cnotes Posts:24232 Followers:32
12/20/2012 06:55 PM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Iona at LaSalle
The Gaels look to build on their 6-4 ATS record in their last 10 games as an underdog. Iona is the pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has LaSalle favored by only 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Iona (+5 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 20

Game 507-508: Texas State at Central Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas State 48.020; Central Michigan 54.133
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 6
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 4
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-4)

Game 509-510: UL-Monroe at UAB (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 41.022; UAB 58.892
Dunkel Line: UAB by 18
Vegas Line: UAB by 20 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (+20 1/2)

Game 511-512: Pepperdine at Tulane (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 50.314; Tulane 59.154
Dunkel Line: Tulane by 9
Vegas Line: Tulane by 7
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (-7)

Game 513-514: Eastern Michigan at Michigan (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 48.075; Michigan 75.806
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 27 1/2; 111
Vegas Line: Michigan by 24 1/2; 115 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-24 1/2); Under

Game 515-516: Cal Poly at Washington (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 52.217; Washington 63.993
Dunkel Line: Washington by 12
Vegas Line: Washington by 10
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-10)

Game 517-518: Idaho at Boise State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 53.101; Boise State 67.589
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Boise State by 12
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-12)

Game 519-520: UC-Irvine at USC (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 51.250; USC 62.393
Dunkel Line: USC by 11
Vegas Line: USC by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: USC (-8 1/2)

Game 521-522: UC Davis vs. Southern Illinois (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC Davis 45.715; Southern Illinois 54.539
Dunkel Line: Southern Illinois by 9
Vegas Line: Southern Illinois by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Illinois (-6 1/2)

Game 523-524: Nicholls State at Utah State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nicholls State 42.506; Utah State 58.846
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Utah State by 18
Dunkel Pick: Nicholls State (+18)

Game 525-526: Elon at Duke (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Elon 52.839; Duke 83.262
Dunkel Line: Duke by 30 1/2
Vegas Line: Duke by 23 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-23 1/2)

Game 527-528: Iona at LaSalle (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 56.842; LaSalle 59.575
Dunkel Line: LaSalle by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: LaSalle by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iona (+5 1/2)

Game 529-530: Rider at Princeton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rider 52.842; Princeton 56.621
Dunkel Line: Princeton by 4
Vegas Line: Princeton by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rider (+6 1/2)

Game 531-532: IUPUI at Valparaiso (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IUPUI 42.727; Valparaiso 57.994
Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 18
Dunkel Pick: IUPUI (+18)

Game 533-534: Weber State at Eastern Washington (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 56.001; Eastern Washington 52.939
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 3
Vegas Line: Weber State by 7
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Washington (+7)

Game 535-536: Idaho State at Portland State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 40.759; Portland State 51.769
Dunkel Line: Portland State by 11
Vegas Line: Portland State by 8
Dunkel Pick: Portland State (-8)

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24232 Followers:32
12/20/2012 06:56 PM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, December 20

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TEXAS ST (4 - 7) at C MICHIGAN (5 - 4) - 12/20/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C MICHIGAN is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) in December games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LA-MONROE (1 - 6) at UAB (5 - 6) - 12/20/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PEPPERDINE (7 - 4) at TULANE (8 - 3) - 12/20/2012, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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E MICHIGAN (6 - 3) at MICHIGAN (11 - 0) - 12/20/2012, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 119-155 ATS (-51.5 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
E MICHIGAN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 71-98 ATS (-36.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MICHIGAN is 46-25 ATS (+18.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 46-25 ATS (+18.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CAL POLY-SLO (4 - 5) at WASHINGTON (6 - 4) - 12/20/2012, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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IDAHO (4 - 5) at BOISE ST (7 - 2) - 12/20/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 78-53 ATS (+19.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
IDAHO is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
IDAHO is 3-0 against the spread versus BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 3-0 straight up against IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UC-IRVINE (5 - 7) at USC (4 - 6) - 12/20/2012, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UC-IRVINE is 55-78 ATS (-30.8 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
UC-IRVINE is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) in December games since 1997.
USC is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 2-15 ATS (-14.5 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
USC is 0-0 against the spread versus UC-IRVINE over the last 3 seasons
USC is 1-0 straight up against UC-IRVINE over the last 3 seasons

