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12/13/2012 07:39 PM
NFL

Week 15

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Trend Report
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Thursday, December 13

8:20 PM
CINCINNATI vs. PHILADELPHIA
Cincinnati is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games ,when playing Philadelphia
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Philadelphia is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games


Sunday, December 16

1:00 PM
INDIANAPOLIS vs. HOUSTON
Indianapolis is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Houston
Indianapolis is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing at home against Indianapolis

1:00 PM
NY GIANTS vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Giants last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
NY Giants are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home

1:00 PM
JACKSONVILLE vs. MIAMI
Jacksonville is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Jacksonville is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami's last 13 games at home
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

1:00 PM
GREEN BAY vs. CHICAGO
Green Bay is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Green Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Chicago is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Green Bay

1:00 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games on the road
New Orleans is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 13 of New Orleans's last 18 games

1:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. CLEVELAND
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games

1:00 PM
DENVER vs. BALTIMORE
Denver is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Denver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
Baltimore is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games

1:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of St. Louis's last 8 games when playing Minnesota

4:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. BUFFALO
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Seattle

4:05 PM
DETROIT vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Detroit is 2-9-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games at home
Arizona is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games

4:05 PM
CAROLINA vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games
Carolina is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games on the road
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Diego's last 10 games

4:15 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Oakland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing at home against Kansas City

4:15 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. DALLAS
Pittsburgh is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh

8:20 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. NEW ENGLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing New England
San Francisco is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing New England
New England is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games when playing San Francisco


Monday, December 17

8:30 PM
NY JETS vs. TENNESSEE
NY Jets are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of the NY Jets last 9 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Tennessee is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games when playing NY Jets
Tennessee is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Jets
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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12/13/2012 07:40 PM
NFL

Thursday, December 13

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Thursday Night Football: Bengals at Eagles
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Cincinnati Bengals at Philadelphia Eagles (+4, 45.5)

The Cincinnati Bengals let a golden opportunity slip through their fingers against one NFC East team this past weekend. The Bengals would like to prevent the same from happening again on Thursday when they visit the struggling Philadelphia Eagles. Cincinnati's bid to record its fifth straight victory and eighth overall was thwarted by Dallas on the final play. As a result, the Bengals remained two games shy of AFC North-leading Baltimore and a tiebreaker behind Pittsburgh for the final playoff berth in the conference.

Postseason discussion has long been tabled in Philadelphia, which snapped an eight-game losing skid with a 23-21 triumph over Tampa Bay this past weekend. Nick Foles gave the Eagles some confidence for the future by throwing for a rookie franchise-best 381 yards. The third-round pick also engineered the game-winning drive, which was capped by his 1-yard touchdown pass to Jeremy Maclin.

TV: 8:20 p.m. ET, NFL Network.

LINE: Cincinnati opened as a field-goal favorite in Philadelphia and has since been bet up as high as -4.5. The total opened at 46 and has dropped to 45.5.

WEATHER: The forecast is calling for clear skies and temperatures in the mid 30s. Winds will blow NW at 2 mph.

CONSENSUS: Sixty-five percent of Covers Consensus picks are on the Bengals. Fifty-two percent are picking the over.

ABOUT THE BENGALS (7-6, 6-6-1 ATS): Cincinnati stud WR A.J. Green had a pair of inexplicable drops en route to being held out of the end zone for the third time in as many games on Sunday. Prior to this drought, Green had scored in nine straight contests. The Bengals can't afford to dwell on Sunday's loss or look beyond the Eagles, although a visit to Pittsburgh (Dec. 23) and a home game versus Baltimore (Dec. 30) could go a long way in deciding if they make the playoffs.

ABOUT THE EAGLES (4-9, 3-9-1 ATS): Maclin is clearly impressed with Foles, who has just four starts under his belt. "You guys are seeing Nick Foles grow into a phenomenal quarterback right in front of your eyes," Maclin said. "I think the sky is the limit for him." Foles hasn't thrown an interception in the last 14 quarters, although the aggressive Bengals defense could pressure him into mistakes. Cincinnati leads the league with 42 sacks.

