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11/18/2012 12:37 PM
Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

11/15/12 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
11/12/12 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
11/11/12 14-­10-­0 58.33% +­1500 Detail
11/08/12 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
11/05/12 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
11/04/12 10-­14-­0 41.67% -­2700 Detail
11/01/12 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail

Totals 33-­25-­0 56.90% +2750


Sunday, November 18

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Philadelphia - 1:00 PM ET Washington -3.5 500
Washington - Over 44.5 500

Green Bay - 1:00 PM ET Green Bay -3 500
Detroit - Over 52.5 500

Arizona - 1:00 PM ET Arizona +9.5 500
Atlanta - Over 43.5 500

Tampa Bay - 1:00 PM ET Tampa Bay +1 500
Carolina - Over 47.5 500

Cleveland - 1:00 PM ET Cleveland +7 500
Dallas - Over 43.5 500

N.Y. Jets - 1:00 PM ET N.Y. Jets +3.5 500
St. Louis - Under 39.5 500

Jacksonville - 1:00 PM ET Houston -15 500
Houston - Under 40.5 500

Cincinnati - 1:00 PM ET Kansas City +3 500
Kansas City - Over 43 500

New Orleans - 4:05 PM ET New Orleans -5 500
Oakland - Over 55 500

Indianapolis - 4:25 PM ET Indianapolis +9.5 500
New England - Under 53.5 500

San Diego - 4:25 PM ET San Diego +8.5 500
Denver - Over 47.5 500
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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11/18/2012 12:37 PM
Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

11/15/12 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
11/12/12 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
11/11/12 14-­10-­0 58.33% +­1500 Detail
11/08/12 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
11/05/12 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
11/04/12 10-­14-­0 41.67% -­2700 Detail
11/01/12 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail

Totals 33-­25-­0 56.90% +2750


Sunday, November 18

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Philadelphia - 1:00 PM ET Washington -3.5 500
Washington - Over 44.5 500

Green Bay - 1:00 PM ET Green Bay -3 500
Detroit - Over 52.5 500

Arizona - 1:00 PM ET Arizona +9.5 500
Atlanta - Over 43.5 500

Tampa Bay - 1:00 PM ET Tampa Bay +1 500
Carolina - Over 47.5 500

Cleveland - 1:00 PM ET Cleveland +7 500
Dallas - Over 43.5 500

N.Y. Jets - 1:00 PM ET N.Y. Jets +3.5 500
St. Louis - Under 39.5 500

Jacksonville - 1:00 PM ET Houston -15 500
Houston - Under 40.5 500

Cincinnati - 1:00 PM ET Kansas City +3 500
Kansas City - Over 43 500

New Orleans - 4:05 PM ET New Orleans -5 500
Oakland - Over 55 500

Indianapolis - 4:25 PM ET Indianapolis +9.5 500
New England - Under 53.5 500

San Diego - 4:25 PM ET San Diego +8.5 500
Denver - Over 47.5 500
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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11/18/2012 12:37 PM
Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

11/15/12 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
11/12/12 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
11/11/12 14-­10-­0 58.33% +­1500 Detail
11/08/12 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
11/05/12 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
11/04/12 10-­14-­0 41.67% -­2700 Detail
11/01/12 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail

Totals 33-­25-­0 56.90% +2750


Sunday, November 18

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Philadelphia - 1:00 PM ET Washington -3.5 500
Washington - Over 44.5 500

Green Bay - 1:00 PM ET Green Bay -3 500
Detroit - Over 52.5 500

Arizona - 1:00 PM ET Arizona +9.5 500
Atlanta - Over 43.5 500

Tampa Bay - 1:00 PM ET Tampa Bay +1 500
Carolina - Over 47.5 500

Cleveland - 1:00 PM ET Cleveland +7 500
Dallas - Over 43.5 500

N.Y. Jets - 1:00 PM ET N.Y. Jets +3.5 500
St. Louis - Under 39.5 500

Jacksonville - 1:00 PM ET Houston -15 500
Houston - Under 40.5 500

Cincinnati - 1:00 PM ET Kansas City +3 500
Kansas City - Over 43 500

New Orleans - 4:05 PM ET New Orleans -5 500
Oakland - Over 55 500

Indianapolis - 4:25 PM ET Indianapolis +9.5 500
New England - Under 53.5 500

San Diego - 4:25 PM ET San Diego +8.5 500
Denver - Over 47.5 500
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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11/19/2012 07:48 PM
NFL

Week 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Monday Night Football: Bears at 49ers
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers (-7, 37)

Monday's night's marquee matchup between the host San Francisco 49ers and Chicago Bears hardly lacked for storylines, pitting a pair of legitimate Super Bowl contenders featuring two of the top defenses in the league. However, it's the off-field news that has dominated the headlines leading into the encounter between the division leaders of the NFC West and North. Quarterbacks Alex Smith and Jay Cutler were each knocked out of last week's game with concussions, and on Thursday came the news that 49ers coach Jim Harbaugh was undergoing a minor procedure for an irregular heartbeat.

Harbaugh, according to the team, was expected back at the team's facility Friday. ESPN reported that he made a brief appearance at practice Thursday and was sent home upon the recommendation of team doctors. Smith was given the green-light to practice on a limited basis Wednesday and Thursday wearing a no-contact jersey but still must be medically cleared to play. Cutler did not practice this week and will give way to backup Jason Campbell.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE: 49ers -7, O/U 37.

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-50s with under partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out of the south at 9 mph.

ABOUT THE BEARS (7-2): Last season, Cutler had directed the Bears to five straight wins and a 7-3 record before suffering a broken thumb. The Bears went on to lose five straight with untested Caleb Hanie and retread Josh McCown under center. That's the main reason Chicago upgraded its backup plan by signing Campbell. The former Oakland Raiders QB was 11-for-19 for 94 yards in the second half of last week's 13-6 home loss to Houston. Running backs Matt Forte and Michael Bush may get a heavier workload against a defense that has suddenly been more vulnerable against the run, allowing a pair of 100-yard rushers. Brandon Marshall has 51 catches and six touchdowns in the last six games, and Chicago will again lean on a defense that has a league-high 19 interceptions, including seven for TDs.

ABOUT THE 49ERS (6-2-1): San Francisco would be in a tie with Chicago for the second-best record in the NFC had David Akers converted a 41-yard field goal in overtime in last week's 24-24 tie with St. Louis. The 49ers also benefited from two penalties in OT that prevented the Rams from winning. One big positive for the Niners was the play of second-year QB Colin Kaepernick after Smith was forced to leave the game with blurred vision. Kaepernick guided San Francisco to 17 fourth-quarter points, completing 11 of 17 passes for 117 yards and running for 66 yards and a touchdown on eight carries. Frank Gore just missed his fourth 100-yard game, rushing for 97 yards and a TD, and Michael Crabtree had five catches for 70 yards and his third scoring reception in two games.

TRENDS:

* Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
* 49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last five vs. NFC foes.
* Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Under is 5-0-1 in 49ers’ last six vs. a team with a winning record.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. San Francisco and Chicago rank 1-2 in the league in fewest points allowed with 14.1 and 14.8, respectively.

2. Campbell, a first-round pick of Washington in 2005, has made 70 career starts. He has thrown for 74 TDs and 50 interceptions.

3. The teams last met in San Francisco in November 2009, with the 49ers intercepting Cutler five times in a 10-6 victory. The 49ers have also won all three postseason meetings.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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11/19/2012 07:49 PM
NFL

Week 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tale of the tape: Bears at 49ers
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Take a quick glance at the tale of the tape for Monday night’s showdown between the Chicago Bears and San Francisco 49ers

Offense

Bears QB Jay Cutler (concussion) did not practice this week and will give way to backup Jason Campbell. So, RBs Matt Forte and Michael Bush may get a heavier workload against a San Francisco defense that has suddenly been more vulnerable against the run. No. 1 WR Brandon Marshall has 51 catches and six touchdowns in the last six games

Niners’ QB Alex Smith (concussion) is questionable and has practiced in a limited fashion throughout the week. If he can’t suit up, backup Colin Kaepernick will be under center. Kaepernick guided San Francisco to 17 fourth-quarter points last week against the Rams in relief of Smith, completing 11 of 17 passes for 117 yards while rushing for 66 yards and a touchdown on eight carries. San Francisco boasts the top-rated rushing offense in the league at 170.2 yards per game for an average of 5.6 yards per carry.

