12/31/2012 12:17 AM
Georgia Tech vs. USC
As September approached, Southern California was armed with high expectations, a Heisman-hopeful quarterback and a hunger to return to a BCS game. Almost four months later, all that's left in a season-long trail of disappointment is one final chance to go out on a high note - even if it is against a team with a losing record and without star Matt Barkley. After a two-year bowl hiatus due to NCAA sanctions caused by principals long gone, USC (7-5) makes its return to the postseason Monday in El Paso, Texas, where it will take on Georgia Tech (6-7) in the Sun Bowl.
While Southern California is no doubt happy to be taking the field in late December, playing in a mid-tiered bowl against a team that needed a special NCAA exemption to even be allowed to play in the postseason was not in the original plans. With Barkley back to lead a squad that was returning 19 starters and the high-profile transfer of Silas Redd from Penn State, the Trojans opened the year atop the AP poll intent on turning around a program tainted by the Reggie Bush scandal. Those high hopes hit a bump in the road with a 21-14 loss to Stanford in their third game of the season before totally coming apart following a 6-1 start.
Tough losses were compounded by significant injury. The Trojans lost a pair of back-to-back shootouts to Arizona and Oregon that saw them score 87 combined points, but give up 101. Then, after beating Arizona State and losing to UCLA, they held their own but came up short in the regular season finale against No. 1 Notre Dame - a game played without Barkley, who was sidelined by a sprained shoulder one week earlier. Considered by many to be the preseason Heisman Trophy favorite, the senior quarterback will not return to face the Yellow Jackets, effectively ending his collegiate career.
For all of his struggles - Barkley threw a Pac-12-high 15 interceptions - he was still second in the country at 3.3 touchdown passes per game. In addition, he averaged just under 300 yards with a passer rating of 157.6, each good for second in the conference. Redshirt freshman Max Wittek will be under center in Barkley's place after making his first career start against the Irish, going 14 of 23 for 186 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions. All but 19 of those yards went to one of the most dangerous 1-2 punches in college football - receivers Marqise Lee and Robert Woods.
Lee rewrote the league record book this season with an FBS-high 112 catches, 1,680 yards and 14 touchdowns en route to a unanimous All-America selection, Pac-12 offensive player of the year honors and the Biletnikoff Award. The sophomore was the only player in the conference with more TD catches than Woods (11), who had 73 receptions for 813 yards. USC's style of offense is in stark contrast to that of Georgia Tech, which is coming off a 21-15 loss to No. 13 Florida State in the ACC title game. Coach Paul Johnson's team only advanced to that game because Miami imposed a bowl ban on itself in the hopes of lessening potential NCAA sanctions.
Although they came up short, the Yellow Jackets - one of two FBS teams to run for over 4,000 yards this season - acquitted themselves nicely against the top-notch competition. The Yellow Jackets will be making their second straight postseason trip to El Paso, extending a streak to 16 consecutive seasons playing in a bowl. That run trails only Florida State (31), Florida (22) and Virginia Tech (20), but they hope to have more success this time around: Besides falling 30-27 to Utah a season ago in the same stadium, they have lost seven straight bowl games.
To break that slide, they'll no doubt have to ride their powerful ground game. Since Johnson joined the program in 2008, no FBS team has run for more yards, and his triple-option offense is as potent as it is diverse: Six players ran for more than 400 yards and three for more than 600, highlighted by Tevin Washington's 19 touchdowns. Tasked with slowing down that spread attack will be Kiffin's father, Monte, who will be on the sidelines for his last game at USC. The conservative defensive schemes of the coaching legend were heavily criticized this season, particularly after the back-to-back losses to Arizona and Oregon in which his unit gave up more than 1,300 yards.
This game has the potential to be a USC blowout and despite the long layoff combined with the Barkley injury, Lee and Woods will both have big days. The Trojans are simply is too talented for the Yellow Jackets to hang around, and I think GT's ability to run the ball will only result in limited success considering way too many weapons on the other side. Lean slightly to under 62 in this one.
The pick: USC -7 (bought half)
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