TRENDS:

* Bengals are 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Bengals are 1-7-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss.
* Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last five Thursday games.
* Eagles are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 home games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Although Bengals RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis failed to notch his fourth consecutive 100-yard game, he sits just 26 shy of his second straight 1,000-yard season.

2. Philadelphia TE Clay Harbor, who reeled in the first of two touchdown passes by Foles, will likely start on Thursday in place of the concussed Brent Celek.

3. The teams played to a 13-13 tie in their last encounter on Nov. 16, 2008. The game is likely best remembered for then-Eagles QB Donovan McNabb admitting that he didn't know an NFL contest could end in a tie.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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12/13/2012 07:41 PM
NFL

Thursday, December 13

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Tale of the tape: Cincinnati Bengals at Philadelphia Eagles
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The Philadelphia Eagles will aim to play spoiler when they host the Cincinnati Bengals on Thursday Night Football. Find out which side has the edge with our tale of the tape.

Offense

After scoring at least 28 points in three consecutive games the Bengals offense has sputtered over the last couple of weeks, putting up only 39 points combined in splitting two games against the Chargers and Cowboys. Quarterback Andy Dalton has already thrown more interceptions this season (14) than he did in his entire rookie campaign last year (13). Of course, he's also thrown five more touchdown passes. Cincinnati has made a concerted effort to get its ground game rolling and RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis has responded by running for 437 yards over the last four games.

The Eagles offense has shown steady improvement since rookie QB Nick Foles took over for an injured Michael Vick. Last Sunday, Foles threw for a career-high 381 yards and two touchdowns in a come-from-behind win over the Bucs. While RB Bryce Brown had been a force in the previous two weeks, he was held to only six yards on 12 carries in Tampa Bay. They'll need to get him going again with LeSean McCoy expected to miss at least one more game.

Edge: Bengals


Defense

When healthy, the Bengals own one of the more underrated defenses in the entire league. It looks like LB Rey Maualuga will be able to play Thursday after suffering an ankle injury against Dallas. You would have to go all the way back to November 4 to find the last time the Bengals allowed more than 20 points in a game. They've held four of their last five opponents to 13 points or less, paving the way for a five-game under streak.

The Eagles finally stopped the bleeding this past Sunday, holding the Bucs to 21 points after allowing at least 30 in four consecutive games. They limited Bucs QB Josh Freeman to only 14-of-34 passing, but didn't record a single turnover in the win. In fact, they haven't forced a turnover since November 5 in New Orleans. That's a streak that will need to come to an end if they're going to string together a second straight win this week. Corner Nnamdi Asomugha is questionable to play due to a quad injury.

Edge: Bengals


Special teams

Cincinnati has been terrific defending punt returns, holding the opposition to just north of eight yards per return. It has also been effective on the flip side, averaging 11.6 yards per punt return and 22.9 yards per kickoff return. Bengals kicker Mike Nugent is 19 for 23 on field goal attempts this season, but he was forced to miss last week's game due to a calf injury. Josh Brown made good on all four field goal attempts in Nugent's absence last Sunday.

The Eagles fall right around the league average in terms of punt and kick returning, but have struggled defending them, giving up 13.7 yards per punt return and 26 yards per kickoff return. Kicker Alex Henery has been a bright spot, connecting on 23 of 26 field goal attempts.

Edge: Bengals


Word on the street

“We have the opportunity to still control our own end, from now until the end. We still have an opportunity to win the division. We still have an opportunity to qualify for the playoffs in a couple of ways. That’s all we can ask for." -- Bengals head coach Marvin Lewis on his team's playoff prospects following last Sunday's loss to Dallas.

"More important than (playing the spoiler is to) play for yourself. Play for this organization. Those are the things we’re going to try to do right now and we have another good opportunity to do that Thursday." -- Eagles WR Jeremy Maclin on what's left to play for as the season winds down.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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12/13/2012 07:43 PM
NFL
Short Sheet

Week 15

Thursday, December 13, 2012

Cincinnati at Philadelphia, 8:25 ET
Cincinnati: 16-6 ATS against NFC East division opponents
Philadelphia: 1-5 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders


NFL
Short Sheet

Week 15

Sunday, December 16, 2012

Green Bay at Chicago, 1:00 ET
Green Bay: 9-1 ATS vs. division opponents
Chicago: 8-1 Over at home off a division game

NY Giants at Atlanta, 1:00 ET
NY Giants: 11-3 ATS off a home win
Atlanta: 30-8 Over off a division road loss

Tampa Bay at New Orleans, 1:00 ET
Tampa Bay: 2-9 ATS off BB losses
New Orleans: 9-2 ATS at home vs. conference opponents

Minnesota at St. Louis, 1:00 ET
Minnesota: 1-9 ATS off a home win
St. Louis: 7-0 Under off a SU win

Washington at Cleveland, 1:00 ET
Washington: 6-0 ATS off a home game
Cleveland: 9-0 Under in December

Jacksonville at Miami, 1:00 ET
Jacksonville: 15-5 Over off a home game
Miami: 6-0 ATS off a non-conference game

Denver at Baltimore, 1:00 ET
Denver: 7-1 ATS as a favorite
Baltimore: 8-0 Over off a loss by 6 points or less

Indianapolis at Houston, 1:00 ET
Indianapolis: 15-4 Over as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points
Houston: 17-6 ATS vs. conference opponents

Carolina at San Diego, 4:05 ET
Carolina: 13-4 Over as an underdog
San Diego: 0-7 ATS vs. non-conference opponents

Seattle at Buffalo, 4:05 ET
Seattle: 1-14 ATS off a division win by 21+ points
Buffalo: 13-5 Over as an underdog

Detroit at Arizona, 4:05 ET
Detroit: 5-18 ATS as a road favorite
Arizona: 26-13 ATS at home off 3+ losses

Pittsburgh at Dallas, 4:25 ET
Pittsburgh: 11-2 ATS off a SU loss
Dallas: 0-6 ATS off a road win

Kansas City at Oakland, 4:25 ET
Kansas City: 17-6 ATS away off a road loss
Oakland: 6-21 ATS off 3+ games scoring 17 points or less

(TC) San Francisco at New England, 8:30 ET NBC
San Francisco: 0-6 ATS away in December
New England: 7-1 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points


Monday, December 17, 2012

(TC) NY Jets at Tennessee, 8:40 ET ESPN
NY Jets: 12-2 Over off an Under
Tennessee: 2-9 ATS as a favorite
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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12/13/2012 07:48 PM
45 minutes before kickoff:

December 13, 2012 »

Sides (ATS)

Time Away Line Picks Pct Home Line Picks Pct Detail Odds

8:20 PM Cincinnati -5 1944 59.30% Philadelphia +5 1334

40.70% View View


Totals (Over/Under)

Time Away Total Home Over Pct Under Pct Detail Odds

8:20 PM Cincinnati 45 Philadelphia 1194 49.10% 1238 50.90%

View View
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12/13/2012 07:51 PM
Thursday, December 13

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Cincinnati - 8:20 PM ET Philadelphia +5 500

Philadelphia - Under 45 500
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12/13/2012 07:51 PM
Thursday, December 13

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Cincinnati - 8:20 PM ET Philadelphia +5 500

Philadelphia - Under 45 500
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12/15/2012 11:29 PM
Las Vegas Sharps Report- NFL Week 15
This is shaping up as one of the most exciting NFL Sundays of the modern era, with multiple marquee matchups up and down the “Showdown Sunday” schedule. Of course sharps and sports bettors are much more focused on money-making opportunities rather than entertainment opportunities. Let’s see what professional wagerers in Las Vegas have been doing with their money so far for Week 15 in the NFL.

Games are discussed in Nevada rotation order so you can make notes in your schedules.

