coleryan Posts:11959 Followers:18
12/30/2012 10:55 AM

New Orleans is 17-7 ATS at home and 7-1 ATS as a home favorite between -3½ and -7 points. The Saints are also 8-3 ATS in December

coleryan Posts:11959 Followers:18
12/30/2012 10:55 AM

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons (-3.5, 45.5)

Atlanta has already locked up the top seed in the NFC and could choose to rest its starters in a meaningless Week 17 game. However, momentum could be very important to the Falcons, who have flopped in the postseason in past years. Tampa Bay looked like a playoff sleeper at times this season but folded down the home stretch, losing five in a row. QB Josh Freeman is a big reason for that slide, throwing eight interceptions in his last two games. Head coach Greg Schiano is aiming to go out on a positive note, so expect the Bucs to give everything they have left.

coleryan Posts:11959 Followers:18
12/30/2012 10:56 AM

Matchup: Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants

Spread: Giants minus-7.5
Public consensus pick: 52 percent picked Eagles

Public perception: The Giants need to win to keep their playoff hopes alive, but the public isn't buying it as they're backing the Eagles (slightly).

Wiseguys' view: The Giants are in a tailspin, failing to cover three of their last four and five of their last seven games. They wouldn't be getting any support at all if they weren't facing the Eagles, who are a league-worst 3-11-1 ATS.

Tuley's Take: Despite their record, the Eagles have been competitive of late (well, except for the second half against the Bengals), and I expect the same effort here in trying to knock off their rival. I also think Michael Vick will have something to prove. The Eagles should keep this game close and may pull off the outright upset. The pick: Eagles.

coleryan Posts:11959 Followers:18
12/30/2012 10:56 AM

When ARIZONA CARDINALS played as Road Team- With Total between 37 and 41; Cards are 4-20-1 ATS in this role.

coleryan Posts:11959 Followers:18
12/30/2012 10:57 AM

When INDIANAPOLIS COLTS Played as a Underdog - With SU Record of 4 Wins and 1 Lost in L5G; Colts are 3-11 SU in the next game.

coleryan Posts:11959 Followers:18
12/30/2012 10:57 AM

Patriots passing game vs. Dolphins pass defense

Normally this would be laughable. But QB Tom Brady was only so-so – 24-for-40 passing, 238 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT – when these teams met earlier this season. Few think that'll happen again. Plus, Miami's secondary is banged up. CB Sean Smith (knee), CB Nolan Carroll (knee), S Reshad Jones (hip) and S Chris Clemons (ankle) have all been slowed this week. TE Rob Gronkowski (forearm) could be activated. That would be bad for Miami. EDGE: Patriots.

coleryan Posts:11959 Followers:18
12/30/2012 10:58 AM

Removing snow for the game in New England

coleryan Posts:11959 Followers:18
12/30/2012 10:59 AM

The Texans can clinch home-field advantage throughout the playoffs, but a loss could make them the No. 3 seed and force them to play again next week. Their offense really sputtered, both with and without Foster, last Sunday against the Vikings. Their six points were a far cry from their average of 27 PPG this season and Foster (1,328 rush yards, 2nd in NFL) was held to 15 yards on 10 carries. But he has destroyed the Colts in his career, averaging 164 rushing YPG, including 165 yards just two weeks ago. His Houston squad still averages 134 rushing YPG, while the Colts give up a hefty 139 rushing YPG on 5.1 yards per carry. Indy was gashed for 352 rushing yards on 8.0 YPC by the Chiefs last Sunday. The Colts pass defense is pretty average (236 YPG, 7.1 YPA), and will need to find a way to slow down Texans star WR Andre Johnson who leads the AFC with 1,457 receiving yards. Johnson caught 11 passes for 151 yards in the game versus Indy two weeks ago. Despite the offensive talent, Houston is a dreadful 25.5% on third downs in December, going 1-of-11 in the loss to Minnesota last week.

coleryan Posts:11959 Followers:18
12/30/2012 11:00 AM

LINE MOVE

Money on Colts pushes line down to Houston Texans -5.5 (-108) at Books

coleryan Posts:11959 Followers:18
12/30/2012 11:00 AM

Today's largest moneyline bets are the Cardinals +925 and the Chiefs at +1000