01/03/2013 10:27 AM
OK so who do we like as a dark horse? First off no team with a rookie QB has ever won a Superbowl (I've seen some arguments that Kurt Warner was a rookie the year he won with the Rams but he was on a roster all of the year before and even got into a couple of games)...so throw out Seattle, Washington (one of them is gone this weekend anyway) and Indy...say what you want about their chances, but I'm throwing them out....Denver and New England's odds are too low, since to me if they make the Championship game it is about a pick-em anyway....no way do I take Atlanta the way they closed out the season at only +330...so where might any value be? I sure would love to take a flyer on Minnesota at +2800 with the solid running game and good defense but I think they get hosed getting the Packers the week after they beat them to get there...
The only place to me where there might be value is Houston at +1100 and/or SF at +460...SF because it looks to me that they have a much better than average shot of getting to the game where anything can happen, and Houston who looked like the best team in football until the last couple of weeks....if they can get the mojo back can they make a run all the way? I'm not too sure that they can but it looks hard to find value in this group to me....
What does everyone else think?
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