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Titans/Jaguars- The Jags went to Chad Henne at QB and put 37 points on the Texans. Many people had the Jags as the league's worst but some of my internal numbers indicated it was Blaine Gabbert's ineptitude rather than that of the whole team. However road favorites off a bye have been money, 26-4. Henne is an improvement over Gabbert, but he's not Joe Montana. This game opened Titans-3, went as high as -4, now settling at -3.5.
Bears/Vikings- This number was off all week, just opening now at Bears-6. We knew for a day Cutler was going to start. I hate that the suits are running this business.
Falcons/Buccs- Falcons opened -1.5, when to pick and has been between those numbers all week. The public is on Atlanta, but so are some wiseguys. I'm not sure the Falcons are the better team but the Bucs are a terrible bet at home and have not had a lot of success against the Falcons.
Some Observations for the NFL Data In Regards To The Favorite Flip Situation:
Overall when a “Favorite Flips” in the NFL the Closing Dog has been 62.5%ATS, and 77.8% when the Closing Favorite was the Home Team
STD when a “Favorite Flips” in the NFL the Closing Dog has been 85.7%ATS, that is 7-1-1
Overall when a “Favorite Flips” in the NFL the Under has been 60.0%, and 70.6% when the Closing Favorite was the Home Team
STD when a “Favorite Flips” in the NFL the Under has been 75.0%, and 100.0% when the Closing Favorite was the Home Team
2 Game Current Showing – Baltimore vs San Diego, San Francisco vs New Orleans