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CAL DAVIS (2 - 6) vs. S ILLINOIS (6 - 2) - 12/20/2012, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAL DAVIS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
CAL DAVIS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NICHOLLS ST (1 - 5) at UTAH ST (6 - 1) - 12/20/2012, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games in all tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ELON (6 - 4) at DUKE (10 - 0) - 12/20/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ELON is 1-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 1-0 straight up against ELON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IONA (5 - 4) at LASALLE (6 - 2) - 12/20/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IONA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LASALLE is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.
LASALLE is 35-59 ATS (-29.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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RIDER (6 - 5) at PRINCETON (3 - 6) - 12/20/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RIDER is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
PRINCETON is 88-61 ATS (+20.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
RIDER is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
RIDER is 1-0 against the spread versus PRINCETON over the last 3 seasons
PRINCETON is 1-0 straight up against RIDER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IUPUI (4 - 9) at VALPARAISO (7 - 4) - 12/20/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IUPUI is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in all games this season.
IUPUI is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
IUPUI is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
IUPUI is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
IUPUI is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.
VALPARAISO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
IUPUI is 1-0 against the spread versus VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons
IUPUI is 1-0 straight up against VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WEBER ST (4 - 3) at E WASHINGTON (2 - 8) - 12/20/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WEBER ST is 115-82 ATS (+24.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
E WASHINGTON is 26-48 ATS (-26.8 Units) in December games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
E WASHINGTON is 3-2 against the spread versus WEBER ST over the last 3 seasons
WEBER ST is 4-1 straight up against E WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IDAHO ST (1 - 7) at PORTLAND ST (2 - 5) - 12/20/2012, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO ST is 127-169 ATS (-58.9 Units) in all games since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 127-169 ATS (-58.9 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 78-110 ATS (-43.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND ST is 3-1 against the spread versus IDAHO ST over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND ST is 3-1 straight up against IDAHO ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24232 Followers:32
12/20/2012 06:58 PM

NCAAB

Thursday, December 20

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
ELON vs. DUKE
Elon is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Duke is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Duke is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games at home

7:00 PM
IONA vs. LA SALLE
Iona is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games on the road
La Salle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
La Salle is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games at home

7:00 PM
STETSON vs. CENTRAL FLORIDA
No trends available
Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Stetson
Central Florida is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home

7:00 PM
ST. FRANCIS PA vs. KENT STATE
No trends available
Kent State is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home

7:00 PM
RIDER vs. PRINCETON
Rider is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Princeton is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Princeton is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home

7:00 PM
TEXAS STATE vs. CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Texas State is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Central Michigan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:30 PM
UC DAVIS vs. SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
No trends available
Southern Illinois is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

8:00 PM
LOUISIANA-MONROE vs. UAB
Louisiana-Monroe is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
UAB is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
UAB is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN vs. WICHITA STATE
No trends available
Wichita State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Wichita State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

8:00 PM
LIPSCOMB vs. MEMPHIS
No trends available
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Memphis is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games at home

8:00 PM
LEHIGH vs. NORTH TEXAS
No trends available
North Texas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
North Texas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
ROBERT MORRIS vs. ARKANSAS
No trends available
Arkansas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Arkansas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
PEPPERDINE vs. TULANE
Pepperdine is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Pepperdine is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Tulane is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Tulane is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

8:05 PM
IUPUI vs. VALPARAISO
No trends available
Valparaiso is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing IUPUI
Valparaiso is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against IUPUI

8:30 PM
EASTERN MICHIGAN vs. MICHIGAN
Eastern Michigan is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Michigan
Eastern Michigan is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Michigan
Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Eastern Michigan
Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

9:00 PM
IDAHO vs. BOISE STATE
Idaho is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Idaho's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boise State
Boise State is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Idaho
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:00 PM
CAL POLY vs. WASHINGTON
Cal Poly is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Cal Poly is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Washington is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games at home
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

9:05 PM
WEBER STATE vs. EASTERN WASHINGTON
Weber State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Eastern Washingto
Weber State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Eastern Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Weber State
Eastern Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Weber State

10:05 PM
NICHOLLS STATE vs. UTAH STATE
No trends available
Utah State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Utah State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

10:35 PM
IDAHO STATE vs. PORTLAND STATE
Idaho State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Idaho State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland State's last 6 games when playing Idaho State
Portland State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

