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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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11/25/2012 10:47 AM
From Vegas

So far this morning, the three teams taking the most $$$ in NFL action? Buffalo, Seattle and San Fran; all popular wiseguy wagers
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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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11/25/2012 10:48 AM
Matchup: Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars

Spread: Titans minus-3
Public consensus pick: 56 percent picked Titans
SuperContestants: 163-74 in favor of Titans

Public perception: This will probably be the least-bet game of the week (challenged only by games that have been off the board). Neither team is attractive to the public, as they both can look very competitive one week but also have a tendency to get blown out in ugly ways.

Wiseguys' view: The sharps like these kinds of teams better, as long as they can decipher when they're going to come with one of their good performances. Facing each other isn't as attractive as playing as potentially live 'dogs.

Tuley's Take: I've done well with the Jaguars, but I think they will have a letdown after nearly knocking off the Texans. Plus, I think the Titans should carry some momentum from their 37-3 rout of the Dolphins before their bye week. The pick: Pass (pool play: Titans, as they were my "Chalk Pick of the Week" on my original draft).
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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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11/25/2012 10:50 AM
I believe the real reason Harbaugh is going with Kaepernick is because the players prefer it. "Hot hand" means team morale
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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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11/25/2012 10:50 AM
One wiseguy's opinion of Buccs today, "It's like buying Apple Stock at 900 a share. They can cover but you're clearly paying a premium."
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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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11/25/2012 10:52 AM
No surprise here--Minnesota WR Percy Harvin is expected to miss todays game versus Chicago.
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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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11/25/2012 10:53 AM
Weather Report

Pittsburgh at Cleveland (1, 34.5)

Forecasts are calling for temperatures around the freezing mark with a 20 percent chance of snow. Winds will blow out of the SSW at 17 mph.
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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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11/25/2012 10:54 AM
Matchup: Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears

Spread: No line
Public consensus pick: N/A
SuperContestants: 105-62 in favor of Vikings

Public perception: This has been off the board due to the Bears' quarterback situation. The public had been getting on the Bears' bandwagon, but the 13-6 loss to the Texans (with Jay Cutler playing the first half) and especially the 32-7 rout at the hands of the 49ers (with Jason Campbell at QB) have had bettors jumping ship. I wouldn't be shocked to see the public land on the Vikes here.

Wiseguys' view: The Vegas NFL Bettors' Poll that I do for ESPN Insider on Tuesdays with Teddy "Covers" Sevransky of sportsmemo.com and Sal Selvaggio of madduxsports.com has the Bears rated three points ahead of the Vikings in our combined power ratings. That doesn't include home-field advantage and would be a little higher with Cutler.

Tuley's Take: I'm waiting like everyone else for the line. I've been higher on the Vikings than most people since before their upset of the 49ers in Week 3 and wouldn't mind if Cutler returns if it means getting a better price. The pick: Pass (pool play: Vikings, as long as it's more than a field goal).
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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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11/25/2012 10:54 AM
More Weather

Minnesota at Chicago (-6.5, 38.5)

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-30s with partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out of the west at 10 mph.

Oakland at Cincinnati (-9.5, 50.5)

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-40s with partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out of the SSW at 13 mph.
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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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11/25/2012 10:56 AM
CAR - WR Steve Smith probable
Source: Panthers.com
Carolina Panthers WR Steve Smith (finger) fully participated in practice Saturday, Nov. 24, and is listed as probable for Week 12.
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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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11/25/2012 10:56 AM
NFL MISmatchup

Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears (-6.5, 39.5)

Vikings’ sheltered road woes vs. Windy City weather

Forget about if Jay Cutler is ready to go or not – the one thing that should concern Vikings backers is the fact that this game is outside and on the road. Minnesota hasn’t been able to get the job done away from home this season, going 1-3 SU and ATS.

Minnesota has faced the elements only twice this year, losing outside at Washington and Seattle. The forecast for Soldier Field isn’t calling for sub-zero temperatures (low 40s) but the wind will be howling and the natural grass footing won’t be as fast as the Metrodome’s rug.
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