GREEN BAY AT CHICAGO:
Very little betting interest in this game yet. Green Bay opened at -3 and 42, and is now -3 and 42.5 (with some 43’s out there). So, we have some action on the Over, which tells you_ weather won’t be an issue again despite this being a cold weather city in late December. Sharps would fade any public move one way or the other because they believe three is the right line based on how these teams have been playing lately.

NY GIANTS AT ATLANTA:
Limited interest here as well, though the Giants are a popular choice for two-team teasers in spots where they’re getting +1.5. The six-point adjustment moves NYG past the 3 and the 7 to +7.5. Some stores are considering staying at Atlanta -1 so they don’t have to worry about getting flooded with basic strategy teasers on a quality team. The total has dropped from an opener of 52 to 51, anticipating a playoff atmosphere that would feature conservative play and tight defense.

TAMPA BAY AT NEW ORLEANS:
Clear Sharp sentiment on the home favorite here even though it’s only a half point move. New Orleans opened at -3, and is now -3.5. We’ve told you often this year that it takes a lot of money to move off the three. If a number moves off a key line, then STAYS there, then you know the Sharp side. No buy back on the Bucs at +3.5. Sharps are happy with their position on the home team -3. Nothing on the total. If we don’t mention the Over/Under in any of the following games, it’s because sharps haven’t expressed an interest.

MINNESOTA AT ST. LOUIS:
Another quiet game right on the three. St. Louis opened at -3 and stayed there. This is why you can tell New Orleans was such a strong opinion. Neither Green Bay nor St. Louis moved off the key number. New Orleans moved and then locked in higher than the key number. Sharps will fade any public move in this game that could launch the winner to a surprise Wildcard spot if they get some help elsewhere.

WASHINGTON AT CLEVELAND:
There’s been no line all week because of the injury to Robert Griffin III. Washington won’t announce until Sunday whether or not he’s going to play based on most recent reports. Sharps have a number in mind with RGIII and without. They’ll hit the opener if oddsmakers miss the mark. If you want to know who the sharps are betting Sunday morning in this one, follow any moves right after the game goes up. Sharps always act quicker than the public.

JACKSONVILLE AT MIAMI:
Miami opened at -7, and there’s been enough action that we’re now seeing either increased juice on the Dolphins at -7, or line moves to -7.5. Sharps prefer the favorite, and would also like to include Miami in basic strategy teasers because they can move the line down below the 7 and the 3. There are some sharps, though, who think the Jaguars plus anything over the key number of seven offers value. So, there’s a bit of a tug of war going on between the Miami -7 and Jacksonville +7.5 contingents. If the public gets involved, they would likely play Miami at -7 but not -7.5. This is obviously a low priority game in terms of the public’s radar this week…except for squares who always move all favorites down to cheap prices for teasers.

DENVER AT BALTIMORE:
Interesting spot here. Denver opened at -2.5, and stayed there most of the week. When this happens, it typically means sharps like the underdog. Obviously, if they liked the favorite, they would have jumped in beneath the key number for percentage reasons. But, as we’re going to press this morning there are some stores moving up to three. We’re hearing that’s more public-driven than sharp driven…and that sharps will generally be on Baltimore +3 or better if the public backs Peyton Manning. Even if the line solidifies at +2.5 everywhere again, sharps will be on the Ravens in basic strategy two-team teasers. Sharps will be rooting for Baltimore this Sunday in one form or another.

INDIANAPOLIS AT HOUSTON:
Houston opened at -8 despite their poor showing last Monday Night in New England. Sharps who liked Houston acted early, driving the line to -8.5 or -9. Those who prefer the dog are waiting to see what they can get because the public may bet the highly regarded team in a bounce back spot at any price below -10. Sharps would have Houston in two-team teasers at -8 or -8.5, but not at -9 because that moves out of the window. We understand that some stores moved this one up to nine quickly once the sharps committed so that it wouldn’t fall in the teaser window.

CAROLINA AT SAN DIEGO:
Another game sitting solidly on the key number of three. Our discussions suggest sharps generally prefer the dog, which might shade juice in that direction before kickoff. Though, because three’s are so common, sharps would fade any public move off the key number if that happens. In other words, sharps may have a lean toward Carolina at +3, but they would like San Diego -2.5 better simply because three’s are so common in final victory margins. The total has dropped from an opener of 46 down to 45. It’s not a busy week on totals for sharps because weather influences just aren’t happening this year.