11:00 PM
UC IRVINE vs. USC
UC Irvine is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
UC Irvine is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
USC is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games at home
USC is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24232 Followers:32
12/20/2012 07:00 PM

NCAAB
Top 25 Short Sheet

Thursday, December 20

Eastern Michigan at Michigan, 8:30 ET BTN
Eastern Michigan: 1-8 ATS as a road underdog of 10+ points
Michigan: 21-10 ATS off a non-conference game

Elon at Duke, 7:00 ET ESPNU
Elon: 10-3 Over off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games
Duke: 7-1 ATS after playing as a favorite

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24232 Followers:32
12/20/2012 07:02 PM

NCAAB

Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, December 20

-- Central Michigan is 4-4 vs D-I teams, winning its two games against teams not in top 200 by 2-3 points. Texas State lost seven of last nine games, with wins over teams ranked #341/329; Bobcats play at #3 pace in country- three of their last four games went over total. WAC single digit road dogs are 11-10. MAC single digit home favorites are 9-7.

-- Pepperdine won seven of last nine games; they're 2-1 vs teams in top 150, but lost three games to teams ranked lower- they turn ball over 24% of time, not good. Tulane has played 3rd-easiest schedule in country but they've also won seven of last nine games. WCC single digit road dogs are 1-6 vs spread; C-USA single digit home favorites are 7-5.

-- 11-0 Michigan just beat West Virginia in NYC; they're 3-0 vs teams not in top 200, winning by 37-32-28 points; Wolverines shoot 57.5% inside arc. Eastern Michigan upset Purdue at home, lost at Syracuse by 36 in its two games vs top 100 teams- they're shooting 39% inside arc. MAC road underdogs of 18+ points are 2-6 against the spread.

-- Cal Poly is 2-5 vs D-I teams but won at UCLA, its only win in five road games, with losses by 7-18-13-8 points; Mustangs play #343 pace in country (5th-slowest). Washington is just 4-3 at home, with losses to Albany/Nevada, so they're not reliable favorite. Big West road dogs are 24-20 vs spread. Pac-12 home favorites are 30-18 vs spread.

-- Boise State won four of last five games vs Idaho, winning last two by three points each; Broncos are much improved team at 7-2- they're the #9 3-point shooting team in country. Idaho is 1-3 on road, losing by 15-9-4 points, winning in OT at Eastern Washington. MWC double digit home favorites are 11-7 vs spread; WAC double digit dogs are 8-6.

-- Cal-Irvine lost six of last seven games vs D-I teams; they've lost four games by 4 or less points- they shoot 29.7% behind arc. USC lost five of last six games, but they're 3-1 vs teams not in top 100, winning by 14-18-44 points. Pac-12 single digit home favorites are 13-6 vs spread. Big West single digit road dogs are 11-10 vs spread.

-- Southern Illinois is 5-2 vs D-I teams despite turning ball over 23% of time; Salukis are 2nd-shortest team in country. Cal-Davis lost six of first eight games, with only wins vs teams ranked #245/282; they're 0-4 vs teams in top 200, losing by 1-7-8-23 points. MVC favorites are 5-7-1 vs spread away from home. Big West single digit underdogs are 12-12.

-- Duke hammered Cornell by 41 last night, has another ESPNU thriller here vs Elon squad that is 5-4 vs D-I teams, losing by 15 at Butler, by 5 in OT at UMass, its two games vs top 100 teams. Duke is 4-0 vs teams not in top 100, winning by 19-21-38-41 points. SoCon road underdogs of 16+ points are 15-4 against the spread so far this season.

-- Erratic Iona lost by hoop at St Peter's, won at Georgia by 3 in OT in its two road games; 5-4 Gaels play #18 pace in country- they lost by 8 to Rutgers, beat Denver by 7 in their games vs top 100 teams. LaSalle had 5-game win streak snapped at #45 Bucknell Saturday; they lost to Central Connecticut, beat Villanova, tough team to figure.

-- First game in 11 days for Rider squad that lost in OT to Princeton at home (72-71) LY; Broncs are 2-3 vs teams in top 150, with losses by 8-11-13 points. Princeton lot six of last eight games, losing two of three vs teams not in top 200. Tigers are turning ball over 22% of time. MAAC single digit road underdogs are 4-16. Ivy home favorites are 1-8.

