marksmoneymakers Posts:12016 Followers:137
On 12/25/2012 10:50 AM in NFL

Newsletter Week 18

Pro Football Weekly

  • 12/30/2012 03:32 AM

    Love your posts with all the input. Great stuff!

marksmoneymakers Posts:12016 Followers:137
12/26/2012 10:27 AM

Gold Sheet

marksmoneymakers Posts:12016 Followers:137
12/26/2012 10:28 AM

Sports Reporter

marksmoneymakers Posts:12016 Followers:137
12/26/2012 10:29 AM

Winning Points

marksmoneymakers Posts:12016 Followers:137
12/26/2012 10:30 AM

CKO

marksmoneymakers Posts:12016 Followers:137
12/26/2012 10:31 AM

Nelly's Green Sheet is 4-1 so far in bowls.

BOWL SELECTIONS
*****************************
RATING 5: UCLA (PK) over Baylor
RATING 4: DUKE (+7½) over Cincinnati
RATING 4: AIR FORCE (-1) over Rice
RATING 3: SYRACUSE (+4) over West Virginia
RATING 3: WASHINGTON (+5½) over Boise State
RATING 2: WESTERN KENTUCKY (-5½) over C. Michigan
RATING 2: NAVY (+14½) over Arizona State
RATING 2: UL-MONROE (-7) over Ohio
RATING 1: MINNESOTA (+13) over Texas Tech
RATING 1: MICHIGAN STATE (+2½) over Tcu
RATING 1: RUTGERS (+2½) over Virginia Tech
**********************************

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 26, 2012

LITTLE CAESARS PIZZA BOWL

Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan

Western Kentucky (-5½) Central Michigan (57½) 6:30 PM

Western Kentucky’s head coach is on the move as Willie Taggart took the
South Florida position after leading the Hilltoppers to their first bowl game.
Bobby Petrino has been hired to take over, leaving the remaining staff and
bowl coach Lance Guidry in an awkward position. Central Michigan will be
the team that is pointed to as the least deserving in the bowl picture with
Louisiana Tech and Middle Tennessee State left out. The Chippewas went
just 6-6 on the season and while the MAC was a strong league this season
Central’s four MAC wins came against teams with a combined 8-40 record.
Despite a weak schedule Central Michigan allowed over 33 points per game
and 6.1 yards per play. Western Kentucky should have a big edge on
defense, particularly against the run and the Hilltoppers very easily could
have had an even stronger record with four of five losses coming by a
combined total of 19 points. Western Kentucky was also the only team in the
Sun Belt to beat eventually champion Arkansas State. The location certainly
favors Central Michigan playing close to home but the Chippewas lost four
home games this season and this is a team that has failed to cover in 14 of
the last 16 games as an underdog. Central Michigan lost in the last two times
they played in this bowl game and even with the changing coaching staff, an
upperclassmen heavy Western Kentucky team will be fired up to play in the
first ever bowl game for the program. WESTERN KENTUCKY BY 10

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 27, 2012

MILITARY BOWL

RFK Stadium, Washington, D.C.

San Jose State (-7½) Bowling Green (46½) 2:00 PM

Success can lead to changes and after a huge 10-2 season for the Spartans
head coach Mike MacIntyre was hired at Colorado. Defensive Coordinator
Kent Baer will coach the team in the bowl game and no announcement for
next season has been made at this time. Transfer quarterback David Fales
had a fantastic season for the Spartans and even with the changes this is a
team that will have a lot of key players back for next season and the overall
direction of the program features positives. This is just the second bowl trip
for the Spartans since 1990 though this is a cross country trip. Bowling
Green was not expected to compete well in the MAC this season but the
Falcons are back in a bowl game after wins in seven of the final eight games
of the season. Only one of those wins came against a winning team but the
defensive numbers have been excellent. The schedule has not been fierce
but Bowling Green is allowing less than 290 yards per game on just 4.6 yards
per play. San Jose State did deliver three wins over bowl teams and this
team nearly stunned Stanford early in the season and the only other loss
came against a Utah State team that finished the season 11-2 after a 41-15
bowl win over a MAC team. There are certainly good reasons to be skeptical
of the numbers for Bowling Green but Coach Clawson has a pretty good
track record of getting the most out of his team with time to prepare. The best
win of the season for the Falcons came off a bye week, beating Ohio on the
road and this team has covered as an underdog in every opening game in
his four years. This will be a long trip for the Spartans and likely first ever trip
to D.C. for most of the players, forced to play in an early start game. While
San Jose State certainly has the stronger resume, with the line climbing over
a touchdown and the recent coaching changes the underdog might be worth
a look at this point. SAN JOSE STATE BY 7


