coleryan Posts:11990 Followers:20
12/23/2012 10:47 AM

Aqib Talib (hip) is wearing a huge gold chain as he runs through a workout with Harold Nash and the medical staff. Game-time decision

  • Last 7 Days Record: 4-9-1
coleryan Posts:11990 Followers:20
12/23/2012 10:48 AM

Matchup: New Orleans Saints at Dallas Cowboys

Spread: Cowboys minus-2.5
Public consensus pick: 58 percent picked Saints

Public perception: There's nothing like a 41-0 blowout to get the public's attention. The public is also catching on to the Cowboys not having much of a home-field advantage in their posh stadium (though last week they covered for the first time this season).

Wiseguys' view: The sharps bought up the Saints plus-3 so most dog bettors now have to take plus-2.5 (or tease through key numbers of 3 and 7), though it could get bet back to 3 from public betting on the Cowboys playing for a playoff spot.

Tuley's Take: I was tempted to jump in on the Saints as well, but I just can't trust their league-worst defense (despite the shutout of the Bucs, as they still gave up over 400 yards). The pick: Pass (pool play: Cowboys).

  • Last 7 Days Record: 4-9-1
coleryan Posts:11990 Followers:20
12/23/2012 10:48 AM

New England at Jacksonville (14.5, 50)

New England rallied from a 31-3 deficit a week ago to tie San Francisco but ultimately suffered a 41-34 setback to snap its seven-game winning streak. However, the Patriots racked up 407 yards of offense in the second half against the stout defense of the 49ers. Tight end Rob Gronkowski (forearm) has officially been ruled out again this week. The Jaguars have lost three straight, failing to cover in all three contests. Running back Maurice Jones-Drew (foot) is back practicing, but is a long shot to play Sunday.

  • Last 7 Days Record: 4-9-1
coleryan Posts:11990 Followers:20
12/23/2012 10:49 AM

Indianapolis at Kansas City, 1:00 ET
Indianapolis: 16-6 Over away off a road loss
Kansas City: 17-33 ATS at home after scoring 14 points or less

  • Last 7 Days Record: 4-9-1
coleryan Posts:11990 Followers:20
12/23/2012 10:51 AM

Jets QB Greg McElroy to start. DT Sione Pouha WR Charzeray Schilens? CB Aaron Berry, DE Bryan Thomas, TE Dustin Keller Dbt. QB Tim Tebow out

  • Last 7 Days Record: 4-9-1
coleryan Posts:11990 Followers:20
12/23/2012 10:51 AM

Matchup: Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles

Spread: Redskins minus-6.5
Public consensus pick: 66 percent picked Redskins

Public perception: This line was at minus-4.5 and then it was announced RG III was probable and it was adjusted to minus-5.5, and the public and wiseguys pushed it right away to minus-6 with no sign of slowing down. There aren't many people looking to bet the Eagles.

Wiseguys' view: The Eagles still have the worst record of 3-10-1 against the spread. Still, we might see some wiseguys jump in if they're getting a full touchdown. The public often bets as if they don't believe parity still exists in the NFL, but the wiseguys know better (though they don't always win either).

Tuley's Take: Let's cut to the chase. The pick: Pass (pool play: Eagles, especially at plus-7 or higher).

  • Last 7 Days Record: 4-9-1
coleryan Posts:11990 Followers:20
12/23/2012 10:52 AM

This is the first time since 1991 where a team scored 0 points in their last game & is now favored on the road vs. a > .500 team (NYG@BAL).

  • Last 7 Days Record: 4-9-1
coleryan Posts:11990 Followers:20
12/23/2012 10:54 AM

Indianapolis at Kansas City (7, 41.5)

Indianapolis has won seven of nine but missed out on a chance to clinch a playoff berth with a 29-17 loss to the Texans last week. Quarterback Andrew Luck has completed only 46.1 percent of his passes in three games this month and has been intercepted nine times in his last five contests. The Chiefs gained a season-low 119 yards and recorded only seven first downs in a 15-0 loss at Oakland last week. Starting quarterback Brady Quinn is dealing with a rib injury but coach Romeo Crennel said Thursday he expects him to suit up against the Colts. Kansas City has recorded fewer than 10 points in four of its last five games. Indianapolis is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games following a loss.

  • Last 7 Days Record: 4-9-1
coleryan Posts:11990 Followers:20
12/23/2012 10:56 AM

If Colts win, they become 2nd team in NFL history to win 10+ games the yr after losing 14+ games (2008 Dolphins)

  • Last 7 Days Record: 4-9-1
coleryan Posts:11990 Followers:20
12/23/2012 10:57 AM

Washington at Philadelphia, 1:00 ET
Washington: 12-4 ATS vs. division opponents
Philadelphia: 0-6 ATS in home games

  • Last 7 Days Record: 4-9-1