cnotes Posts:28491 Followers:36
10/01/2011 11:46 AM

Play Under - Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game against opponent after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.1 units )

Play Against - A road team vs. the money line (WAKE FOREST) off 1 or more consecutive unders, an excellent offensive team (>=34 PPG) against an average defensive team (21-28 PPG)
78-77 since 1997. ( 50.3% | 0.0 units )
3-5 this year. ( 37.5% | 0.0 units )

Play On - Favorites of 12 to 17.5 vs. the first half line (BOISE ST) a top caliber team (>=+14 PPG differential) against a terrible team (<=-10 PPG differential), after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:28491 Followers:36
10/01/2011 04:40 PM

Evening Best Bets :

Texas - 7:00 PM ET Iowa State +8.5 500
Iowa State - Over 48.5 500

Ball State - 7:00 PM ET Oklahoma -39.5 500
Oklahoma - Over 61.5 500

North Texas - 7:00 PM ET Tulsa -23 500
Tulsa - Over 59.5 500

Washington - 7:00 PM ET Washington +10 500
Utah - Under 55.5 500

Florida Atlantic - 7:00 PM ET UL Lafayette -7.5 500
UL Lafayette - Under 46.5 500

Duke - 7:00 PM ET Duke +3.5 500
Florida International - Under 57 500

Memphis - 7:00 PM ET Middle Tennessee State -23.5 500
Middle Tennessee State - Under 57.5 500

Alabama-Birmingham - 7:00 PM ET Troy -16 500
Troy - Over 60.5 500

Hawaii - 7:00 PM ET Louisiana Tech -4.5 500
Louisiana Tech - Over 58 500

Rice - 7:30 PM ET Rice +14 500
Southern Mississippi - Over 60.5 500

Alabama - 8:00 PM ET Alabama -4 500
Florida - Over 44 500

North Carolina - 8:00 PM ET East Carolina +6.5 500
East Carolina - Over 60.5 500

New Mexico State - 8:00 PM ET New Mexico State +1 500
New Mexico - Over 53 500

Nebraska - 8:00 PM ET Nebraska +9.5 500 ( DOG OF THE DAY)
Wisconsin - Over 55 500

Notre Dame - 8:00 PM ET Notre Dame -11.5 500 [/B
]Purdue - Under 48 500

Mississippi - 9:15 PM ET Mississippi +3.5 500
Fresno State - [B]Over 54.5 500

Oregon State - 10:30 PM ET Oregon State +17 500
Arizona State - Over 54 500

UCLA - 10:30 PM ET Stanford -22.5 500
Stanford - Over 55.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:28491 Followers:36
10/01/2011 05:13 PM

Saturday's betting tips: Penn State on ATS freefall

Who’s hot

MLB: The Rangers are 7-1 in Derek Holland’s last eight home starts against winning teams.

NCAAF: The Under is 11-4 in Iowa State’s last 15 home games.

NCAAF: Wake Forest is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0 points.

CFL: Calgary is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games following a SU loss.

Who’s not

MLB: The Over is 1-5 in Detroit pitcher Doug Fister’s last six starts.

NCAAF: Penn State is 0-6 ATS in its last six games.

NCAAF: Mississippi State is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games as a road underdog.

CFL: Toronto is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games following a SU win.


- The forecast for Game 1 of the NLDS between St. Louis and Philadelphia is calling for rain. There's a 55 percent chance of showers for Citizens Bank Park along with winds blowing west at speed of up to 11 mph. Temperatures will dip into the mid 50s.

- More rain is expected in the Bronx for Game 2 of the ALDS between Detroit and New York. The forecast for Yankee Stadium is calling for a 65 percent chance of showers by the first pitch, however, the rain will let up later in the evening. Temperatures are expected to be in the high 50s.

- Winds will reach speeds in the mid teens at Miller Park for Game 1 of the NLDS between Arizona and Milwaukee Saturday. Those gust will be blowing north out to right field.

Key stat

3.02 -- The yards-per-carry average of Pittsburgh RB Rashard Mendenhall. The Steelers, whose offensive line is an injury-riddled mess, are getting 3.5 points at Houston on Sunday. The Texans allow 4.8 yards per carry but it's highly questionable whether Pittsburgh can take advantage.

Injuries not to be overlooked

N.C. State, a 10-point home dog to No. 21 Georgia Tech, is decimated on the D-Line. The Wolfpack were already without DTs J.R. Sweezy and Thomas Teal when they lost to Cincinnati 44-14 last week, then they lost two more players at those positions. Brian Slay (ankle) and A.J. Ferguson (knee) went down in the first half and won’t play Saturday. But Sweezy, who’s missed the entire season with a broken bone in his foot, is listed as questionable.

Game of the day

No. 8 Nebraska Cornhuskers at No. 7 Wisconsin Badgers (-10, 56.5)

Notable quotable

"Caldwell wanted to start me but it wasn’t up to him!” – CB Justin Tryon’s tweet about head coach Jim Caldwell after the Colts released Tryon. Players admitted they were shocked Tryon was waived. It’s just another sign of turmoil for 0-3 Indy, a 10-point dog at Tampa Bay on Monday night.

Notes and tips

The MLB regular-season was the lowest-scoring since 1992. Teams averaged 4.28 runs per game, compared to the Steroids Era peak of 5.14 in 2000. Teams averaged 4.12 in 1992. Home runs per game per team dropped to 0.94, also the lowest in 19 years. In 2000, teams averaged 1.17 homers per game. On the other hand, the 3.94 ERA was the best since pitchers posted the same ERA in 1992.

Cowboys QB Tony Romo might need another pain-killing injection before Sunday’s home game against the Lions. Romo, who received two pain injections for his fractured rib before Monday’s win over Washington, said he doesn’t know how severe the crack is. But, he added, “it's a fracture. It is what it is. It either feels better or it doesn't." Playing with a protective vest, Romo hit 22 of 36 throws for 255 yards and one INT against the ‘Skins. It was the seventh time since he became a fulltime starter in 2006 that Romo didn’t throw a TD pass. Dallas is favored by 1.5 points against the undefeated Lions.

Wisconsin will have its starting right tackle back for Saturday’s showdown against Nebraska. Senior Josh Oglesby, who hurt his left knee Sept. 17, practiced all week. Replacement Rob Havenstein got his first start against South Dakota last week and is expected to get some snaps, too. LB Kevin Claxton, who broke his left wrist in the season opener, also should start Saturday after coming off the bench last week and making six tackles. The host Badgers are favored by 10.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:28491 Followers:36
10/01/2011 05:15 PM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

College football trends for Saturday’s games:

-- Alabama is 7-1-2 vs spread in its last ten games vs Florida.

-- Home team covered 10 of last 13 Rutgers-Syracuse games.

-- Northwestern covered seven of last nine tries as a road underdog.

-- Michigan covered once in its last 11 conference home games.

-- Idaho covered eight of last 11 tries as a road underdog.

-- Underdogs covered six of last seven Georgia Tech-NC State games.


Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud........

13) Today’s word of the day is scapegoat, which Webster’s defines as:
a) one that bears the blame for others
b) one that is the object of irrational hostility.

Living example of a scapegoat: Terry Francona, who the Red Sox stupidly let go Friday. Before Francona became skipper of Red Sox, they hadn’t won a title since 1918. Now they’ve won two in the last seven years, but that’s not good enough, according to the nitwit suits upstairs. We’ll see how this one works out for them.

12) Some genius in Las Vegas bet $400 on the Chiefs to win the Super Bowl at 500-1, so if they win the Lombardi Trophy for the first time in February, he’ll net $200,000. One small problem, the Chiefs are 0-3. 0-3 teams rarely wind up in the playoffs, much less winning them.

11) Oakland Raiders sold out their first two home games; over last two seasons, Silver and Black sold out only twice in 16 home dates.

10) Houston-UTEP game Thursday night had some of the worst defense I’ve ever seen; do these teams even practice tackling? Cougars had over 700 yards of total offense with more than 10:00 left to play- they wound up escaping El Paso with a 49-42 win that was more sandlot ball than anything else.

9) Before Wednesday, Bronx Bombers had won 925 (yes, 925) games in a row when they led by 7+ runs in the 8th inning. That should make the Red Sox fans feel just terrific.

8) Braves scored a total of 92 runs during their 10-20 faceplant to end the season. As usual, knee-jerk reaction was “Fire the hitting coach!!!” No one gives the hitting coach credit when teams crush the ball. We’re not a very loyal society.

7) Was surprised to read that Red Sox still have 11 guys on their team who played on the 2007 World Champs, There’s something to be said for adding key pieces who are hungry for a title (think Hunter Pence in Philly, or Earl Monroe for the Knicks in the early 70’s). A key player who is hungry for a title invigorates teammates who have already won and may be getting complacent.

6) Teams averaged 4.28 runs/game this season, lowest since 1992. Highest scoring came back in 2000, when teams averaged 5.14 runs/game.

5) Michigan Wolverines are winning under 1st-year coach Brady Hoke, but a red flag: They’ve completed less than half their passes three games in a row. When they play Wisconsin/Ohio State, they’re going to need some plays from the passing game.

4) No divisional games in the NFL this week, second time in first four weeks this season. Schedule was designed that way in case the lockout dragged on into the season and caused a late start.

3) Its not a good sign when you don't sell out your home opener. Bengals drew 43,363 to last week; now a QB they cut two years ago (Ryan Fitzpatrick) returns to town as an early MVP candidate for the Bills, who’ve beaten Cincinnati ten straight times, and are favored to make it 11 in a row.

2) There is nothing common about common sense. Padres fired their hitting coach Thursday for the fifth time in seven years, then said they’re keeping the outfield fences at the ridiculously deep distances they’ve been at all along. Of course, if they moved the fences in, no doubt they’d wind up firing the pitching coach.

1) Not to say my Oakland A's had an abysmal season, but Friday they fired both the pitching and hitting coaches. That doesn't leave much else.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
  • 10/02/2011 11:08 AM

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a college football Saturday......

    13) There have to be some unhappy people in Raleigh these days, as the NC State Wolfpack slog along at 2-3, 0-2 in the ACC, while Wisconsin is making an unlikely run at a national title. Whats the connection?

    Senior QB Russell Wilson is supposed to be a senior at NC State, but he was granted a release from his scholarship, ostensibly because he insisted on playing minor league baseball this summer (he was a 2B in the Rockies organization). Best I can remember, this is a unique situation, where such a skilled player was basically fired by the head coach (think back to 1967 Red Sox, when the A's fired Hawk Harrelson, and he helped Boston win the AL pennant, but a quarterback is more vital than Harrelson was).

    12) Wisconsin crushed Nebraska 48-17 in the Cornhuskers' debut in their new league, a game the Huskers once led 14-7. Wilson was 14-20/255 and ran the ball six times for 32 yards. He's a difference-maker and while he's really helping the Badgers, his absence is killing the Wolfpack. Go figure.

    11) Clemson has to be ranked in the top 5 after beating Auburn-Florida St and Virginia Tech in consecutive weeks. All with a first-year starting QB. Quite a coaching job by Dabo Swinney, who is the fifth Alabama graduate to be head football coach at Clemson.

    10) Syracuse is 3-2, and has already played three overtime games.

    9) Then there's poor Utah State, which is 1-3, 0-3 vs I-A teams, after yet another brutal loss Friday night, 27-24 to in-state rival BYU. Cougars got the winning TD on a tipped pass with 0:11 left. Utah State led by 10 at Auburn with 3:38 left and lost, then lost 35-34 in OT to Colorado State after going for two points and the win. They easily could be 4-0, but you are what you are, and they're winless vs I-A teams. Too bad.

    8) SMU beat TCU 40-33 in OT, just a huge win for June Jones that has to help his chances of getting the Mustangs into the Big 12, if the Big 12 ever goes back to 12 teams (they're at nine right now). Big win for recruiting in fertile Texas too, since SMU is in Dallas and TCU is in Fort Worth.

    7) Colorado led Washington State 27-17 with 3:00 left in its first home game as a Pac-12 team; visitor was supposed to get tired in altitude, but the vastly-improved Cougars scored two TDs in 1:25, the second one on a 63-yard TD pass with 1:10 left, to stun the Buffaloes 31-27 in Boulder.

    7A) This weekend is the 50th anniversary of Mr Ed, the old TV show about a talking horse, one of my favorite TV shows of all-time. This has nothing to do with football, just wanted to wish Mr Ed happy birthday. The episode where he plays with the Dodgers is a TV classic.

    7B) Brown beat Rhode Island 35-21, showing tremendous balance, with 221 rushing yards, and 203 passing. I have a buddy who's an assistant at Brown, so I'm going to bore you with their scores every week. Its not as much fun as wishing happy birthday to a fictional talking horse, though.

    6) For all the gray hairs South Carolina QB Stephen Garcia has given to Steve Spurrier and the other Gamecock coaches, you'd think at least he'd have a decent senior year, but he just isn't a good passer. Garcia completed nine of 23 passes, converted 2-10 on 3rd down, against an Auburn defense that had been allowing 59% conversions on 3rd down. Auburn ran off 92 plays, South Carolina 52. Why can't Spurrier develop a QB at Carolina?

    5) Baylor still hasn't won at Kansas State, losing 36-35 in the Little Apple after leading 35-26 going into the 4th quarter. Robert Griffin III threw five TDs, but also tossed a costly INT that handed K-State the winning FG.

    4) Stanford 45, UCLA 19. Andrew Luck tossed a 5-yard TD pass with 1:51 left. Why? What coach would risk injury to his meal ticket by having him throw the ball with 1:51 left in a game he led by 19 points? Nitwit.

    3) Arkansas 42, Texas A&M 38 was a fun game to watch, but A&M has to be rivaling Utah State for heartache. Aggies led Oklahoma State 20-3 at the half last week and lost; they led the Hogs 35-17 at the half this week and lost. Something like that becomes mental for a team.

    2) Ohio State ran ball 39 times for 35 yards in 10-7 home loss to Michigan State that has to have Urban Meyer's agent's phone ringing off the hook. Going to be some relatively-lean years ahead for the Buckeyes; wouldn't think Meyer is going to be interested in cleaning up that mess.

    Meyer is OK on TV, by the way; he has a bad voice, which isn't his fault, but once in a while he sounds like Al McGuire, as in he doesn't identify the player by name, he'll just say, "Number 22 makes a good tackle here." Thought he started to lighten up a little this week. Very serious guy.

    1) Illinois is 5-0 after beating Northwestern on a TD with 0:13 left; I'd be little more impressed if they had played a road game, although a win over Arizona State is starting to look better. Illini has four road games on its schedule, but three of them are Indiana-Purdue-Minnesota, games that a good team could show up for hung over and still win.

    Ron Zook's wife must have made this schedule. October 29 at Penn State looms as an interesting game, and Russell Wilson leads the Badgers into Champaign on Nov. 19. Everyone in Raleigh will be Illini fans that day.

    Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: