12/02/2012 12:37 PM
Matchup: Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys
Spread: Cowboys minus-10
Public consensus pick: 51 percent picked Eagles
SuperContestants: 73-55 in favor of Eagles
Public perception: The Eagles are a league-worst 1-9-1 ATS, yet they're getting bet, which just shows how much the stock on the Cowboys has gone down.
Wiseguys' view: The Cowboys do not have a home-field advantage (which makes you wonder why the oddsmakers set this line so high if not giving them a few more points for being at home), as they're 0-5 ATS in Jerry's World this season and 2-11 ATS the past two years.
Tuley's Take: I definitely think this line has been overinflated. It's obvious that oddsmakers think that no one will be looking to back the Eagles, but the Cowboys shouldn't be double-digit favorite over anyone (they're 0-2 ATS in their two games as home faves of a touchdown or more -- to the Buccaneers and Browns -- and should have lost both outright). The pick: Eagles.