You are using an old web browser. Such browsers do not support modern web technologies and do not offer proper security. Please update your browser or download one of the others suggested for free.
Mozilla Firefox |
Google Chrome |
Internet Explorer |
Jermichael Finley (Green Bay Packers) vs. Vernon Davis (San Francisco 49ers)
We're getting tremendous value with Vernon Davis in this matchup, largely due to the fact that he was held to just one reception in each of the 49ers’ final four regular season games. Let's not forget that Jermichael Finley also saw an inconsistent workload during the regular season and comes into this one dealing with a hamstring injury.
Davis really stepped up in the postseason last year and while I certainly don't expect him to reach those heights again, I do believe he's worth a shot matched up against another hit-or-miss tight end.
This Broncos are the popular pick and are getting plenty of action but its okay to trust Flacco in this spot. he has plenty of experience playing on the road and plays well. Manning is Manning and he will move the ball but with this type of weather I am looki9ngf ro a close game.
Spread: 49ers minus-3
Public consensus pick: 55 percent picked Packers
Public perception: The Packers are still the more popular team, so it's no surprise they're being backed even as the underdog despite the fact the 49ers won the season opener 30-22 in Green Bay.
Wiseguys' view: Sharp bettors also jumped on the Packers plus-3 as they're playing their best football of the year at the right time. Green Bay, including that opening loss, started 2-3 but has gone 10-2 SU and 9-3 ATS since their loss at Indianapolis in Week 5. The 49ers have gone 4-3 ATS since Colin Kaepernick replaced Alex Smith as the starting quarterback, but they've failed to cover two straight and three of their past five (and the Rams game that Kaepernick single-handedly gave away with an intentional grounding penalty in the end zone and another lateral that turned into a Rams touchdown has the wiseguys doubting if he's ready for playoff pressure).
Tuley's Take: I'm torn on this game as I'd love to take the Packers in a rare underdog role (though they were only 1-1 this year, beating the Texans but losing to the Giants), but this number is short and I'm afraid of what the 49ers' running game might do against the Packers' run defense. The pick: Pass (lean: Packers at plus-3, though prefer under 45).
ABOUT THE PACKERS (12-5): Green Bay has most of its defense healthy for the first time in weeks and spent the wild-card round attacking Vikings backup quarterback Joe Webb. Clay Matthews, looking fully recovered from a hamstring injury that has limited him at times, had a pair of sacks and forced a fumble while Charles Woodson played for the first time since breaking his collarbone on Oct. 21. With those two playmakers back, the Packers forced three turnovers and managed to hold Peterson under 100 yards rushing. The focus this week will be on Rodgers facing a San Francisco defense that has held opposing passers to 200.2 yards - fourth-best in the NFL - and finished second in the league in scoring defense. Rodgers passed for 303 yards but struggled until late in the game and was intercepted once in the first meeting. He should have a better rushing attack behind him in Saturday’s game, with DuJuan Harris and Ryan Grant taking handoffs. Rodgers was the leading rusher for the Packers in Week 1 and could be without one of his top receiving targets Saturday in Jordy Nelson, who is questionable with a knee injury.
One of the most entertaining things to watch from a Las Vegas bookmaker’s perspective is bettors ping-ponging the South Point sports book’s line on the Packers and 49ers game, from San Francisco -2.5 to -3. As soon as it goes to 3-flat, Packers money comes in. And just as quickly as the -2.5 is posted, 49ers money comes in