coleryan Posts:20851 Followers:24
11/11/2012 10:18 AM

Saints Injury refresher: Darren Sproles, Zach Strief, Junior Galette, Courtney Roby are out vs. Falcons. Charles Brown will start at RT

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coleryan Posts:20851 Followers:24
11/11/2012 10:21 AM

NFL bet trends. Sharps: NE-12.5 or less Cin+4.5 or more Car+4 or more Det-1.5 or less NYJ+6.5 Dal+1.5, -1. Public: NE NYG DEN DET DAL

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coleryan Posts:20851 Followers:24
11/11/2012 10:21 AM

The Buccanneers have never beaten the Chargers in Tampa Bay (0-5 all-time). Will today be the day?

  • Last 7 Days Record: 3-2-1
coleryan Posts:20851 Followers:24
11/11/2012 10:22 AM

Looks like the Giants just got popped. Multiple books moving from -4 to -4.5.

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coleryan Posts:20851 Followers:24
11/11/2012 10:23 AM

Chargers vs Bucs

The public saw the game that Doug Martin had last week, plus Tampa's rout of the Vikings two weeks ago, and have jumped on the (muscle) hamster wheel. The Chargers have let down the public so much that they're no longer considered a public team.

NFC teams are 21-16 ATS against the AFC, so the sharps grabbed the minus-2.5 that was available early, but those are long gone. They're more split at the current line, though they will certainly come back on the Chargers if it gets to plus-3.5.

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coleryan Posts:20851 Followers:24
11/11/2012 10:24 AM

Tenn/Miami? Tennessee is 2-6 ATS as a road underdog between +3½ and +9½ points and 8-12 ATS on the road

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coleryan Posts:20851 Followers:24
11/11/2012 10:24 AM

A year ago, the Jets were the most efficient red-zone team in the NFL. This year, not so much.

QB Mark Sanchez, in particular, has slipped. He has a league-low 50.0 passer rating inside the opponents’ 20, including three interceptions, according to ESPN Stats & Information. That equals his interception total from last season.

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coleryan Posts:20851 Followers:24
11/11/2012 10:26 AM

Turnovers kill---so how do you avoid it? Stick with a team that protects the ball..

Dolphins have turned the ball over just once since Week 6 (fewest in NFL).

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coleryan Posts:20851 Followers:24
11/11/2012 10:26 AM

Dallas/Philly? underdog is 11-5 ATS the last 16 meetings between these two and the dog is now 23-7 ATS in Dallas' last 30 games

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coleryan Posts:20851 Followers:24
11/11/2012 10:27 AM

Falcons vs Saints

Public perception: The Falcons are 8-0, so you have to bet them when favored by less than a field goal, right? The public is willing to bet against the Saints even when they're at home. So much for them being 8-0 SU & ATS last season.

Wiseguys' view: The sharps think this game line just about right considering the Falcons are more like a 6-2 team with a few lucky wins (Panthers and Raiders). If the line gets to a field goal, expect quick buyback on the Saints. In fact, if you're not in a sports book or looking at a live odds screen, you might miss it.

  • Last 7 Days Record: 3-2-1