-- Valparaiso is 7-4 after losing at Oakland of Summit League by a hoop Monday; Crusaders are turning ball over 25.2% of time. IUPUI lost its last eight games vs D-I teams (two non-D-I wins) with last five losses all by 14+ points; Jaguars beat Valpo by 9 LY. Horizon double digit home favorites are 3-4; Summit League double digit road dogs are 9-15.

-- Weber State won eight of last nine games vs Eastern Washington, with four straight wins here, by 7-12-28-8 points. Wildcats won by point at #69 Dayton, after losing at San Jose State/Utah State, their only games on road this year. EWU is 2-8, 1-2 at home, losing to Seattle by 6, by a hoop in OT to Idaho. Teams shoot just 23.5% behind arc vs Weber.

-- Idaho State is 0-7 vs D-I teams, turning ball over 23.5% of time; they are making 27.2% behind arc; Bengals lost five of last their six visits to Portland, with losses by 12-35-27--23-7 points. Portland State is 0-5 vs D-I teams, turning ball over 23.0% of time, making 28.6% behind arc. Favorites covered three of first four Big Sky conference games.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24232 Followers:32
12/20/2012 07:12 PM

San Diego State At Home Against BYU In Poinsettia Bowl

Brigham Young Cougars vs. San Diego State Aztecs
Poinsettia Bowl Betting Preview
Date: 12/20/2012 at 8:00 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: BYU -3, O/U 50
Television: ESPN

BYU Cougars: No stranger to playing bowl games in San Diego, the Cougars (7-5 straight-up, 6-6 against the spread) will make their first trip to the Poinsettia Bowl to meet the Aztecs as slight favorites. This is Brigham Young's 12th trip to San Diego for a bowl game after making 11 appearances in the Holiday Bowl over the years. The Cougars went 4-6-1 in those matchups that started in the late 70s. Coach Bronco Mendenhall's squad completed its second season as an independent and closed the 2012 campaign by winning three of the final four games, the "over" also 3-1 in that span. Backup quarterbacl James Lark led a 50-14 rout at New Mexico State in the season finale, completing 34-of-50 passes for 384 yards and six touchdowns, five of those scoring tosses hauled in by Cody Hoffman, the team's leading receiver. Lark was pressed into duty for Riley Nelson, who is probable but may not start the Poinsettia Bowl due to a rib injury (click for updated college football injury report).

San Diego State Aztecs: This is the second Poinsettia Bowl appearance for the Aztecs (9-3 SU, 8-4 ATS), who won the 2010 contest vs. Navy, 35-14. San Diego State finished the 2012 campaign in a three-way tie for first in the Mountain West with Boise State and Fresno State, each team sporting 7-1 conference records. Coach Rocky Long's crew closed the schedule with seven consecutive triumphs after starting MWC play with a loss to Fresno State. The Aztecs bring the nation's 16th-ranked rushing attack into the battle with BYU, with the ground game led by sophomore tailback Adam Muema, who ranked 16th in the country averaging almost 113 yards per game. Adam Dingwell started SDSU's last four games of the season at QB after Ryan Katz suffered an ankle injury in the win over Nevada. Dingwell completed 71-of-115 pass attempts (61.7 percent) for eight touchdowns. This will be the 36th meeting between the Aztecs and Cougars, who own a 27-7-1 advantage over the years. BYU has won nine of the last 10 clashes with SDSU, covering two of the past three.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24232 Followers:32
12/20/2012 07:15 PM

Poinsettia Bowl preview

December 18, 2012

Two familiar foes from their days in the WAC and Mountain West Conferences will collide Thursday night at Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego for the Poinsettia Bowl. San Diego St. will be bowling at home for the second time in three years, while BYU is in the postseason for the eighth straight season under Bronco Mendenhall.

Most books opened BYU (7-5 straight up, 6-6 against the spread) as a three-point favorite with a total of 49 ½. As of late Tuesday afternoon, most spots had the Cougars favored by 3.5 with the total down to 48 ½. Gamblers can take the Aztecs to win outright for a plus-155 return (risk $100 to win $155).

Since losing back-to-back games in September, San Diego St. (9-3 SU, 8-4 ATS) has won seven consecutive games while compiling a 6-1 spread record. Rocky Long’s team is gunning for the first eight-game winning streak in school history. The Aztecs closed the regular season with a 42-28 win at Wyoming as seven-point ‘chalk.’ Sophomore running back Adam Muema was the catalyst against the Cowboys, rushing for 255 yards and four touchdowns on 26 carries.

