cnotes Posts:24902 Followers:33
11/18/2012 12:00 PM

NFL Week 11 Preview: Ravens at Steelers

BALTIMORE RAVENS (7-2)

at PITTSBURGH STEELERS (6-3)


Kickoff: Sunday, 8:20 p.m. EDT
Line: Baltimore -3.5, Total: 40

One of the NFL’s biggest rivalries resumes, but with a bunch of key players missing, when Baltimore visits Pittsburgh on Sunday night.

The Ravens will continue to be without LB Ray Lewis (triceps) and CBs Lardarius Webb (ACL) and Jimmy Smith (hernia), while Pittsburgh will be missing QB Ben Roethlisberger (shoulder), WR Antonio Brown (ankle) and likely S Troy Polamalu (calf). With Roethlisberger out indefinitely, the Steelers will go conservative with back-up Byron Leftwich, a statue in the pocket. The Ravens swept Pittsburgh last year, SU and ATS, including a last-second win on a Torrey Smith TD at Heinz Field. Nine of these teams’ last 11 meetings have been decided by one possession.

Can the injury-riddled Steelers beat their division foe on Sunday night? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the StatFox Experts picks for every NFL game throughout the 2012 season and playoffs.

Ravens QB Joe Flacco has played pretty well in this series, throwing 6 TD and just one interception over the past four meetings with Pittsburgh. He's also coming off one of the best games of his career, tallying four total touchdowns and throwing for 341 yards. The emergence of WR Torrey Smith (3 TD in past two games) and consistency of WR Anquan Boldin (4+ catches in six of seven games) should allow Baltimore to move the football through the air despite Pittsburgh's league-best pass defense (171 YPG allowed). The ground game is a bit of a concern though, as the Ravens have been held to fewer than 90 rushing yards in three of the past four games, and RB Ray Rice is battling a toe injury. Since running for 141 yards in Pittsburgh in 2009, Rice has been held to 95 yards on 38 carries (2.5 YPC) in his past three visits to Heinz Field. And it is never easy running through the Steel Curtain, as Pittsburgh currently ranks fifth in the NFL in rushing defense (95 YPG). However, the Steelers did give up 142 rushing yards (4.1 YPC) in last week's 16-13 overtime win over Kansas City.

Leftwich hasn't faced this Ravens defense since 2005 when he led the Jaguars to a 30-3 victory, throwing for 211 yards and a touchdown. In relief of Roethlisberger last week, Leftwich completed 7-of-14 passes for 73 yards (5.2 YPA), 0 TD and 0 INT. Although he still has use of the team's leading receiver in WR Mike Wallace (539 rec. yds) and leading pass catcher in TE Heath Miller (43 receptions), who have both scored six touchdowns, the Steelers will likely employ a heavy ground game. RB Rashard Mendenhall (Achilles) expects to return to the field for the first time since Week 6 to join Jonathan Dwyer and Isaac Redman in the backfield. After three straight games with 140+ rushing yards, the Steelers were held to a mere 95 yards (3.3 YPC) last week, as Dwyer managed just 56 yards on 19 carries (2.9 YPC) and Redman was even worse at 21 yards on eight attempts (2.6 YPC). But without many of their stars on defense, this Baltimore team has been among the worst in the NFL, ranking 26th in both passing defense (258 YPG) and rushing defense (132 YPG). Despite these poor rankings, Baltimore ranks 13th in scoring defense, allowing just 21.8 PPG.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24902 Followers:33
11/18/2012 12:03 PM

NFL

Short Sheet

Week 11

Sunday, November 18, 2012

Philadelphia at Washington, 1:00 ET
Philadelphia: 26-9 Under off a combined score of 60+ points
Washington: 1-5 ATS after scoring 14 points or less

Green Bay at Detroit, 1:00 ET
Green Bay: 7-3 Over with a total of 49.5+ points
Detroit: 12-28 ATS off ATS wins in 4 or 5 of their last 6 games

Arizona at Atlanta, 1:00 ET
Arizona: 15-29 ATS away off BB losses
Atlanta: 6-0 ATS at home off a loss

Tampa Bay at Carolina, 1:00 ET
Tampa Bay: 28-12 ATS after scoring 30+ points
Carolina: 4-13 ATS after losing 3 of their last 4 games

Cleveland at Dallas, 1:00 ET
Cleveland: 13-4 Under as an underdog
Dallas: 3-12 ATS as a home favorite

NY Jets at St. Louis, 1:00 ET
NY Jets: 8-19 ATS off a road loss by 14+ points
St. Louis: 14-5 Under with a line of +3 to -3

(TC) Indianapolis at New England, 4:25 ET
Indianapolis: 28-13 ATS away after allowing 14 points or less
New England: 9-1 Over at home off 3+ wins

Jacksonville at Houston, 1:00 ET
Jacksonville: 8-1 Under vs. division opponents
Houston: 16-4 ATS vs. conference opponents

Cincinnati at Kansas City, 1:00 ET
Cincinnati: 1-5 ATS vs. conference opponents
Kansas City: 8-1 Under at home in the second half of the season

New Orleans at Oakland, 4:05 ET
New Orleans: 9-2 ATS off a home win
Oakland: 14-28 ATS as a home underdog of 7 points or less

San Diego at Denver, 4:25 ET
San Diego: 1-11 ATS off an Over
Denver: 6-0 ATS in November

(TC) Baltimore at Pittsburgh, 8:30 ET NBC
Baltimore: 16-3 Under off BB ATS wins as a favorite
Pittsburgh: 9-5 ATS vs. division opponents


Monday, November 19, 2012

(TC) Chicago at San Francisco, 8:40 ET ESPN
Chicago: 10-3 ATS after winning 2 of their last 3 games
San Francisco: 15-4 Under off a home game

** Week 11 Byes: Minnesota, NY Giants, Seattle, Tennessee **


(TC) = Time Change

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24902 Followers:33
11/18/2012 12:05 PM

NFL

Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 11

Eagles (3-6) @ Redskins (3-6)-- Free-falling Iggles likely to give rookie Foles his first NFL start with Vick having concussion; they've lost last five games, giving up 30.8 ppg in last four- they've changed DC's, hasn't helped. Redskins lost last three games, scoring 12-13 points in last two games (no takeaways, after 16 in first seven games); they're 1-3 at home, but are 0-4 this year when scoring less than 24 points. Philly won five of last six series games, taking last three by 31-7-24 points; Eagles won five of last six visits here, winning last three by 10-31-7. Home teams are 0-5 vs spread in NFC East divisional games. Three of last four Philly games, six of nine Redskin games went over the total. Washington is 0-4 vs spread in last four post-bye games.

Packers (6-3) @ Lions (4-5)-- Green Bay won 12 of last 13 series games, taking five of last six visits here (Rodgers didn't play in loss) with all five wins by 7+ points. Three of last four series games were decided by 4 or less points. Since '04, Green Bay is 8-4 as a road favorite in divisional games. Packers won five of last six (6-0 vs spread) in last six post-bye games; they're 2-2 away from home- this is their 4th game in dome this year. Detroit is 2-1 at home, with only loss 20-13 to Vikings (Minnesota didn't have offensive TD in game, but had PR/KR for TDs). Underdogs covered four of first five NFC North divisional games. Five of last six Packer games, four of last five Detroit games went over total.

Cardinals (4-5) @ Falcons (8-1)-- Since 2008, Atlanta is 17-3-1 vs spread when they lost previous week; they lost for first time last week in Superdome, are 4-0 at home this year, 2-2 as home favorites, winning by 6-2-3-6 points, so hard to lay double digits with them. Home side won five in row and nine of last 10 series games, with average total in last three, 53.0; Cardinals lost last five visits here, with three losses by 23+ points- they lost 41-7 in last visit here, two years ago. Redbirds lost last five games after 4-0 start, scoring 10.6 ppg; they won all four times they scored 20+ points. Arizona is 1-5 vs spread in last six post-bye games. NFC South teams are 8-6 vs spread in non-divisional games, 6-6 at home; NFC West underdogs are 10-6, 6-5 on foreign soil.

Buccaneers (5-4) @ Panthers (2-7)-- Tampa Bay is finding ways to win; in last week's win over San Diego, they had blocked punt for TD and defensive TD. In their last three games, Bucs scored 36-42-34 points; they've got 20 TDs on last 54 drives in last five games, and are 4-0 vs spread on road. Carolina looked like beaten team when they got smoked by Denver last week; they lost 16-10 (-2.5) in season opener down in Tampa; Panthers ran ball only 13 times for 10 yards- five of their seven losses are by 6 or less points. Underdogs covered four of first five NFC South divisional games. Last six Tampa Bay games went over total; three of Panthers' last four home games stayed under.

Browns (2-7) @ Cowboys (4-5)-- Sandwich game (Eagles/Redskins) for Dallas team that kept season alive with win in Philly; they're 1-2 at home this year, 0-3 vs spread, with only win 16-10 (-7.5) over Bucs. Cleveland is 1-3 as a road dog, losing all four games by 7-7-14-4 points- they're 5-8-2 in last 15 games against NFC teams. Dallas covered five of last six vs AFC opponents. Favorites are 10-1 vs spread in Cleveland's post-bye games, with Browns 0-6 as post-bye dogs; they've lost both meetings with Cowboys, 28-10/19-12. NFC East favorites are 3-12 vs spread in non-divisional games, 2-7 at home; AFC North road underdogs are 3-4. Five of last seven Cleveland games stayed under the total.

Jets (3-6) @ Rams (3-5-1)-- Mark Sanchez faced his old college coach last week in Seattle; he faces his old offensive coordinator here, as Schottenheimer landed in St Louis after Jets ran him out of town. Two teams with similar records going in opposite directions; Jets lost last three games, last two by 58-16 combined score. Only Jet TD last week was scored by defense. Rams are 0-3-1 in last four games, but tied 49ers at Candlestick last week, showing improvement. St Louis is 3-1 at home, with only loss to Packers- they're favored for first time this year, but are 3-0 in games where the spread was 3 or less points. NFC West non-divisional home favorites are 4-3; AFC East road underdogs are 4-5.

Colts (6-3) @ Patriots (6-3)-- Who thought this would be a big game this year? New England is 1-3 as home favorite, with wins by 10-3-6 points, and a loss to Arizona- they allowed 20+ points in seven of last eight games. Colts are playing inspired ball with HC Pagano ill; they've won/covered last four games, are 4-2 as underdogs, 1-2 on road, but two of their three losses were by 20-26 points (also lost to Jags by 5). Patriots won last two series games (31-28/31-24) after losing five of previous six to Indy; last seven series games were decided by 7 or less points. AFC East favorites are 6-5 vs spread, 3-3 at home; AFC South dogs are 10-8, 5-4 on foreign soil. Last seven Patriot games went over total; under is 3-0-1 in Colts' last four.

Jaguars (1-8) @ Texans (8-1)-- Trap game for Houston, after national TV win vs Bears, before Thanksgiving Day in Detroit; they hammered Jags 27-7 (-7.5) back in Week 2, outrushing hosts 216-65, holding Jax to 117 total yards, seven 3/outs in 11 drives. Texans won last four series games by average score of 26-13; they are 4-1 as home favorites, winning home games by 20-24-30-12 points. Jaguars lost last six games (2-4 vs spread); they're 4-0 as road underdogs, losing away games by 3-3-9 points, with win at Indy- they had three extra days to prepare. Under is 5-3 in Jags' last eight games. Home teams are 1-4 vs spread in AFC South divisional tilts; home favorites are 7-16-1 league-wide in divisional games.

Bengals (4-5) @ Chiefs (1-8)-- First road game in five weeks for Bengals, who forced four turnovers in home upset of Giants last week; Cincy is 4-0 when it scores 27+ points, 0-5 when it doesn't- they're 2-2 on road, with dog covering last three. Chiefs allowed 24+ points in seven of nine games, losing 16-13 in slop in OT at Pittsburgh Monday- they have three TDs on last 55 drives, but finally had a lead on Monday. Home side won nine of last 11 series games, with Bengals losing six of last eight visits to Arrowhead. AFC West non-divisional underdogs are 5-9 vs spread, 2-2 at home; AFC North favorites are 3-9, 0-4 on road. Three of four Bengal road games, three of last four KC games went over total.

Saints (4-5) @ Raiders (3-6)-- Oakland gave up 42-55 points last two games (12 TDs allowed on last 27 drives) now explosive Saints come to town; if Freeman, Flacco averaged 7.6/10.0 ypa, what will Brees get? Oakland is 2-2 at home, with last three of those going over total; Raiders allowed average of 29.5 ppg at home this year. Saints won four of last five games; they're 1-3 on road, with only win by 7 at Tampa Bay- they covered last three tries as a favorite. Saints won five of last seven series games, winning last two played here, 13-10/31-26. NFC South favorites are 8-6 vs spread, 2-0 on road; AFC West underdogs are 5-9, 2-2 at home. Three of Saints' four road games went over total.

