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junkmansports
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CFB NEWS AND NOTES WEEK 5

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On 09/26/2011 10:54 AM in NCAA Football
Wisconsin coach Bret Bielema didn’t beat around the bush in his postgame press conference Saturday. He was quick to let everyone know that he and his well-balanced bunch of Badgers have been waiting for Nebraska since the season started.

With no disrespect to UNLV, Oregon State, Northern Illinois and South Dakota, which all ended up in Badgers’ victories, Wisconsin has had Week 5 highlighted for a good long while.

For on Saturday night, the Badgers and Cornhuskers, two Top 10 programs, will collide in Madison, Wis., in Nebraska’s first game as a member of the Big Ten.

So, you can understand that this is a big deal to Bielema. And he’s not afraid to admit it.

“I’m very excited for this week to finally get here. You guys might’ve heard, but we’re playing Nebraska, so there are some fun things to prepare this week,” he said. “It’s a really exciting time for us because you put in all this hard work and effort into getting through the nonconference schedule, playing as clean as you can and get into a Big Ten race. There’s also the opportunity to play at home and at night. It’ll be a great scene, a great environment for college football.”

And it’s a game that will be heavily bet, for sure.

“Nebraska will always be well respected by the books,” Pete Korner, of Esportclub, LLC, in Las Vegas told Covers.com. “Even when they’re not that good of a team, they draw big money every week. And with this Nebraska team being pretty good, that only adds to it.”

But Korner also realizes the power and precision with which Wisconsin runs things, especially at home. As such, he made the Badgers 7-point favorites.

“It’ll be interesting and entertaining, and it should be high scoring,” Korner said. “Wisconsin is a favorite, but not an overwhelming one. We’ll see how much Nebraska money we get with this line.”

And with that, let’s take a look at some of next week’s other marquee games:

South Florida (+1.5) at Pittsburgh

“South Florida is a good team, very athletic and has a chance to show something to the nation here,” Korner said. “We have respect for Pittsburgh, but the reason they’re the favorites is because of the home field. That’s it. South Florida can definitely win this one.”

Alabama (-3.5) at Florida

“We wanted to make sure we got it over the key number 3, so that’s why we have the half there,” Korner said. “Alabama is just so good right now, we could have gone higher. We were all on Alabama when we first looked at this one. But we’ll see where the line goes.”

Auburn (+10.5) at South Carolina

“Not expecting a close game. We could have gone all the way up to 14.5 on this one for South Carolina,” Korner said. “But that was a little too high for a tough SEC game. Still, South Carolina is better all around.”

Kentucky (+27) at LSU

“We don’t like Kentucky at all,” Korner said. “But we’re hoping they can slow the game down a little. LSU looks very good these days.”

Arkansas (+3) vs. Texas A&M (Arlington, Texas)

“We didn’t have much of an opinion here. These are not great teams, and there’s not a lot there,” Korner said. “No home field, but it is in Texas, so we gave a slight edge to A&M, but not much.”

Michigan State (+3) at Ohio State

“In Big Ten play now, and we expect a really close one here. Both teams are very even,” Korner said. “Purely a home field line here. Ohio State has done nothing for us, and they are just not the kind of team we’re used to seeing there. So, they’ll have to prove something to us.”

Clemson (+7) at Virginia Tech

“Should be a really good, entertaining ACC game with a total in the 50s,” Korner said. “Virginia Tech is tough at home, but Clemson can definitely win here. They’re showing some great signs and may have what it takes.”

Notre Dame (-17) at Purdue

“Not a close one here. The Notre Dame offense should be able dominate, start to finish,” Korner said. “We are expecting an absolute blowout. Notre Dame is at a point in the year where they need to pile up wins, and this is a good place and time to get another one.”

UCLA (+22) at Stanford

“Good chance for Stanford to have a blowout,” Korner said. “We could have easily put this up to 24, as we really expect Stanford to have no mercy here against a team they really don’t like much.
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Pfile Nickname junkmansports
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09/26/2011 10:54 AM
Another poor start to the season has cost University of Mexico coach Mike Locksey his job.

The school will announce Locksey's dismissal at a news conference Monday. Defensive coordinator George Barlow will be named interim coach for the remainder of the season.

New Mexico dropped to 0-4 following a 48-45 overtime loss Saturday to visiting Sam Houston State.

Locksey, who was in his third season with the team, has won only two of 28 games. New Mexico went 1-11 in each of his first two seasons.

