junkmansports Posts:1135 Followers:26
On 09/26/2011 05:55 AM in NFL

MNF

Washington Redskins vs. Dallas Cowboys

- The division rival Washington Redskins and Dallas Cowboys are set to renew hostilities on Monday when they meet at Cowboys Stadium.

Oddsmakers currently have the Cowboys listed as 4-point favorites versus the Redskins, while the game's total is sitting at 45.

Last time out for Washington, they were a 22-21 winner as they battled the Cardinals at home. The Redskins failed to cover in the match as a 4.5-point favorite, while 43 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

Dallas was a 27-24 winner in its last match on the road against the 49ers. They earned a push of the 3–point spread as favorites, while the total score of 51 sent OVER bettors to the payout window.

Current streak:
Washington has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Washington: 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS
Dallas: 1-1 SU, 1-0-1 ATS

Washington most recently:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on turf are 0-10
After outgaining opponent are 3-7
When playing within the division are 3-7

Dallas most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on turf are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the division are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games on the road
Washington is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Dallas's last 15 games
Dallas is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Washington
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington

Next up:
Washington at St. Louis, Sunday, October 2
Dallas home to Detroit, Sunday, October 2

junkmansports Posts:1135 Followers:26
09/26/2011 05:56 AM

Dallas Cowboys quarterback Tony Romo plans to be in the huddle during Monday's game against the NFC East rival Washington Redskins.

Romo suffered a fractured rib and punctured lung in last week's game against the San Francisco 49ers. He returned to the contest and rallied Dallas to victory.

Despite being limited in practice, Romo feels he's ready to go against the undefeated Redskins (2-0).

"I'm getting better as the week goes on," Romo told ESPN's Sunday NFL Countdown. "I'll deal with it over the course of the next month, but I'll be good to go this week."

Oddsmakers currently have the Cowboys set as around 3 or 3.5-point favorites with a 45-point total after sitting as high as -5.5 Sunday. These odds are a little shorter than LVSC's Andrew Patterson anticipated earlier this week.

"I was thinking around 6 to 6.5 with Romo in; I don't think you can make it 7," Patterson told Covers.com. "With Romo out, I was thinking around 1.5 to 2. Again, I don't think they are a 3-point favorite, even though it is their home opener on Monday night."

A CT scan revealed that Romo's punctured lung has healed, although he still is a target of the Redskins, namely cornerback DeAngelo Hall.

"I want to get a chance to put my helmet on whatever's hurt," Hall said earlier this week.

Romo shot back on Sunday, saying, "If he's blitzing, that means he's not covering. So we'll attack his guy he's covering."

Romo has thrown for 687 yards, four TDs and one interception this season for the Cowboys (1-1).

junkmansports Posts:1135 Followers:26
09/26/2011 06:00 AM

ATS Trends
Washington

Redskins are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Redskins are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Redskins are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog.
Redskins are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
Redskins are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 road games.
Redskins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC East.
Redskins are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
Redskins are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 3.
Redskins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
Redskins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Monday games.

Dallas

Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 3.
Cowboys are 5-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
Cowboys are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cowboys are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Cowboys are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Cowboys are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games in September.
Cowboys are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Cowboys are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Monday games.
Cowboys are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Cowboys are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
Cowboys are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Cowboys are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite.

OU Trends
Washington

Under is 5-0 in Redskins last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 6-1-1 in Redskins last 8 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Redskins last 5 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Under is 4-1 in Redskins last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Under is 7-2 in Redskins last 9 games overall.
Under is 16-5 in Redskins last 21 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Redskins last 8 games as an underdog.
Under is 5-2 in Redskins last 7 road games.
Under is 5-2 in Redskins last 7 vs. NFC.
Under is 5-2 in Redskins last 7 games as a road underdog.
Over is 7-3 in Redskins last 10 games on fieldturf.

Dallas

Over is 7-0 in Cowboys last 7 games as a home favorite.
Over is 5-0 in Cowboys last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 5-0 in Cowboys last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Over is 5-0 in Cowboys last 5 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 6-0 in Cowboys last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 9-0 in Cowboys last 9 home games.
Over is 8-0 in Cowboys last 8 games as a favorite.
Over is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 7-0 in Cowboys last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 11-1 in Cowboys last 12 vs. NFC.
Over is 7-1 in Cowboys last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 7-1 in Cowboys last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 12-2 in Cowboys last 14 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Over is 13-3 in Cowboys last 16 games on fieldturf.
Over is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 vs. NFC East.
Over is 16-5 in Cowboys last 21 games overall.
Over is 18-6-3 in Cowboys last 27 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 8-3-1 in Cowboys last 12 Monday games.
Over is 20-8 in Cowboys last 28 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Over is 7-3 in Cowboys last 10 games in Week 3.