Muema enjoyed a banner campaign, rushing for 1,355 yards and 16 touchdowns while averaging 6.4 yards per carry. Senior RB Walter Kazee is also productive out of the backfield, tallying 822 rushing yards and eight TDs.

Oregon St. transfer Ryan Katz was the starting QB until sustaining a season-ending ankle injury in an Oct. 20 win over Nevada. Katz had thrown for 13 touchdowns compared to four interceptions, but the Aztecs haven’t missed a beat with sophomore Adam Dingwell.

Dingwell has completed 61.7 percent of his throws for 795 yards with an 8/4 touchdown-to-interception ratio.

The San Diego St. offense will face a stout BYU defense which is ranked third in the nation overall and second against the run. The Cougars give up only 84.3 yards rushing per game and 14.7 points per contest.

BYU lost four of its six games against bowl-bound teams, going 3-3 ATS. The Cougars’ best wins came over Utah St. (6-3) at home and at Ga. Tech (41-17). They have been single-digit favorites four times, limping to a 0-4 spread record.

BYU won three of its last four games, including a 50-14 win at New Mexico St. as a 28-point road favorite. Senior QB James Lark made the most of his first career start, throwing for 384 yards and six TDs without an interception.

Mendenhall has been playing coy about who will get the starting nod under center. Riley Nelson (ribs) will be available after sitting out the regular-season finale but according to Jay Drew, BYU’s beat writer for the Salt Lake City-Tribune, he will be ‘stunned’ if Lark doesn’t start.

Nelson, the senior starting QB for most of the year, has a 13/12 TD-INT ratio. Meanwhile, Lark has eight TD passes without being picked off.

Junior WR Cody Hoffman is BYU’s best player on offense. Hoffman hauled in 90 receptions for 1,134 yards and 11 TDs. He is a physical wideout with excellent speed and an NFL future. Jamaal Williams paced the Cougars in rushing with 744 yards and 11 TDs.

San Diego St. went 3-1 ATS in four underdog situation this season, winning a pair of those games outright.

San Diego St. faced six bowl-bound squads this year, winning three of those games while going 4-2 ATS. The Aztecs won a pair of nail-biters at Nevada (39-38) and at Boise St. (21-19), and they also drilled Air Force by a 28-9 count as seven-point home ‘chalk.’

The ‘under’ has gone 6-5 overall for both teams this season. However, BYU has seen the ‘over’ hit a 3-1 clip in its last four games, while San Diego St. has watched the ‘under’ go 3-1 in its last four outings.

BYU has won five in a row over San Diego St. and nine of the last 10. The Cougars went 3-2 ATS in the head-to-head showdowns from 2006-2010, including a 24-21 triumph two seasons ago.

BYU has won three straight bowl games both SU and ATS, including last year’s 24-21 win over Tulsa as a 2 ½-point favorite in the Armed Forces Bowl.

San Diego St. lost a 32-30 decision to UL-Lafayette as a four-point favorite in last season’s New Orleans Bowl. However, the Aztecs won the Poinsettia Bowl two years ago by mauling Navy, 35-14, as three-point favorites.

Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24232 Followers:32
12/20/2012 07:17 PM

San Diego State hosts BYU in Poinsettia Bowl

BYU COUGARS (7-5)
at SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS (9-3)

Poinsettia Bowl - San Diego, CA
Kickoff: Thursday, 8:00 p.m. EDT
Line: BYU -2.5, Total: 48.5

BYU looks to retain its dominance over a former Mountain West foe when it plays a true road game at San Diego State in Thursday's Poinsettia Bowl.

BYU is 27-7-1 SU all-time in this series, including 9-1 SU in the past 10 meetings and five straight victories from 2006 to 2010, prevailing by an average of 18.6 PPG during this win streak. Cougars QB Riley Nelson missed the season finale with a ribs injury and was replaced by James Lark, who threw for 384 yards and 6 TD in his first collegiate start. Bronco Mendenhall has yet to name his starter for this game, and likely won't make a final decision until game day. SDSU is also using a second-string quarterback in Adam Dingwell, who has led the team to five straight wins since replacing the injured Ryan Katz. The Aztecs are a run-oriented offense (229 rushing YPG), but BYU has the 2nd-best rushing defense in FBS (84 YPG).

