12/30/2012 10:49 AM
Matchup: Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans
Spread: Titans minus-4.5
Public consensus pick: 52 percent picked Titans
Public perception: Another game with both teams playing out the string. The public looks split on this one.
Wiseguys' view: The Jaguars are coming off a cover against the Patriots. Plus, they won and covered their earlier meeting against the Titans 24-19. Most wiseguys will tell you that when two bad teams are playing, you should take the points (or bet the over since it could turn into a sand-lot shootout).
Tuley's Take: Yes, I won with the Jaguars last week against the Patriots, but part of the reason (in addition to the double-digit spread) was they have played their best when facing the best, also covering against the Packers and Texans. I see no such incentive here. The pick: Pass (pool play: Titans).