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The Dolphins have dropped four of five but played well in the past two weeks, beating the Seahawks and losing by seven to the Patriots. Miami will be without LT Jake Long, the former No. 1 overall pick who suffered a torn triceps last week. The controversial switch from Alex Smith to Colin Kaepernick at quarterback hit its first speed bump in the overtime loss to St. Louis. Kaepernick committed a huge blunder when his errant pitch led to the tying touchdown with three minutes remaining. He was also sacked three times but ran for 84 yards and threw for 208 yards to earn his fourth consecutive start this Sunday. The 49ers are allowing a league-low 14.3 points per game but the Dolphins are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with winning records.
The last two weeks have been a disaster for the Saints, with QB Drew Brees throwing a total of seven interceptions in losses to the 49ers and Falcons. Brees was picked off five times and did not have a touchdown pass in a 23-13 loss at Atlanta on Nov. 29, breaking his NFL-record string of 54 straight games with at least one TD pass. The Saints need to win all four of their remaining games to have a shot at a postseason berth and still have games against playoff hopefuls Tampa Bay and the Dallas. New York will lean on running backs Ahmad Bradshaw and David Wilson against the New Orleans run defense. The New Orleans rushing defense has been dreadful, allowing opposing backs to shred them for an average of 153.8 yards this season. The home team is 7-1 ATS in their last eight meetings.