Chargers (4-5) @ Broncos (6-3)-- San Diego lost four of last five games, allowing four TDs on defense/special teams last four games; Denver won/covered four in row, scoring five TDs on defense/special teams. Broncos (+1.5) won 35-24 first time teams met in Week 6, forcing six SD turnovers (+3) in game Bolts led 24-0 at half. Denver scored 31+ points in all six wins; 21-25-21 in losses. San Diego allowed 7-13-34 points in last three games, but only one of three Buc TDs was allowed by defense. This is Norv Turner's last stand as Charger coach. Favorites are 4-2 in AFC West divisional games, 2-2 at home. Five of last six San Diego games, four of last five Bronco games went over the total.

Ravens (7-2) @ Steelers (6-3)-- Health of Roethlisberger's shoulder big concern for Steelers, who won last four games, but were lucky to do so with Leftwich under center in Heinz quagmire Monday night. Steelers are 4-0 at home, allowing average of 12.3 ppg; in last three games overall, they've allowed three TDs on 31 drives. Ravens are +9 in turnovers; they're 2-2 on road, woth wins over Browns, Chiefs, maybe two worst teams in NFL. Ravens scored TD on defense/special teams in four of seven wins. Baltimore swept series 35-7/23-20 LY; they've won two of last three visits here, are 4-3 in last seven series games overall. Last four Pittsburgh games stayed under total; three of last four Raven games went over.

Bears (7-2) @ 49ers (6-2-1)-- Both starting QB's got concussions last week; not sure if either will play, but both teams have decent backups. Home teams won last 10 series games; Bears lost last seven visits here, with last win in '85, season Chicago won only Super Bowl. Bears' only losses came in night games; they are 3-1 on road, with all three wins by 16+ points. Chicago was +16 in turnovers in first half of season, but was -2 in loss Sunday; they;ve turned ball over 8 times in last three games, as sputtering offense was hidden by aggressive defense. 49ers are 2-3 as home favorites, losing to Giants, tying Rams. NFC West non-divisional home favorites are 4-3 vs spread; NFC North road underdogs are 1-3.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24902 Followers:33
11/18/2012 12:07 PM

Sunday, November 18

1:00 PM
GREEN BAY vs. DETROIT
Green Bay is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Detroit
Green Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Detroit is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games when playing Green Bay
Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

1:00 PM
JACKSONVILLE vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games on the road
Jacksonville is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

1:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Philadelphia's last 17 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Washington's last 17 games when playing Philadelphia

1:00 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. CAROLINA
Tampa Bay is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games
Tampa Bay is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Carolina is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Carolina's last 8 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

1:00 PM
CINCINNATI vs. KANSAS CITY
Cincinnati is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Cincinnati is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City's last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

1:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. ATLANTA
Arizona is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing Arizona

1:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. DALLAS
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games
Dallas is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

1:00 PM
NY JETS vs. ST. LOUIS
NY Jets are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
NY Jets are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games at home
St. Louis is 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing NY Jets

4:05 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games on the road
New Orleans is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Oakland
Oakland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oakland's last 8 games at home

4:15 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. DENVER
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 9 games when playing Denver
San Diego is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games

4:25 PM
INDIANAPOLIS vs. NEW ENGLAND
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games when playing on the road against New England
Indianapolis is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against New England
New England is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

8:20 PM
BALTIMORE vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baltimore's last 9 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore


Monday, November 19

8:30 PM
CHICAGO vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Chicago is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games when playing San Francisco
Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco is 12-4-1 ATS in its last 17 games at home
San Francisco19-5-1 SU in its last 25 games

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24902 Followers:33
11/18/2012 12:08 PM

NFL poolies betting cheat sheet: Week 11

Philadelphia at Washington (-3.5, 43.5)

Philadelphia suffered its fifth straight defeat with Sunday's 38-23 loss to Dallas and now limps into Washington on Sunday without the services of QB Michael Vick (concussion), according to multiple reports. Nick Foles will get the nod after completing 22 of 32 pass attempts for 219 yards with a touchdown and an interception in relief of Vick last week. Redskins feature back Alfred Morris, who is seventh in the league with 793 rushing yards, will look to exploit an Eagles defense which is allowing 4.5 yards per carry during the team's losing skid. Philadelphia has played under the total in its last six road games.

