Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions
Line moves: Packers opened at minus-3, currently minus-3.5.
"Green Bay's injuries include Greg Jennings, Clay Matthews, Charles Woodson and three offensive linemen. But we have seen this before with the Packers; overcoming bruises is what they do. In Detroit: Houston, Avril, Houston, Spievey, Delmas, Burleson, Florence and Best round out their laundry list. In looking at point spreads, I believe there is something called 'value fatigue.' A player's absence has its value (PSVAR) immediately (one to three weeks after he's out). But after a while, his loss begins to decrease in importance. My spread for this game would be Green Bay minus-4.5/5."