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The public saw the game that Doug Martin had last week, plus Tampa's rout of the Vikings two weeks ago, and have jumped on the (muscle) hamster wheel. The Chargers have let down the public so much that they're no longer considered a public team.
NFC teams are 21-16 ATS against the AFC, so the sharps grabbed the minus-2.5 that was available early, but those are long gone. They're more split at the current line, though they will certainly come back on the Chargers if it gets to plus-3.5.
A year ago, the Jets were the most efficient red-zone team in the NFL. This year, not so much.
QB Mark Sanchez, in particular, has slipped. He has a league-low 50.0 passer rating inside the opponents’ 20, including three interceptions, according to ESPN Stats & Information. That equals his interception total from last season.
Public perception: The Falcons are 8-0, so you have to bet them when favored by less than a field goal, right? The public is willing to bet against the Saints even when they're at home. So much for them being 8-0 SU & ATS last season.
Wiseguys' view: The sharps think this game line just about right considering the Falcons are more like a 6-2 team with a few lucky wins (Panthers and Raiders). If the line gets to a field goal, expect quick buyback on the Saints. In fact, if you're not in a sports book or looking at a live odds screen, you might miss it.