SEATTLE VS. BUFFALO (in Toronto):
Seattle opened at -5.5…and it doesn’t take a lot of money to move a game off a tweener number like that. Yet, we’re still sitting at Seattle by 5.5 in this neutral field game as we go to press. Six is a “minor” key number. So, it’s telling that Seattle wasn’t at least driven to the six. We’re hearing that sharps are concerned about peak focus for the Seahawks because a huge game with San Francisco is on deck next week. Sharps would probably take Buffalo at +6 or better if the public moves the line higher Sunday.

DETROIT AT ARIZONA:
Some interest on Detroit at the opener of -6. We’re seeing a few -6.5’s out there. This is tepid interest though because serious backing for the favorite would have yielded an immediate move to at least -6.5, and then probably up to the key number of -7. You’ve seen what happens when sharps really like a favorite. That’s not what’s going on here. We would expect sharp respect to show up for Arizona’s defense if the public moves the line to Detroit by seven before kickoff. Sharps who are taking a flyer on Detroit are in softly at -6. If there’s a “hidden dragon” here, it’s on Arizona getting +7 as a home dog.

PITTSBURGH AT DALLAS:
In most weeks, this would be the biggest public game of the entire weekend. Today it’s overshadowed by a few others. But, the prime placement in the late TV window will still make this a very heavily bet game. Sharps hit Pittsburgh at the opener of +1. We’re now seeing Pittsburgh -1.5 in most stores. That’s not really a big move percentage-wise even with the flipped favorites. Note that Dallas is now in the teaser window, because you can move them up past the 3 and the 7 to +7.5. Sharps will be rooting for Pittsburgh +1 and Dallas +7.5.

KANSAS CITY AT OAKLAND:
Our fourth and final game of the day that’s been frozen on three. Oakland is the short home favorite. Sharps will fade any public move. The late schedule is fairly heavy this week, so the public may not be very active in this game. Had there been just three late games, which has been common lately, even an ugly matchup like this would get heavily bet. Sharps did play Over 43 at the opener. We’re now seeing 44 in most places.

SAN FRANCISCO AT NEW ENGLAND:
Maybe this is a game the sharps will be betting again several weeks down the road. Is this a Super Bowl preview? Right now, Vegas books have the AFC at -3 over the NFC in the Super Bowl…which you can bet even though the teams aren’t known yet. New England only opened at -4.5 here…which is less than you’d except for the AFC favorite playing on its home field. Sharps bet the Pats to -5.5. Given how the public joined the sharps on New England over Houston last week, we may see a rise once again on game day in this line. We understand sharps would come in on San Francisco at +7 because of their strong defense.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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12/15/2012 11:29 PM
Las Vegas Sharps Report- NFL Week 15
This is shaping up as one of the most exciting NFL Sundays of the modern era, with multiple marquee matchups up and down the “Showdown Sunday” schedule. Of course sharps and sports bettors are much more focused on money-making opportunities rather than entertainment opportunities. Let’s see what professional wagerers in Las Vegas have been doing with their money so far for Week 15 in the NFL.

Games are discussed in Nevada rotation order so you can make notes in your schedules.

GREEN BAY AT CHICAGO:
Very little betting interest in this game yet. Green Bay opened at -3 and 42, and is now -3 and 42.5 (with some 43’s out there). So, we have some action on the Over, which tells you_ weather won’t be an issue again despite this being a cold weather city in late December. Sharps would fade any public move one way or the other because they believe three is the right line based on how these teams have been playing lately.

NY GIANTS AT ATLANTA:
Limited interest here as well, though the Giants are a popular choice for two-team teasers in spots where they’re getting +1.5. The six-point adjustment moves NYG past the 3 and the 7 to +7.5. Some stores are considering staying at Atlanta -1 so they don’t have to worry about getting flooded with basic strategy teasers on a quality team. The total has dropped from an opener of 52 to 51, anticipating a playoff atmosphere that would feature conservative play and tight defense.

TAMPA BAY AT NEW ORLEANS:
Clear Sharp sentiment on the home favorite here even though it’s only a half point move. New Orleans opened at -3, and is now -3.5. We’ve told you often this year that it takes a lot of money to move off the three. If a number moves off a key line, then STAYS there, then you know the Sharp side. No buy back on the Bucs at +3.5. Sharps are happy with their position on the home team -3. Nothing on the total. If we don’t mention the Over/Under in any of the following games, it’s because sharps haven’t expressed an interest.

MINNESOTA AT ST. LOUIS:
Another quiet game right on the three. St. Louis opened at -3 and stayed there. This is why you can tell New Orleans was such a strong opinion. Neither Green Bay nor St. Louis moved off the key number. New Orleans moved and then locked in higher than the key number. Sharps will fade any public move in this game that could launch the winner to a surprise Wildcard spot if they get some help elsewhere.

WASHINGTON AT CLEVELAND:
There’s been no line all week because of the injury to Robert Griffin III. Washington won’t announce until Sunday whether or not he’s going to play based on most recent reports. Sharps have a number in mind with RGIII and without. They’ll hit the opener if oddsmakers miss the mark. If you want to know who the sharps are betting Sunday morning in this one, follow any moves right after the game goes up. Sharps always act quicker than the public.

JACKSONVILLE AT MIAMI:
Miami opened at -7, and there’s been enough action that we’re now seeing either increased juice on the Dolphins at -7, or line moves to -7.5. Sharps prefer the favorite, and would also like to include Miami in basic strategy teasers because they can move the line down below the 7 and the 3. There are some sharps, though, who think the Jaguars plus anything over the key number of seven offers value. So, there’s a bit of a tug of war going on between the Miami -7 and Jacksonville +7.5 contingents. If the public gets involved, they would likely play Miami at -7 but not -7.5. This is obviously a low priority game in terms of the public’s radar this week…except for squares who always move all favorites down to cheap prices for teasers.

DENVER AT BALTIMORE:
Interesting spot here. Denver opened at -2.5, and stayed there most of the week. When this happens, it typically means sharps like the underdog. Obviously, if they liked the favorite, they would have jumped in beneath the key number for percentage reasons. But, as we’re going to press this morning there are some stores moving up to three. We’re hearing that’s more public-driven than sharp driven…and that sharps will generally be on Baltimore +3 or better if the public backs Peyton Manning. Even if the line solidifies at +2.5 everywhere again, sharps will be on the Ravens in basic strategy two-team teasers. Sharps will be rooting for Baltimore this Sunday in one form or another.

INDIANAPOLIS AT HOUSTON:
Houston opened at -8 despite their poor showing last Monday Night in New England. Sharps who liked Houston acted early, driving the line to -8.5 or -9. Those who prefer the dog are waiting to see what they can get because the public may bet the highly regarded team in a bounce back spot at any price below -10. Sharps would have Houston in two-team teasers at -8 or -8.5, but not at -9 because that moves out of the window. We understand that some stores moved this one up to nine quickly once the sharps committed so that it wouldn’t fall in the teaser window.

CAROLINA AT SAN DIEGO:
Another game sitting solidly on the key number of three. Our discussions suggest sharps generally prefer the dog, which might shade juice in that direction before kickoff. Though, because three’s are so common, sharps would fade any public move off the key number if that happens. In other words, sharps may have a lean toward Carolina at +3, but they would like San Diego -2.5 better simply because three’s are so common in final victory margins. The total has dropped from an opener of 46 down to 45. It’s not a busy week on totals for sharps because weather influences just aren’t happening this year.

SEATTLE VS. BUFFALO (in Toronto):
Seattle opened at -5.5…and it doesn’t take a lot of money to move a game off a tweener number like that. Yet, we’re still sitting at Seattle by 5.5 in this neutral field game as we go to press. Six is a “minor” key number. So, it’s telling that Seattle wasn’t at least driven to the six. We’re hearing that sharps are concerned about peak focus for the Seahawks because a huge game with San Francisco is on deck next week. Sharps would probably take Buffalo at +6 or better if the public moves the line higher Sunday.