New Mexico opened as a 1.5-point home underdog to New Mexico State.
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09/26/2011 12:35 PM
S FLORIDA (4 - 0) at PITTSBURGH (2 - 2) - 9/29/2011, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON (4 - 0) at UTEP (2 - 2) - 9/29/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
UTEP is 1-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
UTEP is 1-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
UTAH ST (1 - 2) at BYU (2 - 2) - 9/30/2011, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH ST is 2-0 against the spread versus BYU over the last 3 seasons
BYU is 1-1 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
AIR FORCE (2 - 1) at NAVY (2 - 1) - 10/1/2011, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 120-85 ATS (+26.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 120-85 ATS (+26.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) against Mountain West conference opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 112-77 ATS (+27.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NAVY is 1-0 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
NAVY is 1-1 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN (2 - 1) at ILLINOIS (4 - 0) - 10/1/2011, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHWESTERN is 36-17 ATS (+17.3 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 44-66 ATS (-28.6 Units) in home games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 44-66 ATS (-28.6 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 59-89 ATS (-38.9 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
ILLINOIS is 1-1 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS is 1-1 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA (1 - 3) at MICHIGAN (4 - 0) - 10/1/2011, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 75-104 ATS (-39.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
MICHIGAN is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
WAKE FOREST (2 - 1) at BOSTON COLLEGE (1 - 3) - 10/1/2011, 12:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-0 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-0 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
RUTGERS (2 - 1) at SYRACUSE (3 - 1) - 10/1/2011, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 2-0 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 2-0 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO (1 - 3) at TEMPLE (3 - 1) - 10/1/2011, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TEMPLE is 1-0 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
TEMPLE is 1-0 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BOWLING GREEN (3 - 1) at W VIRGINIA (3 - 1) - 10/1/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
IDAHO (1 - 3) at VIRGINIA (2 - 2) - 10/1/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO is 30-52 ATS (-27.2 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
IDAHO is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
IDAHO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
BUFFALO (1 - 3) at TENNESSEE (2 - 1) - 10/1/2011, 12:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
TULANE (2 - 2) at ARMY (1 - 3) - 10/1/2011, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 61-94 ATS (-42.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
TULANE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARMY is 1-1 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
ARMY is 1-1 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST (3 - 1) at INDIANA (1 - 3) - 10/1/2011, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PENN ST is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 1-1 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 2-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA TECH (4 - 0) at NC STATE (2 - 2) - 10/1/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA TECH is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NC STATE is 1-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 1-0 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN (2 - 2) at CONNECTICUT (2 - 2) - 10/1/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 74-49 ATS (+20.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 74-49 ATS (+20.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 64-41 ATS (+18.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 59-38 ATS (+17.2 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
AKRON (1 - 3) at E MICHIGAN (2 - 2) - 10/1/2011, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
E MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
AKRON is 1-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI (3 - 1) at MIAMI OHIO (0 - 3) - 10/1/2011, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI OHIO is 1-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
KENT ST (1 - 3) at OHIO U (3 - 1) - 10/1/2011, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENT ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO U is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
KENT ST is 2-0 against the spread versus OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
KENT ST is 2-0 straight up against OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS TECH (3 - 0) at KANSAS (2 - 1) - 10/1/2011, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 84-60 ATS (+18.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 112-83 ATS (+20.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 86-56 ATS (+24.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) in October games since 1992.
KANSAS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS is 49-73 ATS (-31.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS TECH is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NEVADA (1 - 2) at BOISE ST (3 - 0) - 10/1/2011, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 68-35 ATS (+29.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
BOISE ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
BOISE ST is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 79-44 ATS (+30.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 49-24 ATS (+22.6 Units) in home games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 49-24 ATS (+22.6 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 69-40 ATS (+25.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
BOISE ST is 61-31 ATS (+26.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
BOISE ST is 62-37 ATS (+21.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEVADA is 2-0 against the spread versus BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 1-1 straight up against NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON ST (2 - 1) at COLORADO (1 - 3) - 10/1/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 31-53 ATS (-27.3 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
COLORADO is 28-49 ATS (-25.9 Units) in October games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
N ILLINOIS (2 - 2) at C MICHIGAN (1 - 3) - 10/1/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
C MICHIGAN is 1-1 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
UCLA (2 - 2) at STANFORD (3 - 0) - 10/1/2011, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
STANFORD is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
STANFORD is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 2-0 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 2-0 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS (3 - 0) at IOWA ST (3 - 0) - 10/1/2011, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
IOWA ST is 1-0 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST (3 - 1) at OHIO ST (3 - 1) - 10/1/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
OHIO ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 89-61 ATS (+21.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OHIO ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
ALABAMA (4 - 0) at FLORIDA (4 - 0) - 10/1/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
ALABAMA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MARSHALL (1 - 3) at LOUISVILLE (2 - 1) - 10/1/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 26-49 ATS (-27.9 Units) in road games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 26-49 ATS (-27.9 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
TEXAS A&M (2 - 1) vs. ARKANSAS (3 - 1) - 10/1/2011, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS is 2-0 against the spread versus TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA (1 - 3) at USC (3 - 1) - 10/1/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 61-89 ATS (-36.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
USC is 1-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
USC is 1-1 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON (3 - 1) at UTAH (2 - 1) - 10/1/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 58-88 ATS (-38.8 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
UTAH is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
UTAH is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
UTAH is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
SAN JOSE ST (1 - 3) at COLORADO ST (3 - 1) - 10/1/2011, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
SAN JOSE ST is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
OREGON ST (0 - 3) at ARIZONA ST (3 - 1) - 10/1/2011, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
ARIZONA ST is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
ARIZONA ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA ST is 59-38 ATS (+17.2 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ARIZONA ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
OREGON ST is 89-63 ATS (+19.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OREGON ST is 86-54 ATS (+26.6 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
OREGON ST is 45-26 ATS (+16.4 Units) in October games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON ST is 2-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
OREGON ST is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR (3 - 0) at KANSAS ST (3 - 0) - 10/1/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 36-58 ATS (-27.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
BAYLOR is 61-86 ATS (-33.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BAYLOR is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BALL ST (3 - 1) at OKLAHOMA (3 - 0) - 10/1/2011, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
HAWAII (2 - 2) at LOUISIANA TECH (1 - 3) - 10/1/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAWAII is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
LOUISIANA TECH is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
HAWAII is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HAWAII is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HAWAII is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISIANA TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
LOUISIANA TECH is 1-1 straight up against HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST (2 - 2) at GEORGIA (2 - 2) - 10/1/2011, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
GEORGIA is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-0 straight up against GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
AUBURN (3 - 1) at S CAROLINA (4 - 0) - 10/1/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AUBURN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
AUBURN is 2-0 against the spread versus S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
AUBURN is 2-0 straight up against S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
RICE (1 - 2) at SOUTHERN MISS (3 - 1) - 10/1/2011, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICE is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
CLEMSON (4 - 0) at VIRGINIA TECH (4 - 0) - 10/1/2011, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 36-14 ATS (+20.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 127-97 ATS (+20.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 73-49 ATS (+19.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 127-97 ATS (+20.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 86-55 ATS (+25.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 107-75 ATS (+24.5 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
CLEMSON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NEW MEXICO ST (1 - 3) at NEW MEXICO (0 - 4) - 10/1/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO ST is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 27-51 ATS (-29.1 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO is 1-1 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA (3 - 1) at E CAROLINA (1 - 2) - 10/1/2011, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NEBRASKA (4 - 0) at WISCONSIN (4 - 0) - 10/1/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
KENTUCKY (2 - 2) at LSU (4 - 0) - 10/1/2011, 12:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points since 1992.
LSU is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
LSU is 48-72 ATS (-31.2 Units) in home games since 1992.
LSU is 48-72 ATS (-31.2 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
LSU is 25-49 ATS (-28.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
LSU is 35-56 ATS (-26.6 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LSU is 48-72 ATS (-31.2 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NOTRE DAME (2 - 2) at PURDUE (2 - 1) - 10/1/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
NOTRE DAME is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 1-0 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 2-0 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OLE MISS (1 - 3) at FRESNO ST (2 - 2) - 10/1/2011, 9:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLE MISS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 28-49 ATS (-25.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
FRESNO ST is 26-43 ATS (-21.3 Units) in October games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
OLE MISS is 1-0 against the spread versus FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
OLE MISS is 1-0 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST (2 - 2) at W KENTUCKY (0 - 3) - 10/1/2011, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
ARKANSAS ST is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
W KENTUCKY is 2-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
W KENTUCKY is 1-1 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
DUKE (2 - 2) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (3 - 1) - 10/1/2011, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
UAB (0 - 3) at TROY (1 - 2) - 10/1/2011, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
TROY is 1-1 against the spread versus UAB over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 1-1 straight up against UAB over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
FLA ATLANTIC (0 - 3) at LA LAFAYETTE (3 - 1) - 10/1/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA ATLANTIC is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAFAYETTE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
LA LAFAYETTE is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
LA LAFAYETTE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAFAYETTE is 1-1 against the spread versus FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-0 straight up against LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS (1 - 3) at MIDDLE TENN ST (0 - 3) - 10/1/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NORTH TEXAS (1 - 3) at TULSA (1 - 3) - 10/1/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTH TEXAS is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.
TULSA is 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
SMU (3 - 1) at TCU (3 - 1) - 10/1/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
TCU is 88-63 ATS (+18.7 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 2-0 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 2-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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09/27/2011 08:44 AM
Week 4 rewind

The Pac-12 was filled with a mix of blowouts and exciting games this past weekend.

Oregon took care of Arizona by 25 points but give the Wildcats credit for not giving up. Trailing 35-3, Arizona cut the deficit to 11 points the third quarter before the Ducks pulled away. Anyone that watched the game saw a very undisciplined Wildcats team with tackling issues as they allowed 415 yards rushing on 47 carries (8.8 ypc).

USC outgained Arizona St. 402-392 but a -4 margin in turnovers did the Trojans in. They trailed 21-9 at halftime and took the lead in the third quarter by a point before the Sun Devils scored the final 22 points to run away with it. USC didn't help itself by committing 10 penalties while going a paltry 1-9 on third down.

Washington and UCLA won their respective games by eight points.

UCLA nearly blew a 21-3 lead against Oregon St. but it was able to hold on and save head coach Rick Neuheisel's job for at least one more week. Had the Bruins lost, he may have lost his job that night. The Beavers won the yardage battle 375-357 but they failed on two fourth down conversions in the fourth quarter at the UCLA 34 and 22 yard line.

The Huskies jumped ahead 21-10 but they could not hold their lead either as California stormed back to take the lead. Washington scored the game's final 10 points including a 70-yard touchdown pass with 12:13 left. The Golden Bears had a chance to send the game into overtime but were stopped at the 2-yard line with 21 seconds remaining.

In the only non-conference game, Colorado was no match for Ohio St., losing 37-17. The Buffaloes were outgained by only 22 total yards but 125 of their yards came in garbage time. Eight of Colorado's 12 drives consisted of three plays or fewer while the defense allowed just one three and out, the Buckeyes first possession of the game.

Heisman hopeful again?

No we are not talking about Stanford quarterback Andrew Luck, who was off this past weekend. We are referring to Oregon running back LaMichael James, who pretty much dropped out of the Heisman race after two games, but has since reinserted himself into the discussion.

After totaling 121 yards rushing against LSU and Nevada, James broke out with 204 yards on 12 carries against Missouri St. While that may not seem overly impressive since it was against a FCS school, he followed that up 288 yards on 23 carries against Arizona.

That impressive total was a school record and on the season, James is rushing for 9.4 yards per carry.

"Defensively, we’re just not playing anywhere close to good enough to win against a good football team," Arizona head coach Mike Stoops said. "We can’t commit any more guys to the line of scrimmage and stop the run. I don’t know what else to say." That is not exactly confidence building coach speak.

Oregon is off this week.

Quarterback conference

While the Pac-12 has the fifth fewest ranked teams of the six BCS conferences, one thing it does possess is a slew of solid quarterbacks.

Eight conference quarterbacks are ranked among the top 40 in the nation in passing efficiency. You would think Andrew Luck is leading the way but it is two quarterbacks from the Evergreen State.

Washington St.'s Marshall Lobbestael, who took over as the starter after Jeff Tuel was hurt, is sixth in the country as he has thrown for 959 yards with 10 touchdowns and two interceptions while completing 62.4 percent of his passes.

Meanwhile, Washington's Keith Price is not far behind at ninth as he has thrown for 983 yards on 67 percent completions to go along with 14 touchdowns and three picks. He is tied with Matt Schilz of Bowling Green for best in the nation with those 14 scoring strikes.

Good quarterbacking usually leads to a lot of offense and as a conference, the over is now 17-12 on the season.

Game of the week

Washington at Utah.

It may not seem like game of the week material and quite frankly, it really isn't. However it is the only game in the Pac-12 this week that features two teams above .500. It is safe to say that ESPN's College Gameday will not be making the trip to Rice-Eccles Stadium.

This is Utah's first ever Pac-12 home game and a win here will setup a showdown with Arizona St. next week. The winner of that game will have the upper hand in the Pac-12 South.
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09/28/2011 07:10 AM
Nebraska vs. Wisconsin showdown

When was the last time that a mega-battle with serious national implications was played in the Big Ten and didn’t feature Michigan or Ohio State? It happens occasionally, but almost never with stakes this high.

This is No. 7 hosting No. 8 in the Big Ten debut of the Huskers, and the winner will be very well positioned early in conference play.

What makes this one so compelling is that both teams are obviously very good, but both have serious concerns as well. Wisconsin has looked great, but it have played an impossibly soft schedule, so bettors really have no idea of how good the Badgers - or their new QB Russell Wilson - really are.

Nebraska has played a slightly more respectable schedule (left home at least) but has an always-volatile QB scenario and a defensive front seven that is far from confidence-inspiring.

Wisconsin is favored by 10 points in early betting action.

Jerry Kill a concern. Again

For the second straight week Minnesota’s coach is in the hospital after issues with seizures. He suffered this one at home on Sunday and checked into the Mayo Clinic to deal with it. It appears quite unlikely that he will be on the sidelines when his squad opens Big Ten play at Michigan Saturday.

Unfortunately, that’s far from the biggest concern the Gophers have right now. They somehow managed to not just lose but get beaten up by North Dakota State at home last week. They are just not a good team right now, despite almost upsetting USC in the opening week, and they have real issues at quarterback.

If the Kill issues linger then they are going to have trouble recruiting to fill the many holes they have. It’s not a good time to be a Gopher fan. Michigan is favored by 19.5 Saturday.

Indiana’s ugly loss

The Gophers can rest easy on one count: They weren’t the only team to suffer a horrific loss that humiliated their team and their conference Saturday. Indiana lost at North Texas - the same team that had lost their first three games by a combined 130-39.

Kevin Wilson was a good and potentially great hire for Indiana, but this loss shows just how much work he has ahead of him. Penn State is favored by 16.5 points at Indiana Saturday.

Ohio State passing

It might be time to panic in Columbus. Sure, Braxton Miller is a freshman who has a run-first mentality, but it’s still horrifying how bad this team is at passing.

In Miami, Miller and Bauserman combined to go 4 of 18 for 35 yards. Against a really terrible Colorado team, Miller was 5 of 13 for 83 yards. It’s not just bad luck, it’s a lack of execution across the board.

This has to be the least intimidating that the Buckeyes have been entering conference play. They are favored by a field goal at home against Michigan State.

Penn State suddenly injury ravaged

The good news for the Nittany Lions is that their QB issues are no longer their biggest concern. It’s not because they are resolved, though, Matt McGloin looked more than competent last week. It’s because the defense was crushed by injuries in a meaningless game, and suddenly PSU’s strength is now a weakness.

Linebacker Michael Mauti tore his ACL and is out for the year. Corner D’Anton Lynn suffered neck and spinal injuries and is out indefinitely. They are arguably the two best defensive players on the team and it could be a big blow to the confidence of this squad.
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09/29/2011 09:04 AM
South Florida Bulls at Pittsburgh Panthers (+2.5, 52)

THE STORY: Pittsburgh will try to knock off the final undefeated team in the Big East as it hosts No. 16 South Florida on Thursday night. Led by quarterback B.J. Daniels, the Bulls currently boast one of the most prolific offenses in the country. The Panthers, meanwhile, are mired in a two-game losing streak and haven’t won since the university announced its pending departure to the ACC.

TV: ESPN

LINE MOVES: USF opened as a 2-point road favorite and has been bet up as high as -3 at some books. The total opened at 51.5 and has jumped to 52.

ABOUT USF (4-0, 0-0 Big East, 3-1 ATS): Daniels already has topped 300 yards passing twice this season and has 1,071 yards through the air—16th in the Football Bowl Subdivision. USF entered the week ranked 10th in the FBS in total yardage (523.25 ypg) and scoring (43.5 ppg), totals bolstered greatly by defeating Florida A&M and UTEP by a combined margin of 122-41. USF leads the Big East in total offense and ranks second in the league in every other major statistical offensive category.

ABOUT PITT (2-2, 0-0 Big East, 1-3 ATS): Defeats to Iowa and Notre Dame have Pitt saddled with its first two-game losing streak since the end of the 2009 season. The Panthers accounted for a season-low 268 yards of total offense in last week’s 15-12 loss to Notre Dame. The Panthers averaged less than 3 yards per carry and yielded six sacks against the Irish in the first game since senior offensive guard Chris Jacobson went on the shelf with a season-ending knee injury.

TRENDS:

- Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.
- Bulls are 2-5 ATS in their last seven meetings.
- Panthers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 conference games.
- Bulls are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a road favorite.

WEATHER: The forecast for Heinz Field is calling for a 57 percent chance of showers and game-time temperatures in the mid 50s.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. USF planned ahead for the short week leading into the Pitt game. Last week, Skip Holtz and his staff spent an hour every night after completing game-week preparations for UTEP, and Holtz kept his staff home last Friday to work on the gameplan for the Panthers. USF also had to practice at 9:30 p.m. Monday, its typical off day, due to the loaded class schedule of its players and inclement weather that cancelled Sunday’s practice.

2. Pitt is seeking its fourth consecutive victory over USF.

3. Ray Graham is off to the best start for a Pitt rusher in nearly a quarter century. Graham currently has 508 yards rushing—the highest total for any Pitt player since Craig "Ironhead" Heyward had 537 yards through four games in 1983.
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09/29/2011 09:04 AM
NCAAF Live Odds

Wake Forest at Boston College (Pick ‘em to +3)

Last season, Wake Forest went into its third game of the season with 2-1 straight up record but everything fell apart from that point on. The Demon Deacons lost nine straight games to close out a miserable season.

“Boston College has been a mess offensively this year and the line move indicates people still aren't ready to back this pop-gun offense,” Fuhrman says. “Wake Forest isn't exactly setting the world on fire right now though so the market's willingness to bet them on the road is a bit enigmatic.”

Kent State at Ohio (-14 to -17)

Kent State is coming off its first win of the season and is tied for third in the country with 12 takeways already this season, but none of that seems to matter to bettors. About 66 percent of Covers.com Consensus bettors are currently backing Ohio.

Rutgers at Syracuse (-3 to -1)

Syracuse has won and covered each of its last two meetings with Rutgers, piling up 13 quarterback sacks in those two games. This time around the Scarlet Knights expect to protect quarterback Chas Dodd much better after making some changes to the offensive line.

Auburn at South Carolina (-11.5 to -9)

Both the Gamecocks and Tigers have a lot to prove this weekend. South Carolina has struggled to get much going on offense while Auburn’s defense has been a disaster (110th nationally allowing an average of 477.5 yards of total offense).

“This was a game sharps bet down early in the week and it appears to be the public side as well,” Fuhrman says. “I'm not sure how people want to bet on this Auburn defense against a South Carolina team entering the game with double revenge from last season. I expect if this price drops any further there will be a large appetite on the undervalued favorite.”

NFL Live Odds

Miami Dolphins at San Diego Chargers (-9 to -7)

As bad as the Dolphins have looked so far, bettors just can’t get behind the San Diego Chargers, who head into this week 0-3 against the spread.

“There is a major lack of bettor confidence in the Chargers right now,” Fuhrman says. “They continue to put up gaudy stats each week but little mistakes in specials teams or red zone miscues consistently cost them covers. Until they get bettors to the window, there will be money in the market betting against them.”

New Orleans Saints at Jacksonville Jaguars (total from 47 to 45)

This drop in the posted over/under is all about bettors’ lack of confidence in the Jacksonville’s offense with rookie Blaine Gabbert at the helm.

“How will Jacksonville move the ball? Sure the Saints may get their points, however with a total this high you need two teams to score,” Fuhrman says. “The Jags only chance to keep this game competitive will be keeping Brees and the high-powered Saints offense on the sidelines.”

Pittsburgh Steelers at Houston Texans (-3 to -4)

It’s been a while since we have seen a line move against the Steelers, but maybe last week’s squeaker of a win at Indianapolis has something to do with it.

“It's always curious to get steam against the Steelers so early in the week,” Fuhrman says. “Arian Foster's status pushed this number up from the open and appears to have it settled on 4. I expect this to be one of the better two way action games of the weekend.”

Denver Broncos at Green Bay Packers (total from 48 to 46)

This seems like a bit of a strange move. The Broncos have played over the total in 18 of their last 24 games and Green Bay's usually dominant stop unit currently ranks 29th in total defense.
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09/29/2011 09:06 AM
South Florida Bulls at Pittsburgh Panthers (2.5, 52.5)

Why South Florida will cover: The Bulls won at Notre Dame and have dominated the rest of their competition, going 3-1 ATSwith the lone miss being a 28-point win versus a 30-point spread. USF is one the nation’s top passing teams (294 ypg, 23rd) while Pitt is 115th against the pass.

Why Pittsburgh will cover: Pitt has struggled late in games. If it can straighten out that trend, a win is very attainable, especially at home. The Panthers come to play against top competition; they’re 5-1 ATS in their last six against teams with a winning record.

Points: Both teams are 2-2 on the over and the total is about where it should be.

Texas A&M Aggies at Arkansas Razorbacks (3, 62.5)

Why Texas A&M will cover: The Aggies want to bounce back from the heartbreaking home loss to Oklahoma State, and no better way than to show up a future SEC rival. Arkansas has faced one tough team this year and got blown out, although it was at Alabama.

Why Arkansas will cover: The Razorbacks also have something to prove to themselves, especially on offense. When clicking, it can overwhelm opponents.

Points: Both offense are top 20 in passing and both defenses have struggled against it, especially Texas A&M. Points will be easy to come by, though the under has hit more often when Texas A&M faces the SEC and when Arkansas takes on the Big 12.

Minnesota Golden Gophers at Michigan Wolverines (-20.5, 54)

Why Minnesota will cover: The Gophers are 0-2 ATS in games they were the favorite, but 2-0 ATS in the underdog role. They’ve been strong against the run, which may help against electric Michigan QB Denard Robinson. Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last seven road games.

Why Michigan will cover: Nobody’s truly stopped Robinson yet. Eventually, he’ll break lose. The Wolverines are simply a much better team. Minnesota head coach Jerry Kill is questionable after suffering another seizure last weekend.

Points: Neither team lights up the scoreboard, but the Wolverines have the potential to do so on this day.

Northwestern Wildcats at Illinois Fighting Illini (-8, 50)

Why Northwestern will cover: Illinois had to rally in the fourth quarter for home wins over Arizona State and Eastern Michigan. Northwestern’s run game can grind out wins, and it is 11-2 in its last 13 as road dogs.

Why Illinois will cover: Illinois runs the ball and stops the run for success. Northwestern can run the ball, but has not stopped the run yet.

Points: Both teams’ defenses have slowed the competition, helped by dominant run attacks on offense. Points may be at a premium.

Kentucky Wildcats at LSU Tigers (-29.5, 45.5)

Why Kentucky will cover: LSU is ranked just 80th in pass defense. One missed tackle, and a UK receiver could be gone. That’s a big spread, despite UK’s miserable effort vs. Florida last week (L, 48-10).

Why LSU will cover: UK’s offense has scored over 20 points just once in four games. How is it going to do anything against this defense? While overshadowed by the awesome defense, LSU does average 38.8 ppg - 18th best in the nation.

Points: UK is going to struggle to put points on the board. LSU’s defense may have to help to hit the over.

Nevada Wolf Pack at Boise State Broncos (-27.5, 62.5)

Why Nevada will cover: If Nevada’s defense can keep it close in the first half, the offense can grind out and avoid a blowout. The team is 5-1 ATS in its last six as an underdog.

Why Boise State will cover: Nevada’s defense struggled against Oregon’s similar high-octane offense (69 pts), and its run-first offense isn’t geared toward a comeback. Once the Broncos get ahead, they’ll pour it on.

Points: Both defenses have struggled, which suggests a shootout. Boise State will certainly do its part.

Michigan State Spartans at Ohio State Buckeyes (-3, 44)

Why Michigan State will cover: The Spartans have the nation’s top-ranked defense, allowing just 172 yards, 101 pass yards and 11 points per game. The door could be open for an upset at the end of a low-scoring game.

Why Ohio State will cover: The Buckeyes seemingly got back on track by throttling Colorado last week. MSU has played one decent opponent this year, Notre Dame, and got trounced 31-13. The Buckeyes are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 home games.

Points: The under is 3-1 for both teams this season and points could be very tough to come by once again.

Bowling Green Falcons at West Virginia Mountaineers (-20.5, 60.5)

Why Bowling Green will cover: The Falcons haven’t faced such stiff competition, but they’ve been impressive so far. BGU is 3-1 ATS, while WVU is just 1-3. An improved offense can keep them in the game.

Why West Virginia will cover: The Mountaineers hung with LSU before faltering late thanks in part to self-inflicted wounds. BGU is less likely to take advantage of those mistakes than LSU.

Points: The over is 3-1 in both teams’ games.

Baylor Bears at Kansas State Wildcats (3.5, 63.5)

Why Baylor will cover: BU’s offense has been unstoppable, averaging 51.3 ppg (third) and 594 ypg (second). K-State may not know what hit it by halftime.

Why Kansas State will cover: Confidence must be sky-high after leaving Miami with a 28-24 win. KSU’s defense has been tough to break through, ranking in the top 25 in every major category. The Wildcats have won two close games and want to prove last week wasn’t a fluke.

Points: These two teams combined for 89 points in last season’s meeting, and both teams have been hitting the over this season. Fireworks are expected.

Auburn Tigers at South Carolina Gamecocks (-10.5, 59.5)

Why Auburn will cover: South Carolina is 4-0, but has been on the brink several times. Auburn can grind it out and, at the least, keep it close until the finish.

Why South Carolina will cover: The Gamecocks, at home, won’t give the Tigers a break. The Gamecocks’ pass defense (13th) keeps teams down, while USC’s offense could impose its will on Auburn’s shaky defense.

Points: Both teams have shown the ability to score points. The over has been consistent for the Gamecocks.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at North Carolina State Wolfpack (9.5, 65)

Why Georgia Tech will cover: Georgia Tech’s offense ranks tops in the nation in points (53.2 ppg), tops in yards (630.5) and is No. 2 in rushing (398.8), and N.C. State’s defense ranks in the bottom half nationally in all those categories. GT is 4-0 ATS, N.C. State is 0-4 ATS.

Why North Carolina State will cover: The Wolfpack average 279 pass ypg and are at home. Cut down on the turnovers that have sabotaged the team, and a close game is very possible.

Points: The over is 4-0 for Tech. N.C. State must find a way to keep up.

SMU Mustangs at TCU Horned Frogs (-11.5, 56.5)

Why SMU will cover: SMU throws for 321 ypg - 18th in the nation. TCU is ranked 87th in pass defense, keeping open the chance for a close game. The Mustangs’ defense has actually been its strength, especially against the run (ninth).

Why TCU will cover: The Horned Frogs average 219 yards passing and 219 yards rushing. Try and stop that. Nobody has yet.

Points: The over is 4-0 in TCU’s games, but the under is 3-1 in SMU games.

Clemson Tigers at Virginia Tech Hokies (-7, 49)

Why Clemson will cover: The Tigers are 3-1 ATS, and that includes wins over Auburn and Florida State. Virginia Tech is 1-3 ATS, and that includes no wins of note. Clemson’s offense has lit teams up, especially the pass game (318 ypg).

Why Virginia Tech will cover: Nobody’s done much of anything against the Hokies’ defense, which ranks No. 2 against the rush, No. 4 in yards allowed and No. 6 in points allowed. VT is great at running the ball, which is Clemson’s chief area of concern.

Points: The under is 7-1 in Clemson’s last eight ACC games, and 9-2 in Tech’s last 11 overall. VT’s defense is going to put up a tough fight for Clemson’s offense.

Ball State Cardinals at Oklahoma Sooners (-37.5, 60)

Why Ball State will cover: The Cardinals have beaten Indiana, Army and Buffalo. They have confidence and that’s a big spread. OU’s been susceptible against the pass.

Why Oklahoma will cover: OU is not Indiana, Army or Buffalo. Ball State’s defense is shoddy against the run, so once the Sooners get up big, it’s only going to get worse. The Sooners are 6-2 ATS in its last eight overall and eight at home.

Points: The over has hit in OU’s last game and BSU’s last two.

Texas Longhorns at Iowa State Cyclones (9.5, 48)

Why Texas will cover: The Longhorns changed QBs and became an offensive juggernaut, rushing for 280 and throwing for 200-plus in a 49-20 win at UCLA. Texas is eager to show it’s still a Big 12 bully and get some revenge for a shocking loss to the Cyclones last year.

Why Iowa State will cover: ISU is 2-1 ATS, including SU wins as an underdog over Iowa and UConn. The Cyclones aren’t great in any statistical category, but aren’t terrible, either.

Points: The under is 1-2 for both teams so far, part of a larger under trend for both teams.

Alabama Crimson Tide at Florida Gators (3.5, 44.5)

Why Alabama will cover: The Tide has run roughshod over everyone, and that includes an Arkansas squad similar to Florida. While Alabama was expected to be this good, Florida has seemingly overachieved. UF is 2-5-1 in its last eight vs. teams with a winning record. Bama is 7-1-1 ATS in the last nine meetings.

Why Florida will cover: The offense ranks 15th in scoring, and the defense is second in points allowed. The Gators don’t lose primetime games in The Swamp. They have something to prove.

Points: Both defenses have been stellar and both teams have trended toward the under.

Nebraska Cornhuskers at Wisconsin Badgers (-9, 56.5)

Why Nebraska will cover: The Huskers have had this game circled on their calendars since February. While they’ve been largely unimpressive in a 4-0 start, that’s a big spread for the nation’s eighth-ranked team, especially one with an offense that could break out at any moment. NU is 6-2 in its last eight road games and 5-0 ATS in its last five as an underdog.

Why Wisconsin will cover: Nobody has figured out a way to stop an offense that averages 286 yds passing and 246 yds rushing per game, and Nebraska’s defense has been shaky against far worse competition. NU is 1-3 ATS, UW is 3-0-1. The Badgers remain the best bet in the game, 10-0-1 ATS in its last 11.

Points: Both teams can score 40-plus in a hurry.

UCLA Bruins at Stanford Cardinal (-20.5, 54)

Why UCLA will cover: Stanford has given up passing yards, which bodes well for a Bruins team that will likely be throwing more than usual.

Why Stanford will cover: UCLA likes to run the ball and Stanford’s defense is the best in the nation at stopping it. Stanford is 3-0 ATS so far, while UCLA is 1-3 and 2-9 in its last 11 conference games.

Points: Stanford can score with the best of them, and UCLA will spend much of the night trying to catch up, which could make for a high-scoring contest.
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Pfile Nickname junkmansports
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09/30/2011 08:39 AM
The Heisman campaign for Landry Jones and Brandon Weedon got a big push with their wins last weekend. The next few games will prove whether not Robert Griffin III, who is at +1800 to win the Trophy, should be placed into the same category.

Griffin has helped the Bears average 51.3 points per game, with 962 yards passing and 13 touchdowns - all without a single interception. At 70 for 82 in completions, he has thrown for more touchdowns than incomplete passes.

The next month will be a true test with three of Baylor’s four games on the road. This Saturday they head to the Little Apple to take on Kansas State as -3.5 favorites. The Wildcats have the No. 6 defense in the nation allowing just 246.3 yards per game and are 3-0 lifetime against Baylor at home.

But KSU head coach Bill Snyder is well aware of threat from Griffin stating, “He’s Jim Thorpe all over again but with a heck of a lot more speed.”

Rock Chalk Air Raid

Texas Tech travels to Kansas this week in what many predict will be an offensive showdown. Texas Tech is known for its Air Raid offense, which Tommy Tuberville has continued under his tenure, while all three Kansas games have gone over the total. Both teams are tied for fifth in plays per game at 81.5, which justifies the opening total of 68 points.

The fact that Kansas gave up 66 points against Georgia Tech, also has bettors thinking that this could be a breakout game for Texas Tech. However, look for KU to slow down the pace of the game. In that 66-24 loss to Georgia Tech, the game was actually competitive in the first half.

Unfortunately it was a 28-point third quarter that took Kansas out of its rhythm. Jayhawks head coach Turner Gill understands the limitations of his defense and knows that the key to victory here may be in lowering that plays per game rate to prevent an Air Raid outburst

Test of strength

Iowa State’s QB Steel Jantz has led the team to a 3-0 record, all in dramatic fashion. However, with the Longhorns visiting, Ames’s new superhero faces his toughest test. After squeaking out a win over BYU, the Longhorns look like the program of old, earning a 49-20 win at UCLA.

This game is a proving ground not only for Jantz, but for Texas sophomore QB Case McCoy as well. Colt’s little brother seems to have turned around Texas’s fortunes going 12 for 15 for 168 yards and throwing two touchdowns last week.

"He has obviously got the intangibles, just like his brother," Longhorns head coach Mack Brown stated earlier this week. The comparisons to Colt will be inevitable and will only magnify if the Longhorns win and head into the Red River Shootout undefeated. Texas favored by 9.5 points
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