Head to Head

Redskins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Dallas.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Redskins are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Dallas.
Underdog is 21-6 ATS in their last 27 meetings.
Road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.


I will pass this game one good shot to Romo's ribs and the whole game can change. Dallas D is awful and Skins are in there best ATS roll as a dog.

This is a good one to watch IMHO

Who you guys like?

junkmansports Posts:1135 Followers:26
09/26/2011 10:52 AM

Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys (-3.5, 45.5)

For every big matchup, Covers.com digs a little deeper to show you which side has the edge in each aspect of the game. We uncovered some interesting statistics about Monday night’s game between the Washington Redskins and Dallas Cowboys.

OFFENSE

Most would agree that on paper the Cowboys boast the more talented offense. But a rash of injuries has Dallas turning to some untested players. Regular starters Tony Romo (QB), Dez Bryant (WR) and Felix Jones (RB) are all questionable due injuries. And starting wideout Miles Austin is out for sure because of a hamstring problem.

It doesn’t matter who’s under center, the Cowboys are going to sling the ball and that’s because their ground game is non-existent right now. Dallas is dead-last in yards per rushing attempt (2.3) and it won’t help the situation if Jones’ banged up shoulder keeps him out against Washington.

The Redskins are operating a more balanced attack. They’re averaging 24.5 first downs per game (good for sixth best in the league) and are gaining a respectable 4.0 yards per rushing carry.

Dallas averages more yards per play (6.5 to 5.5) but that makes sense considering the club’s reliance on the aerial strike. Still, we’ll give the checkmark to Jerry Jones’ squad because of competition played. Dallas notched over 20 points against two very good defenses (49ers and Jets).

Edge: Cowboys

DEFENSE

You know it’s either a whacky year or we don’t have enough data when the Houston Texans are leading the league in total defense. The increased scoring rate has taken a toll on the Redskins and Cowboys but both defenses rank well against the league.

Dallas is fourth in opponent yards per game (283) while Washington sits just outside the top 10 allowing 319.5 yards per game. The difference between the two clubs is clear on 3rd down. Washington allows the fewest conversions on the key down with just four in two games. Dallas, meanwhile, is next to last in the league at 7.0 conversions per game.

The Cowboys are better at slowing down the run (3.0 yards per carry) whereas the Skins are giving up almost five yards per carry. Both sides can get to the quarterback but Dallas’ shaky secondary can cause the club some big problems.

Veteran Terrence Newman is expected to return as a starting cornerback but is that a good thing for Cowboy backers? Newman was one of the worst starting CBs in football a year ago, according to ProFootballFocus.com.

Edge: Washington

SPECIAL TEAMS

Dallas would normally get the edge here but a few of its special team stars could be missing. Cowboys big kicker David Buehler is questionable because of a sore groin and speedster Dez Bryant won’t be returning kicks even if he is healthy enough to play. The word in Big D is Bryant’s return days are over.

Washington kicks fewer touchbacks but it also allows fewer yards on returns. We’ll give the Skins the nod here.

Edge: Redskins

WORD ON THE STREET

“I want to get a chance to put my helmet on whatever is hurting, Romo’s ribs. I’m gonna be asking for some corner blitzes.” – Washington CB DeAngelo Hall on potentially playing against a banged up Tony Romo.

“Well, you think about it: He’s not allowed to hit him in the head. And he can’t hit him below the knees. So he’s only got one place you can hit him. It’s such a shame he’s hurt.” – Redskins defensive coordinator Jim Haslett on Romo and how his blitzers will attack the quarterback.

finance Posts:8582 Followers:227
09/26/2011 11:01 AM

Wouldn't have had a problem taking Washington at +6 or better but a pass for me at the current line....the "bad" Rex can show up any time...LOL

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premiumplaya Posts:368 Followers:3
09/26/2011 04:28 PM

of course i gotta go with my boys! i bought a half point to -3. rivalry game + first home game in dallas is the diifference...even if kitna has to sub in for romo, we still win.

Good luck.
-P
jimmythegreek Posts:11200 Followers:382
09/26/2011 04:43 PM

I'm going over 45 and passing on the side, although most know who I am rooting for!

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