DETROIT AT ARIZONA:
Some interest on Detroit at the opener of -6. We’re seeing a few -6.5’s out there. This is tepid interest though because serious backing for the favorite would have yielded an immediate move to at least -6.5, and then probably up to the key number of -7. You’ve seen what happens when sharps really like a favorite. That’s not what’s going on here. We would expect sharp respect to show up for Arizona’s defense if the public moves the line to Detroit by seven before kickoff. Sharps who are taking a flyer on Detroit are in softly at -6. If there’s a “hidden dragon” here, it’s on Arizona getting +7 as a home dog.

PITTSBURGH AT DALLAS:
In most weeks, this would be the biggest public game of the entire weekend. Today it’s overshadowed by a few others. But, the prime placement in the late TV window will still make this a very heavily bet game. Sharps hit Pittsburgh at the opener of +1. We’re now seeing Pittsburgh -1.5 in most stores. That’s not really a big move percentage-wise even with the flipped favorites. Note that Dallas is now in the teaser window, because you can move them up past the 3 and the 7 to +7.5. Sharps will be rooting for Pittsburgh +1 and Dallas +7.5.

KANSAS CITY AT OAKLAND:
Our fourth and final game of the day that’s been frozen on three. Oakland is the short home favorite. Sharps will fade any public move. The late schedule is fairly heavy this week, so the public may not be very active in this game. Had there been just three late games, which has been common lately, even an ugly matchup like this would get heavily bet. Sharps did play Over 43 at the opener. We’re now seeing 44 in most places.

SAN FRANCISCO AT NEW ENGLAND:
Maybe this is a game the sharps will be betting again several weeks down the road. Is this a Super Bowl preview? Right now, Vegas books have the AFC at -3 over the NFC in the Super Bowl…which you can bet even though the teams aren’t known yet. New England only opened at -4.5 here…which is less than you’d except for the AFC favorite playing on its home field. Sharps bet the Pats to -5.5. Given how the public joined the sharps on New England over Houston last week, we may see a rise once again on game day in this line. We understand sharps would come in on San Francisco at +7 because of their strong defense.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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12/15/2012 11:33 PM
Packers, Steelers, Patriots Favored In 3 Key Games Sunday

Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears
NFL Betting Preview
Date: 12/16/2012 at 1:00 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: Packers -3, O/U 42
Television: FOX

Green Bay Packers: The NFC North title is on the line when the Pack (9-4 straight-up, 7-6 against the spread) heads to the Windy City with a one-game lead over the Bears and the opportunity to clinch the division with a victory. Green Bay won its second straight with a 27-20 home decision over Detroit last week to take sole command of the NFC North. The Packers were held under 300 yards on offense but still managed to cover the 5½-point line for a second consecutive point-spread triumph and fourth cover in five games. Jordy Nelson, the team's second-leading receiver with 46 catches for 658 yards, missed the Lions game with a hamstring injury and is doubtful for Sunday's tilt in Chicago, but linebacker Clay Matthews is expected to return to action (click to check updated NFL injury report). Green Bay won its fifth straight in this series with a 23-10 home victory in Week 2 as 5½-point chalk, limiting the Bears to 171 yards of offense. The Packers have covered the last four vs. Chicago, a string that started with the 2011 NFC Championship.

Chicago Bears: While the Packers have won two straight, the Bears (8-5 SU, 6-7 ATS) have dropped their last two following a 21-14 defeat last Sunday in Minnesota as 1-point road favorites. The setback was Chicago's fourth in the last five games during a tough stretch on the schedule, each defeat also a loss at the NFL betting window. Quarterback Jay Cutler left the Vikings game with a neck injury after completing 22-of-44 passes and throwing a couple of picks, one of which was returned for a touchdown that proved to be the winning score for Minnesota. Cutler is listed as probable for the matchup with the Packers and is expected to start. The Bears also lost kicker Robbie Gould for the season with a calf injury in the loss to Minnesota, and they have signed Olindo Mare to replace him. Chicago is 7-6 "over" for the season, but this series has gone "under" nine of the last 10 clashes, including the past five played at Soldier Field.

