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Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans (-4, 41.5)
Could the tank be on with Jacksonville? If the Jaguars lose and Kansas City falls to Denver, the Jags would be guaranteed the No. 2 pick in the upcoming draft. RB Maurice Jones-Drew is not expected to suit up for the finale. Tennessee’s front office could be singing for their supper in Week 17. The Titans brass is pointing the finger at head coach Mike Munchak, GM Ruston Webster and COO Mike Reinfeldt and asking what went wrong this year. Going out on a winning note wouldn’t hurt. The Jaguars have covered in each of the past four meeting with the Titans, including a 24-19 win in Week 12.
Line moves: Bears opened as 3.5-point faves, currently minus-3.
Books says: "This opened at 3.5, and that hook disappeared pretty quickly. Interesting parallel last Saturday night when the Falcons went into Detroit, they were a 3.5-point favorite, and the Bears are not the same as the Falcons. But the Lions are tricky to figure out; they look great on the stat sheet, and then find so many ways to lose. I think you will get an inspired effort from the Bears. This game is closer to a pick 'em if it was Week 12 and no playoffs [were] on the line. But this will be a real close game; at 3, it is essentially pick the winner and go from there."
Spread: Bengals minus-2.5
Public consensus pick: 52 percent picked Bengals
Public perception: The Bengals are locked into the AFC's No. 6 seed and have nothing to play for. The Ravens could move up to the No. 3 seed with a win if the Patriots lose.
Wiseguys' view: The problem with the Ravens moving up is that they would then have to play the Bengals again next week (and would have a potentially tougher divisional playoff game against Denver instead of against Houston).
Tuley's Take: This is a tough one to call as neither team will go out of its way to win; however, the Ravens may have motivation given their outside chance of hosting the AFC title game. It's far-fetched, but you have to try to find some reason to pick a side here. The pick: Pass (pool play: Ravens).
Line moves: Niners opened at minus-15, currently minus-16.5.
Books says: "Last weekend you saw the Pats as 14.5-point faves on the road, which was the largest number going back to 2009. That is almost unheard of. You did see that quite frequently with the Pats when they were dominating. San Francisco will get the benefit with Brian Hoyer starting for Arizona, [but] you are still starting to see some dog money. The one trend that has been a constant is that San Francisco does not give up touchdowns coming off of a loss under Jim Harbaugh."
RB Reggie Bush needs 40 yards to have back-to-back 1,000-yard rushing seasons. He'll have to get past Patriots DT Vince Wilfork and LB Jerod Mayo to do it. The big danger would be if the Dolphins fall behind early and have to abandon the running game in favor of the pass. The Dolphins rushed for 101 yards in the last game against the Patriots; Bush had 64. They'll need more. EDGE: Patriots