BELK BOWL

Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina

Cincinnati (-7½) Duke (59½) 5:30 PM

The Bearcats have had a lot of success in the last decade but it appears the
coaching carousel will always leave the program in transition. Each of the
last three head coaches have had three year stints at Cincinnati before
moving to greener pastures with Mark Dantonio going to Michigan State,
Brian Kelly to Notre Dame, and now Butch Jones going to Tennessee. This
has been a very successful program in those years but this is a team left in
limbo with the dissolving Big East. Defensive Line Coach Steve Stripling will
coach this game and the Bearcats did make a bit of a hiring splash by luring
Tommy Tuberville away from Texas Tech. Cincinnati went 9-3 this season
but beat only three bowl teams and none of those teams finished better than
7-5. All three losses came by seven or fewer points however. Duke will play
in its first bowl game since 1994 and while this team lost the final four games
of the season there should be excitement and support for the program
playing in nearby Charlotte. Duke played a much tougher schedule and all
six losses came against bowl eligible teams. Duke was highly vulnerable on
defense against the pass but that is not the strength for Cincinnati. Duke also
possesses an explosive aerial attack with a veteran offense. Coach Cutcliffe
reiterated his commitment to the program and with the disappointing finish to
the season this should be a focused team that uses the bowl practices well.
Cincinnati did not beat a bowl team away from home this season and the
Duke defense that battled injuries late in the season should be in better
position to step up for this game after the break. Look for the Blue Devils to
grab the lead early and do their best to hang on. DUKE BY 3

HOLIDAY BOWL

Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, California

Ucla (PK) Baylor (79½) 8:45 PM

After an underwhelming Rick Neuheisel era Jim Mora delivered a 9-3 regular
season for the Bruins and nearly got his team the win in the Pac-12 title
game. UCLA beat five bowl teams this season through a tough schedule and
this will be a favorable venue in San Diego with a young team that should be
excited to be in this game. Baylor closed the season winning three straight
games to return to the postseason including impressive wins over Kansas
State and Oklahoma State at home and a win at Texas Tech. Baylor has
horrible defensive numbers but the offense can out-score most teams,
averaging 44 points per game. Baylor was a bowl game winner last season
but that game came in Texas and the Bears won just two of six road games
this season. Baylor did play one of the nation’s toughest schedules and the
Bears have an experience edge on offense but the UCLA defense looks like
the stronger unit at every level. UCLA will have unexpected opportunities on
offense after going against the very tough Stanford defense in the last two
games and Baylor won’t likely be able to present a significant pass rush.
Baylor gets more attention for its offense but UCLA has been nearly as
productive. This game features an incredibly high total and the Bruins have
done well in high scoring games, going 7-0 S/U and 6-1 ATS in games that
featured more than 60 points this season, a figure that this game is likely to
reach. Baylor is a bit overvalued based on its late season win streak,
covering in the final five games of the regular season and the edge on
defense should be substantial for UCLA, on average allowing more than 100
fewer yards per game. UCLA BY 14

marksmoneymakers Posts:12016 Followers:137
12/26/2012 05:22 PM

Nelly's Green Sheet

marksmoneymakers Posts:12016 Followers:137
12/26/2012 05:23 PM

Victor King Totals

marksmoneymakers Posts:12016 Followers:137
12/26/2012 09:01 PM

Pointwise

marksmoneymakers Posts:12016 Followers:137
12/27/2012 04:40 PM

Playbook