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For this 2012-2013 season, I tried to develop a kind of program that comes out of% for each team in each game.
I'll try to track the most consistent and accurate as possible to use it more effectively.
This is an example % ATS, I'll explain later:
Washington 48.38% (-1.71%) 51.62% @ Cleveland (-3.44%)
Boston 49.46% (+1.68%) 50.54% @ Miami (+0.08%)
Dallas 58.42% (+5.29%) 41.58% @ LA Lakers (-0.86%)
The percentages represent the chance of each team winning the bet ATS.
However, it's necessary to be able to interpret the %.
For example, we might say that 51.62% for the Cavs, it is a good%. But this is not the case because they have a negative variance of 3.44% on this game. What is the difference? If we did not take into account the basic stats, would the cavs tonight about 55% chance of winning the bet ATS. But the program takes into account the stats that vary the% EVERY MATCH.
Second example of Dallas - Lakers. Here Mavs have a huge% that may rarely see this year. It is all the more impressive as it applies to a team that is far from the first squatter places in the NBA. More away from +5.29 confirms that the conditions seem ripe for a good match.
1. Watch percentages
2. Watch the team to which it applies
3. Compare with the difference that will give a preliminary positive or negative.
(I'm french, so sorry for my english) Thanks.
Atlanta Washington 55,13% 44,87% (4,71) (1,75)
Toronto Cleveland 53,26% 46,74% (-0,60) (-2,51)
Utah Brooklyn 50,85% 49,15% (0,51) (-0,37)
Minnesota Miami 49,52% 50,48% (3,74) (0,37)
Boston Chicago 48,10% 51,90% (2,39) (-0,95)
Indiana Milwaukee 49,29% 50,71% (-2,59) (-0,86)
Philadelphie Dallas 51,49% 48,51% (0,70) (-2,71)
Spurs Denver 51,01% 48,99% (-3,01) (-2,72)
Hornets Golden state 48,88% 51,12% (1,25) (0,65)
Charlotte Lakers 50,25% 49,75% (0,91) (-0,78)
Utah Indiana 49,31%
Detroit Toronto 46,18%
Washington Orlando 43,13%
Brooklyn Knicks 46,05%
Cleveland Boston 49,44%
OKC Atlanta 48,62%
Philadelphie Houston 47,97%
Charlotte Phoenix 46,17%
Milwaukee Memphis 47,47%
Golden state Sacramento 49,14%
Hornets Clippers 48,57%
Lower is the result, more you got chance to have a match with Under.