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Pittsburgh Steelers at Dallas Cowboys
NFL Betting Preview
Date: 12/16/2012 at 4:25 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: Dallas -1, O/U 44
Television: CBS

Pittsburgh Steelers: The Steelers (7-6 straight-up, 5-7-1 against the spread) have seen this spread move in their favor even after a bad 34-24 home loss to San Diego last week as 7-point favorites. It was a 34-10 game before two meaningless Pittsburgh touchdowns. Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger (ribs, shoulder) returned after missing three games and struggled early, although he finished with decent numbers (22-of-42 for 285 yards, 3 TDs, one pick). Pitt was badly outgained in time of possession (37-23 minutes) and needs to get the running game going with Jonathan Dwyer and Isaac Redman. Coach Mike Tomlin’s team is tied for the final AFC playoff spot with Cincy, but he has to be concerned about his defense, which has allowed 24.7 points per game the last three contests with the "over" going 3-0 compared to 15 ppg the prior five with the "under" going 5-0.

Dallas Cowboys: Dallas (7-6 SU, 5-8 ATS) is also in the NFC playoff hunt, but in a much more precarious position than Pittsburgh. Coach Jason Garrett’s guys have won four of five, but they have been living dangerously with fourth-quarter comebacks in the last three victories. Quarterback Tony Romo could be without leading receiver Dez Bryant (1,028 yards), as he has a broken finger but has vowed to play. His absence would be a big blow as the running game is still pretty quiet even with DeMarco Murray (foot) returning two games ago. Dallas is a terrible 0-6 ATS (3-3 SU) at Cowboys Stadium this year. The defense has allowed a whopping 30.8 ppg the last five at home with the "over" going 4-1. The rivalry between the Steelers and Cowboys is famous for the three Super Bowl matchups, but they have played each other just twice since 1997, both Pittsburgh wins and covers.

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San Francisco 49ers at New England Patriots
NFL Betting Preview
Date: 12/16/2012 at 8:20 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: Pats -4½, O/U 49
Television: NBC

San Francisco 49ers: Coach Jim Harbaugh and the Niners (9-3-1 straight-up, 8-5 against the spread) face their second consecutive AFC East opponent, and one that should present a greater challenge than the Dolphins a week ago. San Francisco's defense had little problem stifling the Miami attack in the 27-13 win, limiting the Fins to 227 total yards to grab the cover as 11-point home chalk. It was the third win and cover for the 49ers in their last four games, and the final just skipped past the 38½-point mark for the fourth "over" in five contests. San Fran's stop unit ranks second in the NFL, allowing just 275.5 yards per contest, but will now be up against the league's top-ranked offense in New England (425.7 ypg). One injury concern for the Niners is WR Mario Manningham, who is questionable with a shoulder issue (click to check updated NFL injury report). San Francisco has won six of the last nine vs. the Patriots but covered just one of the last five.

New England Patriots: A 42-14 dismantling of the Texans last week has the Pats (10-3 SU, 8-4-1 ATS) riding a seven-game winning streak into this matchup with the 49ers. New England built a 28-0 lead early in he third quarter as Tom Brady picked apart the Houston defense with four touchdown passes to easily cover the 5½-point spread. Brady is tied with Redskins rookie Robert Griffin III for the top passer rating in the league at 104.2. A late score by the Texans sent the game past the 50½ mark, making the "over" 6-1 in the last seven for the Patriots. It was the third time in four games that New England scored at least 42 points, and fifth time this season to boost the team's average to an NFL-best 36.3 ppg, more than a touchdown per game better than Denver's 28.8, which ranks second. The Patriots have won the last three meetings with San Francisco, covering each time. Four of the last five in this series have remained "under" the total.
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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