Edge: 49ers


Defense

San Francisco and Chicago rank 1-2 in the league in fewest points allowed with 14.1 and 14.8, respectively. Chicago will lean on a defense that has a league-high 19 interceptions, including seven for TDs. The Bears’ stop unit is also the fourth-best at stopping the run. The Niners are fifth defending the pass and through nine games, San Francisco has given up just 292.1 yards per game.

Edge: Bears


Special teams

Bears punter Adam Podlesh has been in a slump, prompting special teams coordinator Dave Toub to bring in three punters for tryouts this week. Podlesh ranks 30th in the league in punting average (41.7). Devin Hester hasn’t been leaving would-be tacklers in the dust, slowed by injury this season, but he's still the greatest returner in NFL history.

David Akers missed a field goal that would have won the game for the Niners in overtime last week. The Rams also succeeded in converting two fake punts against San Francisco. The second fake came on the Rams final drive of regulation, which resulted in a touchdown and a St. Louis lead. The 49ers are allowing foes to average 28.8 yards per kickoff return (second worst in the NFL) and 9.6 yards per punt return including a TD in Week 1.

Edge: Bears


Word on the street

"I don't think so. They're kind of similar quarterbacks, strong armed guys, athletic. He's been experienced. He's played in the league a long time as a starter, both in Washington and Oakland. So, I really don't think their offense will change that much." - San Francisco defensive coordinator Vic Fangio on if the Chicago offense changes much with Jason Campbell in instead of Jay Cutler.

"We didn’t handle last year well...Of course, it’s documented we didn’t. That’s why we went out and we felt like we’ve upgraded the position. I know the guys have a lot of confidence in Jason. He’s played a lot of football, started a lot of games, so yeah, we’re hopeful. That’s why we can’t wait to get to this game. Injuries do happen, and we’ll see exactly where we are, but we think we’re going to be OK." - Bears coach Lovie Smith on the team's struggles last season when Cutler fell to injury and his starter Monday, Jason Campbell.


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11/19/2012 07:52 PM
MNF - Bears at 49ers

November 18, 2012

The Week 11 card closes out with two NFC clubs looking to set themselves up for a first round bye in the playoffs. The 49ers took a hit in last Sunday's unexpected tie against the struggling Rams, while the Bears were tripped up by the Texans at home. Chicago has bigger issues than last week's defeat, as it attempts to win on the road without its starting quarterback.

Jay Cutler was knocked out in the second quarter of last Sunday's 13-6 defeat to Houston, as he is listed as 'out' on Monday night. Cutler threw for just 40 yards and two interceptions against the tough Texans' defense, while Chicago suffered just its second loss on the season. Jason Campbell replaced Cutler in the second half, but didn't fare much better for throwing for 94 yards, as the former Redskin will start on Monday. The weather didn't help matters as rain lingered all night long at Soldier Field, easily cashing the 'under' of 37.

The 49ers blew a golden opportunity last Sunday, pulling off the first tie in the NFL since 2008 in a 24-24 deadlock against St. Louis. Alex Smith suffered a concussion in the first half, while getting replaced by second-year quarterback Colin Kaepernick. The former Nevada standout led the Niners to a pair of touchdowns in the fourth quarter, but San Francisco couldn't pull out the win in overtime. The Niners failed to cover as 13 ½-point favorites, while falling to 1-3 ATS the last four games.

Smith has been ruled 'out' tonight, as Kaepernick will make his first NFL start. San Francisco has plenty to play for, as the Niners are fighting with Atlanta, Chicago, New York, and Green Bay for a potential first round bye in the postseason. The Niners own a tiebreaker over the Packers, but lose the tiebreaker to the Giants due to head-to-head matchups. Jim Harbaurgh's club hits the road for four of the next five games after Monday, while the next three games are against teams below .500.

Since losing at Green Bay in Week 2, Lovie Smith's team has won three consecutive games away from Soldier Field. In those three victories, the Bears put up at least 34 points, while scoring 51 points at Tennessee two weeks ago. The 'over' has cashed in each of Chicago's road wins, while going 4-2 to the 'over' in the last six games overall.

The home team has won each of the previous 10 meetings dating back to 1989, as the Niners edged the Bears in the last matchup in 2009 at Candlestick Park, 10-6. San Francisco cashed as 3 ½-point favorites in a December primetime contest, as Cutler tossed five interceptions in the defeat. Chicago topped San Francisco in three consecutive meetings from 2004 through 2006, but all three victories came in the Windy City.

The Niners have cashed six straight Monday night contests since 2008, while compiling a 2-0 SU/ATS in Harbaugh's tenure. Last December, San Francisco routed Pittsburgh at Candlestick, 20-3 as three-point favorites, as the Niners have won four of the last five home Monday nighters since 2003. In Week 8, the Niners whipped the Cardinals in Arizona, 24-3 to cash easily as 7 ½-point 'chalk.'

Under Smith, the Bears have won nine of 11 games on Monday, while covered seven times. This season, Chicago has picked up Monday night triumphs at Dallas and at home over Detroit, but the Bears failed to cash against the Lions as even-point favorites. On the highway, Chicago is 5-1 SU/ATS in six Monday night games since 2005.

The 'under' is cashing at a ridiculous rate on Monday, hitting in each of the last four weeks. Overall, the 'under' is 8-3 in Monday matchups, as one of the 'overs' came in Week 4 between the Bears and Cowboys as Chicago scored two defensive touchdowns to push the game 'over' the total.

The 49ers are listed as 6 ½-point favorites, while the total is set at 37 across the board. Weather shouldn't be much of a factor with temperatures in the high 50's and no rain expected. The game kicks off at 8:30 PM EST and will be televised nationally on ESPN.
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11/19/2012 07:57 PM
Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

11/18/12 11-­11-­2 50.00% -­550 Detail
11/15/12 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
11/12/12 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
11/11/12 14-­10-­0 58.33% +­1500 Detail
11/08/12 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
11/05/12 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
11/04/12 10-­14-­0 41.67% -­2700 Detail
11/01/12 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail

Totals 44-­36-­2 55.00% +2200


Monday, November 19

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Chicago - 8:30 PM ET San Francisco -3.5 500

San Francisco - Over 35 500
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11/22/2012 09:25 AM
Turkey Tips

November 21, 2012


**Texans at Lions**

--Before sitting down to Thanksgiving lunch, gamblers will need to place their bets for this 12:30 p.m. Eastern kickoff at Ford Field in the Motor City. As of late Wednesday afternoon, most books had Houston (9-1 straight up, 7-3 against the spread) favored by three with a minus-120 price. The total was 50 ½ points. Bettors can take the Lions on the money line for a plus-155 payout (risk $100 to win $155).

--After losing three of its first four games, Detroit (4-6 SU, 4-6 ATS) won three of its next four and appeared poised to stay in postseason contention. However, the Lions have dropped back-to-back game and are now in desperation mode. They lost a 24-20 nail-biter vs. Green Bay last Sunday as 3 ½-point home underdogs. The 44 combined points stayed ‘under’ the 53 ½-point total.

--In the loss to the Packers, Detroit took a 20-14 advantage with 4:25 remaining on a 27-yard field goal by Jason Hanson. However, Aaron Rodgers drove Green Bay down the field on a six-play touchdown drive to take the lead back. After committing a turnover, the Lions failed to cover when the Packers got a 39-yard field goal from Mason Crosby with 19 ticks left. Matthew Stafford threw two interceptions, including a 72-yard pick-six, and also coughed up a fumble. The Lions have given up seven touchdowns on returns this season, including punts, fumbles and interceptions.

