Free Pick on Valpo
0 Reply | 118 ViewsOn 12/17/2012 12:46 AM in Cappers
Point Spread: -3½/-110 Valparaiso
Valparaiso has all five starters back from last year so it's no surprise they are off to a good start this year at 7-3. Why is that so important? Well last year Oakland went down to Valpo and pulled off the two point victory as four point underdogs, so you can bet this team is going to want to get their revenge on Monday night.
They are picking up wins due to solid defense, having given up more than 65 points just one time this season. Their slow pace has put them into a nice system today that says play on teams that score 65 points or less in three straight games that have all five starters back from a year ago. These teams are 63-29 (68.5%) in the role of a favorite over the past five years.
Greg Kampe is the head coach of the Oakland Golden Grizzlies and he is 2-10 ATS after allowing 75 points or more in 3 straight games and 4-12 ATS at home after a game they failed to cover.
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