coleryan Posts:16234 Followers:21
11/25/2012 11:12 AM

Falcons Coach Smith as a favorite: 31-16 against the spread.

  • Last 7 Days Record: 6-5-0
coleryan Posts:16234 Followers:21
11/25/2012 11:12 AM

85% of the money on Fish and 90% on the Packers for those two games today according to sportsbooks

  • Last 7 Days Record: 6-5-0
coleryan Posts:16234 Followers:21
11/25/2012 11:13 AM

Weather looks great in Jax

  • Last 7 Days Record: 6-5-0
coleryan Posts:16234 Followers:21
11/25/2012 11:13 AM

As SalPal reported, Buccaneers CB Eric Wright will not play today vs Falcons due to sore Achilles. Bucs secondary vulnerable

  • Last 7 Days Record: 6-5-0
coleryan Posts:16234 Followers:21
11/25/2012 11:14 AM

LINE MOVES

Titans/Jaguars- The Jags went to Chad Henne at QB and put 37 points on the Texans. Many people had the Jags as the league's worst but some of my internal numbers indicated it was Blaine Gabbert's ineptitude rather than that of the whole team. However road favorites off a bye have been money, 26-4. Henne is an improvement over Gabbert, but he's not Joe Montana. This game opened Titans-3, went as high as -4, now settling at -3.5.

Bears/Vikings- This number was off all week, just opening now at Bears-6. We knew for a day Cutler was going to start. I hate that the suits are running this business.

Falcons/Buccs- Falcons opened -1.5, when to pick and has been between those numbers all week. The public is on Atlanta, but so are some wiseguys. I'm not sure the Falcons are the better team but the Bucs are a terrible bet at home and have not had a lot of success against the Falcons.

  • Last 7 Days Record: 6-5-0
coleryan Posts:16234 Followers:21
11/25/2012 11:15 AM

BIG INFO

StaceyDales just reported that Vikings RB Adrian Peterson was not on the Vikings buses to the stadium. Weird... Something to watch?

  • Last 7 Days Record: 6-5-0
coleryan Posts:16234 Followers:21
11/25/2012 11:16 AM

Sideline report

RB Jamie Harper is doing the pre-game kettlebell workout, which means he's not playing today vs Jaguars

  • Last 7 Days Record: 6-5-0
coleryan Posts:16234 Followers:21
11/25/2012 11:16 AM

A.J. Green will try to become 3rd player to have single-season streak of 10 games w/ TD catch (Jerry Rice, Crazy Legs Hirsch)

  • Last 7 Days Record: 6-5-0
coleryan Posts:16234 Followers:21
11/25/2012 11:17 AM

Buccaneers trying to win 5 straight for 1st time since 2002 (the year they won the Super Bowl)

  • Last 7 Days Record: 6-5-0
coleryan Posts:16234 Followers:21
11/25/2012 11:17 AM

Some Observations for the NFL Data In Regards To The Favorite Flip Situation:

Overall when a “Favorite Flips” in the NFL the Closing Dog has been 62.5%ATS, and 77.8% when the Closing Favorite was the Home Team
STD when a “Favorite Flips” in the NFL the Closing Dog has been 85.7%ATS, that is 7-1-1
Overall when a “Favorite Flips” in the NFL the Under has been 60.0%, and 70.6% when the Closing Favorite was the Home Team
STD when a “Favorite Flips” in the NFL the Under has been 75.0%, and 100.0% when the Closing Favorite was the Home Team

NFL

2 Game Current Showing – Baltimore vs San Diego, San Francisco vs New Orleans

  • Last 7 Days Record: 6-5-0