steve_janus Posts:310 Followers:5
On 11/30/2012 12:42 PM in Cappers

FRIDAY'S NBA FREE PICK: Philadelphia 76ers -3.5

Philadelphia vs. Charlotte, 11/30/2012 19:00
Point Spread: -3½/-101 Philadelphia

FRIDAY'S NBA FREE PICK: Philadelphia 76ers -3.5

The 76ers come into this game playing some of their best basketball of the season. Philadelphia has won 5 of their last 7 games overall to improve their overall record to 9-6. Due to the fact that the 76ers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games, I believe it has created big time value on tonight's game against a very mediocre Charlotte squad.

Philadelphia's biggest strength this season has been the effort they put out on the defensive side of the ball. They are allowing just 87.4 ppg on the road this season and I look for the young Bobcats to struggle to get any rhythm going offensively. Charlotte averages just 94.7 ppg on the season.

The other key here is that the Bobcats are not a good defensive team, which is huge in this matchup. Philadelphia's offense hasn't been great this season, but have scored 100 in three straight and four of their last 5. The Bobcats are allowing 100.2 ppg and could find themselves in a big hole early.

These are the teams that Philadelphia has been able to handle with ease. The 76ers are 21-8 ATS vs poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. They are winning these games by an average score of 96-87, which allows you to see the value we are getting at 3.5!

To see more of Steve Janus's plays click here.