Can San Diego State pull off the mild upset on their home turf? For the answer, download your FREE copy of the StatFox Edge College Bowl Guide for all the StatFox Experts picks for each of the 35 bowls, both Against The Spread and Over/Under.

If you look at the 2012 numbers of the two BYU signal callers, Lark (68% completions, 8 TD, 0 INT) is much more impressive than Nelson (59% completions, 13 TD, 12 INT). Nelson does have bowl experience though, completing 17-of-40 passes for 250 yards, 3 TD and 2 INT in last year's 24-21 Armed Forces Bowl win over Tulsa. Whoever the quarterback is will be relying heavily on junior WR Cody Hoffman, who has 90 catches for 1,134 yards -- 826 more than any other teammate -- to go along with 11 TD. Hoffman has seven 100-yard games this year, including three in a row. In his two career bowl games, Hoffman has 16 catches for 259 yards and six touchdowns, scoring three times in each victory. BYU's rushing offense hasn't been very effective in the past two games, gaining just 223 yards on 68 carries (3.3 YPC). Freshman RB Jamaal Williams has more than twice as many rushing yards (744) as any teammate (Taysom Hill, 336), scoring 11 touchdowns, including six over the past four games. Turnovers have been a problem for the Cougars for much of the season, as they have multiple giveaways in seven of 12 games. Defensively, this BYU squad is outstanding, ranking third in the nation in total defense (266 YPG) and fifth in scoring defense (14.7 PPG). The Cougars are tied for 22nd in the country in sacks (2.6 per game), but their defense doesn't make a whole lot of big plays though, forcing 0-to-1 turnovers in five of their past six games. BYU has won three straight bowl games, scoring 40.0 PPG in these three victories.

Aztecs QB Adam Dingwell has been solid since replacing injured Ryan Katz, completing 63% of his passes with 8 TD and 4 INT. Four of those touchdowns have gone to junior TE Gavin Escobar, who leads the team with 519 receiving yards. Escobar will be playing in his third bowl, catching seven passes for 94 yards over the prior two postseason games. Erratic junior WR Colin Lockett will also need a big game for his team to come out on top. He has four 100-yard receiving efforts this year, but also has six games of less than 50 receiving yards. Lockett was outstanding in last year's heart-breaking 32-30 New Orleans Bowl loss to UL-Lafayette though, catching six passes for 85 yards and three touchdowns. But San Diego State is a much better rushing team (229 YPG, 15th in nation), than passing offense (179 YPG, 106th in FBS). RB Adam Muema (113 rushing YPG, 16 TD) is coming off his best game of the year with 255 yards on 26 carries and 4 TD in a 42-28 win at Wyoming. The Aztecs defense allows 24.5 PPG and 375 total YPG on the season, but has been better recently, allowing less than 20 points in five of the past seven games and limiting the past four opponents to 338 total YPG (164 passing YPG). SDSU also has five games this year of at least three forced turnovers. The Aztecs are playing in their second Poinsettia Bowl in three years, crushing Navy 35-14 in 2010.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24232 Followers:32
12/20/2012 07:22 PM

Thursday, December 20

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BYU (7 - 5) at SAN DIEGO ST (9 - 3) - 12/20/2012, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BYU is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
BYU is 1-0 straight up against SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Thursday, December 20

8:00 PM
BYU vs. SAN DIEGO STATE
BYU is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games
BYU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego State
San Diego State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego State's last 6 games

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NCAAF
Dunkel

Bowl Season

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 20

Game 205-206: BYU vs. San Diego State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 92.020; San Diego State 92.764
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 1; 52
Vegas Line: BYU by 3; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (+3); Over

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NCAAF
Short Sheet

Bowl Season

Thursday, December 20, 2012

San Diego County Credit Poinsettia Bowl
BYU vs. San Diego State, 1:00 ET ESPN
BYU: 8-0 ATS after winning 3 of their last 4 games
San Diego State: 12-27 ATS off BB ATS wins

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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Season

