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coleryan
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NFL Championship Weekend GameDay Live!

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On 01/20/2013 09:00 AM in NFL
It's Sunday and that means kickoff in the AFC/NFC Championships! Check in two hours before kickoff where we will begin posting info on every game that will help you find an edge at the betting window! Check in and grab some info and share your picks as it all leads up to the Super Bowl!

Back soon,

Cole
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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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01/20/2013 01:01 PM
Let's Get started! Two big games!

San Francisco at Atlanta, 3:00 ET FOX
San Francisco: 5-1 Over off a win by 14+ points
Atlanta: 3-19 ATS at home off a home win

Baltimore at New England, 6:30 ET CBS
Baltimore: 6-1 ATS as a #4 seed in the playoffs
New England: 11-1 Over off a home win by 10+ points
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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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01/20/2013 01:02 PM
San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons (4, 48.5)

Versatile quarterbacks have given the Falcons nightmares this season. Carolina's Cam Newton threw for 502 yards with four TDs while rushing for 202 and two scores in two games against them in 2012. In last Sunday's 30-28 win over Seattle, Seahawks rookie signal-caller Russell Wilson passed for 385 yards with two TDs while running for 60 and a score on seven carries. Niners QB Colin Kaepernick rushed for a quarterback playoff-record 181 yards last week with a pair of touchdowns and overcame an early interception returned for a TD by throwing for 263 with two scores. Atlanta defensive end John Abraham, who will be one of the keys to keeping Kaepernick in the pocket, tweaked his ankle against the Seahawks and is listed as questionable for this week, though the Falcons expect him to play. The Falcons are 0-5 ATS in their last five playoff games.
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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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01/20/2013 01:02 PM
Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots (-8, 51.5)

The AFC championship will feature the same teams from the year before for the first time in 25 years when the Patriots host the Ravens. The last three matchups have been decided by a total of seven points, including the Ravens' 31-30 victory in Baltimore in Week 3. Ravens QB Joe Flacco has been sensational in the two playoff victories, throwing for 613 yards with five touchdowns and no interceptions. Flacco's the only QB in league history to reach the playoffs in each of his first five seasons and has torched the Patriots for 973 yards with seven TDs vs. two interceptions in the last three games. New England amassed a league-high 557 points during the regular season and had its sixth 40-point game last week. Tight end Rob Gronkowski re-injured his broken forearm early in last week's victory, depriving Brady of a target that has accounted for 38 touchdowns in his first 43 NFL games. The Patriots are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 playoff games and the underdog is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings.
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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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01/20/2013 01:03 PM
49ers star TE Vernon Davis has only seven catches and ZERO touchdowns in his past seven games combined.
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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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01/20/2013 01:03 PM
(ELIAS) This will be 49ers 14th conference championship appearance since 1970, tied with Cowboys for 2nd-most (Steelers 15)
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01/20/2013 01:04 PM
LINE MOVES
San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons – Open: +3.5, Move: +4.5, Move: +4

The early money moved this spread an entire point, with a ton of action coming in on the road team.

According to BetDSI.com, San Francisco bets are outnumbering Atlanta wagers at a 3-to-1 pace while action on the Niners is outnumbering that on the Falcons at 2-to-1. However, there is a split developing between public money and sharp money as Sunday draws closer.

“The public affection for the Niners and their second-year QB Colin Kaepernick has created massive public betting action,” says BetDSI.com. “Sharp money backing Atlanta at +4 and +4.5 is also focused on the second-year QB, albeit more in a negative sense knowing how hard it is for a young QB to hit the road and get playoff victories.”

As for the moneyline, the majority of wagers are taking the home underdog at +185. Atlanta opened as low as +160 on the moneyline last Sunday.

Total bettors are siding with the over, pushing the number from 47 to 49. Under money started to come in and has the majority of books dealing a total of 48.5.
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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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01/20/2013 01:05 PM
LINE MOVES
Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots – Open: -9.5, Move: -10.5, Move: -7.5

The Patriots have been public darlings all season but after opening as 9.5-point favorites and drawing some early action, books have taken one-sided money on the Ravens and have dropped the spread as low as 7.5.

“The public love affair with New England may be over this week with an even distribution of wagers and volume wagered for both teams,” says BetDSI.com.

Sharp money grabbed Baltimore at the discount spread when it jumped to double figures and have rode the Ravens all way down to +8 and +7.5. Buyback on New England at that spread has a sharp-versus-public dynamic forming for Sunday’s AFC Championship Game.

As for the total, bettors have sided with the over and recent sharp action has bumped the number from 51 to 51.5.
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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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01/20/2013 01:05 PM
Past three games the Atlanta Falcons defense has allowed 1,033 yards through the air (344 pass YPG).
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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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01/20/2013 01:05 PM
49ers WR Michael Crabtree has 657 receiving yards and 6 TD in his past six games, including 119 yards and 2 TD last week
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