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Denver vs. Dallas, 12/28/2012 20:30
Point Spread: -2½/-105 Denver
Friday's NBA Free Pick: Nuggets -2.5
The Dallas Mavericks are being overvalued due to the return of Dirk Nowitzki. It's going to take some time for Nowitzki to get back into the swing of things. He likely won't play big minutes until later in the season and his return likely won't have an effect on the Mavericks ability to win games. I understand Dallas just went on the road and took the reigning Western Conference Champions to overtime last night, but I believe that was more of the Thunder suffering a hangover from that lost to the Heat on Christmas Day than the Mavericks all the sudden being a contender again.
Denver is one of the more underrated teams in the NBA, basically because they have not been able to win on the road at the same rate that they do at home. However, they have played a very brutal schedule early in the season with 20 of their first 30 games being played away from home. This is one spot where the Nuggets are a strong play.
Prior to last night, Dallas had lost three straight games by double-digits. They are 1-7 in their last 8 games and I have a hard time believing they will have the energy on a back-to-back set to keep up with Denver. BET THE NUGGETS!