Thursday, December 20

Poinsettia Bowl (San Diego)
Home game for San Diego State, which won this game 35-14 in '10, then lost New Orleans Bowl LY; Aztecs won last seven games after 2-3 start, winning SU as underdogs at Nevada/Boise St. State is 3-1 as an underdog this year. BYU lost four of six road games this year, with only wins vs Ga Tech/New Mexico State; they won their last four games with former MWC rival Aztecs by average score of 38-22. Cougars are 6-0 if they score 30+ points, 1-5 if they don't; they're 3-4 as favorites this season. Aztecs held five of last seven foes under 20 points. BYU won last three bowls, scoring 40 ppg. MWC underdogs are 16-5 vs spread this season, 3-0 at home. BYU coach Mendenhall is 5-2 in bowls, San Diego State's Long 2-4. Underdogs covered four of last five Poinsettia Bowls, with Aztecs only one of the five favorites to cover. San Diego State is only team to beat Boise/Nevada in same season, since they've been I-A teams.


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NCAAF

Thursday, December 20

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Poinsettia Bowl: What bettors need to know
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Poinsettia Bowl: BYU Cougars vs. San Diego State Aztecs (+3, 48.5)

POINSETTIA BOWL STORYLINES

1. Two former conference foes renew a rivalry that is much more important to San Diego State. The Aztecs are seeking their first 10-win season since 1977 and playing in a third consecutive bowl game for the initial time in program history. Brigham Young attempts to add on to its dominating 27-7-1 edge in the all-time series and is 5-2 in bowl games under eight-year coach Bronco Mendenhall.

2. Mendenhall has an interesting decision to make at quarterback between Riley Nelson and one-game sensation James Lark. Nelson has been maddeningly inconsistent and his absence because of injured ribs presented Lark with the opportunity to pass for 384 yards and six touchdowns in the regular-season finale against porous New Mexico State.

3. Mountain West Coach of the Year Rocky Long of San Diego State and Mendenhall are highly familiar with one another. Mendenhall was defensive coordinator under Long for five seasons (1998-2002) at New Mexico and considers him a mentor. The Aztecs’ atypical 3-3-5 defensive alignment doesn’t prompt an uncomfortable adjustment period for Mendenhall and the BYU staff, who have previously coached against it on several occasions.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE: BYU opened between a 2.5 and 3.5-point favorite while the total has moved from 49 to as low as 48 before settling in between.

WEATHER: The forecast calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid 50s. Winds are expected to blow NNW at 2 mph.

CONSENSUS: Fifty-six percent of Covers Consensus picks are on BYU while 53 percent is on the under.

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings in San Diego State.
* Cougars are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 meetings.
* Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.

ABOUT BRIGHAM YOUNG (7-5, 6-6 ATS): No matter who starts at quarterback, junior receiver Cody Hoffman is a big-time threat with 90 catches for 1,134 yards and 11 touchdowns. Hoffman caught a school-record five touchdowns in the season finale. Freshman Jamaal Williams rushed for a team-best 744 yards for an offense that averages 29.2 points. The Cougars shine on defense, led by junior Kyle Van Noy. The dominating linebacker has 11.5 sacks and five forced fumbles for a unit that ranks third in total defense (266.3 yards per game) and fifth in scoring defense (14.7). BYU’s stout rushing defense (84.3) ranks second nationally as it goes up against a strong San Diego State rushing attack. The Cougars often land an edge in field position with senior Riley Stephenson, who ranks second nationally in punting at 47.3 with a 42.2 net average.

ABOUT SAN DIEGO STATE (9-3, 7-1 Mountain West, 8-4 ATS): The Aztecs have won seven straight games and haven’t lost since September. San Diego State has set a school-record with 2,750 rushing yards – the old mark of 2,476 was set during Marshall Faulk’s freshman campaign in 1991 – with sophomore Adam Muema leading the way with 1,355 yards and 16 rushing scores. San Diego State will be without senior Walter Kazee (822 yards), who injured his knee in the regular season finale. The strong running game has aided sophomore quarterback Adam Dingwell (eight touchdowns, four interceptions) after he became the starter for the final four regular season games because of a season-ending injury to Ryan Katz. Senior cornerback Leon McFadden (three interceptions) will be called on to help slow Hoffman, while junior safety Nat Berhe (team-best 87 tackles) and sophomore middle linebacker Jake Fely (86 stops, team-high seven sacks) are top-notch defenders.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24232 Followers:32
12/20/2012 07:25 PM

Thursday, December 20

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Brigham Young - 8:00 PM ET Brigham Young -3 500

San Diego State - Under 46 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: