12/30/2012 10:03 AM
We also bring out Dave Tuley's Insider picks that are lighting it up this year posted throughout the day!
Matchup: New York Jets at Buffalo Bills
Spread: Bills minus-3.5
Public consensus pick: 65 percent picked Bills
Public perception: Both teams playing out the string. Given their druthers (hey, I don't think I've heard or used that expression since I was knee-high to a grasshopper), the public has chosen to go against the QB circus in New York.
Wiseguys' view: There's no apparent sharp side here, but this line has wavered between 3 and 3.5, so it's a game in which no wiseguy worth his salt will be laying minus-3.5 or taking only plus-3.
Tuley's Take: I can't find much reason to back either side, though the Bills are 4-2 ATS as a favorite this year (2-7 ATS as a dog), so they tend to play well against other mediocre teams that they're supposed to beat. The pick: Pass (pool play: Bills).