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Wisconsin vs. Ohio State, 01/29/2013 19:00
Point Spread: +7/-108 Wisconsin
Wisconsin +7 over Ohio State
This is a good spot for Wisconsin and they are catching too many points against Ohio State. The public seems to be falling out of favor with the Badgers after the team has failed to cover in three straight games, but those were tough contests on the road at Iowa, home v. Michigan State and home v. Minnesota. The Hawk game they were favored by a point and lost by four, against Michigan State they lost by two and they beat the Gophers by a point. All three were tough games and before those three they upset Indiana on the road and beat Illinois by 23 at home.
The Buckeyes have a good home record and margin because they played a bunch of cupcakes here early in the year, but they lost to Kansas by eight points, beat Michigan by three, and Iowa by nine in the games against decent teams. Wisconsin isn't on par with Kansas or Michigan but they are better than Iowa so getting only two less points than the Hawks lost by is generous.
Wisconsin is 14-4 ATS against teams who make 37% or more of their 3-point attempts the second half of the last three seasons and 90-65 ATS against teams outrebounding their opponents by four plus points per game since 1996.
The Buckeyes are 0-6 ATS at home after playing a game in which both teams scored less than 65 points the last three seasons, while the Badgers are 15-5 ATS coming off a game with a combined score of 110 points or less in that time.
***WHAT A RUN! Jimmy went 2-1 yesterday and is now 98-75 over the last month! Boyd has gone 41-24 over his last 65 CBB picks after Delaware WINS OUTRIGHT last night, tonight's BAILOUT goes late on Nevada/UNLV along with TWO NBA winners!***