Green Bay at Detroit (3.5, 51.5)

The Packers look for their fifth consecutive win when they visit Detroit on Sunday. Green Bay has owned Detroit, winning 12 of the last 13 meetings. Aaron Rodgers has caught fire, throwing for 15 touchdowns and just one interception over the last four games. But the Pack will be without team sack leader Clay Matthews, who has been ruled out with a hamstring injury. Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last six games in Detroit.

Arizona at Atlanta (-9.5, 44)

Atlanta was the last NFL team clinging to perfection until a 31-27 loss at New Orleans last week while the Cardinals are coming off a much-needed bye week after losing five straight. Five of Arizona's nine games (three wins, two losses) have been decided by seven points or fewer, while the Falcons are 5-1 in such games. John Skelton is expected to make another start at QB for the Cards as Kevin Kolb will miss his fourth straight game with rib and shoulder injuries. The Arizona defense ranks second in the league against the pass, which should give the Cardinals a fighting chance against the Falcons' high-flying offense. These teams have played over the total in their last four meetings.

Tampa Bay at Carolina (1, 49)

The Buccaneers have won four of their past five games to surge back into the NFC playoff picture. Tampa Bay's unexpectedly explosive offense has put up 28 or more points in five straight games, thanks to the emergence of RB Doug Martin. The rookie is the only player in the NFL with over 800 rushing yards and 200 receiving yards. Tampa Bay's first four games were decided by a touchdown or less, but its past five have featured an average margin of 14.8 points. The Bucs have played over the total in their last six overall.

Cleveland at Dallas (-9.5, 43.5)

The Cowboys haven't registered back-to-back victories since a four-game winning streak in November 2011, but they have a golden chance against the Browns, who are trying to avoid a franchise-record 12th consecutive road loss. Cowboys RB DeMarco Murray (foot) is expected to miss his fifth straight game, putting Felix Jones in line for another start. Browns CB Joe Haden (oblique) missed practice Thursday and is a game-time decision for Sunday’s contest. Dallas is 0-6 ATS in its last six home games.

New York Jets at St. Louis (-3.5, 38.5)

New York is averaging fewer than 200 passing yards and has been held to 10 points or fewer in four of its six losses. Mark Sanchez has thrown nearly as many interceptions (nine) as touchdowns (10) and went just 9-of-22 for 124 yards and a pick in the 28-7 loss at Seattle last week. Steven Jackson, who rushed over 100 yards last week in San Francisco, could have a big day against a New York defense that ranks 30th against the run. These teams have played over the total in four of their last five meetings.

Jacksonville at Houston (-15, 40.5)

The Texans have rebounded from their only loss of the season with a vengeance, winning three straight while allowing just one touchdown and outscoring their opponents 77-28. Since defeating the Indianapolis Colts in Week 3, Jacksonville has given its fans little to cheer about, going 0-6 while scoring more than 15 points only once. Houston prevailed 27-7 in Week 2 against the Jags, who gained a franchise-low 117 yards in the loss. But surprisingly, Jacksonville is 5-0 ATS in its last five road games.

Cincinnati at Kansas City (3.5, 43.5)

The quarterback carrousel continues for the Chiefs, who are forced to play Matt Cassel for a third straight game while Brady Quinn recovers from a concussion. The Chiefs can’t score regardless of who is under center (16.2 ppg – 30th) and compound the issue by having the worst turnover differential in the league (-20). The only good news from Monday's loss to the Steelers was that Kansas City held a lead in regulation for the first time – ending the league’s longest streak of futility since 1929. The Bengals are coming off a big victory against the defending Super Bowl-champion New York Giants last week but have a few injury issues on defense. Standout rookie free agent LB Vontaze Burfict, who is second on the team with 62 tackles, is questionable due to an elbow injury. CB Nate Clements (knee) and S Reggie Nelson (hamstring) are also questionable.

New Orleans at Oakland (4.5, 54.5)

The Saints’ offense could be in for another big day Sunday when it visits Oakland. Drew Brees has owned the Raiders, passing for 1,248 yards, 13 TDs and no interceptions in his last six games against Oakland – all wins. The Raiders’ stop unit has surrendered 97 points over the last two weeks and is now allowing a league-worst 31.6 points per game. Running backs Darren McFadden and Mike Goodson are both dealing with high ankle sprains and are questionable. The Saints have won 13 straight November games and have covered in five of their last six overall.

San Diego at Denver (-8.5, 48.5)

The Broncos posted one of the greatest comebacks in NFL history when they rallied from a 24-point halftime deficit to defeat the Chargers 35-24 at San Diego earlier in the season. The Chargers turned the ball over six times in the game, five of those coming in the second half. With Peyton Manning back in Pro Bowl form, Denver has won four straight and could put a stranglehold on the division title if it makes it five in row on Sunday. The Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.

Indianapolis at New England (-9.5, 54.5)

The Colts are 5-1 since head coach Chuck Pagano was diagnosed with leukemia as his situation has galvanized the team. However, Indianapolis does have a few key injuries to deal with this week. Linebacker Dwight Freeney has been less than 100 percent for most of the season and the Colts placed CB Jerraud Powers on IR earlier in this week. While the Patriots continue to score with ease, leading the NFL in scoring average at 33.2 points, the defense ranks 29th against the pass and 25th overall. The Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall, while the Patriots are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.

Baltimore at Pittsburgh (3.5, 40)

Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger was knocked out of Monday’s overtime win against Kansas City with a shoulder injury and has been ruled out against the Ravens. Veteran signal-caller Byron Leftwich, who hasn’t started a game since 2009, has been named Big Ben's replacement. While Roethlisberger’s absence will help the Ravens’ defense, Joe Flacco will still have to go up against the best secondary in the league. Baltimore dominated the Raiders last Sunday in a 55-20 victory, scoring three touchdowns in the passing game, two in the running game and two on special teams. The under is 7-0 in Pittsburgh’s last seven home games.

Chicago at San Francisco (OFF)

Off-field news has dominated the headlines leading up to this Monday night clash. Quarterbacks Alex Smith and Jay Cutler were each knocked out of their respective games last week with concussions and on Thursday news broke that 49ers coach Jim Harbaugh was undergoing a minor procedure for an irregular heartbeat. Sportsbooks have been keeping their lines off the board, waiting for an update on the extent of the injuries to both starting QBs before making a decision. Cutler was officially ruled out of action by the team Friday afternoon, which means Jason Campbell will be under center. San Francisco and Chicago rank 1-2 in the league in fewest points allowed with 14.1 and 14.8, respectively. The Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24902 Followers:33
11/18/2012 12:09 PM

NFL weather watch: Chance of rain in Oakland

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers (1, 48)

Site: Bank of America Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-50s under partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out of the NNE at 11 mph.

Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs (3.5, 43.5)

Site: Arrowhead Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-60s under partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out of the south at 13 mph.

New Orleans Saints at Oakland Raiders (4.5, 54.5)

Site: O.co Coliseum

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-50s with a 40 percent chance of rain. Winds will blow out of the south at 6 mph.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24902 Followers:33
11/18/2012 12:11 PM

NFL

Week 11

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Packers at Lions: What bettors need to know
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Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions (3, 52)

The Green Bay Packers entered their bye as one of the league's hottest teams and came out of it having inched closer to the NFC North-leading Chicago Bears. The Packers will look to ride the momentum as they seek their fifth consecutive win against the host Detroit Lions on Sunday. Aaron Rodgers set an absurdly high standard in piloting Green Bay to a 15-1 mark in 2011-12, but his stellar play during the winning streak has mirrored that of his MVP season. A loss could deliver a fatal blow to the postseason hopes of the Lions, who are in the cellar of the only division that features three teams at least two games over .500. The Packers have also owned Detroit, winning 12 of the last 13 meetings.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE: Packers -3, O/U 52.

ABOUT THE PACKERS (6-3): Rodgers has thrown for 15 touchdowns and one interception in the last four games despite missing his favorite two targets in the latter two. James Jones and second-year standout Randall Cobb have elevated their games in the absences of injured wideouts Jordy Nelson and Greg Jennings, who combined for 24 scores last season. Jones is tied for second in the league with eight TD receptions and Cobb has five scores in the last three games. Cobb also contributed to a rushing attack that produced a season-high 176 yards in a 31-17 win over Arizona prior to the bye. Linebacker Clay Matthews, who leads the team with nine sacks, has been ruled out with a hamstring injury.

ABOUT THE LIONS (4-5): Detroit continued a troubling season-long trend of falling behind early and having to play catch-up in last week's 34-24 loss in Minnesota that halted a two-game winning streak. Matthew Stafford threw for 329 yards and three touchdowns, but each score came after the Lions fell into a 16-3 hole early in the third quarter. Calvin Johnson, who has been bothered by a sore knee, came to life with 11 receptions for 207 yards and a touchdown but has only found the end zone twice after finishing second in the NFL with 16 TD receptions last season. A string of early deficits has contributed to the dramatic inconsistency in the running game, which managed a meager 60 yards against the Vikings after amassing 149 yards and four TDs the previous week.

TRENDS:

* Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last five vs. NFC North.
* Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Over is 5-1 in Packers’ last six games overall.
* Over is 8-2-1 in Lions’ last 11 games overall.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Rodgers is the first quarterback in league history to throw 25 TD passes in the first nine games in back-to-back seasons.

2. Johnson had a career-high 244 yards and a TD on 11 catches in a 45-41 loss at Green Bay on Jan. 1, a game Rodgers sat out.

3. The Lions play five of their last seven at home but they have to face conference leaders Houston (8-1) and Atlanta (8-1) along with Chicago (7-2). They also play at Green Bay next month.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24902 Followers:33
11/18/2012 12:13 PM

NFL

Week 11

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Colts at Patriots: What bettors need to know
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Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots (-9.5, 54.5)

Winners of four straight, the Indianapolis Colts take a step up in competition when they visit Tom Brady and the New England Patriots in a marquee matchup on Sunday. Led by rookie Andrew Luck and inspired by their coach Chuck Pagano, who is battling leukemia, the Colts have surprisingly become a legitimate playoff contender.

The Patriots continue to roll on offense. Tom Brady has thrown at least one touchdown pass in his last 41 games and New England has added a potent ground game ranked fourth in the NFL. But the Patriots continue to struggle on defense, leaving the door open for some anxious moments late in games.

TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE: Patriots -9.5, O/U 54.5.

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-40s under sunny skies. Wind won’t be a factor.

ABOUT THE COLTS (6-3): All four of Indianapolis’ victories in its current winning streak have come against teams who currently sport sub-.500 records. The Colts are 5-1 since Pagano was diagnosed with leukemia as his situation has galvanized the team. The players and even a cheerleader have shaved their heads in support of the coach. Luck has rushed for five scores and thrown 10 TD passes for the NFL’s fifth-ranked offense. The favorite for NFL Rookie of the Year admits to being a longtime fan of Brady and is eager for his chance in one of the league’s top rivalries. Indianapolis does have several injuries. Linebacker Dwight Freeney has been less than 100 percent for most of the season and the Colts placed CB Jerraud Powers on IR earlier in the week.

ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (6-3): New England has won the past two games in the series but it is going to have to straighten out things on defense. While the Patriots continue to score with ease, leading the NFL in scoring by averaging 33.2 points., the defense ranks 29th against the pass and 25th overall. Last week, lowly Buffalo scored 31 points and had the ball in the final minute looking to pull off the upset before Devin McCourty picked off a pass by Ryan Fitzpatrick in the end zone. Still, New England has won three straight overall and is in firm control of first place in the AFC East Division.

TRENDS:

* Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Patriots are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.
* Under is 4-0 in Colts’ last four games overall.
* Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last four games in New England.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Brady needs two TD passes to reach 20 for the 10th time in his career.

2. Pats tight end Aaron Hernandez was scratched from last week’s game and is questionable with a nagging ankle injury.

3. DB Robert Mathis is expected to play after missing the past two games for the Colts.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24902 Followers:33
11/18/2012 12:13 PM

NFL

Week 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Colts at Patriots: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots (-9.5, 54.5)

Winners of four straight, the Indianapolis Colts take a step up in competition when they visit Tom Brady and the New England Patriots in a marquee matchup on Sunday. Led by rookie Andrew Luck and inspired by their coach Chuck Pagano, who is battling leukemia, the Colts have surprisingly become a legitimate playoff contender.

The Patriots continue to roll on offense. Tom Brady has thrown at least one touchdown pass in his last 41 games and New England has added a potent ground game ranked fourth in the NFL. But the Patriots continue to struggle on defense, leaving the door open for some anxious moments late in games.

TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE: Patriots -9.5, O/U 54.5.

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-40s under sunny skies. Wind won’t be a factor.

ABOUT THE COLTS (6-3): All four of Indianapolis’ victories in its current winning streak have come against teams who currently sport sub-.500 records. The Colts are 5-1 since Pagano was diagnosed with leukemia as his situation has galvanized the team. The players and even a cheerleader have shaved their heads in support of the coach. Luck has rushed for five scores and thrown 10 TD passes for the NFL’s fifth-ranked offense. The favorite for NFL Rookie of the Year admits to being a longtime fan of Brady and is eager for his chance in one of the league’s top rivalries. Indianapolis does have several injuries. Linebacker Dwight Freeney has been less than 100 percent for most of the season and the Colts placed CB Jerraud Powers on IR earlier in the week.

ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (6-3): New England has won the past two games in the series but it is going to have to straighten out things on defense. While the Patriots continue to score with ease, leading the NFL in scoring by averaging 33.2 points., the defense ranks 29th against the pass and 25th overall. Last week, lowly Buffalo scored 31 points and had the ball in the final minute looking to pull off the upset before Devin McCourty picked off a pass by Ryan Fitzpatrick in the end zone. Still, New England has won three straight overall and is in firm control of first place in the AFC East Division.

TRENDS:

* Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Patriots are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.
* Under is 4-0 in Colts’ last four games overall.
* Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last four games in New England.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Brady needs two TD passes to reach 20 for the 10th time in his career.

2. Pats tight end Aaron Hernandez was scratched from last week’s game and is questionable with a nagging ankle injury.

3. DB Robert Mathis is expected to play after missing the past two games for the Colts.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24902 Followers:33
11/18/2012 12:18 PM

NFL Consensus Picks.....( As of 9:15 Pacific Time )

Sides (ATS)

Time Away Line Picks Pct Home Line Picks Pct Detail Odds

1:00 PM N.Y. Jets +3.5 1582 37.41% St. Louis -3.5 2647 62.59% View View

1:00 PM Philadelphia +3.5 1495 38.95% Washington -3.5 2343 61.05% View View

1:00 PM Jacksonville +15 1575 40.76% Houston -15 2289 59.24% View View

1:00 PM Arizona +9.5 1664 40.90% Atlanta -9.5 2404 59.10% View View

4:25 PM San Diego +9 2098 50.84% Denver -9 2029 49.16% View View

1:00 PM Cleveland +7 2425 57.70% Dallas -7 1778 42.30% View View

4:25 PM Indianapolis +10 2508 59.94% New England -10 1676 40.06% View View

1:00 PM Tampa Bay +1 2918 66.38% Carolina -1 1478 33.62% View View

1:00 PM Cincinnati -3 2879 67.65% Kansas City +3 1377 32.35% View View

8:20 PM Baltimore -3 2970 68.75% Pittsburgh +3 1350 31.25% View View

4:05 PM New Orleans -5 3223 73.97% Oakland +5 1134 26.03% View View

1:00 PM Green Bay -3 3340 74.24% Detroit +3 1159 25.76% View View

Totals (Over/Under)

Time Away Total Home Over Pct Under Pct Detail Odds

8:20 PM Baltimore 40.5 Pittsburgh 993 35.89% 1774 64.11% View View

1:00 PM Cincinnati 43 Kansas City 1081 42.11% 1486 57.89% View View

1:00 PM Cleveland 43.5 Dallas 1182 45.30% 1427 54.70% View View

1:00 PM N.Y. Jets 39.5 St. Louis 1248 46.83% 1417 53.17% View View

1:00 PM Arizona 44 Atlanta 1337 50.21% 1326 49.79% View View

1:00 PM Tampa Bay 47.5 Carolina 1448 53.69% 1249 46.31% View View

1:00 PM Philadelphia 44.5 Washington 1474 56.82% 1120 43.18% View View

1:00 PM Jacksonville 40.5 Houston 1628 61.85% 1004 38.15% View View

4:25 PM Indianapolis 53.5 New England 1870 66.81% 929 33.19% View View

4:05 PM New Orleans 55 Oakland 1859 67.14% 910 32.86% View View

4:25 PM San Diego 47.5 Denver 1913 69.34% 846 30.66% View View

1:00 PM Green Bay 52.5 Detroit 2162 72.77% 809 27.23% View View


Highlighted consensus picks over 59%. For more information, see our FAQ page.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: