12/23/2012 10:44 AM
Matchup: Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs
Spread: Colts minus-7
Public consensus pick: 69 percent picked Colts
Public perception: The Chiefs were shut out 15-0 by the Raiders. The Colts lost (and lost the cover to the Texans) but that hasn't diminished the betting public's faith in the Colts as they're still 8-5-1 ATS.
Wiseguys' view: Some sharps helped push this line from an opener of minus-5.5 at some books, but there will be some buyback at Chiefs plus-7. The books will be pulling for the Chiefs, as this will also be a huge teaser game with bettors taking the Colts under a field goal.
Tuley's Take: The Colts are heading to the playoffs; the Chiefs could be in line for the No. 1 draft pick, but the Colts are still doing it with mirrors (they've been outscored by 49 points despite their 9-5 SU record). Andrew Luck may very well come through in the clutch, but hopefully not to get the cover. The pick: Chiefs (but not at 6.5).