring margin. Like Michigan, the Hoosiers are very smart and take high-percentage shots, making 50.0% FG (5th in D-I) and 42.3% from three-point range (3rd in nation). The Hoosiers allow just 37.4% FG (12th in nation) and do a great job cleaning up the glass with a +10.2 RPG margin (3rd in D-I). They will look to exploit their height advantage on Saturday with C Cody Zeller (16.1 PPG, 8.2 RPG) and PF Christian Watford (12.9 PPG, 6.5 RPG). Zeller posted his third double-double in the past five games Wednesday when he had 19 points and 11 rebounds in just 25 minutes at Purdue. Zeller also scored 18 points on 8-of-10 FG in the home win over Michigan last season and tallied a double-double (11 pts, 12 reb) in the loss at Ann Arbor. Watford has scored in double-figures in 11 straight games, and produced 25 points (8-of-11 FG) with seven rebounds in last season's home win over Michigan. PG Jordan Hulls (11.1 PPG, 3.3 APG) has been slumping in his past five games (9.4 PPG on 39% FG), but he scored 18 points (4-of-5 threes) with five assists in last February's loss in Ann Arbor. SG Victor Oladipo (14.0 PPG, 6.0 RPG, 2.5 SPG) is shooting an incredible 65.5% FG (8th in nation) and 53% (18-of-34) from three-point range for the season. He is hoping to be a much bigger offensive factor on Saturday than he was against the Wolverines last season when he scored just 11 points on 5-of-17 FG in the two meetings combined. SF Will Sheehey (10.2 PPG, 42% threes) has caught fire in the past three games, making 10-of-15 FG and 5-of-6 threes, and freshman PG Kevin "Yogi" Ferrell (7.4 PPG, 4.5 APG) has also stepped up his offense in the past three games with 12.3 PPG on 14-of-22 FG (64%).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: