Green Bay Packers Host Broncos At Lambeau
Lambeau Field is the site for the battle on the Week 4 NFL odds slate between the Green Bay Packers and the Denver Broncos. These two teams that are heading in opposite directions are set to square off in Cheesehead Country on Sunday at 4:15 p.m. (ET), and there will be regional television coverage on CBS.
The Packers (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) are one of the three teams that enter this week undefeated, and if things don't go so well for the Buffalo Bills and Detroit Lions in the 1:00 p.m. (ET) games, they will be the last perfect team standing.
There are definitely some concerns in Green Bay right now in spite of the fact that the defending Super Bowl champions are 3-0.
Defensively, Dom Capers' unit has to be raising eyebrows. Over the past several seasons, he has had a Top 10 defense in this league, and this was the unit that truly excelled when times were tough with offensive injuries last year. This season though, the Packers rank No. 29 overall at an alarming 414.3 YPG, and the end result has been 24.7 PPG allowed.
All three foes have scored at least 17 points on Green Bay, a number which it only allowed 10 times in 20 games, including the postseason last year.
The pass defense is the real problem. A once solid looking secondary has been torched all year by opposing passing games, allowing 359.3 YPG, second to last in the league.
On the other side the ball, we probably expected better out of the Packers with Ryan Grant and Jermichael Finley healthy after missing the majority of the 2010 season. There's no shame in 403.3 YPG and 33.0 PPG, but we probably expected some more against a schedule full of teams that do not have much in the way of defense.
Help is on the way this week for the Broncos (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS). No, contrary to what the fans in the Rockies are asking for, Tim Tebow is not the man that is going to be helping this squad out, barring an injury to Kyle Orton.
The offense has been awful this year, but Knowshon Moreno is going to be back in the fold on Sunday. Willis McGahee only had 52 yards on 22 carries in last week's loss against the Tennessee Titans in Moreno's place, and you can bet that head coach John Fox is glad to have his starting running back in the lineup.
Defensively, there might be even better news. Both Champ Bailey and Elvis Dumervil have sat out back-to-back games with nagging injuries, but both are listed as probable on this week's injury report. That's fantastic news for a team that has allowed at least 17 points in all three of its games and ranks a mediocre No. 15 in the league in total defense at 334.7 YPG.
The NFL trends suggest that the Packers are the right side in this one. They are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a losing record, while the Broncos are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall.
These two teams have only met twice since 1999. Green Bay took a 19-13 decision in 2007 in Denver, and stomped the Broncos 31-3 in 2003 here at Lambeau Field.
After opening up the week as a two touchdown favorite, the Packers have dipped to minus 12 1/2 but Green Bay is still the biggest favorite on the Week 4 odds. The 'total' chimes in at 46.
After some torrential rains in the Midwest over the course of the week, Mother Nature should provide Green Bay with some nice weather on Sunday. Temperatures are starting to cool down, as the possibility there that it could get down into the high-40s after the sun sets in this late afternoon game.