cnotes Posts:24930 Followers:33
09/27/2011 06:59 PM

NCAAF
Short Sheet


Week 5

Thursday, 9/29/2011

S FLORIDA at PITTSBURGH, 8:00 PM ET ESPN
S FLORIDA: 1-6 ATS on Thursday
PITTSBURGH: 14-32 ATS off home loss

HOUSTON at UTEP, 8:00 PM ET CBSC
HOUSTON: 0-8 ATS Away off cover as DD favorite
UTEP: 8-2 Over off 2 game road trip


Friday, 9/30/2011

UTAH ST at BYU, 8:00 PM ET ESPN
UTAH ST: 9-2 ATS as road underdog
BYU: 7-0 ATS after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24930 Followers:33
09/27/2011 07:00 PM

Saturday, 10/1/2011

AIR FORCE at NAVY, 12:00 PM ET CBS
AIR FORCE: 17-34 ATS off BB ATS losses
NAVY: 23-8 ATS after a loss by 6 or less points

NORTHWESTERN at ILLINOIS, 12:00 PM ET ESPN2
NORTHWESTERN: 36-17 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points
ILLINOIS: 9-21 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points

MINNESOTA at MICHIGAN, 12:00 PM ET Big 10
MINNESOTA: 3-0 ATS off SU loss as home favorite
MICHIGAN: 0-8 ATS vs. Big 10

WAKE FOREST at BOSTON COLLEGE, 12:30 PM ET (TC)
WAKE FOREST: 0-6 ATS Away 1st half of season
BOSTON COLLEGE: 16-6 ATS at home off win by 21+

RUTGERS at SYRACUSE, 12:00 PM ET
RUTGERS: 11-24 ATS if they forced 4+ TO's last game
SYRACUSE: 19-7 ATS at home off home win

TOLEDO at TEMPLE, 12:00 PM ET
TOLEDO: 7-1 ATS off 3+ SU losses
TEMPLE: 9-2 ATS on Saturday

BOWLING GREEN at W VIRGINIA, 3:30 PM ET (TC)
BOWLING GREEN: 16-5 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points
W VIRGINIA: 9-22 ATS at home off an Over

IDAHO at VIRGINIA, 3:30 PM ET (TC)
IDAHO: 10-2 ATS vs. non-conference
VIRGINIA: 11-3 Under off loss by 6 pts or less

BUFFALO at TENNESSEE, 12:30 PM ET (TC)
BUFFALO: 0-6 ATS after scoring 14 pts or less
TENNESSEE: 9-1 Over vs. non-conference

TULANE at ARMY, 12:00 PM ET CBSC
TULANE: 3-13 ATS off BB Overs
ARMY: 1-5 ATS as favorite

PENN ST at INDIANA, 12:00 PM ET ESPNU
PENN ST: 5-16 ATS Away after allowing 9 pts or less
INDIANA: 2-10 ATS at home off SU loss as favorite

GEORGIA TECH at NC STATE, 3:30 PM ET (TC) | ABC
GEORGIA TECH: 3-13 ATS off BB Overs
NC STATE: 16-5 Under off BB Unders

W MICHIGAN at CONNECTICUT, 3:30 PM ET (TC)
W MICHIGAN: 3-10 ATS as underdog
CONNECTICUT: 13-2 ATS if 29 pts or less scored last game

AKRON at E MICHIGAN, 1:00 PM ET
AKRON: 8-1 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points
E MICHIGAN: 0-6 ATS at home off road loss

CINCINNATI at MIAMI OHIO, 1:00 PM ET
CINCINNATI: 10-3 ATS off Thursday game
MIAMI OHIO: 6-1 Under off BB Overs

KENT ST at OHIO U, 2:00 PM ET
KENT ST: 3-11 ATS on Saturday
OHIO U: 6-0 ATS after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play last game

TEXAS TECH at KANSAS, 12:00 PM ET (TC) | FSN
TEXAS TECH: 58-34 ATS off ATS loss
KANSAS: 49-73 ATS as an underdog

NEVADA at BOISE ST, 2:30 PM ET VERSUS
NEVADA: 1-5 ATS off SU loss
BOISE ST: 5-1 ATS as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points

WASHINGTON ST at COLORADO, 3:30 PM ET FCS
WASHINGTON ST: 10-3 Under after allowing 37+ points
COLORADO: 31-53 ATS in Wks 5 through 9

N ILLINOIS at C MICHIGAN, 3:30 PM ET
N ILLINOIS: 8-1 ATS after 1st month of season
C MICHIGAN: 9-25 ATS after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games

UCLA at STANFORD, 10:30 PM ET FSN
UCLA: 0-6 ATS off road game
STANFORD: 11-3 ATS as favorite

TEXAS at IOWA ST, 7:00 PM ET FX
TEXAS: 1-5 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points
IOWA ST: 26-12 ATS at home off SU win

MICHIGAN ST at OHIO ST, 3:30 PM ET ABC
MICHIGAN ST: 28-14 Over as road underdog
OHIO ST: 10-1 ATS as home favorite

ALABAMA at FLORIDA, 8:00 PM ET (TC) | CBS
ALABAMA: 21-9 ATS off BB home wins
FLORIDA: 5-1 Under after scoring 42+ points

MARSHALL at LOUISVILLE, 3:30 PM ET
MARSHALL: 4-19 ATS off BB non-conf games
LOUISVILLE: 30-16 ATS after allowing 75 or less rushing yards

TEXAS A&M vs. ARKANSAS, 3:30 PM ET - Cowboys Stadium - Arlington, TX
TEXAS A&M: 12-2 ATS after allowing 375+ passing yards
ARKANSAS: 12-4 ATS off road loss by 21+ points

ARIZONA at USC, 3:30 PM ET FSN
ARIZONA: 0-6 ATS off an Over
USC: 2-10 ATS off road game

WASHINGTON at UTAH, 7:00 PM ET (TC) | FSN
WASHINGTON: 58-88 ATS off conference game
UTAH: 10-1 ATS at home off SU dog win

SAN JOSE ST at COLORADO ST, 4:00 PM ET MTN
SAN JOSE ST: 8-19 ATS in all games
COLORADO ST: 25-12 ATS if they forced 4+ TO's last game

OREGON ST at ARIZONA ST, 10:30 PM ET (TC) | FCS
OREGON ST: 24-11 ATS off home conf loss
ARIZONA ST: 9-1 ATS at home vs. conference

BAYLOR at KANSAS ST, 3:30 PM ET (TC) | ABC
BAYLOR: 13-4 ATS as road favorite
KANSAS ST: 33-17 Over off road game

BALL ST at OKLAHOMA, 7:00 PM ET
BALL ST: 1-5 ATS vs. Big 12
OKLAHOMA: 6-0 Under after gaining 375+ passing yards

