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Super Bowl week List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Sunday if you missed.........
13) Most under-reported story in sports; guy named Erik Compton is T5 thru seven holes in last round of the PGA Tour event at Torrey Pines. Mr Compton has had two heart transplants; not bypasses, transplants.
In other words, the guy is on his third heart and is a pro athlete. Amazing.
12) CBS had an interesting thing Sunday about how golf course workers make new holes for each round, then replace the holes from the previous day. Never saw that before; guess the guy making the holes was a real-life Carl Spackler from Caddyshack.
11) Lakers/Clippers both had home games Sunday; I'm wondering how many people were at both games. Would be interesting to know.
10) Clipper announcers were saying Sunday night that Blake Griffin has it in back of his mind that he could play tight end in the NFL, but no one in the NFL could step in and be an NBA player. Interesting debate.
9) Very bad news for the Celtics, with Rajan Rondo tearing his ACL; you look at the playoff picture in NBA East, and you see teams #1-7 are fairly well ahead of everyone else. Boston is in 8th place, and now is vulnerable to being passed by anyone who can get close to .500.
Curious to see how Danny Ainge approaches this; does he go the veteran route to try and patchwork his way into the playoffs, or does he turn to a youth movement, which is harder in the NBA than in most sports.
8) Memphis PG Mike Conley also got hurt Sunday and Grizzlies fizzled in 4th quarter without him, losing 91-83 to the Hornets- they were outscored 27-15 with game on the line in fourth quarter.
7) There is a TV show on TLC called Plastic Wives, about four women in Beverly Hills, who are all married to plastic surgeons. Terrific. It is my duty to watch this show and report back to you, so I will. Soon.
6) You look at seven non-football Big East schools who are branching off to form their own league and after Georgetown/Marquette/Villanova, and Villanova is a maybe, those teams aren't very good, though they are mostly located in big cities, which could promise big TV ratings.
Providence/DePaul/Seton Hall/St John's; no title contenders there, which is why VCU/Butler/Saint Louis could be appealing to the new league.
5) SMU went 33-34 last two years, with PG Jeremiah Samarrippas in his first two years as a college player; when Larry Brown took over the SMU program, he sent Jeremiah packing, saying he wasn't good enough to play for the Mustangs, not while Brown was coach.
Young Samarrippas is now at Tennessee Tech, and Brown's first SMU club is 11-10, 1-5 in Conference USA, while turning ball over 23.6% of time, #313 in country in that important category. Maybe they should've kept the kid around-- its mid-major college ball, not the NBA.
4) Random stats: Road team is 9-0 vs spread in Idaho's WAC games, dogs are 8-1; underdogs covered all six of South Carolina's SEC games.
3) How badly does Texas need PG Myck Kabongo (due back Feb 13)? They lead the whole country in eFG%, and they're 1-5 in the Big X; teams that play great FG% defense generally win a lot of games, but Texas is #299 in eFG% offense, so their games have basically been rebounding contests.
2) Miami looked great in whipping Duke during the week, but I was lot more impressed by them following that up with 71-47 rout of Florida State; its one thing to beat a rival you seldom beat, but to pound another rival in the next game too, well thats a signal that Miami is the real deal.
1) CBS' coverage of Sunday's Super Bowl starts at 11am. Game is at 6:30; they can really get companies to buy commercial time for stuff seven hours before kickoff? Good for them.
Tuesday's List of 13: Some college basketball knowledge......
13) WAC—Louisiana Tech is 18-3, 9-0 under rising coaching star Michael White (if Andy Kennedy were to move up from Ole Miss, Rebel alum White makes sense there); Denver’s Princeton offense is tough to prep for, New Mexico State has best inside game (rebounding 38.7% of its misses in WAC games), Utah State has major injury issues.
12) Horizon—Valparaiso has two-game lead, due to win at Detroit, when they won after trailing 50-32 at half. Detroit has best player (McCallum), Green Bay blocks 17.7% of opponents’ shots, Wright State forces turnovers 23.5% of time.
11) C-USA—Southern Miss/Memphis are both unbeaten in league play; USM is a juggernaut, making 43.9% of 3’s, forcing turnovers 28.1% of time in league games. Memphis is making 57% of shots inside arc. Central Florida’s (14-5, 4-1) Keith Clanton might be best player in league.
10) WCC—Gonzaga is 6-0, leads league in eFG% on both sides of ball; they played seven non-league games vs top 100 teams, plus Davidson/West Virginia (usually top 100 teams), so they’re battle-tested enough to survive challenges from lesser league rivals. As usual, St Mary’s (57.3% on 2-point shots), BYU (turning ball over least while playing fastest tempo) are prime contenders.
9) MVC—Creighton is offensive machine (60.7 eFG% leads country) but Bluejays trail defensively-stout Wichita State by a game. Shockers are rebounding 39.9% of own misses in MVC play. Right now, looks like these will be only two teams in NCAAs, unless there’s an upset in conference tournament at Arch Madness in St Louis.
8) A-16—New kids Butler/VCU are leading league first time around; it is stupid to have 16 teams in a league, but this is only year for that (Charlotte/ Temple leave after this year). LaSalle had huge week last week, but lack of inside game hurts them on road. Saint Louis is inspired playing for its deceased coach; GW is team of future in this conference.
7) SEC—Ole Miss is 17-2, 6-0, turning ball over less, getting to foul line more than any team in league; is Kentucky's visit tonight biggest home game in Rebel history? Florida’s eFG% is 39.2%- some think they’re best team in country. Rest of league is rebuilding, including Kentucky (forcing turnovers only 15.3% of time in SEC).
6) Big X— West Virginia/Texas are combined 3-10 in league, so other than Kansas (get steal or blocked shot 28.7% of time), Baylor (38.4% behind arc behind premiere guard Jackson), no one here is guaranteed an at-large bid. Texas gets PG Kabongo back in two weeks; will it be too late?
5) Pac-12—Oregon is surprising 7-0 in league, but now PG Artis is hurt; freshman PG Carson has Arizona State at 16-4, 5-2, big improvement from LY’s 10-21, when he was ineligible. Arizona (17-2, 5-2) is near top, as always, but lack of a true PG will doom them in March; Ben Howland has improved UCLA (16-5, 6-2) playing fastest-paced games in league.
4) ACC—Miami beat Duke by 27, Florida State by 24 last week; if their uniforms were blue and said “DUKE” on front, they’d be a top 5 team. Hurricanes’ eFG% is 38.6, #1 in ACC.
3) MWC—Yes, this is #3 league in America right now; four teams look to be in, barring a collapse. No one in this league is a pushover, not even Air Force, which lost by only 3 to Wichita State. UNLV would be lot more dangerous if they had a legit PG. San Diego State trailed 20-9 at half in Wyoming, then held New Mexico to 34 points for whole game Saturday.
2) Big East—Everyone’s going their separate ways after this year; will be very weird seeing Syracuse play in ACC. Orange (18-2, 6-1) seem to be best team this year, with Louisville losing three of its last four games. Marquette (14-4, 5-1) always seems to over-achieve.
1) Big Dozen—Think very highly of both Michigan teams; not that sold on Indiana club that didn’t play true road game until New Year’s Eve.
Liked Minnesota a lot, but now they’ve lost four games in row, all by 8 or less points. Wisconsin’s odd system is one you’ll want to avoid on first weekend of tournament. Ohio State is 2-3 vs top 50 teams, and they almost lost at home to Michigan after leading 29-8. Wolverines are real good, but a Final Four team salts games like that away.
If Blake Griffin can punt in Kia commercials, perhaps he can hope to be the next Bo Jackson, or Deion Sanders, or maybe even Michael J...nah stick to dunking over cars in slam dunk competitions Blake. Even though your jumper has mightily improved season by season, you're going to be simply overlooked considering you shoot free throws around the Shaq/Dwight Howard percentage.
I think Boston will hold off Philadelphia and settle for the 8th spot, but that's not a whole lot of consolation considering their first round opponent is likely to be Miami or the Knicks in round 1. Either way they call for suitable revenge spots from 2011-12. He does sound Indian after awhile that Rajan Rondo doesn't he when you hear his name mentioned at least a dozen times a day?
Miami according to the ratings have been undervalued and underappreciated all season, but back to back 20 point wins including knocking off the then #1 Blue Devils saw the Canes vault 11 spots to #14 in the AP Poll. They play great defense, look for the high percentage shot with the clock running deep, and can dazzle in transition with their full court speed. Not a team anybody would want to see in round 1 of March Madness.
For the latest sports news, capper picks and tracker results, turn to JTG, the leader in BTB information
Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud.......
13) Mets won’t sign free agent CF Michael Bourn because they want to keep the #11 pick in this year’s amateur draft, which they would forfeit if they signed Bourn. That tells you how hard they’re trying to win this year and next. Not very.
12) If Alex Rodriguez never plays again because of his hip injury, he’ll still get paid the $114M he’s owed over the next five years, but the Bronx Bombers would get 85% ($96.9M) of it back from their insurance policy on the contract; lets hope that doesn’t happen, since it would free up roughly $19M a year for them to pilfer other team’s good players with.
11) Since 1995, attendance at Tennessee Vols' home football games is down 12,600 fans a game. They’ve paid or are paying off $18M to fired coaches, all of which helps explains why the athletic department is in serious trouble, roughly $200M in debt. Winning helps raise money; losing does not.
10) Looking through Baseball America Prospects’ Handbook, isn’t much to look at with Toronto/Washington’s systems; both teams are in win-now mode. Toronto's system is especially threadbare.
9) Virginia hired former NC State HC Tom O’Brien as assistant HC/offense, Cavaliers’ OC Bill Lazor quickly bolted UVa for a job with Chip Kelly’s first Eagle staff- think it’s a coincidence?
8) Speaking of Virginia, they signed on for a home/home series with Oregon, starting this fall. That’s two losses for Virginia, but likely a hefty check from Nike for the trip to Eugene, and a couple of games on national TV, which Virginia can use for needed exposure.
7) Fair question: wonder if Miami Heat players would’ve been as excited about visiting the White House Monday had Mitt Romney won the election last November? Somehow, I doubt it.
6) ESPNU has ten hours (10 hours!!!) of coverage on National Signing Day for college football next Wednesday; thats a very big deal here in the south. Back in the north, not so much. Recruiting is a fascinating subject.
5) Albert Pujols makes $25M a year from Angels, who want Albert to skip the WBC in March. Pujols wants to play for his country, but since his employer has so much invested in his health, this could be a problem.
4) Last nine times NC State beat North Carolina in basketball, they lost their next ACC game; that’s a sign of immaturity. Their record after wins over Duke ain’t much better. Hard to tell exactly how good the Wolfpack is.
3) Colin Kaepernick is 4th QB to start a Super Bowl in same season of his first NFL start.
First three: Vince Ferragamo/lost, Kurt Warner/Tom Brady both won.
2) Its fashionable to bash football now; everyone knows it’s a violent game, you know that before you sign up to play. Not sure how the plaintiffs will prove that it was NFL football, and not college/high school ball that gave them their concussion(s).
1) Free agent pitcher Carl Pavano lacerated his spleen (ouch!!) this winter, won’t be signing with anyone for a while; Pavano is one of our heroes for getting $39.5M from Bronx for four years, then going 9-8, 5.00 in 26 starts total over those four years. $39M, 29 starts, that’s terrible value, but its still better than ARod’s contract.
These Prop Bets Are Chock Full Of Deer Antler Spray
Before we get into my favorite Super Bowl prop bets, there are a few football topics that I want to briefly discuss. So apparently, Ray Lewis’s miraculous comeback from a torn goddamn triceps is due to his love for deer antler velvet spray. I just—I don’t even know what to say about this. I mean, who the fuck even thought of testing that to see if it possessed human tissue building capabilities? I can’t even imagine a more random thing to research to determine if it was similar to HGH. That is fucking BANANAS. The fact that Ray Ray’s dirty blood is now combined with his rusty knife 4 days before his last game is just tremendous. OBVZ he is going to play because The Rog is way too much of a pussy to suspend him now but this is just awesome. If you didn’t hate Ray Lewis before, then you should definitely now. I'm sure that this mouth steroids spray is all part of God's grand plan.
Is there any doubt that Jim Harbaugh was behind this story leak? He’s probably just getting back at John for making up those rape charges for Mike Crabtree. I’ll tell ya, the prank war between the BRAHs is getting heated!
Also, in his certain LOL-worthy interview with THEE Dr. Phil McGraw airing today, Ronaiah Tuiasasopo revealed that he fell in love with Manti Te’o. HAHAHAHAHA!!! What a swerve! Everyone wanted to believe that Manti was gay but, in reality, it was actually the Catfisherman who was looking to get his anus hooked! And you know that this guy was beating off constantly while Te’o was saying comforting things to “the love of his life” while "she" was "dying". Notre Dame = gay.
With that out of the way, let’s get into my Top 10 favorite prop bets for the Super Bowl!!!
MVP –Let’s get this one out of the way first since it is a total crapshoot. You are going to be tempted to bet money on Ray Lewis here. DO NOT DO THAT. He’s not going to win it. That’s a waste of money and it makes no sense why his odds are the 3rd lowest (+800). The 49ers can’t win the Super Bowl without Colin K being the MVP. FACT. The Ravens can win the Super Bowl without Flacco being ELITE.
10. The number of times Ray Lewis mentions God in his postgame interview: OVER/UNDER 3 - This is a fucking lock if Baltimore wins. It is never going to happen if they lose and he is too "heartbroken" to speak much. By the way, this is one of the best props of all time.
9. The number of times that the announcers refer to the game as the Harbaugh Bowl, Har-Bowl, or Super Baugh: UNDER 2.5 - You would think that this would be an easy over but I honestly don't think that the CBS booth will say it more than once. Nantz is a pro who doesn't usually get sucked into sideshows (Butler Cabin excluded) and Simms is such an idiot that he probably doesn't even know that these coaches are related.
8. Colin Kaepernick’s 1st TD pass: UNDER 13.5 yards - I've just got a feeling on this one. I don't see either team really airing it out early (lots of dink and dunk AKA The Todd Haley Special).
7. Torrey Smith receiving yards: OVER 65.5 - I'm a big fan of this kid. The Ravens are going to throw it deep. They always do. They usually only throw it to Smith. And I've seen Carlos Rogers play enough to know that he enjoys getting burnt.
6. Colin Kaepernick first rushing attempt: OVER 5.5 yards - I really like this one. He's going to be nervous and will not hold on to it on a zone read unless the hole is wider than Tony Siragusa's ass.
5. Will either team score in the first 6 minutes: NO - Neither one of these teams has gotten off to good starts in either of their playoff games.
4. Alicia Keys National Anthem Length: UNDER 2:05 - Last year, Fat Ass Kelly Clarkson sang it in 1:34. Even though Keys is way more talented, can she tack on an extra 30 seconds? Hells nah, BRAH. I also like the prop that Keys won't screw up any words. She's a pro, dammit!
3. How many times will “Harbaugh” be said during the game: OVER 20.5 - Are you kidding? Why would anyone bet the under? Has there ever been a football game where the head coach was just ignored by the broadcast booth?
2. Total combined pass completions by both teams: UNDER 38.5 - In the playoffs, Flacco averages 19 completions and Kaepernick 16. They are both facing better defenses than anything they've seen the past month. The under is an easy play.
1. First half total points: UNDER 23.5 - Don't even think about it. I proved last year that this prop is a lock.
I don't like many of the yardage props this year simply because both offenses are unpredictable and inconsistent. So I'm sticking with QB props and betting on both of them being nervous. That seems like a winning strategy to me. Tomorrow, I get to unleash my annual 15 pronged prediction generator to determine who wins the Super Bowl. Just admit it...you're falling in love with me.