--Houston was fortunate to win outright as a 15-point home favorite vs. Jacksonville last week. The Texans twice trailed by double-digit margins in the second half, but they nonetheless railed to capture a 43-37 overtime win over the Jaguars. With 2:01 left in OT, Matt Schaub found Andre Johnson for a 48-yard scoring strike to provide the winning points. The Jags took the cash and the 80 combined points easily went ‘over’ the 40 ½-point tally.

--Schaub completed 43-of-55 passes for 527 yards with five TD passes and two interceptions against Jacksonville. Johnson hauled in 14 receptions for 273 yards. For the season, Schaub has 18 TD passes compared to eight interceptions. Johnson has 60 catches for 870 yards and three TDs.

--Houston RB Arian Foster has rushed for 949 yards and 10 TDs, but he’s been limited to a 3.8 yards-per-carry average. He rushed for 77 yards on 28 carries against the Jags.

--Houston is third in the NFL in scoring, averaging 29.3 points per game. Also, the Texans are fourth in the NFL in scoring defense, giving up only 18.0 PPG.

--Houston has won all four of its road assignments, compiling a 3-1 spread record. The Texans own an 8-7 spread record as road favorites during Gary Kubiak’s seven-year tenure.

--To get an idea of how mistake-prone Detroit has been this season, consider these stats: The Lions are second in the NFL in total offense, averaging 401.7 yards per contest. However, they are just 15th in scoring with a 23.6 PPG average. In a similar vein, Jim Schwartz’s squad is 10th in total defense but 23rd in scoring defense (24.6 PPG).

--During Schwartz’s four-year tenure, Detroit has gone 7-6 ATS as a home underdog. The Lions are 2-2 SU and 1-3 ATS at home this year.

--Totals have been an overall wash for Houston (5-5), but the ‘under’ is 3-1 in its four road games. Meanwhile, the Lions have watched the ‘over’ go 6-3-1 overall, 2-2 in their home games.

--CBS will provide television coverage.

**Redskins at Cowboys**

--Most spots are listing Dallas (5-5 SU, 4-6 ATS) as a three-point ‘chalk’ with a minus-120 price. The total is 48 and the Redskins are plus-155 to win outright (risk $100 to win $155).

--Dallas lost for the fourth time in five games at Atlanta on Nov. 4, but the Cowboys have responded with two straight victories to get back into the hunt. They are only one game back of the 6-4 Giants for the lead in the NFC East.

--Jason Garrett’s club won a 23-20 decision over Cleveland in overtime last week. Dan Bailey’s 32-yard field goal with two seconds left in regulation forced the extra session, and then Bailey buried a 38-yarder for the win with only 2:01 left in OT. The Cowboys failed to cover the number as seven-point home favorites, while the 43 combined points slipped ‘under’ the 43 ½-point total.

--Dallas veteran QB Tony Romo has completed 67.3 percent of his throws for 2,916 passing yards, but he has a mediocre 13/13 TD-INT ratio. Jason Witten is his favorite target, bringing in 73 catches for 636 yards and one TD.

--Dallas has won outright in two of its four home games, but it is an abysmal 0-4 ATS.

--Washington (4-6 SU, 5-5 ATS) ended a three-game losing slide by pounding Philadelphia by a 31-6 count as a 3 ½-point home favorite. Robert Griffin III produced a spectacular performance, connecting on 14-of-15 passes for 200 yards and four touchdowns without an interception. RG3 also rushed for 84 yards on 12 carries.

--RG3 has been ‘as advertised,’ completing 67.1 percent of his passes for 2,193 yards with a 12/3 TD-INT ratio. The Baylor product has also rushed for 624 yards and six TDs.

--Washington has lost three of its five road games but has managed a 3-2 spread record. The Redskins are 3-1 ATS as road underdogs this year, 11-7 ATS in such spots during Mike Shanahan’s three-year tenure.

--Dallas has won three straight and six of the last seven head-to-head meetings with Washington. However, the Redskins have covered the number in the last four encounters. In addition, the ‘Skins are 5-0 ATS in their last five trips to Dallas.

--The ‘under’ is 6-4 overall for Dallas, 2-2 in its home games.

--Totals have been an overall wash (5-5) for the ‘Skins, but they have seen the ‘over’ cash at a 3-2 clip in their five road contests.

--The ‘under’ is on a 5-2 run in the last seven games of this storied rivalry.

--Kickoff is scheduled for 4:15 p.m. Eastern on FOX.

**Patriots at Jets**

--Most books are listing New England (7-3 SU, 6-4 ATS) as a seven-point favorite with a total of 48. Bettors can take the Jets to win outright for a plus-260 payout (risk $100 to win $260).

--Bill Belichick’s squad has won four in a row and six of its last seven, including last week’s 59-24 shellacking of Indianapolis as a 10-point home ‘chalk.’ Tom Brady threw for 331 yards and three TDs without an interception. Rob Gronkowski made seven receptions for 137 yards and two TDs, but he broke his forearm in the fourth quarter and will miss the next several games.

--On the bright side for the Pats, they’ll get their other stud tight end, Aaron Hernandez, back this week after he missed the last three games with an ankle injury.

--Brady is enjoying another sensational season, throwing for 2,976 yards with a 21/3 TD-INT ratio.

--New York (4-6 SU, 6-4 ATS) stopped the bleeding of a three-game losing streak with last week’s 37-23 win at St. Louis as a 3 ½-point underdog. Bilal Powell rushed for a pair of touchdowns and Marc Sanchez had one TD pass without committing a turnover.

--For the season, Sanchez is completing only 53.5 percent of his passes with an 11/9 TD-INT ratio.

--Since its first two games went ‘under,’ New England has seen the ‘over’ cash in eight consecutive games. The ‘over’ is 4-1 in the Pats’ five road assignments. They are 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS on the road.

--Totals have been an overall wash (5-5) for the Jets, but the ‘under’ is 3-2 in their home games. They are 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS at home.

--During Rex Ryan’s tenure, the Jets own a 3-1 spread record as home underdogs.

--The ‘over’ has hit in six straight head-to-head meetings between the Jets and Patriots.

--NBC will have the telecast at 8:20 p.m. Eastern.


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11/22/2012 09:28 AM
Total Talk - Thanksgiving

November 21, 2012

Due to the Thanksgiving Day slate this Thursday, bettors will be able to lock and load early in Week 12. We’ll recap last week’s action and go over the rest of the slate in our weekly Total Talk installment on Saturday. For now, let’s break down the three games on tap.

Houston at Detroit: The first game on the board isn’t an easy one and you could make sound arguments for either the ‘over’ or the ‘under.’ The opening line was 48 ½ and it’s been steamed up to 50 ½ at most outfits. Most gamblers have short-term memory and Houston’s 43-37 overtime win last Sunday over Jacksonville is probably in their head. Quarterback Matt Schaub and wide receiver Andre Johnson both had career days for the Texans, yet they only put up 43 and nine of those points came in the extra session. What was very surprising was the play of Houston’s defense, which was diced up by Jaguars QB Chad Henne. Keep in mind that Henne did most of his damage on three plays, two of them going for long touchdowns (67, 81 yards).

Fortunately for the Texans, they won’t be playing a consistent attack this week. Detroit looks like it has firepower on paper with QB Matthew Stafford and WR Calvin Johnson, but this offense lacks a running game and any rhythm. At home, the Lions are averaging 24 points per game. If there is hope for Detroit’s offense to get going, you can look at its outputs against AFC South clubs. The Lions put up 41 against the Titans and 31 against the Jaguars this season, which was the two highest point totals for them this season. Despite the bad performance last week, the Texans’ defense is still ranked fourth in the league (299 YPG, 18 PPG) and they’ve stepped up on the road, allowing a total of 55 points in four games. After scoring 27 and 31 in its first two road games, Houston has only mustered up 23 and 13 the past two outings as visitors.

On Thanksgiving, Detroit has watched the ‘under’ produce a 7-3 mark the past 10 seasons. The Lions have also lost nine of those games during that span.

Washington at Dallas: After watching its first four games of the season go ‘over’ the number, the Redskins have seen the ‘under’ rebound with a 5-1 mark in the last six games. Washington saw some 50-point totals posted early, which was a little surprising when you have a rookie quarterback (Robert Griffin III) under center. RG3 has proven to be effective, but the main reason for the high numbers is the Redskins defense, which is playing with crutches. Washington was hurt by the injury bug again last week as the unit lost safety Brandon Meriweather (knee) for the season. Also, the leader of the defense, linebacker London Fletcher (ankle), is ‘questionable’ too.

Dallas was hoping to get running back DeMarco Murray (foot) back in the lineup but his status is ‘doubtful’ for Thursday. That’s probably a good thing if you’re leaning ‘over’ because the Cowboys will most likely let Tony Romo attack an already decimated secondary if he can stay on his feet. Similar to Detroit, the ‘Boys look explosive on paper but the results aren’t there because the offensive line isn’t great. The best outing was 38 points against Philadelphia a couple weeks ago, and 21 came from the defense and special teams.

Last year, the total spilt in the two regular season meetings between the pair as they combined for 34 and 51 points. The total opened at 47 for this game and was bet up to 48. Dallas watched last year’s holiday matchup go ‘under’ in its win over Miami (20-19). The one thing you can say about the ‘Boys on Thanksgiving is that they do score and put on a show. It’s been 11 years since Dallas has been held under 20 points on Turkey Day.

New England at N.Y. Jets: This number opened at 50 ½ and is now being offered anywhere between 48 and 49 points, depending where you shop. Considering the Patriots can get to this number themselves, it’s certainly hard to argue an ‘under’ play here. New England’s offense leads the league in points scored (35.8) and yards (431.9) and the defense is starting to turn be opportunistic as well. Last week, the Pats ripped the Colts 59-24 and 21 of the points came from a pair of pick-six touchdowns and a punt return. After seeing the first two games of the season go 'under' the Pats have watched the 'over' cash in eight straight weeks.

Offensively, the Pats high-powered attack will be missing a key part this week against the Jets. Tight end Rob Gronkowski injured his forearm in last week’s win over the Colts. He’s out this week and possibly a few more games as well. Fortunately for the Pats, TE Aaron Hernandez is expected to return from an ankle injury. The offensive line also has some key injuries, in particular Logan Mankins and Dan Connolly. You couldn’t tell they missed last week’s game against Indy, who has a much better pass rush than the Jets.

New York gave New England a scare in mid-October, but fell short in a 29-26 defeat. QB Mark Sanchez played well (328 yards, 68%) in the loss despite having limited receivers and no running game. Including the first meeting this season, the ‘over’ has now cashed in six straight in this series.

The last few weeks of Total Talk, we’ve been hitting on rematch games between divisional opponents. So far this season, the ‘over’ has gone 8-2 (80%) when teams meet in the second divisional battle. Before you run to the counter and bang the ‘over’ on this game, make a note that the ‘under’ has gone 24-10 (71%) in games played in primetime slots this season. Lastly, since the NFL added a third game on Thanksgiving Day during the 2006 season, the ‘under’ has gone 4-2 in the six installments, including three in a row.

Fearless Predictions

If you’re reading this piece, then you’re probably betting and for that, we say be thankful that you can. As always, Press, Pass or Fade but in the end - Good Luck and Happy Thanksgiving to you and yours!

Best Over: Washington-Dallas 48

Best Under: Houston-Detroit 50 1/2

Best Team Total: Over Dallas 25 1/2

Three-Team Total Teaser (9-Point, +100):
Over Washington-Dallas 39
Under Houston-Detroit 59 ½
Under New England-N.Y. Jets 57

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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11/22/2012 09:30 AM
Thanksgiving Day Trends

November 20, 2012

Trends for Detroit-Houston
-- The Lions have dropped eight straight on Thanksgiving Day
-- Detroit has seen the 'under' go 7-3 in the last 10 on Thanksgiving Day
-- Houston has never played on Thanksgiving Day

Trends for Dallas-Washington
-- Dallas owns a 29-15-1 record on Thanksgiving Day
-- Five of the last six wins by Dallas on Thanksgiving Day have come by double digits
-- Washington has gone 1-6 on Thanksgiving Day, with all six losses against Dallas

Thanksgiving History - Detroit
Year Matchup
2012 Green Bay 15 Detroit 27
2010 New England 45 Detroit 24
2009 Green Bay 34 Detroit 12
2008 Tennessee 47 Detroit 10
2007 Green Bay 37 Detroit 26
2006 Miami 27 Detroit 10
2005 Atlanta 27 Detroit 7
2004 Indianapolis 41 Detroit 9
2003 Detroit 22 Green Bay 14
2002 New England 20 Detroit 12
2001 Green Bay 29 Detroit 27
2000 Detroit 34 New England 9
1999 Detroit 21 Chicago 17
1998 Detroit 19 Pittsburgh 16 (OT)
1997 Detroit 55 Chicago 20
1996 Kansas City 28 Detroit 24
1995 Detroit 44 Minnesota 38
1994 Detroit 35 Buffalo 21
1993 Chicago 10 Detroit 6
1992 Houston 24 Detroit 21
1991 Detroit 16 Chicago 6
1990 Detroit 40 Denver 27
1989 Detroit 13 Cleveland 10
1988 Minnesota 23 Detroit 0
1987 Kansas City 27 Detroit 20
1986 Green Bay 44 Detroit 40
1985 Detroit 31 N.Y. Jets 20
1984 Detroit 31 Green Bay 28
1983 Detroit 45 Pittsburgh 3
1982 N.Y. Giants 13 Detroit 6
1981 Detroit 27 Kansas City 10
1980 Chicago 23 Detroit 17 (OT)
1979 Detroit 20 Chicago 0
1978 Detroit 17 Denver 14
1977 Chicago 31 Detroit 14
1976 Detroit 27 Buffalo 14
1975 L.A. 20 Detroit 0
1974 Denver 31 Detroit 27
1973 Washington 20 Detroit 0
1972 Detroit 37 N.Y. Jets 20
1971 Detroit 32 Kansas City 21
1970 Detroit 28 Oakland 14
1969 Minnesota 27 Detroit 0
1968 Philadelphia 12 Detroit 0
1967 L.A. Rams 31 Detroit 7


Thanksgiving History - Dallas
Year Matchup
2012 Dallas 20 Miami 19
2010 New Orleans 30 Dallas 27
2009 Dallas 24 Oakland 7
2008 Dallas 34 Seattle 9
2007 Dallas 34 N.Y. Jets 3
2006 Dallas 38 Tampa Bay 10
2005 Denver 24 Dallas 21 (OT)
2004 Dallas 21 Chicago 7
2003 Miami 40 Dallas 21
2002 Dallas 27 Washington 20
2001 Denver 26 Dallas 24
2000 Minnesota 27 Dallas 15
1999 Dallas 20 Miami 0
1998 Minnesota 46 Dallas 36
1997 Tennessee 27 Dallas 14
1996 Dallas 21 Washington 10
1995 Dallas 24 Kansas City 12
1994 Dallas 42 Green Bay 31
1993 Miami 16 Dallas 14
1992 Dallas 30 N.Y. Giants 3
1991 Dallas 20 Pittsburgh 10
1990 Dallas 27 Washington 17
1989 Philadelphia 27 Dallas 0
1988 Houston 25 Dallas 17
1987 Minnesota 44 Dallas 38 (OT)
1986 Seattle 31 Dallas 14
1985 Dallas 35 St. Louis 17
1984 Dallas 20 New England 17
1983 Dallas 35 St. Louis 17
1982 Dallas 31 Cleveland 14
1981 Dallas 10 Chicago 9
1980 Dallas 51 Seattle 7
1979 Houston 30 Dallas 24
1978 Dallas 37 Washington 10
1976 Dallas 19 St. Louis 14
1974 Dallas 24 Washington 23
1973 Miami 14 Dallas 7
1972 San Francisco 31 Dallas 10
1971 Dallas 28 Los Angeles 21
1970 Dallas 16 Green Bay 3
1969 Dallas 24 San Francisco 24
1968 Dallas 29 Washington 20
1967 Dallas 46 St. Louis 21

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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