HAWAII at LOUISIANA TECH, 7:00 PM ET
HAWAII: 2-10 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
LOUISIANA TECH: 9-0 ATS if they forced 1 or less TO's last game

MISSISSIPPI ST at GEORGIA, 12:00 PM ET (TC)
MISSISSIPPI ST: 22-8 Under off BB ATS losses
GEORGIA: 8-20 ATS at home off road win

AUBURN at S CAROLINA, 7:00 PM ET
AUBURN: 9-1 ATS vs. SEC
S CAROLINA: 6-1 Over after allowing 14 pts or less

RICE at SOUTHERN MISS, 7:30 PM ET
RICE: 25-43 ATS on grass
SOUTHERN MISS: 22-10 ATS off BB non-conf games

CLEMSON at VIRGINIA TECH, 6:00 PM ET (TC) | ESPN2
CLEMSON: 0-5 ATS vs. Virginia Tech
VIRGINIA TECH: 7-0 ATS off double digit road win

NEW MEXICO ST at NEW MEXICO, 8:00 PM ET MTN
NEW MEXICO ST: 12-28 ATS as a favorite
NEW MEXICO: 13-4 ATS at home off home loss

N CAROLINA at E CAROLINA, 8:00 PM ET CBSC
N CAROLINA: 6-0 Under off conference loss
E CAROLINA: 5-1 ATS off conf win by 7 pts or less

NEBRASKA at WISCONSIN, 8:00 PM ET ABC
NEBRASKA: 6-0 ATS Away on turf
WISCONSIN: 6-0 ATS off BB ATS wins

KENTUCKY at LSU, 12:20 PM ET (TC)
KENTUCKY: 3-12 ATS as a road underdog of 21.5 or more
LSU: 3-12 ATS off 2 game road trip

NOTRE DAME at PURDUE, 8:00 PM ET ESPN
NOTRE DAME: 4-14 ATS as favorite
PURDUE: 7-1 ATS as a home underdog of 7.5 to 14 points

OLE MISS at FRESNO ST, 9:15 PM ET ESPN2
OLE MISS: 8-1 Over off BB DD conf losses
FRESNO ST: 7-1 ATS after allowing 100 or less rushing yards


Added Games

ARKANSAS ST at W KENTUCKY, 4:00 PM ET
ARKANSAS ST: 2-11 ATS as a road favorite
W KENTUCKY: 1-5 ATS off BB Overs

DUKE at FLA INTERNATIONAL, 7:00 PM ET (TC) | ESPNU
DUKE: 6-1 ATS off October
FLA INTERNATIONAL: 1-7 ATS off home conference loss

UAB at TROY, 7:00 PM ET
UAB: 8-2 Over off an Under
TROY: 8-2 Over after scoring 37+ pts

FLA ATLANTIC at LA LAFAYETTE, 7:00 PM ET
FLA ATLANTIC: 3-11 ATS on Saturday
LA LAFAYETTE: 6-0 ATS if 60+ total pts scored last game

MEMPHIS at MIDDLE TENN ST, 7:00 PM ET
MEMPHIS: 0-6 ATS off home conference loss
MIDDLE TENN ST: 13-3 ATS playing with 6 or less days rest

NORTH TEXAS at TULSA, 7:00 PM ET
NORTH TEXAS: 2-14 ATS as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points
TULSA: 1-12 ATS off BB losses by 17+ points


Write-In Game

SMU at TCU, 3:30 PM ET CBSC
SMU: 8-19 ATS off conf win by 10+
TCU: 19-8 ATS at home off win by 17+

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24930 Followers:33
09/27/2011 07:02 PM

NCAAF


Week 5

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Trend Report
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Thursday, September 29

8:00 PM
SOUTH FLORIDA vs. PITTSBURGH
South Florida is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
South Florida is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. TEXAS EL PASO
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 10 games
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas El Paso's last 6 games at home
Texas El Paso is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston


Friday, September 30

8:00 PM
UTAH STATE vs. BYU
Utah State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against BYU
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah State's last 5 games when playing BYU
The total has gone OVER in 4 of BYU's last 6 games at home
BYU is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home


Saturday, October 1

12:00 PM
TEXAS TECH vs. KANSAS
Texas Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 6 games on the road
Kansas is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas's last 8 games at home

12:00 PM
AIR FORCE vs. NAVY
Air Force is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Air Force's last 7 games
Navy is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Navy is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

12:00 PM
TOLEDO vs. TEMPLE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toledo's last 6 games
Toledo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Temple's last 12 games at home
Temple is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toledo

12:00 PM
PENN STATE vs. INDIANA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Penn State's last 5 games on the road
Penn State is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
Indiana is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Penn State
Indiana is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

12:00 PM
NORTHWESTERN vs. ILLINOIS
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Northwestern's last 21 games on the road
Northwestern is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Illinois is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Illinois is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Northwestern

12:00 PM
TULANE vs. ARMY
Tulane is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tulane's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Army's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Army's last 6 games when playing Tulane

12:00 PM
TEXAS A&M vs. ARKANSAS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas A&M's last 6 games
Texas A&M is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Arkansas is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Arkansas's last 12 games

12:00 PM
MISSISSIPPI STATE vs. GEORGIA
Mississippi State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Georgia
Mississippi State is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia's last 5 games at home
Georgia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

12:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. MICHIGAN
Minnesota is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games when playing Michigan
Minnesota is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Michigan
Michigan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Michigan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota

12:00 PM
RUTGERS vs. SYRACUSE
Rutgers is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
Rutgers is 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Syracuse is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Rutgers
Syracuse is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

12:20 PM
KENTUCKY vs. LSU
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kentucky's last 6 games
Kentucky is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LSU is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Kentucky

12:30 PM
WAKE FOREST vs. BOSTON COLLEGE
Wake Forest is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Wake Forest is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Boston College is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Boston College is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games at home

12:30 PM
BUFFALO vs. TENNESSEE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games
Buffalo is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Tennessee's last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tennessee's last 9 games at home

1:00 PM
AKRON vs. EASTERN MICHIGAN
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Akron's last 6 games
Akron is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Eastern Michigan is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games at home

1:00 PM
CINCINNATI vs. MIAMI (OHIO)
Cincinnati is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami (Ohio)
Miami (Ohio) is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Miami (Ohio) is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati

2:00 PM
KENT STATE vs. OHIO
Kent State is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Kent State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Ohio
Ohio is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Ohio is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games

2:30 PM
NEVADA vs. BOISE STATE
Nevada is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing Boise State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nevada's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boise State's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boise State's last 5 games at home

3:30 PM
BETHUNE-COOKMAN vs. MIAMI
No trends available
Miami is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

3:30 PM
WESTERN MICHIGAN vs. CONNECTICUT
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 5 games on the road
Western Michigan is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Connecticut is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Connecticut is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games

3:30 PM
IDAHO vs. VIRGINIA
Idaho is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Idaho is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
Virginia is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games at home
Virginia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

3:30 PM
BAYLOR vs. KANSAS STATE
Baylor is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Kansas State
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Baylor's last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas State's last 8 games
Kansas State is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home

3:30 PM
AUBURN vs. SOUTH CAROLINA
Auburn is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Auburn is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
South Carolina is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Auburn
South Carolina is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home

3:30 PM
TOWSON vs. MARYLAND
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Maryland's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Maryland's last 5 games

3:30 PM
ARIZONA vs. SOUTHERN CAL
Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Southern Cal
Arizona is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Southern Cal is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Southern Cal's last 8 games

3:30 PM
MICHIGAN STATE vs. OHIO STATE
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Michigan State's last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan State's last 6 games on the road
Ohio State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Michigan State
Ohio State is 17-5-1 ATS in its last 23 games

3:30 PM
WASHINGTON STATE vs. COLORADO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington State's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington State's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games
Colorado is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games

3:30 PM
GEORGIA TECH vs. NORTH CAROLINA STATE
Georgia Tech is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing North Carolina State
Georgia Tech is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against North Carolina St
North Carolina State is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Georgia Tech
North Carolina State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

3:30 PM
MARSHALL vs. LOUISVILLE
Marshall is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Marshall is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Louisville is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisville's last 5 games at home

3:30 PM
SOUTHERN METHODIST vs. TCU
Southern Methodist is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing TCU
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Methodist's last 7 games on the road
TCU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of TCU's last 8 games

3:30 PM
BOWLING GREEN vs. WEST VIRGINIA
Bowling Green is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Bowling Green's last 9 games
West Virginia is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
West Virginia is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games

3:30 PM
NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Northern Illinois is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Central Michigan
Northern Illinois is 11-4-1 ATS in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Central Michigan's last 5 games at home
Central Michigan is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Northern Illinois

4:00 PM
SAN JOSE STATE vs. COLORADO STATE
San Jose State is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games
San Jose State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Colorado State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado State's last 6 games at home

4:00 PM
ARKANSAS STATE vs. WESTERN KENTUCKY
Arkansas State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Arkansas State is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
Western Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
Western Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

6:00 PM
CLEMSON vs. VIRGINIA TECH
Clemson is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Clemson's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Virginia Tech's last 11 games
Virginia Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
FLORIDA ATLANTIC vs. LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE
Florida Atlantic is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Louisiana-Lafayette
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida Atlantic's last 5 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Florida Atlantic
Louisiana-Lafayette is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Florida Atlantic

7:00 PM
TEXAS vs. IOWA STATE
Texas is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games
Texas is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Iowa State is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa State's last 5 games

7:00 PM
HAWAII vs. LOUISIANA TECH
Hawaii is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hawaii's last 6 games on the road
Louisiana Tech is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games at home
Louisiana Tech is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
BALL STATE vs. OKLAHOMA
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Ball State's last 11 games
Ball State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
NORTH TEXAS vs. TULSA
North Texas is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games on the road
North Texas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Tulsa is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Tulsa is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games

7:00 PM
DUKE vs. FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Duke's last 5 games on the road
Duke is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games
Florida International is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Florida International is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

7:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. UTAH
Washington is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games on the road
Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games

7:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. MIDDLE TENNESSEE
Memphis is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games
Memphis is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games
Middle Tennessee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Middle Tennessee's last 6 games

7:00 PM
UAB vs. TROY
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UAB's last 5 games
UAB is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Troy's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Troy's last 10 games at home

7:30 PM
RICE vs. SOUTHERN MISS
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Rice's last 10 games on the road
Rice is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Miss's last 5 games
Southern Miss is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
NOTRE DAME vs. PURDUE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Notre Dame's last 5 games when playing Purdue
Notre Dame is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Purdue
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Purdue's last 5 games when playing Notre Dame
Purdue is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Notre Dame

8:00 PM
NEW MEXICO STATE vs. NEW MEXICO
New Mexico State is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games on the road
New Mexico State is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing New Mexico
New Mexico is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing New Mexico State
New Mexico is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
NORTH CAROLINA vs. EAST CAROLINA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Carolina's last 6 games on the road
North Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing East Carolina
East Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
East Carolina is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home

8:00 PM
ALABAMA vs. FLORIDA
Alabama is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Alabama is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Florida
Florida is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Alabama
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
NEBRASKA vs. WISCONSIN
Nebraska is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Nebraska is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Wisconsin's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Wisconsin's last 13 games

9:15 PM
MISSISSIPPI vs. FRESNO STATE
Mississippi is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Mississippi is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Fresno State's last 6 games at home
Fresno State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home

10:30 PM
UCLA vs. STANFORD
UCLA is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Stanford
UCLA is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Stanford
Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Stanford's last 5 games

10:30 PM
OREGON STATE vs. ARIZONA STATE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon State's last 6 games when playing Arizona State
Oregon State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Arizona State
Arizona State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Arizona State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24930 Followers:33
09/27/2011 08:20 PM

TGS COLLEGE FOOTBALL UPDATE...LOOKING FOR AN ANGLE?

Houston at UTEP (Thursday) ...UH's record-setting QB Case Keenum suffered a sidelining injury in 3rd Q vs. UTEP in second game LY, but Cougar attack didn't miss a beat behind backup Cotton Turner (hit 9 of 10) in 54-24 home romp.

Utah State at BYU (Friday)...Utah State's 3rd-year HC Gary Andersen is 8-0 as a DD road dog since taking over in 2009 (1-0 TY). Aggies covered 5 of last 6 vs. rival BYU, including 31-16 upset at Logan LY, which snapped 10-game series losing streak.

Oregon State at ARIZONA STATE...ASU seeking to avoid its first (and only) 4-game series losing streak since 1971. Sun Devils' embroiled HC Dennis Erickson was Beaver head honcho from 1999-02.

Nevada at BOISE STATE...BSU out for blood after its 24-game win streak was snapped in LY's 34-31 OT series loss, which knocked Broncos out of possible national title game and a BCS bowl. BSU, which led 24-7 at H, incredibly blew game-winning 26-yd. FG attempt with :02 left, and then whiffed on 28-yd. try in extra period. Nevada HC Ault called it "the greatest victory this university has ever had." Broncos are 40-20 as chalk on "blue carpet" since 2000.

Wake Forest at BOSTON COLLEGE...WF geared-up to snap 4-game series losing streak, in particular, soph QB Tanner Price (18 of 30 for 177 yds. vs. BC), whose commendable effort was tainted by season-high 4 "picks" in 23-13 setback in Winston-Salem LY. Last 8 in series decided by total of just 45 points.

Northern Illinois at CENTRAL MICHIGAN...Scheduling dynamics favor NIU. Huskies off tuneup vs. FCS foe Cal Poly, while CMU off from 3 straight away, including battle at Michigan State last week. NIU 7-1 vs. spread in MAC reg.-season games LY.

Alabama at FLORIDA...Double-revenger UF looking for some retribution following LY's 31-6 loss in Tuscaloosa. Gators narrowly outgained Bama (289-271), but had 4 giveaways, including 35-yd. int. return for TD.

Ole Miss at FRESNO STATE...FSU hosting an SEC foe for the first time ever. Bulldog "D" out for redemption after yielding 425 YR in 47 totes in 55-38 defeat in hot & humid Oxford LY. Rebels not playing with much cause lately.

Northwestern at ILLINOIS...NU 9-3 vs. spread last 12 in the battle for the Land of Lincoln Trophy. Wildcats' star QB Dan Persa missed LY's 48-27 setback at Wrigley Field. Illinois RB Mikel Leshoure, who left later for the NFL, amassed 330 YR vs. rival. Series has gone "under" in 8 of past 10.

Georgia Tech at NORTH CAROLINA STATE...GT in serious revenge mode following disturbing 45-28 loss in Atlanta LY, which was Engineers' worst defensive effort in ACC since 1996! GT was glad to bid adieu to former NCS QB Russell Wilson (transferred to Wisconsin), who had 368 YP and 3 TDs in LY's meeting.

Smu at TCU...SMU has covered 3 of last 4 as a DD dog in the battle for the Iron Skillet. And TCU's 41-24 win LY was closer than score indicates, as Mustangs (trailed just 14-10 at H) were outgained just 385-361, but gave up 83-yd. KO return & 19-yd int. return for TDs.

Buffalo at TENNESSEE...Would expect UB QB Chazz Anderson (Cincy backup for 3 years before transferring) to acquire a detailed scouting report from some former Bearcat teammates, who played in Knoxville on Sept. 10.

Uab at TROY...Troy amped up for rematch vs. instate foe UAB. Trojans incredibly blew 23-0 lead LY, and then gave up 44-yd. "Hail Mary" TD pass as time expired to cap 99-yd. Blazer drive in nightmarish 34-33 loss in Birmingham LY.

Bowling Green at WEST VIRGINIA...BG is 18-10 as a road dog since 2005 (1-0 TY), while WV just 12-14-1 as DD chalk in Morgantown over same period (0-1 TY). WV caught in classic "sandwich spot" between payback games vs. LSU and Connecticut.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24930 Followers:33
09/28/2011 06:19 PM

Baylor Bears In Key Tilt At Kansas State Wildcats

The total has gone ’under in nine of Baylor’s last 13 road games.
Never underestimate a Bill Snyder-coached Kansas State team.

We’re relatively sure nobody has to remind Baylor coach Art Briles of as much this week.

"Back to the Future" seems to be on course in Manhattan, Kansas, where Snyder’s Wildcats host Briles’ Bears in an intriguing matchup of Big XII unbeatens on Saturday. Kickoff time in the "Little Apple" is slated for 3:30 p.m. (ET), with regional TV coverage provided by ESPN’s GamePlan.

Posted numbers in Las Vegas have Baylor a 3 ½-point betting choice at almost every sports book, with the total priced aggressively at 63½ ‘under’ at most locales.

Of course, both have appeared on the college football radar screen already this season due to exciting upset wins by each. Baylor's came in a wild, opening-week 50-48 shootout over favored TCU in Waco. Kansas State's was last week at Miami-Florida, where the Wildcats used a last-minute goal-line stand to preserve a 28-24 win as a double-digit underdog against the 'Canes.

And therein, with Snyder’s gnarly defense, lies the most fascinating matchup of this battle, as the Wildcat stop unit will now be tasked with slowing down arguably the nation’s hottest offensive force.

We’re talking about Baylor QB Robert Griffin III, whose early-season stats are eye-opening even by the standards set by potent Briles spread attacks throughout his coaching career.

Never mind the TD pass/interception ratio with RG3; how about TD pass/incompletion ratio? That seems a fairer fight when it comes to Griffin, who has tossed 13 TD passes and only 12 incompletions in his first three games. Moroever, Griffin’s 13.74 yards per completion ranks behind only Clemson’s Tajh Boyd (at 13.94 yards per completion) among the nation’s top-25 rated passers.

Thanks to Griffin, Baylor’s offense is percolating and ranked second nationally in total offense at a whopping 594 yards per game, while scoring 51.3 points per game (third nationally). That's almost as much as Scott Drew’s Bear hoopsters during the basketball season.

Slashing RB Terance Ganaway is providing nice balance on the attack end, gaining nearly six yards per carry thus far.

Solving the Snyder defense was not a problem for Griffin and the Baylor offense last season when the Bears piled up 683 yards in a 47-42 win at Waco, a score that flattered the Wildcats who scored two late TDs to narrow the final margin.

Expect K-State to offer much stiffer resistance on Saturday, reflected by its impressive standing in a variety of important defensive categories, including scoring "D" (10.33 ppg, ranking 7th) and total "D" (246 ypg, ranking 6th). Some of those numbers were helped by early-season foes Eastern Kentucky and Kent State. The stout effort at Miami, however, indicates the defense might be for real.

Whatever, Big XII sources confirm upgrades along Snyder’s stop unit, thanks mainly to a revamped linebacking crew adept at delivering the big plays when needed. Miami transfer Arthur Brown has added an element of speed to the ’backers, as has the switch of former DB Emmanuel Lamur to another LB spot. Griffin will be seeing a lot of them on Saturday.

Expect Snyder’s K-State offense to try and help the defense by playing a little ball control when on the field as a way to keep Griffin and the potent Bear offense on the sidelines. Snyder was encouraged by the progress of new, rough-hewn QB Collin Klein last week vs. the Canes, but an even-more important development has been the emergence of 5-foot-8 soph RB John Hubert, a dynamo who gained 166 yards on 18 carries last week in the upset of Miami.

Although the Griffin vs. K-State defense is the headline of this matchup, the result might well be decided by how well Klein, Hubert and the Wildcat offense deal with a Baylor defense that has sprung a few leaks thus far, ranking 71st in scoring defense (26.3 ppg).

Also note that Snyder has continued to offer good pointspread value as a 'dog in his reincarnation at KSU, covering nine of 14 as the "short" since reappearing on the sidelines in 2009.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24930 Followers:33
09/28/2011 06:21 PM

Clemson, Va Tech Face Off For ACC Supremacy

Virginia Tech has won and covered each of the last five meetings with Clemson.
Whereas much of the nation’s college football attention will be focused upon the Alabama-Florida and Nebraska-Wisconsin showdowns this weekend, there’s a pretty good battle with poll and BCS implications taking place in the ACC on Saturday, too.

A pair of 4-0 unbeatens, Clemson (No. 23 in the Don Best Linemakers Poll) and Virginia Tech (No. 13), square off at Lane Stadium in Blacksburg. Kickoff is slated for 6:00 p.m. (ET) in Appalachia, with the host Hokies listed as solid 7-point betting favorites at the majority of Las Vegas betting shops, and the total posted at 49 ‘under’ at most locations.

A month ago, few were expecting this contest to have such high-stake implications. That’s because the Tigers were mostly overlooked as serious ACC and BCS contenders, partially due to a tough early schedule that featured pesky Troy right out of the gate, to be soon followed by dates vs. well-regarded Auburn and Florida State in back-to-back weeks.

The fact that Clemson survived Troy and had lots of trouble with FCS Wofford on September 10 (a hard-fought 35-27 Tigers win) raised doubts about Dabo Swinney’s squad. Those concerns have mostly been put to rest after a pair of rousing wins at Death Valley vs. the defending national champs from Auburn, as well as the Seminoles from Tallahassee.

Virginia Tech coach Frank Beamer can probably relate to the plight of Clemson counterpart Swinney, who entered this campaign on an acknowledged hot seat. Although many present-day fans might not recall, or have a hard time believing as much, Beamer was in even more hot water at one time early in his career at Blacksburg.

Beamer was under the gun in 1993 to produce after a 2-8-1 record the previous year and no postseason visits in his first six seasons at his alma mater. It was really "bowl or bust" for Beamer, and his Hokies, behind QB Maurice DeShazo, responded heroically by going 9-3 and ranked 20th in the final polls as well as qualifying for their first bowl on Beamer’s watch.

The Hokies routed Indiana in that Independence Bowl and have been to the postseason every year since.

Swinney’s predicament looked almost as dicey entering this campaign, especially after the Tigers regressed to a 6-7 mark a year ago when losing many close games. The restless IPTAY crowd, disturbed not only by results but by a sluggish offense as well, let it be known that upgrades were needed, and fast.

Further, Swinney had to deal with the departure of 2-year starting QB Kyle Parker, who decided to concentrate on baseball instead.

But in what is appearing to be one of the genius staff moves of the offseason, Swinney enlisted offensive coordinator Chad Morris from Tulsa to help jazz up the somnambulant attack. Morris had been at the controls of an electric Golden Hurricane spread offense that set numerous school marks in 2010, and was ripe for a move after being bypassed for the head coaching job at Tulsa in favor of fellow assistant Bill Blankenship, all in the wake of Todd Graham’s departure for Pitt.

Morris has injected some real voltage into the Clemson offensive mix, and soph QB Tajh Boyd, who flashed some upside last year as a frosh, has proven a quick study in the new Tiger attack. Boyd has passed for 1255 yards, 13 TDs and only one pick in his first four outings as Clemson has posted 503 yards per game (ranking 13th nationally) and has scored at a healthy 38 ppg clip.

Effective balance is being provided by slashing RB Andre Ellington, well on his way to a 1000-yard season with 371 rush yards to date. Remember, too, that the Tiger offense became especially choppy a year ago when Ellington went down with a late-season toe injury.

But even the most diehard among the IPTAY crowd must realize that the fundamental challenge in Blacksburg will be far greater than any the Tigers have encountered yet this season. This week, the Morris offense has to deal with another of Hokie defensive coordinator Bud Foster’s voracious stop units.

ACC sources suggest this is looking to be one of the best of many top-notch VPI defenses under Foster, ranking fourth nationally in total "D" at 231 yards per game. As usual, Foster’s defense attacks and blitzes from all angles, covers sideline-to-sideline as good as anyone due to great foot speed, and is loaded with playmakers. Among those, linebacker Bruce Taylor is considered among the most-impactful at his position in the country.

Beamer’s team, however, has not managed a pointspread cover since its opener vs. Appalachian State, partly due to the learning curve of new QB Logan Thomas. Beamer believes Thomas is on course for bigger and better things, but his numbers have been modest thus far (just 57% completions, 4 TD and 4 picks to date). How effectively he and big-play wideouts Danny Coale and Marcus Davis challenge what has been a shaky Clemson pass defense will say a lot about Va Tech’s chance to perhaps extend the margin.

In the meantime, the Hokie offense pivots around slamming RB David Wilson, among the nation’s rush leaders with 486 yards to date as well as gaining a hefty 5.6 yards per carry.

The matchup we want to watch in Blacksburg, however, remains the Chad Morris Clemson offense vs. the Bud Foster VPI defense. Stay tuned.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24930 Followers:33
09/28/2011 06:24 PM

Ohio State Buckeyes Host Michigan State Spartans

The Buckeyes have covered five of the last six vs. Michigan State.
While this weekend’s main event in the Big Ten will be staged at Madison where Nebraska will invade to face Wisconsin in a showdown at Camp Randall Stadium, the undercard will focus on a battle of one-loss teams at the Big Horseshoe in Columbus, where Ohio State (3-1; No. 25 in the Don Best Linemakers Poll) plays host to Michigan State (3-1; No. 18).

Kickoff is slated for 3:30 p.m. (ET), with regional TV coverage provided by ABC. The Buckeyes are 3-point favorites in most Las Vegas shops, with the total priced at 44 ‘under’ for Saturday’s battle on the banks of the Olentangy.

Coach Mark Dantonio’s Spartans will also be looking for their first road win in this series since 1998.

Although the result of this battle could have significant consequences in the conference race, we are not sure this or any Big Ten battle this season (save perhaps Saturday night’s Nebraska-Wisconsin showdown) is terribly significant in the nationwide sense.

Certainly, the Spartans and Buckeyes have both been exposed as non-contenders on the national scene when each suffered humbling 18-point beatings in their stiffest non-conference challenges (Michigan State losing at Notre Dame, Ohio State succumbing at Miami-Florida). Neither was really viewed either as serious BCS challengers this season, especially considering the offseason upheaval in Columbus, and the unmasking of the Spartans as a legit powerhouse when napalmed by Alabama in last January’s Capital One Bowl.

The Big Ten also endured a fairly difficult September, with only a handful of significant non-conference successes – narrow wins by Michigan over Notre Dame and Illinois over Arizona State are the only one that come to mind – amidst several humbling scorelines.

Among those setbacks were losses by Minnesota to both New Mexico State and North Dakota State, losses by Indiana to Virginia and North Texas, a defeat of Purdue by Rice, Northwestern's setback at Army, and Iowa’s bitter overtime loss at Iowa State. More debits than credits on the Big Ten ledger thus far, to be sure.

While no one is figuring the Spartans and Buckeyes into the eventual BCS mix, their battle nonetheless shapes up as a competitive and perhaps compelling one this week. Indeed, there is an extra level of intrigue in each Ohio State game with the fate of interim head coach Luke Fickell growing more and more tenuous with any unimpressive Buckeye effort.

Most sources suggest Fickell is just a place-holder anyway, a stop-gap solution to Jim Tressel’s offseason dismissal. Conventional wisdom in the midwest is that Fickell might have to run the table the remainder of the season to even rate consideration for a full-time appointment, which figures to draw no shortage of high-profile candidates.

Included among them could be MSU’s Dantonio, who served as Tressel’s defensive coordinator before taking the top job at Cincinnati in 2004.

An extended Ohio State win streak, however, looks rather unlikely, especially since Fickell has already been forced into a QB switch after limited sr. Joe Bauserman’s limitations were exposed in the loss at Miami. True freshman Braxton Miller was thus elevated to the starting role last week vs. Colorado, and responded as well as could be expected in the 37-17 win over the Buffs. Although only 5 of 13 through the air,

Miller did include a pair of TD strikes to Devin Smith, while adding 83 rush yards in a much better imitation of the dismissed Terrelle Pryor than Bauserman managed in the previous three weeks.

Look for Fickell and offensive coordinator Jim Bollman to put the freshman QB in more favorable situations featuring plenty of quick dump passes, screens and fast-developing options to counter the expected pressure Pat Narduzzi’s MSU defense is likely to bring.

Establishing an infantry diversion with RB Jordan Hall, who gained 84 yards rushing last week vs. CU and also returned a kickoff 90 yards to set up a score, will be crucial to keep some of the heat off of frosh pilot Miller. Last year’s leading Buck rusher Dan Herron remains suspended for another game.

Dantonio’s Spartans actually lead the nation in total (172 ypg) and pass (101 ypg) defense, although a slate that has included the likes of Florida Atlantic, Youngstown State and Central Michigan has contributed to those impressive numbers. State’s stop unit was hardly impenetrable two weeks ago at South Bend in the 31-13 loss vs. Notre Dame.

The return of run-stuffing DT Anthony Rashad White from a thigh contusion should make the front seven even more robust and perhaps limit the damage the Buckeyes can cause on the ground. Dantonio and Narduzzi hope this is the case, forcing the young Miller to make the plays for the OSU offense against the swarming MSU secondary.

If nothing else, the Spartans rate an experience edge at QB with established senior Kirk Cousins, completing 70% of his passes this season. But MSU has not been consistently establishing the run in recent weeks, and Cousins proved he could not carry the entire offensive burden in the loss at Notre Dame.

Expect a competitive, lower-scoring game in Columbus.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24930 Followers:33
09/28/2011 06:34 PM

Tech Trends - Week 5

September 28, 2011

Thursday, Sept. 29
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
SOUTH FLORIDA at PITT...USF now 4-1 vs. line last five since late LY. Meanwhile, Todd Graham 1-3 vs. line at Pitt after his great spread success at Tulsa LY. USF, based on recent numbers.

HOUSTON at UTEP...Cougs had failed to cover three straight vs. Mike Price before LY's 54-24 rout. UH only 3-9 vs. number last 12 away from home, and just 6-13 as road chalk since '07. Price 9-4 as Sun Bowl dog since taking over Miners in 2004. UTEP, based on team trends.




Friday, Sept. 30
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
UTAH STATE at BYU...USU's 31-16 win at Logan LY was Utags' fifth cover in last six vs. Cougs but first SU win in series since 1993. USU 19-8 vs. line on road since 2007. USU, based on team trends.




Saturday, Oct. 1
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

AIR FORCE at NAVY...Force finally beat Navy LY for first time since '02, setting up Falcs for their first Commander-in-Chief run since then as well. But Mids covered LY and are 7-0-1 against line last 8 in series. Niumatalolo on 10-5 spread run last 15 on board. Navy, based on team trends.

NORTHWESTERN at ILLINOIS...Cats had covered 4 of last 5 and 8 of last 10 vs. Illini prior to getting pounded in last season's game at Wrigley Field. Fitzgerald only 5-11 vs. spread last 16 on board since 2010, Fitz also 3-4 last 7 as dog since 2010 after 14-7 mark previous three years in role. Zook 6-4 as chalk since LY after 0-5 mark in role in '09. Slight to Illinois, based on recent trends.

MINNESOTA at MICHIGAN...Little Brown Jug. Teams haven't even met since 2008. Tending to discount Mich Rich-Rod marks from past three years; nonetheless, Mich 6-16 last 22 as chalk. Note Jerry Kill road dog marks were not that great at NIU (only 9-10 the past four years). Slight to Michigan based on team trends.

WAKE FOREST at BOSTON COLLEGE...Spaziani no covers last 7 as home chalk, 1-9 vs. spread last 10 overall as host. Eagles, however, have won and covered last four vs. Deacs. Wake, based on recent Spaziani home woes.

RUTGERS at SYRACUSE...Ugh! Marrone has turned around this series for Cuse, which has won and covered last two years vs. Schiano after dropping previous four SU and vs. line against Rutgers. Schiano 14-8-1 vs. points last 23 away despite poor 1-3-1 away mark LY. Slight to Rutgers, based on extended trends.

TOLEDO at TEMPLE...Teams didn't meet LY, indeed have faced only once since '06. Owls 4-0 vs. line TY. Slight to Temple, based on recent trends.

BOWLING GREEN at WEST VIRGINIA...BGSU 6-3 as road dog since LY, 15-5 in role since 2007. Falcs 11-3 vs. spread last 14 as non-MAC reg.-season visitor. BGSU, based on team trends.

IDAHO at VIRGINIA...Akey has covered last 6 vs. non-conf. foes away from Moscow. Vandals 10-5 vs. points last 15 away. Mike London 4-2 as chalk with Cavs and 5-2 as host. Slight to Idaho, based on extended road marks.

BUFFALO at TENNESSEE...Bulls 3-1 vs. line TY although they dropped 10 of last 11 vs. spread in 2010. Vols have covered 6 of last 7 reg.-season games vs. FBS foes since mid 2010, including last 3 as home chalk. Slight to Tennessee, based on team trends.

TULANE at ARMY...The road dog has won outright the past three years in this series, and visitor has covered last four meetings. Tulane, based on series trends.

PENN STATE at INDIANA...Shades no covers last 5 since late LY, now 5-13 against number since 2010. Shades only 1-4 vs. points last 5 as visitor (LY Indiana game neutral). IU 6-2 vs. line at Bloomington since LY (4-0 last 4). Slight to Indiana, based on team trends.

GEORGIA TECH at NC STATE...GT flying from the gate with 4 wins and covers in 2011, while NCS has dropped four straight vs. spread to open campaign. Paul Johnson now 25-15 vs. spread with Jackets since arriving in 2008. GT, based on recent trends.

WESTERN MICHIGAN at UCONN...Cubit has covered last 5 spread results since late LY and is 8-2-1 vs. line last 11 on board since mid 2010. WMU, based on recent trends.

AKRON at EASTERN MICHIGAN...EMU should be rare chalk here, 0-2 vs. line in role for Ron English since 2009. Zips a bloody 0-3 vs. line in 2011, and 1-14 SU for Rob Ianello. Slight to EMU, based on Akron woes.

CINCINNATI at MIAMI-OHIO...Local battle, and Bearcats turning into a wrecking crew with easy wins and covers in first three as chalk TY. Bearcats haven't lost SU to RedHawks since 2005 and have covered 4 of last 5 in series, with last 5 wins since 2006 by 14 or more. Cincy, based on series trends.

KENT STATE at OHIO...Hazell 0-4 vs. line out of blocks with Kent State although Flashes have been in fairly tough (at Bama and Bill Snyder). On other hand, Solich a punishing 16-7 vs. spread in reg. season vs. FBS foes since early 2009. Solich, based on recent trends.

TEXAS TECH at KANSAS...Turner Gill 4-5 vs. line at Lawrence since arriving at KU LY and not overly impressive. Teams last met in '09 when Leach beat Mangino 42-21. TT, based on recent trends.

NEVADA at BOISE STATE...Revenge for Boise after wild 34-31 loss LY at Reno. Note that this series has become more competitive past four years, with Wolf Pack covering 3 of 4 and both games on blue carpet. Pack only 11-19 vs. line last 30 on road. Slight to Boise, based on Wolf Pack road woes.

Buffs have covered 6 of their last 8 at Boulder but just 1-3 last 4 as chalk against teams not named CSU. Cougs on 9-3 spread run since early 2010 for Paul Wulff. WSU, based on recent trends.

NORTHERN ILLINOIS at CENTRAL MICHIGAN...Chips skidding for Dan Enos, 0-4 vs. line early TY and 2-10 last 12 on board. Huskies are 7-2 vs. the spread their last nine on board vs. MAC foes. NIU, based on team trends.

UCLA at STANFORD...Programs headed in opposite directions, Slick Rick 1-6 vs. line last 7 since late LY and 2-7 vs. spread last 9 as visitor. Meanwhile, Tree on 6-game over streak and has covered 8 of last 9 since mid 2010. Stanford, based on team trends.

TEXAS at IOWA STATE...Horns looking for revenge again and Mack will have several chances to do so this season. Mack still just 5-13 last 18 vs. line since late 2009. Slight to ISU, based on extended Texas negatives.

MICHIGAN STATE at OHIO STATE...Spartans only 2-7 last 9 as dog away from East Lansing. Slight to OSU, based on team trends.

ALABAMA at FLORIDA...Tide has dominated last two meetings that includes '09 SEC title game. Nick 14-6 vs. line last 20 away from Tuscaloosa and 28-14 last 42 on board. Gators off 4-0 SU and vs. spread for Will Muschamp. Slight to Bama, based on recent Saban trends.

MARSHALL at LOUISVILLE...Cards 8-18 vs. spread at Papa John's post-Bobby Petrino (since 2007). Herd, however, just 1-6 vs. line away for Doc Holliday, and 1-7 last 8 vs. spread as visitor since late '09. Slight to UL, based on Herd road woes.

TEXAS A&M vs. ARKANSAS (Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, TX)... Hogs have won and covered last two years in these games at Jerry Stadium and Petrino 11-3 vs. number last 14 reg.-season games. If Ags a dog note 5-13 mark in role away from Kyle Field since '07. Arkansas, based on team and series trends.

ARIZONA at SOUTHERN CAL...Mike Stoops had covered five straight vs. Trojans prior to last season and has covered last three at Coliseum. Lane Kiffin 2-6 against line at Coliseum and SC 3-10 against number last 13 as host. Arizona, based on extended trends.

WASHINGTON at UTAH...Sarkisian has covered his last seven games vs. FBS foes as well as last three as dog. Utes no covers last three at Salt Lake City. UW, based on recent trends.

SAN JOSE STATE at COLORADO STATE...CSU no bargain with 5-17 spread mark last 21 on board and 2-6 last 8 as chalk. SJSU has covered last 3 in 2011. SJSU, based on extended CSU spread woes.

OREGON STATE at ARIZONA STATE...OSU no covers last five on board and 1-7 spread mark last eight since late LY. Mike Riley also no covers last 3 away after 18-7 spread mark on road prior. ASU 5-2 vs. line last 7 in series. Erickson 11-4 vs. line last 15 on board. ASU, based on recent OSU woes.

BAYLOR at KANSAS STATE...Baylor 5-0 in rare road chalk role since 2005. Bill Snyder 9-5 as dog since returning to K-State in 2009. Slight to KSU, based on Snyder dog mark.

BALL STATE at OKLAHOMA...Ball State on road where it has had more success vs. line that at home lately, now 15-5 vs. spread last 20 as reg.-season visitor. Cards 8-4 last 12 as DD road dog. Stoops 21-12 laying DDs since 2007, 8-3 last 11 laying 20 or more. OU, based on team trends.

HAWAII at LA TECH...La Tech has covered last three at home vs. UH in the most far-flung WAC rivalry. Home team 6-0-1 vs. line last 7 in series. LT 14-6 against line as host since '07. La Tech, based on series and team trends.

MISSISSIPPI STATE at GEORGIA...Dan Mullen only 8-9 against number since LY. If MSU an underdog note 1-5 spread mark in role since LY. But Georgia just 3-10 against spread last 13 between the hedges against FBS foes. Slight to Georgia, based on team trends.

AUBURN at SOUTH CAROLINA...Auburn won and covered both meetings LY so revenge for Spurrier, who is 6-2 vs. line last 8 in revenge. SC, based on Spurrier revenge trends.

RICE at SOUTHERN MISS...Owls just 1-7 last 8 as visitor vs. spread. Slight to USM, based on recent Rice road woes.

CLEMSON at VIRGINIA TECH...Teams have only met twice since VT entered ACC, with Hokies getting wins and covers in 2006-07. Dabo 4-1 last five as road dog. Beamer 11-5 last 16 on board. Slight to Beamer, based on extended trends.

NEW MEXICO STATE at NEW MEXICO...DeWayne Walker 2-0 SU and 1-1 vs. line against Lobos last two years. Walker 10-5 vs. line on road since arriving at NSU in 2009. NMSU, based on team trends.

NORTH CAROLINA at EAST CAROLINA...Ruffin McNeil 6-5 as dog since LY and ECU 29-14 in role since 2005 (23-9 of that mark credited to Skip Holtz between 2005-09). Road chalk not a great role lately for Heels, just 2-6 since '05. Slight to ECU, based on team trends.

NEBRASKA at WISCONSIN...Bo Pelini has covered his last five as a dog, but Huskers just 3-6-1 vs. spread last ten on board since mid 2010. Bielema on 9-2 spread run since mid 2010. Wisconsin, based on recent trends.

KENTUCKY at LSU...Joker on 2-8 spread run since mid 2010 and has dropped six straight vs. number away from Commonwealth Stadium. Les just 2-5 vs. line last 7 as Baton Rouge chalk, 9-18 last 27 in role. Slight to LSU, based on UK negatives.

NOTRE DAME at PURDUE...Irish have won and covered 3 of last four. Danny Hope 3-7-1 vs. line last 11 at Ross-Ade, but 3-1 as home dog. Brian Kelly 5-3 vs. spread away from South Bend since LY and his teams are 16-9-1 vs. line as visitor (Cincy & ND) since '07. ND, based on Brian Kelly road trends.

OLE MISS at FRESNO STATE...Houston Nutt 6-13 vs. line last 19 on board, although Pat Hill only 5-15-1 against points last 21 at Dog House. Slight to Fresno, based on recent Ole Miss woes.

SMU at TCU (Write-In Game)...Metroplex war which SMU has not won since 2005, but has seen Mustangs cover 4 of last 5. June Jones 9-4 last 13 as dog, and Ponies have covered 3 of last 4 trips to Fort Worth. Slight to SMU, based on series trends.




Added Games
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

ARKANSAS STATE at WESTERN KENTUCKY...Red Wolves have failed to cover last two vs. WKU and lost outright LY, although they are 3-0 vs. spread out of gate for Deep Freeze in 2011 and 10-5 on line since LY. ASU, based on recent trends.

DUKE at FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL...Golden Panthers 7-2 against spread last 9 since late LY. Cutcliffe 10-4 last 14 as road dog, however. Duke, based on extended road dog mark.

UAB at TROY...Troy only 1-5 vs. line at home since LY but 12-7 against spread at Movie Gallery Stadium since 2007. Troy, based on team trends.

FLORIDA ATLANTIC at UL-LAFAYETTE...Ragin' Cajuns 7-1 against line last 8 vs. FBS foes ULL, based on recent trends.

MEMPHIS at MIDDLE TENNESSEE...Tigers 4-10 vs. spread last 14 on road. MTSU 9-4 last 13 vs. line at Jonny Floyd Stadium. MTSU, based on team trends.

NORTH TEXAS at TULSA...Tulsa 4-1 last five as home chalk. UNT 9-21-1 vs. spread last 30 in reg. season vs. non-Belt foes. Tulsa, based on team trends.






Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24930 Followers:33
09/28/2011 06:37 PM

Trending: College Football ATS win streaks

As we enter the fifth week of the college football season, just eight teams are undefeated ATS in all of the FBS. There are four at 4-0 and four at 3-0. Based on data from the last three seasons, there are a number of strong angles working against those that are 3-0, while there are both positive and negative trends for those at 4-0.

3-0 ATS TEAMS
From 2008-2010, 45 teams opened the season 3-0 ATS. Overall, these teams are just 17-28 ATS (37.8%) in their next game. Breaking these teams down by Home-Away/Neutral and Favorite-Underdog shows some even stronger forces working against home teams and underdogs that begin the year 3-0 ATS:
Team ATS Pct.
Home 8-15 34.8%
Away/Neutral 9-13 40.9%
Favorite 13-19 40.6%
Underdog 4-9 30.8%


The four teams that have opened the season 3-0 ATS are:
Team ATS This Week
Baylor 3-0 Road favorite (-3 at Kansas St.)
Navy 3-0 Home favorite (-2.5 vs. Air Force)
Rutgers 3-0 Road underdog (+2.5 at Syracuse)
Stanford 3-0 Home favorite (-20.5 vs. UCLA)



4-0 ATS TEAMS
For the 17 teams that made it to 4-0 ATS, the numbers for their next game are mixed. Overall, they have gone 9-8 (52.9%) ATS in game five. Those who have had to go on the road have fared better, as have those who have been underdogs:
Team ATS Pct.
Home 3-5 37.5%
Away/Neutral 6-3 66.7%
Favorite 4-6 40.0%
Underdog 5-2 71.4%


The four teams that have opened the season 4-0 ATS are:
Team ATS This Week
Arkansas State 4-0 Road favorite (-13.5 at W.Kentucky)
Florida 4-0 Home underdog (+3.5 vs. Alabama)
Georgia Tech 4-0 Road favorite (-9.5 at NC State)
Temple 4-0 Home favorite (-7.5 vs. Toledo)


Of the nine teams that made it to 5-0 ATS, five of them made it to 6-0. Here are the five longest season-opening ATS streaks from 2008-2010:
8 - Oklahoma State ’08
7 - Connecticut ’09
7 - Idaho ’09
7 - Texas ’08
6 - Utah ’10


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24930 Followers:33
09/28/2011 06:39 PM

OSU hosts Michigan State on Saturday

MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS (3-1)
at OHIO STATE BUCKEYES (3-1)

Kickoff: Saturday, 8:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Ohio State -3, Total: 44

Michigan State tries to beat Ohio State for the first time this century when the Big Ten rivals clash in Columbus.

The Buckeyes have dominated this series recently, winning the past seven meetings by a combined score of 234 to 110 (17.7 PPG). Although OSU will likely start freshman quarterback Braxton Miller, the key to this game is rushing the football and the Buckeyes have a much superior ground game. OSU has gained 184 YPG on 4.4 YPC, while MSU (which has played a far weaker schedule), has 143 YPG on 3.7 YPC. Since 2009, OSU is 15-3 ATS (17-1 SU) at The Horseshoe. The pick here is OHIO STATE.

This four-star FoxSheets trend also supports picking the Buckeyes:

Play Against - Any team (MICHIGAN ST) - with an incredible defense - allowing 4.2 or less yards/play, after allowing 150 or less total yards in their previous game. (29-5 over last 10 seasons.) (85.3%, +23.5 units).

In addition to Notre Dame, Michigan State has played Youngstown State, Florida Atlantic and Central Michigan this year. These three cupcakes are a big reason the Spartans lead the nation in total defense (172 YPG). QB Kirk Cousins hasn’t had to do too much throwing with all the big leads, but he has been solid. Cousins has completed 69% of his passes for 947 yards (8.1 YPA), 5 TD and 2 INT. The senior actually faced Ohio State when the teams last met in 2008. He replaced an ineffective Brian Hoyer and managed to complete 18-of-25 passes for 161 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT in a 45-7 blowout loss. Le’Veon Bell scored three rushing TD in last week’s 45-7 pounding of CMU, giving him six scores this year. The Spartans also lead the nation in pass defense (101 YPG) and are 12th in turnover margin (+1.25 per game).

Ohio State freshman QB Braxton Miller expects to start again after rushing for 83 yards on 17 carries, and going 5-of-13 for 83 yards and 2 TD in a 37-17 win over Colorado last week. The Buckeyes will still be without suspended stars RB Dan Herron and WR DeVier Posey for one more game, but RB Carlos Hyde (263 rushing yards, 3 TD), WR Devin Smith (183 receiving yards, 3 TD) and TE Jake Stoneburner (93 receiving yards, 4 TD) have all stepped up their games to compensate. The Buckeyes defense has been solid in all facets. They rank 16th in total defense (276 YPG), 18th in scoring defense (15.8 PPG) and are averaging 2.5 sacks per game.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: